By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $16.77
- Analysts view
- Leaning bullish
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Jan 28 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $3.5B
- Shares of Oct 26, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 21.8
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $0.77
- 12 months to Sep 26, 2026
- 52-week range
- $11.24 – $17.42
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 1.14
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 3.6M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
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In short
- Thesis
- The market fears that weak pool spending and tariffs will stop Hayward's price-led growth, and stable volume and margins over the next three to four quarters can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The 2027 guidance in early 2027 and the 2027 pool season show whether volume and margins hold.
Company guidance: Net sales growth of approximately 5% to 6% and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.86 to $0.88 for fiscal 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))
Price history
About
Hayward designs and makes equipment for swimming pools and outdoor living, such as pumps, filters, heaters, cleaners, lights, sanitizers and automation controls, and it also makes industrial flow control products. It estimates its share of the North American residential pool market at about 33%. About 85% of its North American residential pool sales go to the aftermarket, which repairs, replaces and upgrades equipment on existing pools, so most demand repeats each year.
It sells mostly through pool equipment distributors, and it has an Early Buy program that gives customers longer payment terms before the season. Its SmartPad equipment connects pool products to an app. It reports two segments: North America, with $226.4 million of net sales in Q3 2026, and Europe and Rest of World, with $33.8 million.
Thesis
The market doubts that Hayward can keep growing while pool spending is weak. High interest rates and a cautious consumer slow new pool construction and large remodels, and in 2026 most of Hayward's sales growth came from higher prices that offset inflation and tariffs. In Q3 2026, gross margin was 47.9%, and inflation was slightly larger than the price benefit in both segments. Sales in Europe and Rest of World fell 6% in Q3 2026 because of the conflicts in the Middle East.
Investors fear that price increases can not continue, and that volume can fall if consumers cut back. For the gap to close, three things must be true. Hayward must meet its raised 2026 guidance of about 5% to 6% net sales growth and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.86 to $0.88. Volumes must stay stable or grow, which shows that the aftermarket base holds up when prices rise.
Volume grew modestly in Q3 2026, and early buy orders for the 2027 season were ahead of the prior year in North America. Gross margin must stay near 48% to 49% while tariffs remain. Hayward has room to act, because net leverage was 1.5 times on September 26, 2026, and it bought back $115.3 million of shares in the first nine months of 2026. The full-year report with the first 2027 guidance in early 2027 and the 2027 pool season give the evidence.
If sales and margins hold, the gap can close over the next three to four quarters. If the consumer weakens further, the gap can stay until pool construction recovers.
Checkpoints
- Oct 28, 2026PassedQ3 2026 results: volume, price and marginNet sales growth with stable volume, gross margin near 49% and the 2026 guidance kept pass; falling volume or a cut to the guidance fails.Outcome: Net sales grew 6% with modest volume growth, gross margin was 47.9%, and Hayward raised its 2026 guidance to adjusted diluted EPS of $0.86 to $0.88.
- Jan 28, 2027 · est.PendingFull-year 2026 results and 2027 guidanceAdjusted diluted EPS of $0.86 to $0.88 for 2026 and a 2027 outlook with sales and earnings growth pass; a 2027 outlook with lower sales fails.
- Jul 2027 · est.PendingQ2 2027 results: the main pool seasonVolume growth in North America in the main season passes; a second year of growth only from price, with lower volume, fails.
Recent events
- October 28, 2026Hayward reported Q3 2026 results. Net sales were $260.1 million, up 6%, from higher prices and modest volume growth. Gross margin rose 10 basis points to 47.9%. Net income was $32.4 million, up 35%, and adjusted diluted EPS was $0.18, up 29%. North America sales grew 9%, and Europe and Rest of World sales fell 6%. Hayward raised its 2026 guidance to net sales growth of about 5% to 6% and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.86 to $0.88. It said that early buy orders for the 2027 season were ahead of the prior year in North America. In Q3 2026, it bought back about 3.4 million shares for about $51.5 million.
- September 30, 2026Hayward appointed Jared Arrowood, its corporate controller, as Chief Accounting Officer from October 1, 2026. CFO Eifion Jones stays CFO and Treasurer.
- July 29, 2026Hayward reported Q2 2026 results. Net sales were $318.4 million, up 6%, mostly from higher prices. Gross margin fell 50 basis points to 48.7% because of tariffs and inflation. Net income was $45.6 million, and adjusted diluted EPS was $0.26, up 8%. North America sales grew 9%, and Europe and Rest of World sales fell 8%. Hayward kept its 2026 guidance.
