By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $85.80
- Analysts view
- Bullish
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Jan 13 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $258B
- Shares of Oct 19, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 2.3%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 2.2%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 12.1
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $7.09
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $72.78 – $97.76
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.93
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 14M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- Rising rates and a lower margin on new growth hold Wells Fargo back, and higher net interest income with steady returns and buybacks over three to five quarters can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The Q4 2026 report in January 2027 and the quarters after it show whether net interest income, returns and buybacks hold.
Company guidance: 2026 net interest income of +/- $50 billion and 2026 noninterest expense of ~$55.7 billion (, Q3 2026 earnings presentation (8-K Ex. 99.3))
Price history
About
Wells Fargo is one of the largest banks in the United States, with $2.25 trillion of assets and $1.50 trillion of deposits at September 30, 2026. It has four operating segments: Consumer Banking and Lending, Commercial Banking, Corporate and Investment Banking, and Wealth and Investment Management. It makes most of its money from net interest income, the difference between what it earns on loans and securities and what it pays on deposits and debt. In Q3 2026, net interest income was $12.5 billion of $21.9 billion of revenue.
The rest comes from fees for investment advice, investment banking, trading, cards, deposits and mortgages. For years a Federal Reserve limit stopped Wells Fargo from growing its balance sheet. Now that the limit is gone, the bank grows again. Average loans grew 11% in the year to Q3 2026.
Thesis
The market doubts that Wells Fargo can turn its new balance sheet growth into higher returns while interest rates rise. Loans and deposits grew 11% in the year to Q3 2026, but the net interest margin fell to 2.43% from 2.61% a year earlier, because new deposits cost more and part of the growth is in lower-margin Markets assets. Higher rates in Q3 2026 also doubled the accumulated other comprehensive loss, from $8.3 billion at June 30 to $16.5 billion at September 30. This cut the CET1 ratio by 38 basis points to 10.0% and reduced the capital that is free for buybacks, which fell to $2.5 billion in Q3 from $3.0 billion in Q2.
Fee income was also weaker, down 9% from Q2 2026, with lower venture capital and trading results. For the gap to close, three things must be true. Net interest income must reach about $13 billion in Q4 2026, as guided, and keep growing in 2027. Return on tangible common equity must stay at or above the 16.2% of the first nine months of 2026, with expenses near the $55.7 billion guided for 2026.
The CET1 ratio must stay near 10% while buybacks continue, and credit losses must stay low, near the 0.38% net charge-off ratio of Q3 2026. The next check is the Q4 2026 report in mid-January 2027, with the 2027 outlook. If these hold, the gap can close over the next three to five quarters. If rates rise further, bond losses can keep limiting buybacks.
Checkpoints
- Jan 13, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 results and 2027 outlookNet interest income near $13 billion in Q4 2026, a 2027 outlook with higher net interest income and continued buybacks pass; lower net interest income or smaller buybacks fail.
- Jun 2027 · est.PendingFederal Reserve stress test resultsA stress capital buffer that lets the bank keep buybacks near current levels passes; a higher buffer that cuts buybacks fails.
- 2027 · est.PendingReturns after balance sheet growthReturn on tangible common equity at or above 16% with a stable net interest margin passes; a margin that keeps falling or returns below 15% fail.
Recent events
- October 13, 2026Wells Fargo reported Q3 2026 results. Net income was $5.95 billion, and diluted EPS was $1.87, up 13%. Revenue was $21.9 billion, down 3% from Q2 2026, as fee income fell 9%. The net interest margin was 2.43%. The accumulated other comprehensive loss rose to $16.5 billion from $8.3 billion because of higher rates, and the CET1 ratio fell to 10.0% from 10.3%. Wells Fargo bought back $2.5 billion of stock and kept its 2026 guidance of about $50 billion of net interest income and about $55.7 billion of expenses.
- September 24, 2026Wells Fargo issued $6.0 billion of senior fixed-to-floating rate notes: $2.5 billion due 2030 and $3.5 billion due 2037.
- September 23, 2026Wells Fargo appointed Scott Powell, its Chief Operating Officer, as Chief Risk Officer from January 15, 2027. He will then no longer be Chief Operating Officer.
Show 2 older eventsHide older events
- August 19, 2026Wells Fargo sold $1.75 billion of 6.55% fixed rate reset non-cumulative perpetual preferred stock, Series HH.
