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Broadcom

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$345.22
Analysts view
Very bullish
Discount category
Far below intrinsic value
Pick status
Top pick
Next earnings
Earnings Dec 10 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$1.6T
Shares of Aug 28, 2026
Yield at current rate
0.8%
Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
Dividend yield
0.8%
Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
P/E (trailing)
44.0
Price of Nov 12, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$7.84
12 months to Aug 2, 2026
52-week range
$289.77 – $495.00
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
1.50
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
25M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
The market doubts that the AI chip business will reach the FY2027 target, and results that stay on track over the next three to five quarters can close the gap.
Gap
Can close. Each quarterly report checks the FY2027 AI chip revenue target, starting with the December 2026 report.

Company guidance: Revenue of approximately $34.8 billion for Q4 fiscal 2026 (, Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings release (8-K))

Price history

About

Broadcom makes two kinds of products. The first is semiconductors. This includes custom AI chips, networking chips, and storage chips. The second is infrastructure software.

This includes VMware, which Broadcom bought in 2023. Broadcom sells its AI chips to large technology companies. These companies use the chips to build AI data centers.

Thesis

Most of Broadcom's value depends on its AI chip business, which is still new. The market doubts this business will grow to the scale management has guided. Anthropic, which Broadcom expects to become its largest AI chip customer in 2027, pays for its chips with leases. Banks and investment firms fund these leases, and Broadcom partly backs them.

Reports say that OpenAI is in talks about a similar plan. This makes part of the demand look less certain than demand paid from a customer's own cash. For the gap to close, Broadcom must show each quarter that its FY2027 AI chip revenue target is on track. Anthropic must also grow its capacity as planned, from 1 gigawatt of Broadcom chips in 2026 to about 5 gigawatts in 2027, and the lenders must complete the financing for these chips.

Broadcom's fiscal Q4 2026 earnings report, expected in December 2026, is the next checkpoint on this target. If the ramp stays on pace, the gap can close over the next three to five quarters. If a large customer slows spending, or the financing stops, the gap could last longer.

Checkpoints

  1. Dec 10, 2026 · est.Pending
    Q4 FY2026 results: AI revenue and FY2027 targetAI chip revenue near the guided $21.7 billion and a confirmed FY2027 AI target of about $115 billion pass; a miss or a lower FY2027 target fails.
  2. Mar 2027 · est.Pending
    Q1 FY2027 results: start of the 2027 AI rampAI revenue that grows from Q4 and keeps the FY2027 path to about $115 billion passes; flat AI revenue or a customer delay fails.
  3. 2027 · est.Pending
    Anthropic TPU deployment grows to about 5 gigawattsDeployments on schedule, lease payments made and no draw on the backstop or convertible notes beyond plan pass; a delay or a lease default fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • October 26, 2026Broadcom said in an 8-K that financial partners took on part of its agreements to buy AI racks built on its custom AI chips, and the related leases to its customer. Broadcom gives residual value support to a new special purpose vehicle. If the customer does not pay, Broadcom pays the difference between 72.5% of the amount owed on the lease and the sale value of the racks. Broadcom said that the maximum is about $43 billion when all racks are in use, and that it expects a payment to be unlikely.
  • October 26, 2026Anthropic filed for its initial public offering. Its S-1 shows TPU equipment leases with Broadcom of about $161.2 billion.
  • October 12, 2026Bloomberg reported that CEO Hock Tan said, at a DBS conference in Singapore, that access to capital, not chips or power, may become the biggest limit on AI growth. He also said that demand for computing still exceeds supply. No official transcript is public, so these words come only from press reports.
Show 10 older events
  • October 7, 2026Bloomberg reported that Broadcom held early talks to arrange about $30 billion of debt to fund AI chips for OpenAI. The Wall Street Journal reported a figure of more than $50 billion. The talks are at an early stage, and no deal was announced.
  • October 2, 2026Bloomberg reported that banks working with Broadcom started to raise about $60 billion of debt to fund AI chips for Anthropic and other customers. Reports said the plan has a $42 billion senior secured part and an $18 billion junior part led by Blackstone. Broadcom partly supports the value of the chips in the senior part. Broadcom declined to comment, and the terms can still change.
  • October 1, 2026Reuters reported that Anthropic's confidential IPO prospectus says Broadcom agreed to lend Anthropic up to $42 billion as convertible notes. This covers about one third of a $125.2 billion five-year TPU lease. Anthropic does not expect to issue these notes before its IPO.
  • September 29, 2026Reuters reported that Anthropic's confidential IPO prospectus lists about $161.2 billion of equipment lease obligations tied to Broadcom. Most of these obligations are non-cancelable. The prospectus lists at least $518 billion of total compute commitments.
  • September 2, 2026Broadcom reported Q3 FY2026 results. Revenue was $29.59 billion, up 86% from last year. AI chip revenue was $16.7 billion, up 221% from last year.
  • September 2, 2026Management guided Q4 FY2026 revenue to about $34.8 billion. About $21.7 billion of this is AI chip revenue.
  • September 2, 2026Management said FY2027 AI chip revenue will be about $115 billion. This is about double the FY2026 number.
  • September 2, 2026Broadcom said Anthropic is on track to become its largest AI chip customer in 2027, and to stay its largest customer in 2028. Broadcom plans to deploy 1 gigawatt of Ironwood chips for Anthropic in 2026, growing to about 5 gigawatts of TPU v8i chips in 2027 and 10 more gigawatts in 2028.
  • July 6, 2026Broadcom and Apple agreed to extend their technology work through 2031. Under new multi-year agreements, Broadcom will develop and supply a range of custom chips for several generations of Apple products.
  • June 3, 2026Broadcom reported Q2 FY2026 results. Revenue was $22.19 billion, up 48% from last year, and AI chip revenue was $10.8 billion, up 143%. Free cash flow was $10.26 billion. Broadcom guided Q3 revenue to about $29.4 billion, with about $16.0 billion of AI chip revenue.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
September 2, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about December 10, 2026. The company has not confirmed the date.

