PUKLife & health insurance
Prudential plc
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $25.75
- Analysts view
- Very bullish
- Discount category
- Below intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Top pick
- Next earnings
- Earnings Mar 18 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $33B
- Shares of Dec 31, 2025
- Yield at current rate
- 2.2%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 2.2%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- 52-week range
- $23.31 – $34.03
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.71
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 1.2M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market fears that Chinese rules will cut the Hong Kong and Mainland sales of Prudential, and double-digit growth in 2026 with steady visitor demand can close most of the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The Q3 2026 update, estimated for early November, and the FY 2026 results in March 2027 show whether Hong Kong and Chinese Mainland sales hold under the new rules.
Company guidance: Double-digit growth in new business profit and Adjusted EPS for FY26, now more stretching for new business profit (, Q3 2026 business performance update (6-K))
Price history
About
Prudential plc is a life and health insurer and asset manager based in Hong Kong. Its shares trade in Hong Kong and London, and its ADRs trade in New York, where each ADR represents two shares. It sells savings, health and protection insurance in Asia and Africa, including Hong Kong, the Chinese Mainland (through a joint venture), Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia and India.
Its asset manager, Eastspring, had $290.8 billion of funds under management or advice at June 30, 2026. Prudential plc has no link to Prudential Financial in the United States.
Thesis
The market prices Prudential for risk in its markets in Greater China. In the Chinese Mainland, new rules that control bancassurance expenses lowered new business profit, and in November 2026 Prudential said that new business profit there in 2026 will fall by 10% to 15% from 2025. In Q3 2026, group new business profit grew only 1% and APE sales fell 6%, and Prudential said that its 2026 group guidance is now more stretching. In Hong Kong, about half of sales go to international customers, a group that includes visitors from the Chinese Mainland.
Prudential says that it is too early to know whether recent commentary about the enforcement of existing rules will change how these visitors buy. IFRS profit after tax also fell 27% in the first half of 2026. For the gap to close, Prudential must deliver its 2026 guidance of double-digit growth in new business profit, operating free surplus and adjusted EPS. It must also reach its 2027 objectives: new business profit growth of 15% to 20% a year from 2022 to 2027 and at least $4.4 billion of operating free surplus in 2027.
The full-year 2026 results, estimated for about March 18, 2027, are the next test. If sales to visitors from the Chinese Mainland hold, the gap can close over the next four to six quarters. Part of the gap may stay, because the market can keep a discount for China policy risk that Prudential cannot control.
Checkpoints
- Nov 5, 2026FailedQ3 2026 update: Hong Kong salesNew business profit growth that keeps the double-digit 2026 guidance passes; a fall in Hong Kong sales to visitors from the Chinese Mainland fails.Outcome: New business profit grew only 1% in Q3 2026, and Prudential said that its double-digit 2026 guidance is now more stretching.
- Mar 18, 2027 · est.PendingFull-year 2026 resultsDouble-digit growth in new business profit, operating free surplus and adjusted EPS in 2026 passes; growth below 10% fails.
Recent events
- November 5, 2026In its Q3 2026 update, Prudential reported new business profit of $709 million, up 1% at constant exchange rates, with a margin of 44%. APE sales fell 6%. Without the Chinese Mainland, new business profit grew 13%. For the first nine months, new business profit grew 6% to $2,093 million. Prudential now expects Chinese Mainland new business profit for 2026 to be 10% to 15% below 2025, and it said that its 2026 group guidance for new business profit is now more stretching. Hong Kong new business profit grew by double digits in Q3, but fewer visitors from the Chinese Mainland converted into sales.
- October 26, 2026Naveed Irshad joined Prudential as a regional chief executive.
- August 27, 2026Prudential reported first-half 2026 results. New business profit grew 8% at constant exchange rates to $1,384 million, with a margin of 40%. Operating free surplus from in-force business grew 15% to $1,791 million, and adjusted EPS grew 17% to 58.4 cents. IFRS profit after tax fell 27% to $995 million. The interim dividend rose 15% to 8.88 cents per share.
