Skip to content

USBBanks

U.S. Bancorp

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

By

Updated

Price
$60.70
Analysts view
Bullish
Discount category
Below intrinsic value
Pick status
Top pick
Next earnings
Earnings Jan 15 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$95B
Shares of Oct 31, 2026
Yield at current rate
3.6%
Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
Dividend yield
3.5%
Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
P/E (trailing)
11.8
Price of Nov 12, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$5.15
12 months to Sep 30, 2026
52-week range
$45.02 – $66.08
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
1.04
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
7.4M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
Rising rates enlarge the bank's bond losses and slow its buybacks, and a margin that keeps rising through 2027 with buybacks restarted can close the gap.
Gap
Can close. The Q4 2026 report in January 2027, the 2027 stress test and the quarterly margin show whether capital and earnings grow as planned.

Price history

About

U.S. Bancorp is the parent company of U.S. Bank, the fifth-largest commercial bank in the United States, with $703.0 billion of assets at September 30, 2026. It serves about 15 million clients through three business lines: consumer and business banking, wealth and corporate banking, and payment services.

It makes money from net interest income, the difference between what it earns on loans and securities and what it pays on deposits and debt. It also earns fees from card and merchant payments, treasury management, trust and investment management, and capital markets. Fees were $3.5 billion of the $8.0 billion of net revenue in Q3 2026. In June 2026, it bought BTIG, a broker-dealer and investment bank, to grow its capital markets business.

Thesis

The market doubts that U.S. Bancorp can grow capital fast enough to restart large buybacks while interest rates rise. The bank holds large bond portfolios bought when rates were low, so higher rates lower their value. The accumulated other comprehensive loss grew from $7.1 billion at June 30, 2026 to $9.5 billion at September 30, 2026, after the Federal Reserve raised its target rate in September.

The CET1 ratio was 10.8%, but only 9.1% with this loss included, and the third quarter also used capital for loan growth and a small business credit card portfolio purchase. The bank bought back no shares in Q3 2026. Investors also watch the $50 billion of loans to non-bank financial companies, such as private equity funds and loan funds because the market fears losses in this type of lending. For the gap to close, three things must be true.

The net interest margin must keep rising from 2.84% in Q3 2026 toward the 3% path that management gave for 2027, as low-rate assets reprice. Credit quality must stay good, with net charge-offs near the 0.51% of Q3 2026. The bank must restart buybacks while it keeps CET1 near 10.8%. The next check is the Q4 2026 report in mid-January 2027, where management gives its 2027 outlook.

If the margin and buybacks follow the plan, the gap can close over the next three to five quarters. If rates rise further and the bond losses grow, the gap can stay longer.

Checkpoints

  1. Jan 15, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlookA net interest margin above 2.84%, net charge-offs near 0.5%, a 2027 outlook with positive operating leverage and restarted buybacks pass; a lower margin, higher charge-offs or no buybacks fail.
  2. Jun 2027 · est.Pending
    Federal Reserve stress test resultsA stress capital buffer at or below 2.6% from October 2027 passes; a higher buffer that limits buybacks fails.
  3. 2027 · est.Pending
    Net interest margin path to 3%A margin that reaches or nears 3% during 2027 as low-rate assets reprice passes; a margin that stays near 2.8% fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • October 30, 2026U.S. Bancorp sold $1.0 billion of Series P preferred stock. The dividend rate is fixed at 7.20% until January 15, 2032, and then resets every five years. On November 5, 2026, it also sold C$1.0 billion of senior notes due 2032, with a fixed rate of 4.422% that later changes to a floating rate.
  • October 23, 2026Vice Chair and Chief Risk Officer Jodi Richard resigned with immediate effect to join another public company. The bank said that she did not leave because of a disagreement. Chief Credit Officer Troy Remington is interim Chief Risk Officer while the bank looks for a successor.
  • October 15, 2026U.S. Bancorp reported Q3 2026 results. Net revenue was a record $7.97 billion, and diluted EPS was $1.34, up 9.8%. Net interest income rose 5.6% and fee revenue rose 14.9%, helped by a full quarter of BTIG. The net interest margin rose to 2.84%, and the net charge-off ratio fell to 0.51%. The bank raised its 2026 revenue growth guidance to 8% to 9%. It bought a small business credit card portfolio, which added a $135 million initial provision for credit losses. It bought back no shares in the quarter, and management said that it plans to restart buybacks in the next one or two quarters.
Show 4 older events
  • October 15, 2026U.S. Bank completed a pilot payment with USBDC, its own US dollar-backed stablecoin, between its entities in North America and Europe on the Stellar blockchain.
  • July 16, 2026U.S. Bancorp reported Q2 2026 results. Net revenue was a record $7.71 billion, and diluted EPS was $1.35, up 22%. Net interest income rose 7.5% and fee revenue rose 13.2%. It returned $1.0 billion to shareholders in the quarter through dividends and buybacks.
  • June 24, 2026After the Federal Reserve stress test, U.S. Bancorp said that its stress capital buffer stays at 2.6% until October 1, 2027. It planned to raise the quarterly dividend from $0.52 to $0.54 per share from Q3 2026.
  • June 1, 2026U.S. Bancorp completed the purchase of BTIG, a broker-dealer and investment bank. It paid $725 million at closing, half in cash and half in 6,600,594 shares, and it can pay up to $275 million more in cash over three years if BTIG meets targets.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
October 15, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about January 15, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 36104)

