By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $232.00
- Analysts view
- Bullish
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Jan 15 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $92B
- Shares of Oct 14, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 3.4%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 3.2%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 12.4
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $18.78
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $177.08 – $258.96
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.91
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 1.8M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market prices PNC for rate risk and weaker commercial credit after the FirstBank purchase, and a higher margin with stable loan losses over the next two to four quarters can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The Q4 2026 report in January 2027 and the next quarters show whether the net interest margin rises and commercial loan losses stay low.
Company guidance: Total revenue up ~13.7% and noninterest expense up ~9.5% versus 2025 for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings slides (8-K))
Price history
About
PNC Financial Services is one of the largest banks in the United States, based in Pittsburgh. Its main businesses are Retail Banking, Corporate & Institutional Banking, and Asset Management. At September 30, 2026, PNC had total assets of $627.8 billion, loans of $378.8 billion and deposits of $466.4 billion.
On January 5, 2026, PNC bought FirstBank Holding Company, the owner of FirstBank, for $4.2 billion in cash and PNC shares. PNC is growing in the Southeast and Southwest and in new markets across the country.
Thesis
The market prices PNC as a bank whose profit depends on interest rates and on the credit quality of commercial loans. Its capital ratio fell after the FirstBank purchase: the CET1 ratio was 9.8% at September 30, 2026, down from 10.7% a year earlier. Unrealized losses in accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI) grew to $6.5 billion from $4.1 billion in one quarter. Commercial nonperforming loans also rose in Q3 2026.
The baseline forecast of PNC expects the Federal Reserve to raise rates in December 2026 and March 2027, which can raise funding costs and bond losses. For the gap to close, PNC must reach its Q4 2026 outlook: net interest income up about 4.0%, adjusted expenses up about 5.0% and net charge-offs near $250 million. It must also reach the net interest margin of 3.0% or more that it expects, and keep its capital ratio stable while it buys back shares. The Q4 2026 report, expected in mid-January 2027, is the next test.
If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next two to four quarters. The main reason it may not close is a rise in commercial loan losses, which would lower earnings and capital.
Checkpoints
- Jan 15, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 earnings: margin and creditNet interest income up about 4.0% from Q3 and net charge-offs near $250 million pass; a lower margin or a jump in charge-offs fails.
- Apr 2027 · est.PendingQ1 2027 results: net interest marginA net interest margin of 3.0% or more with a stable CET1 ratio passes; a margin that stays below 2.95% fails.
Recent events
- November 5, 2026PNC said that Alexander Overstrom, the head of Retail Banking, will become Chief Financial Officer on March 1, 2027. Robert Reilly, CFO since 2013, will then become Executive Vice Chairman and a senior adviser to the CEO.
- October 15, 2026PNC reported Q3 2026 results. Net income was $2.1 billion, or $4.97 per diluted share, and $5.09 as adjusted. Net interest income rose 2% from Q2 to $4.2 billion, and the net interest margin was 2.94%. Fee income fell 6% after a strong Q2 in capital markets, and expenses fell 8%. The efficiency ratio was 57%, and return on tangible common equity was 18.3%.
- October 15, 2026In Q3 2026, net loan charge-offs were $257 million, including $35 million from the transfer of a $1.4 billion student loan portfolio to held for sale. Nonperforming loans rose 8% to $2.2 billion, driven by commercial loans. The CET1 ratio was an estimated 9.8%, and AOCI was negative $6.5 billion. PNC returned $1.4 billion to shareholders and expects Q4 buybacks near the Q3 level.
Show 3 older eventsHide older events
- October 2, 2026The board declared a quarterly dividend of $2.00 per share, payable on November 5, 2026. Dividends declared in Q3 2026 were $2.00 per share, up from $1.70 in Q2 2026.
- September 29, 2026PNC said that it will redeem all $525 million of its Series S preferred stock on November 2, 2026.
- January 5, 2026PNC completed its purchase of FirstBank Holding Company for $4.2 billion in cash and PNC shares. Integration costs were $127 million in Q2 2026 and $36 million in Q3 2026.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 15, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about January 15, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 8-KChange of directors or officers and Investor disclosureFiled · pnc-20261105
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · pnc-20260930
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · pnc-20261020
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · pnc-20261015
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · pnc-20260929
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · pnc-20260630
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · pnc-20260716
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · pnc-20260715
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
Risks
- Commercial loans are most of the loan book, and commercial nonperforming loans rose in Q3 2026. A weaker economy can raise loan losses and lower earnings and capital.
- Higher bond yields increase the unrealized losses on securities, which grew to $6.5 billion in Q3 2026. Rate increases by the Federal Reserve can also raise deposit costs faster than loan yields.
- The CET1 ratio fell to 9.8% after the FirstBank purchase. Lower capital limits share buybacks, and new capital rules can change how much capital PNC must hold.
- The integration of FirstBank continues. Higher costs or lost customers can lower the expected benefit of the purchase.
Balance sheet
PNC funds itself mostly with deposits. At September 30, 2026, deposits were $466.4 billion, and borrowed funds were $79.8 billion, down $6.0 billion in the quarter as PNC reduced Federal Home Loan Bank advances. Interest-earning deposits with banks were $24.7 billion, and investment securities were $146.4 billion. Loans were $378.8 billion, with an allowance for credit losses of $5.4 billion, or 1.42% of loans. Capital is the real limit. The estimated CET1 ratio was 9.8%, and the stress capital buffer stays at the minimum of 2.5% through September 30, 2027. Common equity was $56.5 billion, including AOCI of negative $6.5 billion, and tangible book value was $107.64 per share. The average liquidity coverage ratio was 106% in Q3 2026, and available parent company liquidity was $31.4 billion at June 30, 2026.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 3.4% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 3.2% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $232.00)
- Paid per share
- $7.40 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $8.00 ($2.00 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 40% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- October 14, 2026, $2.00 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $2.12 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $2.60 | |
| 2018 | $3.40 | |
| 2019 | $4.20 | |
| 2020 | $4.60 | |
| 2021 | $4.80 | |
| 2022 | $5.75 | |
| 2023 | $6.10 | |
| 2024 | $6.30 | |
| 2025 | $6.60 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 7.5% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 12.6% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about PNC Financial Services
What does PNC Financial Services do?
PNC Financial Services is one of the largest banks in the United States, based in Pittsburgh. Its main businesses are Retail Banking, Corporate & Institutional Banking, and Asset Management. Its market cap is $92B at the current price of $232.00.
When does PNC Financial Services report earnings next?
This is an estimate: PNC Financial Services may report on January 15, 2027. It last reported results on October 15, 2026.
Is PNC Financial Services stock below its intrinsic value?
PNC Financial Services stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at PNC Financial Services?
The latest update is from November 5, 2026. PNC said that Alexander Overstrom, the head of Retail Banking, will become Chief Financial Officer on March 1, 2027.
What are the main risks for PNC Financial Services?
Commercial loans are most of the loan book, and commercial nonperforming loans rose in Q3 2026. Higher bond yields increase the unrealized losses on securities, which grew to $6.5 billion in Q3 2026. The CET1 ratio fell to 9.8% after the FirstBank purchase.
How much debt and cash does PNC Financial Services have?
PNC funds itself mostly with deposits. This is as of September 30, 2026.
Does PNC Financial Services pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of PNC Financial Services is $8.00 per share. That is a dividend yield of 3.4% at the current price of $232.00. In the last 12 months, it paid $7.40 per share (3.2%). The latest ex-dividend date was October 14, 2026.
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