By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $124.21
- Analysts view
- Bullish
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Jan 14 ·
- Market cap
- $217B
- Shares of Jan 31, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 2.2%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 2.0%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 17.8
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $6.99
- 12 months to Dec 31, 2025
- 52-week range
- $95.83 – $147.96
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 1.17
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 9.5M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market doubts that Citigroup can earn returns above its cost of equity, and returns in its target range for 2027 with lower expenses and steady buybacks can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The Q4 2026 report on January 14, 2027 and the 2027 results show within about a year whether returns reach the 2027 target range.
Company guidance: RoTCE above the 10-11% target for 2026, and an 11-13% near-term goal (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K Ex. 99.1))
Price history
About
Citigroup is a global bank with five businesses: Services, Markets, Banking, Wealth and U.S. Consumer Cards. Services gives cash management, trade finance and securities services to multinational companies, banks and governments. Markets trades fixed income and equities for clients.
Banking gives investment banking advice and loans to companies. Wealth serves Private Bank, Citigold and retail banking clients. U.S. Consumer Cards is one of the three largest card issuers in the United States.
Citigroup is selling its Mexican consumer bank, Banamex, in stages, and it owned 51% of the voting stock of Banamex at September 30, 2026. Revenues were $23.8 billion in Q3 2026, and total assets were $2.94 trillion at September 30, 2026.
Thesis
The market doubts that Citigroup can earn returns above its cost of equity for many years. Return on tangible common equity (RoTCE) was 11.5% in Q3 2026, up from 8.0% a year earlier, and the bank targets only 10% to 11% for 2026. Citigroup still works under the 2020 consent orders with the Federal Reserve and the OCC, and it says that the remediation is a multiyear work that has not been linear. At its Investor Day on May 7, 2026, it set a RoTCE range of 11% to 13% for 2027 and 2028, and a path to 14% to 15% over the medium term.
For the gap to close, three things must be true. RoTCE must reach the 11% to 13% range in 2027 while the bank invests about $5 billion more in its businesses. Expenses must fall as transformation costs and stranded costs end, so that the efficiency ratio moves toward 55% to 60%. Citigroup must keep its buybacks under the $30 billion program, with $23.0 billion left at September 30, 2026, while its CET1 ratio stays near the 12.6% target.
The Q4 2026 report on January 14, 2027 gives the next test. Progress on the consent orders and the Banamex IPO are further tests with no fixed date. If returns move into the target range in 2027, the gap can close within one to two years. The main reason it may not close is a new regulatory problem or a weaker economy that raises card losses.
Checkpoints
- Jan 14, 2027PendingQ4 2026 results: returns and 2027 outlookA 2026 RoTCE above the 10% to 11% target and a 2027 outlook in the 11% to 13% range pass; lower returns or higher expenses fail.
- Q1 2027 · est.PendingBanamex deconsolidationDeconsolidation in early 2027 with a CET1 ratio that stays near the 12.6% target passes; a long delay or a capital effect larger than the company said fails.
- Jun 2027 · est.Pending2027 stress test and new stress capital bufferA stress capital buffer at or below 3.6% from January 1, 2028 passes; a higher buffer that limits buybacks fails.
Recent events
- November 5, 2026In its Q3 2026 10-Q, Citigroup said that it expects to deconsolidate Banamex in early 2027, although the timing can change. It will then record in earnings about $9 billion of currency translation losses, net of hedges and taxes, that sit in equity at September 30, 2026. Citigroup said that these losses do not change its regulatory capital and that the change has a slightly positive effect on its CET1 ratio.
- October 13, 2026Citigroup reported Q3 2026 results. Net income was $5.2 billion and EPS was $2.85, up from $1.86 a year earlier, when a goodwill impairment related to Banamex lowered results. Revenues grew 8% to $23.8 billion, and Services revenues grew 15%. RoTCE was 11.5%, and the CET1 ratio was 12.8%. Citigroup returned $4.1 billion to shareholders and said that it expects to exceed its 2026 return target.
- August 11, 2026Citigroup sold 1.4% more of Banamex's common stock, the last part of the 24% stake that investors had agreed to buy. After the sale, Citigroup owned 51% of the voting stock of Banamex.
Show 3 older eventsHide older events
- July 14, 2026Citigroup reported Q2 2026 results. Net income was $5.8 billion on revenues of $24.8 billion, and RoTCE was 13.0%.
