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HDHome improvement retail

Home Depot

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

Price
$351.31
Analysts view
Leaning bullish
Discount category
Pricey
Pick status
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Nov 17 ·
History
Market cap
$350B
Shares of Aug 18, 2026
Yield at current rate
2.7%
Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
Dividend yield
2.6%
Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
P/E (trailing)
24.6
Price of Nov 12, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$14.29
12 months to Aug 2, 2026
52-week range
$277.15 – $397.63
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
0.93
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
4.7M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
Few homes change owners and large projects stay weak, so Home Depot must show positive transactions and steady margins in the next two to four quarters for the gap to close.
Gap
Can close. The Q3 fiscal 2026 report on November 17, 2026 and the fiscal 2027 guidance in February 2027 show whether sales grow without help from acquisitions and tariff refunds.

Company guidance: Diluted EPS growth of approximately flat to 4.0% and total sales growth of approximately 2.5% to 4.5% for fiscal 2026 (, Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings release (8-K))

Price history

About

Home Depot is the largest home improvement retailer in the world, with net sales of $164.7 billion in fiscal 2025. At the end of Q2 fiscal 2026 (August 2, 2026), it operated 2,364 stores in the US, Canada and Mexico, and more than 1,340 SRS locations. It sells tools, building materials, lumber, appliances, garden products and decor in stores and online, and it also offers installation services and tool rental. Its customers are do-it-yourself homeowners and professional contractors (Pros).

Through SRS, which it bought in June 2024, it distributes roofing, pool, landscape and other building products to trade customers. SRS added GMS, a distributor of drywall, ceilings and steel framing, for $5.1 billion in September 2025, and Mingledorff's, an HVAC distributor, for about $1.1 billion in May 2026. Home Depot makes money from the margin on the products it sells, which was 33.7% of sales in Q2 fiscal 2026.

Thesis

Home Depot trades at a discount because its sales depend on a housing market that has not recovered. Few homes change owners, and management said in August 2026 that housing turnover has never been lower as a share of the housing stock. When fewer people move, they start fewer large projects, and larger discretionary projects stayed under pressure in Q2 fiscal 2026. Comparable sales grew only 1.7% in Q2 fiscal 2026, from a higher average ticket, while comparable transactions fell 1.0%.

Most of the sales growth comes from acquisitions (GMS and Mingledorff's), which Home Depot paid for partly with debt. The Q2 gross margin also included $685 million of one-time IEEPA tariff refunds, which management uses to offset higher fuel, energy and product costs over the year. CEO Ted Decker started a temporary medical leave in August 2026, and two senior executives lead the company until he returns. For the gap to close, comparable sales must stay in the guided range of flat to 2% for fiscal 2026, comparable transactions must turn positive, and the 2027 outlook must show growth without the help of tariff refunds.

Decker's return, or a clear plan for the CEO role, also removes a doubt. A fall in mortgage rates that lets housing turnover recover is the strongest trigger, but management saw no sign of it in August 2026. The first test is the Q3 fiscal 2026 report on November 17, 2026. The second test is the Q4 report and the fiscal 2027 guidance, expected in February 2027.

The gap can close over the next two to four quarters if demand holds. The main risk is that housing stays frozen and comparable sales stay near zero.

Checkpoints

  1. Nov 17, 2026Pending
    Q3 fiscal 2026 results: comparable sales and marginComparable sales growth near 2% with transactions that stop falling, and fiscal 2026 guidance kept, pass; negative comparable sales or a cut to guidance fails.
  2. Feb 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 fiscal 2026 results and fiscal 2027 guidanceA fiscal 2027 outlook with positive comparable sales and a stable margin without tariff refunds passes; lower margin guidance or flat sales fail.
  3. Q1 2027 · est.Pending
    CEO leadership: Decker's return or a succession planTed Decker back in his role, or a clear CEO plan from the board, passes; a long leave with no update fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • August 20, 2026Home Depot declared a quarterly dividend of $2.33 per share. It also gave restricted stock to three executives whose roles grew on July 30, 2026, including CFO Richard McPhail, who now coordinates the Pro businesses (Home Depot Pro, HD Supply, SRS and Construction Resources).
  • August 18, 2026Home Depot reported Q2 fiscal 2026 results. Sales were $47.9 billion, up 5.7%. Comparable sales grew 1.7%, and US comparable sales grew 1.3%. The average ticket rose 2.8%, and transactions fell 1.0%. Diluted EPS was $4.79, and adjusted EPS was $4.92, up 5.1%. IEEPA tariff refunds lowered the cost of sales by $685 million. Home Depot kept its fiscal 2026 guidance.
  • August 12, 2026Home Depot said that chair, president and CEO Ted Decker will take a temporary medical leave. The company expects him to return within the next few months. Senior EVP Ann-Marie Campbell oversees daily operations, CFO Richard McPhail oversees finance and the Pro businesses, and lead director Greg Brenneman chairs the board.
Show 2 older events
  • May 19, 2026Home Depot reported Q1 fiscal 2026 results. Sales were $41.8 billion, up 4.8%. Comparable sales grew 0.6%, and US comparable sales grew 0.4%. Adjusted EPS was $3.43, down from $3.56. CEO Ted Decker said that demand was similar to fiscal 2025, despite more consumer uncertainty and housing affordability pressure.
  • May 11, 2026SRS, a Home Depot subsidiary, completed the purchase of Mingledorff's, an HVAC distributor in the southeastern US, for about $1.1 billion in cash.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
August 18, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
November 17, 2026, as the company confirmed.
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Aug 2, 2026Filed · hd-20260802
  • 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · hd-20260820
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
  • 8-KChange of directors or officers and Investor disclosureFiled · hd-20260811
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended May 3, 2026Filed · hd-20260503
  • 8-KChange to shareholder rights or bylaws and Shareholder vote resultsFiled · hd-20260521
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
  • 10-KAnnual report for the period ended Feb 1, 2026Filed · hd-20260201
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Nov 2, 2025Filed · hd-20251102