- July 14, 2026Wells Fargo reported Q2 2026 results. Diluted EPS was $2.00, up 25%, and revenue grew 9%. Return on tangible common equity was 17.7%. It bought back $3.0 billion of stock in the quarter and about $7 billion in the first half of 2026. The CEO said that the bank now grows its balance sheet with care after years under the asset cap.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 13, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about January 13, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · wfc-20260930
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KCurrent reportFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · wfc-20260923
- 8-KChange to shareholder rights or bylawsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · wfc-20260630
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KCurrent reportFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KChange of directors or officers and Shareholder vote resultsFiled · wfc-20260428
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · wfc-20260331
Risks
- Higher interest rates lower the value of the bank's securities and its capital. The accumulated other comprehensive loss doubled to $16.5 billion in Q3 2026, and this cut the CET1 ratio by 38 basis points to 10.0%. More rate increases can slow buybacks.
- Balance sheet growth can lower margins and raise risk. The net interest margin fell to 2.43% in Q3 2026 from 2.61% a year earlier, as deposit costs rose and lower-margin Markets assets grew. Fast loan growth after the asset cap can bring higher credit losses in a downturn.
- Credit losses can rise. The CEO named higher interest rates, higher oil prices and inflation as risks to the economy on October 13, 2026. Commercial net charge-offs rose to 0.18% of loans in Q3 2026 from 0.10% in Q2.
- Fee income depends on markets. Trading gains and venture capital results fell in Q3 2026, and fee income dropped 9% from Q2. A weak market can lower these revenues again.
Balance sheet
Wells Fargo funds itself mostly with client deposits. At September 30, 2026, total assets were $2,253.3 billion and total deposits were $1,502.7 billion, of which $365.7 billion paid no interest. Other funding was $182.9 billion of long-term debt, $38.2 billion of short-term borrowings and $220.5 billion of repurchase agreements and similar funding. Cash and amounts due from banks were $40.6 billion, and interest-earning deposits with banks were $140.5 billion. Debt securities were $448.4 billion: $255.8 billion available for sale and $192.6 billion held to maturity. Loans were $1,048.1 billion, with an allowance for loan losses of $13.8 billion. Capital is the real limit. The CET1 ratio was 10.0% at September 30, 2026, a preliminary estimate, down from 10.3% at June 30, mostly because the accumulated other comprehensive loss grew to $16.5 billion. The liquidity coverage ratio was 122%, and the total loss absorbing capacity ratio was 23.0%. Common stockholders' equity was $158.8 billion, and preferred stock rose to $17.1 billion after a $1.75 billion issue in August 2026. On September 24, 2026, the bank issued $6.0 billion of senior notes due 2030 and 2037.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 2.3% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 2.2% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $85.80)
- Paid per share
- $1.90 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $2.00 ($0.50 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 27% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- November 6, 2026, $0.50 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $1.515 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $1.54 | |
| 2018 | $1.64 | |
| 2019 | $1.92 | |
| 2020 | $1.22 | |
| 2021 | $0.60 | |
| 2022 | $1.10 | |
| 2023 | $1.30 | |
| 2024 | $1.50 | |
| 2025 | $1.70 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 6.9% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 1.4% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Wells Fargo
What does Wells Fargo do?
Wells Fargo is one of the largest banks in the United States, with $2.25 trillion of assets and $1.50 trillion of deposits at September 30, 2026. It has four operating segments: Consumer Banking and Lending, Commercial Banking, Corporate and Investment Banking, and Wealth and Investment Management. Its market cap is $258B at the current price of $85.80.
When does Wells Fargo report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Wells Fargo may report on January 13, 2027. It last reported results on October 13, 2026.
Is Wells Fargo stock below its intrinsic value?
Wells Fargo stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Wells Fargo?
The latest update is from October 13, 2026. Wells Fargo reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for Wells Fargo?
Higher interest rates lower the value of the bank's securities and its capital. Balance sheet growth can lower margins and raise risk. Credit losses can rise.
How much debt and cash does Wells Fargo have?
Wells Fargo funds itself mostly with client deposits. This is as of September 30, 2026.
Does Wells Fargo pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of Wells Fargo is $2.00 per share. That is a dividend yield of 2.3% at the current price of $85.80. In the last 12 months, it paid $1.90 per share (2.2%). The latest ex-dividend date was November 6, 2026.
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