- May 7, 2026At its Investor Day, Citigroup set a RoTCE range of 11% to 13% for 2027 and 2028 and a path to 14% to 15% over the medium term. It expects an efficiency ratio of about 60% in 2026 and 55% to 60% in the near term. The board approved a multiyear share buyback program of $30 billion.
- February 18, 2026Citigroup signed and closed the sale of AO Citibank, its remaining business in Russia, to Renaissance Capital. It had recorded a pre-tax loss of about $1.2 billion on the sale, mostly in Q4 2025, after its board approved the sale plan on December 29, 2025.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 13, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- January 14, 2027, as the company confirmed.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · c-20260930
- 8-KCurrent reportFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · c-20261021x8k
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KCurrent reportFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · c-20260630
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KChange of directors or officers and Shareholder vote resultsFiled · c-20260520x8k
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · c-20260331
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
Risks
- Citigroup still works under the 2020 consent orders with the Federal Reserve and the OCC on risk management, data and controls. In July 2024, the regulators added civil money penalties because remediation was too slow. More problems can bring penalties, limits on growth or higher capital requirements.
- Card losses can rise in a weaker economy. The U.S. Consumer Cards provision was $1.9 billion in Q3 2026, including a reserve build of $208 million.
- The CET1 ratio was 12.8% at September 30, 2026, only about 120 basis points above the requirement of 11.6%. A higher stress capital buffer or new capital rules can limit buybacks.
- The timing of the Banamex IPO depends on markets and regulatory approvals. Until Citigroup exits, results include Mexican consumer credit losses and costs. When Citigroup deconsolidates Banamex, which it expects in early 2027, it will record about $9 billion of currency translation losses in net income. Citigroup says that this loss does not change its regulatory capital, but it lowers reported earnings in that quarter.
- Markets and Banking revenues move with trading and deal activity, which can fall quickly.
Balance sheet
Citigroup funds itself mainly with deposits, which were $1.505 trillion at September 30, 2026, and total assets were $2.94 trillion. The standardized CET1 ratio was 12.8%, about 120 basis points above the requirement of 11.6%. The requirement includes a stress capital buffer of 3.6%, which stays in place through December 31, 2027, and a GSIB surcharge of 3.5%. The supplementary leverage ratio was 5.0%. Book value per share was $115.61 and tangible book value per share was $101.59. The total allowance for credit losses was $22.4 billion. In the first nine months of 2026, Citigroup bought back $13.3 billion of its common shares, and $23.0 billion of the $30 billion program was left at September 30, 2026. It pays a quarterly dividend of $0.67 per share. For a bank, net debt is not a useful measure, so this profile does not show debt figures.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 2.2% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 2.0% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $124.21)
- Paid per share
- $2.54 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $2.68 ($0.67 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 33% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- November 2, 2026, $0.67 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $0.42 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $0.96 | |
| 2018 | $1.54 | |
| 2019 | $1.92 | |
| 2020 | $2.04 | |
| 2021 | $2.04 | |
| 2022 | $2.04 | |
| 2023 | $2.08 | |
| 2024 | $2.18 | |
| 2025 | $2.32 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 2.6% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 30.7% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Citigroup
What does Citigroup do?
Citigroup is a global bank with five businesses: Services, Markets, Banking, Wealth and U.S. Consumer Cards. Services gives cash management, trade finance and securities services to multinational companies, banks and governments. Its market cap is $217B at the current price of $124.21.
When does Citigroup report earnings next?
The company confirmed that it will report on January 14, 2027. It last reported results on October 13, 2026.
Is Citigroup stock below its intrinsic value?
Citigroup stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Citigroup?
The latest update is from November 5, 2026. In its Q3 2026 10-Q, Citigroup said that it expects to deconsolidate Banamex in early 2027, although the timing can change.
What are the main risks for Citigroup?
Citigroup still works under the 2020 consent orders with the Federal Reserve and the OCC on risk management, data and controls. Card losses can rise in a weaker economy. The CET1 ratio was 12.8% at September 30, 2026, only about 120 basis points above the requirement of 11.6%.
How much debt and cash does Citigroup have?
Citigroup funds itself mainly with deposits, which were $1.505 trillion at September 30, 2026, and total assets were $2.94 trillion. This is as of September 30, 2026.
Does Citigroup pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of Citigroup is $2.68 per share. That is a dividend yield of 2.2% at the current price of $124.21. In the last 12 months, it paid $2.54 per share (2.0%). The latest ex-dividend date was November 2, 2026.
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