Risks

  • Higher interest rates lower the value of the bank's securities. The accumulated other comprehensive loss grew to $9.5 billion at September 30, 2026, from $7.1 billion at June 30, 2026. If rules or markets count this loss in capital, the CET1 ratio of 9.1% with this loss included limits buybacks.
  • Credit losses can rise in a weaker economy. The bank has $50 billion of loans to non-bank financial companies, such as private equity, loan funds and mortgage lenders, and it has commercial real estate and credit card loans. The credit card net charge-off ratio was 3.29% in Q3 2026, and the bank now holds a newly bought small business card portfolio.
  • Deposit costs can rise if competition for deposits grows or rates rise more. This can stop the net interest margin from reaching the 3% path that management expects in 2027.
  • The growth plan depends on acquisitions and new businesses, such as BTIG, the small business card portfolio and expansion markets. Expenses rose 7.1% in Q3 2026. If revenue from these steps grows slower than costs, returns can fall.

Balance sheet

U.S. Bancorp funds itself mostly with client deposits. At September 30, 2026, total assets were $703.0 billion and total deposits were $531.7 billion, of which $85.6 billion paid no interest.

Dividends

Yield at the current rate
3.6% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
Dividend yield
3.5% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $60.70)
Paid per share
$2.10 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$2.16 ($0.54 × 4 a year)
Payout ratio
44% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
Latest ex-dividend date
September 30, 2026, $0.54 per share

Dividends per share by year

U.S. Bancorp dividends per share by year
2016
$1.07
2017
$1.16
2018
$1.34
2019
$1.58
2020
$1.68
2021
$1.76
2022
$1.88
2023
$1.93
2024
$1.98
2025
$2.04

From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 4.0% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 7.3% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about U.S. Bancorp

What does U.S. Bancorp do?

U.S. Bancorp is the parent company of U.S. Bank, the fifth-largest commercial bank in the United States, with $703.0 billion of assets at September 30, 2026. Its market cap is $95B at the current price of $60.70.

When does U.S. Bancorp report earnings next?

This is an estimate: U.S. Bancorp may report on January 15, 2027. It last reported results on October 15, 2026.

Is U.S. Bancorp stock below its intrinsic value?

U.S. Bancorp stock is below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at U.S. Bancorp?

The latest update is from October 30, 2026. U.S. Bancorp sold $1.0 billion of Series P preferred stock.

What are the main risks for U.S. Bancorp?

Higher interest rates lower the value of the bank's securities. Credit losses can rise in a weaker economy. Deposit costs can rise if competition for deposits grows or rates rise more.

How much debt and cash does U.S. Bancorp have?

U.S. Bancorp funds itself mostly with client deposits. This is as of September 30, 2026.

Does U.S. Bancorp pay a dividend?

Yes. The current annual dividend of U.S. Bancorp is $2.16 per share. That is a dividend yield of 3.6% at the current price of $60.70. In the last 12 months, it paid $2.10 per share (3.5%). The latest ex-dividend date was September 30, 2026.

Similar companies

  • BACBank of AmericaShares: Interest rates, Regulation and courts
    Intrinsic value
    Below intrinsic value
    Gap
    Can close
  • PNCPNC Financial ServicesShares: Interest rates, Regulation and courts
    Intrinsic value
    Close to intrinsic value
    Gap
    Can close
  • IBNICICI BankShares: Interest rates, Regulation and courts
    Intrinsic value
    Far above intrinsic value (AI estimate)
    Gap
    Slow
  • ITUBItaú UnibancoShares: Interest rates, Regulation and courts
    Intrinsic value
    Close to intrinsic value
    Gap
    Can close
  • LYGLloyds Banking GroupShares: Interest rates, Regulation and courts
    Intrinsic value
    Below intrinsic value
    Gap
    Can close

Loading your notes…

Read it all? Star USB or pass, then go on to the next one.