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 1730168)

Risks

  • Most of the intrinsic value depends on one forecast: AI revenue reaching $115 billion in FY2027. A slower ramp would lower the intrinsic value.
  • A small number of customers buy most of the AI chips. Anthropic pays for its chips with leases that lenders fund and Broadcom partly backs, and OpenAI is in talks about a similar plan. This makes their spending less certain than spending from a customer's own cash flow.
  • Broadcom can owe up to about $29 billion under its backstop of one customer's chip leases, up to about $43 billion under a second backstop of AI rack leases that it reported on October 26, 2026, and it can lend the first customer up to $42 billion. A problem at a large AI customer would hurt Broadcom as a supplier, as a guarantor and as a lender.
  • Broadcom competes with Nvidia in AI chips. A shift in market share could change future revenue.

Balance sheet

Cash
$24.0B
Debt
$61.1B
Net debt
$37.1B
Net debt / EBITDA
0.7×
EBITDA $52.3B, last 12 months
Interest cover
15×
times profit pays interest
Credit line
$7.5B
undrawn, to January 2030

Cash against debt

Cash$24.0B
Debt$61.1B

debt covered by cashnet debt $37.1B

Leverage: net debt / EBITDA

low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×

When the debt is due

12 months$2.3B
Later$58.8B

The last debt is due in 2056.

Credit ratings

  • Moody's A3 · positive
  • S&P A- · positive
  • Fitch BBB+ · positive

Broadcom carries debt mainly from its large purchases of software companies, most recently VMware. The balance sheet does not show two new exposures to one AI customer.

Dividends

Yield at the current rate
0.8% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
Dividend yield
0.8% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $345.22)
Paid per share
$2.60 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$2.60 ($0.65 × 4 a year)
Payout ratio
49% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended November 2, 2025)
Latest ex-dividend date
September 21, 2026, $0.65 per share

Dividends per share by year

Broadcom dividends per share by year
2016
$0.252
2017
$0.481
2018
$1.14
2019
$1.12
2020
$1.335
2021
$1.49
2022
$1.69
2023
$1.905
2024
$2.17
2025
$2.42

From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 12.6% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 30.9% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Broadcom

What does Broadcom do?

Broadcom makes two kinds of products. The first is semiconductors. Its market cap is $1.6T at the current price of $345.22.

When does Broadcom report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Broadcom may report on December 10, 2026. It last reported results on September 2, 2026.

Is Broadcom stock below its intrinsic value?

Broadcom stock is far below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Broadcom?

The latest update is from October 26, 2026. Broadcom said in an 8-K that financial partners took on part of its agreements to buy AI racks built on its custom AI chips, and the related leases to its customer.

What are the main risks for Broadcom?

Most of the intrinsic value depends on one forecast: AI revenue reaching $115 billion in FY2027. A small number of customers buy most of the AI chips. Broadcom can owe up to about $29 billion under its backstop of one customer's chip leases, up to about $43 billion under a second backstop of AI rack leases that it reported on October 26, 2026, and it can lend the first customer up to $42 billion.

How much debt and cash does Broadcom have?

At August 2, 2026, Broadcom had $61.1B of debt and $24.0B of cash.

Does Broadcom pay a dividend?

Yes. The current annual dividend of Broadcom is $2.60 per share. That is a dividend yield of 0.8% at the current price of $345.22. The latest ex-dividend date was September 21, 2026.

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