Show 3 older eventsHide older events
- August 27, 2026Prudential added about $0.3 billion to its $1.2 billion share buyback for 2026, to be completed by December 18, 2026. It said that Hong Kong and Chinese Mainland sales face high comparisons in July and August, and that new bancassurance rules in the Chinese Mainland hold new business profit there flat for 2026.
- April 29, 2026In its Q1 2026 update, Prudential reported new business profit of $686 million, up 10% from a year earlier, with growth in all segments.
- January 6, 2026Prudential started a $1.2 billion share buyback program for 2026. In January 2026, it also raised its holding in its Malaysia conventional insurance business to 70%, and in May 2026 it agreed to buy 75% of Bharti Life Insurance in India.
Latest news and filings
- Next earnings
- Expected about March 18, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 20-FAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2025Filed · puk-20251231
- 20-FAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2024Filed · puk-20241231x20f
Risks
- About half of Hong Kong sales go to international customers, including visitors from the Chinese Mainland. Stricter enforcement of rules on such purchases can lower sales and new business profit.
- New bancassurance expense rules in the Chinese Mainland lowered new business profit in 2026, and Prudential expects new business profit there to fall 10% to 15% in 2026. More rule changes can hold growth down for longer.
- Interest rates and financial markets affect IFRS profit, the value of new business and free surplus. IFRS profit after tax fell 27% in the first half of 2026.
- The purchase of 75% of Bharti Life and the new health business in India need regulatory approvals and can require Prudential to reduce its stake in ICICI Prudential Life.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $3.7B
- Debt
- $4.4B
- Net debt
- $751M
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $751M
Prudential holds most of its debt at the holding company. At June 30, 2026, core structural borrowings of the shareholder-financed businesses were $4.45 billion, and holding company cash and short-term investments were $3.70 billion, so net core borrowings were $751 million. Central cash fell from $4.28 billion at the end of 2025 because Prudential paid for share buybacks and other corporate activities. The leverage ratio on Moody's basis was 14%. Capital is strong: the shareholder GWS coverage ratio was 268%, and the free surplus ratio was 209%. Interest on central core borrowings was $96 million in the first half of 2026. Prudential returned $1.0 billion to shareholders in the first half of 2026.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 2.2% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 2.2% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $25.75)
- Paid per share
- $0.556 in the last 12 months (2 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $0.556 (the last two payments)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- September 11, 2026, $0.178 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $1.3424 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $1.0873 | |
| 2018 | $1.2735 | |
| 2019 | $1.2522 | |
| 2020 | $0.6072 | |
| 2021 | $0.3123 | |
| 2022 | $0.352 | |
| 2023 | $0.386 | |
| 2024 | $0.421 | |
| 2025 | $0.48 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend fell by about 4.6% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend fell by about 8.1% a year.
One-off payments far above the usual dividend are left out of these numbers.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Prudential plc
What does Prudential plc do?
Prudential plc is a life and health insurer and asset manager based in Hong Kong. Its shares trade in Hong Kong and London, and its ADRs trade in New York, where each ADR represents two shares. Its market cap is $33B at the current price of $25.75.
When does Prudential plc report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Prudential plc may report on March 18, 2027. It last reported results on August 27, 2026.
Is Prudential plc stock below its intrinsic value?
Prudential plc stock is below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Prudential plc?
The latest update is from November 5, 2026. In its Q3 2026 update, Prudential reported new business profit of $709 million, up 1% at constant exchange rates, with a margin of 44%.
What are the main risks for Prudential plc?
About half of Hong Kong sales go to international customers, including visitors from the Chinese Mainland. New bancassurance expense rules in the Chinese Mainland lowered new business profit in 2026, and Prudential expects new business profit there to fall 10% to 15% in 2026. Interest rates and financial markets affect IFRS profit, the value of new business and free surplus.
How much debt and cash does Prudential plc have?
At June 30, 2026, Prudential plc had $4.4B of debt and $3.7B of cash.
Does Prudential plc pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of Prudential plc is $0.556 per share. That is a dividend yield of 2.2% at the current price of $25.75. The latest ex-dividend date was September 11, 2026.
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