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 354950)

Risks

  • Housing turnover is at a record low as a share of the housing stock, and management saw no sign of a recovery in August 2026. Higher mortgage rates keep owners in their homes and delay large remodeling projects. Comparable transactions fell 1.0% in Q2 fiscal 2026.
  • The Q2 fiscal 2026 gross margin included $685 million of IEEPA tariff refunds, and management said that almost all expected refunds are now received. Higher fuel, energy and product input costs can lower the margin when the refunds stop.
  • Home Depot spent about $6.2 billion on GMS and Mingledorff's in 2025 and 2026. Distribution has lower margins than retail, and GMS and Mingledorff's lowered the Q2 fiscal 2026 gross margin by about 60 basis points. A slow integration or a fall in construction demand can lower returns.
  • CEO Ted Decker is on temporary medical leave since August 2026, and the company gave no date for his return. A long absence can delay decisions and adds uncertainty about the succession.
  • Debt is about $49.8 billion, and short-term debt and current installments were about $8.6 billion at August 2, 2026. Higher interest rates make refinancing more expensive.

Balance sheet

Cash
$2.1B
Debt
$49.8B
Net debt
$47.7B
Net debt / EBITDA
1.9×
EBITDA $25.3B, last 12 months
Interest cover
9.9×
times profit pays interest
Credit line
$11.0B
undrawn

Cash against debt

Cash$2.1B
Debt$49.8B

debt covered by cashnet debt $47.7B

Leverage: net debt / EBITDA

low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×

When the debt is due

12 months$8.6B
Later$41.2B

Debt is mostly unsecured senior notes of the parent, plus commercial paper. At August 2, 2026, the debt figure excludes $3.1 billion of finance lease liabilities that the balance sheet includes in long-term debt, and it excludes $9.7 billion of operating lease liabilities.

Dividends

Yield at the current rate
2.7% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
Dividend yield
2.6% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $351.31)
Paid per share
$9.29 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$9.32 ($2.33 × 4 a year)
Payout ratio
65% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended February 1, 2026)
Latest ex-dividend date
September 3, 2026, $2.33 per share

Dividends per share by year

Home Depot dividends per share by year
2016
$2.76
2017
$3.56
2018
$4.12
2019
$5.44
2020
$6.00
2021
$6.60
2022
$7.60
2023
$8.36
2024
$9.00
2025
$9.20

From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 8.9% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 14.6% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Home Depot

What does Home Depot do?

Home Depot is the largest home improvement retailer in the world, with net sales of $164.7 billion in fiscal 2025. At the end of Q2 fiscal 2026 (August 2, 2026), it operated 2,364 stores in the US, Canada and Mexico, and more than 1,340 SRS locations. Its market cap is $350B at the current price of $351.31.

When does Home Depot report earnings next?

The company confirmed that it will report on November 17, 2026. It last reported results on August 18, 2026.

Is Home Depot stock below its intrinsic value?

Home Depot stock is pricey. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Home Depot?

The latest update is from August 20, 2026. Home Depot declared a quarterly dividend of $2.33 per share.

What are the main risks for Home Depot?

Housing turnover is at a record low as a share of the housing stock, and management saw no sign of a recovery in August 2026. The Q2 fiscal 2026 gross margin included $685 million of IEEPA tariff refunds, and management said that almost all expected refunds are now received. Home Depot spent about $6.2 billion on GMS and Mingledorff's in 2025 and 2026.

How much debt and cash does Home Depot have?

At August 2, 2026, Home Depot had $49.8B of debt and $2.1B of cash.

Does Home Depot pay a dividend?

Yes. The current annual dividend of Home Depot is $9.32 per share. That is a dividend yield of 2.7% at the current price of $351.31. In the last 12 months, it paid $9.29 per share (2.6%). The latest ex-dividend date was September 3, 2026.

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