Show 3 older eventsHide older events
- June 27, 2026In Q2 2026, Hayward bought back about 4.1 million shares at an average price of $14.24, for about $58.0 million. It also paid the remaining $9.9 million of its securities class action settlement.
- June 23, 2026Hayward refinanced its bank debt. It borrowed $960.0 million of new term loans due June 23, 2033, at term SOFR plus 2.00%, and signed a $425.0 million five-year revolving credit facility. The refinancing extended maturities without more total debt.
- April 29, 2026Hayward reported Q1 2026 results. Net sales were $255.2 million, up 12%, from higher prices and higher volume. Adjusted diluted EPS was $0.13, up 30%. Hayward raised its 2026 guidance to net sales growth of about 5% and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.84 to $0.87.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 28, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about January 28, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 26, 2026Filed · hayw-20260926
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · hayw-20260930
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 27, 2026Filed · hayw-20260627
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KNew material agreement and New debt or financial obligationFiled · hayw-20260623
- 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · hayw-20260521
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 28, 2026Filed · hayw-20260328
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 10-KAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2025Filed · hayw-20251231
Risks
- Demand depends on consumer spending on pools. High interest rates and a weak consumer slow new pool construction and large remodels. In 2026, most of Hayward's sales growth came from higher prices, and volume can fall if consumers cut back.
- Tariffs raise Hayward's costs. Gross margin fell 50 basis points to 48.7% in Q2 2026 because of tariffs and inflation. In Q3 2026, inflation was slightly larger than the price benefit, and gross margin fell slightly in both segments. After the US Supreme Court ruled against the IEEPA tariffs on February 20, 2026, the US announced new tariffs under other laws, and Hayward may have to return part of any tariff refund to customers.
- Sales are seasonal and depend on the weather and on the stock that distributors buy. A cool or wet season, or distributors that cut inventory, can lower sales in a quarter.
- Sales in Europe and Rest of World fell 8% in Q2 2026 and 6% in Q3 2026 because of the conflicts in the Middle East. Shareholder derivative lawsuits about past disclosures are still open, and Hayward can not estimate their cost.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $475M
- Debt
- $965M
- Net debt
- $490M
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.6×
- EBITDA $316M, last 12 months
- Interest cover
- 4.6×
- times profit pays interest
- Credit line
- $422M
- undrawn
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $490M
Leverage: net debt / EBITDA
low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×
When the debt is due
The last debt is due in 2033.
Hayward's debt is mostly a secured term loan of $960.0 million due June 23, 2033, which it refinanced on June 23, 2026, at term SOFR plus 2.00%. At September 26, 2026, debt also included $1.2 million of other bank debt and $3.7 million of finance leases. Interest rate swaps fixed the rate on $600.0 million of the variable rate debt. Of the swaps, $250.0 million end in January 2027, $100.0 million in March 2027 and $250.0 million in March 2028. Cash is $236.3 million of cash and $239.2 million of short-term investments at September 26, 2026. EBITDA is adjusted EBITDA of $316.5 million for the 12 months to September 26, 2026. Net leverage was 1.5 times, its lowest since its 2021 IPO. Interest cover is operating income divided by net interest expense for the first nine months of 2026. Hayward was in compliance with all covenants. The $425.0 million revolving facility runs to about June 2031, and $422.3 million was available under its revolving credit facilities at September 26, 2026. In the first nine months of 2026, Hayward bought back about 7.8 million shares for $115.3 million. It had $330.8 million left under its share repurchase program, which runs to July 28, 2028.
Dividends
Hayward does not pay a dividend.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026.
Questions about Hayward
What does Hayward do?
Hayward designs and makes equipment for swimming pools and outdoor living, such as pumps, filters, heaters, cleaners, lights, sanitizers and automation controls, and it also makes industrial flow control products. It estimates its share of the North American residential pool market at about 33%. Its market cap is $3.5B at the current price of $16.77.
When does Hayward report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Hayward may report on January 28, 2027. It last reported results on October 28, 2026.
Is Hayward stock below its intrinsic value?
Hayward stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Hayward?
The latest update is from October 28, 2026. Hayward reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for Hayward?
Demand depends on consumer spending on pools. Tariffs raise Hayward's costs. Sales are seasonal and depend on the weather and on the stock that distributors buy.
How much debt and cash does Hayward have?
At September 26, 2026, Hayward had $965M of debt and $475M of cash.
Does Hayward pay a dividend?
No. Hayward does not pay a dividend.
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