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TCOMOnline travel

Trip.com Group

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

Price
$43.61
Analysts view
Bullish
Discount category
Well below intrinsic value
Pick status
Top pick
Next earnings
Earnings Nov 17 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$28B
Shares of Dec 31, 2025
52-week range
$37.58 – $78.99
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
0.00
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
3.2M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
The market fears that China's antitrust rules cut Trip.com's hotel commissions, and steady domestic growth with fast international growth over 2027 can close the gap slowly.
Gap
Slow. The SAMR case is closed, but the effect of the new hotel rules shows only over several quarters, and country risk stays.

Price history

About

Trip.com Group is a large online travel company. It runs Ctrip in China and Trip.com outside China, and also Skyscanner and Qunar. Travelers book hotels, flights, train tickets, packaged tours and corporate travel on its apps and websites. Trip.com Group earns commissions and fees from hotels, airlines and other partners.

In Q2 2026, net revenue was RMB15.7 billion, of which accommodation reservation gave RMB6.6 billion and transportation ticketing gave RMB5.4 billion. Revenue on its international platform grew more than 50% from a year earlier. Its American Depositary Shares trade on the Nasdaq, and its shares also trade in Hong Kong. Each ADS is one ordinary share.

Thesis

The market prices Trip.com for regulatory risk in China. On January 14, 2026, China's market regulator, the SAMR, opened an antitrust investigation, and the stock fell sharply. On July 25, 2026, the SAMR found that Trip.com had abused its dominant position in online hotel booking, with exclusive deals and lowest-price rules for hotels. It fined Trip.com and took its gains, RMB5.2 billion in total, and ordered it to end these practices.

Investors now fear that the new, more open hotel framework lowers Trip.com's commissions and growth in China. Regulators also opened probes into four other travel platforms in September 2026, so the rules for the whole industry can change. High fuel prices and conflict in the Middle East also cut long-haul flights. For the gap to close, three things must be true.

Domestic hotel revenue must keep growing under the new framework, after the 8% growth of Q2 2026 without the penalty item. International platform revenue must keep growing fast, above 30%, as it becomes a larger part of revenue. No new penalty or rule must cut its take rate in China. The first test is the Q3 2026 report, expected in about mid-November 2026, and the Q4 report in about February 2027 shows a full quarter under the new rules.

The gap can close slowly over 2027, but country risk in China can keep part of it open.

Checkpoints

  1. Nov 17, 2026 · est.Pending
    Q3 2026 results: China hotels under the new rulesAccommodation revenue that still grows from a year earlier and international revenue growth above 30% pass; a fall in accommodation revenue or a lower margin from lower commissions fails.
  2. Q4 2026 · est.Due this quarter
    Outcome of the probes into other travel platformsProbes that end with no new industry rule that lowers commissions pass; new rules that cap commissions or rankings for all platforms fail.
  3. Feb 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 results: a full quarter under the new frameworkDomestic revenue growth and a stable adjusted EBITDA margin pass; falling domestic revenue fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • September 19, 2026Beijing regulators opened investigations into four other online travel and hotel booking platforms, including units of Tongcheng and Meituan, over practices that can hurt competition and merchants. The probes follow a broader review of the online travel sector.
  • September 15, 2026Trip.com reported Q2 2026 results. Net revenue rose 6% to RMB15.7 billion, and international platform revenue rose more than 50%. The SAMR penalty of RMB5.2 billion led to a net loss of RMB2.4 billion, and adjusted EBITDA fell to RMB4.6 billion from RMB4.9 billion. Management expects short-term volatility in China as hotel partners move to the new framework.
  • July 25, 2026The SAMR fined Trip.com RMB3,521 million, 7.5% of its 2025 China revenue, took RMB1,658 million of gains and ordered a refund of RMB122 million of hotel deposits. It found that Trip.com used exclusive arrangements and unreasonable terms against hotels. Trip.com accepted the decision.
Show 3 older events
  • June 30, 2026Trip.com held its annual general meeting, and shareholders approved all resolutions.
  • June 24, 2026Trip.com reported Q1 2026 results, later than usual while the SAMR investigation continued. In the following days, the ADS price fell toward its lowest level since August 2024.
  • April 30, 2026Law firms announced US securities class actions that allege that Trip.com did not disclose the antitrust risk before the SAMR investigation.

Latest news and filings

Next earnings
Expected about November 17, 2026. The company has not confirmed the date.
  • 20-FAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2025Filed · Read it on sec.gov
  • 20-FAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2024Filed · Read it on sec.gov

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 1269238)

Risks

  • Regulation in China can lower Trip.com's commissions. The SAMR ended its exclusive deals and lowest-price rules with hotels in July 2026, and regulators investigate other travel platforms. More rules can cut the take rate and domestic profit.
  • Competition in China is strong. Platforms such as Meituan and Tongcheng also sell hotels and travel, and hotels now have more freedom to use other channels.
  • Travel demand depends on the economy and on events. High fuel prices, conflict in the Middle East and storms cut long-haul flights in 2026, and transportation ticketing revenue fell 1% in Q2 2026.
  • Trip.com is a Chinese company with US-listed ADSs. Tension between the US and China can affect the listing, and investors pay less for Chinese companies.
  • US securities class actions allege that Trip.com did not disclose the antitrust risk. Sales and marketing costs also rise as Trip.com grows outside China, up 15% in Q2 2026.

Balance sheet

Cash
CN¥100.5B
Debt
CN¥26.4B
Net cash
CN¥74.1B

Cash against debt

CashCN¥100.5B
DebtCN¥26.4B

debt covered by cash

When the debt is due

12 monthsCN¥25.8B
LaterCN¥630M

Trip.com has more cash than debt. At June 30, 2026, cash, restricted cash, short-term investments, held-to-maturity time deposits and financial products were RMB100.5 billion.

Dividends

Paid per share
$0.00 in the last 12 months (0 payments)
Latest ex-dividend date
March 17, 2025, $0.30 per share

Dividends per share by year

Trip.com Group dividends per share by year
2016
$0.00
2017
$0.00
2018
$0.00
2019
$0.00
2020
$0.00
2021
$0.00
2022
$0.00
2023
$0.00
2024
$0.00
2025
$0.30

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Trip.com Group

What does Trip.com Group do?

Trip.com Group is a large online travel company. It runs Ctrip in China and Trip.com outside China, and also Skyscanner and Qunar. Its market cap is $28B at the current price of $43.61.

When does Trip.com Group report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Trip.com Group may report on November 17, 2026. It last reported results on September 15, 2026.

Is Trip.com Group stock below its intrinsic value?

Trip.com Group stock is well below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Trip.com Group?

The latest update is from September 19, 2026. Beijing regulators opened investigations into four other online travel and hotel booking platforms, including units of Tongcheng and Meituan, over practices that can hurt competition and merchants.

What are the main risks for Trip.com Group?

Regulation in China can lower Trip.com's commissions. Competition in China is strong. Travel demand depends on the economy and on events.

How much debt and cash does Trip.com Group have?

At June 30, 2026, Trip.com Group had CN¥26.4B of debt and CN¥100.5B of cash.

Does Trip.com Group pay a dividend?

Yes. Trip.com Group paid $0.00 per share in the last 12 months. The latest ex-dividend date was March 17, 2025.

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