SYFConsumer credit cards and financing
Synchrony Financial
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $72.02
- Analysts view
- Leaning bullish
- Discount category
- Below intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Jan 20 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $22B
- Shares of Oct 16, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 1.9%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 1.8%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 7.5
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $9.58
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $63.08 – $88.77
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 1.40
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 3.6M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market prices Synchrony for the risk of higher card loan losses and its dependence on a few large partners, and stable credit with faster loan growth over three to five quarters can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The Q4 2026 report and the 2027 outlook in January 2027 show whether card loan losses stay low as loan growth speeds up.
Company guidance: Earnings per diluted share of ~$9.50 for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings presentation (8-K Ex. 99.3))
Price history
About
Synchrony Financial is a US consumer financing company based in Stamford, Connecticut. It issues private label and co-branded credit cards, installment loans and pay later products through partners, and it funds itself mostly with deposits at Synchrony Bank. It has five sales platforms: Home & Auto, Digital, Diversified & Value, Health & Wellness (including CareCredit) and Lifestyle. Its five largest programs in 2025 were Amazon, Lowe's, PayPal, Sam's Club and TJX, which together gave 54% of its interest and fees on loans.
In September 2025, it launched a credit card program at Walmart with OnePay. At September 30, 2026, loan receivables were $103.3 billion and deposits were $83.0 billion. Most of its income is interest on card balances, less credit losses and payments to partners under retailer share arrangements.
Thesis
The market prices Synchrony for the risk of higher credit losses on its card loans to consumers and for its dependence on a few large partners. Its customers include many lower-income and middle-income households, so a weaker job market can raise loan losses quickly. Five partners gave 54% of its interest and fees on loans in 2025, and the loss of one large program would lower earnings. Recent credit results are good: in Q3 2026, the net charge-off rate fell to 4.79% and purchase volume rose 8% to $49.7 billion.
But diluted EPS fell to $2.68 from $2.86 a year earlier, because expenses and payments to partners rose and a reserve release did not repeat. For the gap to close, three things must be true. The net charge-off rate must stay near or below its long-term target range as loan growth speeds up. Loan receivables must grow faster than the 3% of Q3 2026 with the new Walmart and Lowe's programs, in line with the mid-single-digit growth that Synchrony expects for 2026.
The CET1 ratio, which fell to 12.9% after $1.1 billion of buybacks in Q3 2026, must still support steady buybacks. The Q4 report and the 2027 outlook in January 2027 are the next test. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next three to five quarters. The main reason it may not close is a rise in unemployment, which would raise loan losses.
Checkpoints
- Oct 20, 2026FailedQ3 2026 earnings: credit and loan growthA stable or lower net charge-off rate and faster loan receivables growth pass; a rise in delinquencies or a reserve build fails.Outcome: The net charge-off rate fell to 4.79% and loan growth rose to 3%, but Synchrony built its reserve by $30 million, which this test counts as a fail, although the allowance fell to 10.01% of loans.
- Jan 20, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 results and the 2027 outlookA 2027 outlook with loan growth and net charge-offs within the long-term target range passes; guidance for higher losses fails.
Recent events
- October 20, 2026Synchrony reported Q3 2026 results. Net earnings were $892 million, or $2.68 per diluted share, compared with $2.86 a year earlier. Purchase volume rose 8% to $49.7 billion and loan receivables rose 3% to $103.3 billion. The net charge-off rate fell to 4.79% from 5.16%, and loans 30 or more days past due were 4.34%. The net interest margin fell to 15.50%, and other expense rose 10%. Synchrony returned $1.2 billion to shareholders, including $1.1 billion of buybacks. For 2026, it now expects EPS of about $9.50, mid-single-digit loan growth and a net charge-off rate below 5.5%.
- September 22, 2026Synchrony said that it will report Q3 2026 results on October 20, 2026.
- July 31, 2026Synchrony issued $600 million of 5.450% fixed-to-floating rate senior notes due 2030 and $500 million of 6.276% fixed-to-floating rate senior notes due 2037.
Show 3 older eventsHide older events
- July 21, 2026Synchrony reported Q2 2026 results. Net earnings were $885 million, or $2.59 per diluted share, compared with $2.50 a year earlier. Purchase volume rose 8% to a record $49.8 billion and loan receivables rose 2% to $102.2 billion. The net charge-off rate fell to 5.43% and loans 30 or more days past due were 4.16%. The net interest margin rose to 15.08%. Synchrony returned $950 million to shareholders, including $850 million of buybacks.
- June 29, 2026Synchrony named Carol Juel CEO of its Digital platform, after Bart Schaller announced plans to retire. It also made other changes in its technology and operations leadership.
- June 5, 2026Synchrony issued $500 million of 7.250% Series C fixed rate reset preferred stock.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 20, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about January 20, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · syf-20261110
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · syf-20260930
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · syf-20261020
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · syf-20260914
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · syf-20260630
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · syf-20260721
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
Risks
- Most of Synchrony's loans are unsecured card balances to consumers. Higher unemployment or high inflation can raise delinquencies and loan losses. Loans 30 or more days past due were 4.34% at September 30, 2026.
- Five programs gave 54% of interest and fees on loans in 2025. If a large partner ends or changes its program, or asks for a larger share of income, earnings can fall.
- Synchrony is a regulated bank holding company. New rules on card fees, interest rates or capital can lower its income or limit buybacks.
- Large banks, card networks and pay later companies compete for the same partners and customers.
Balance sheet
Synchrony funds itself mostly with deposits. At September 30, 2026, total assets were $122.5 billion and deposits were $83.0 billion, 83% of its funding. Borrowings were $17.0 billion: $8.9 billion of securitized financings and $8.1 billion of senior and subordinated unsecured notes. Cash and equivalents were $15.9 billion, and total liquid assets were $19.5 billion, or 15.9% of total assets. Loan receivables were $103.3 billion, with an allowance for credit losses of $10.3 billion, or 10.01% of loans. Total equity was $16.6 billion. The estimated CET1 ratio was 12.9%, down from 13.2% at June 30, 2026, and the Tier 1 capital ratio was 14.5%. Book value per share was $47.64 and tangible book value per share was $42.79. The remaining share buyback authorization was about $4.6 billion.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 1.9% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 1.8% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $72.02)
- Paid per share
- $1.28 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $1.36 ($0.34 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 12% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- November 5, 2026, $0.34 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $0.26 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $0.56 | |
| 2018 | $0.72 | |
| 2019 | $0.86 | |
| 2020 | $0.88 | |
| 2021 | $0.88 | |
| 2022 | $0.90 | |
| 2023 | $0.96 | |
| 2024 | $1.00 | |
| 2025 | $1.15 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 5.5% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Synchrony Financial
What does Synchrony Financial do?
Synchrony Financial is a US consumer financing company based in Stamford, Connecticut. It issues private label and co-branded credit cards, installment loans and pay later products through partners, and it funds itself mostly with deposits at Synchrony Bank. Its market cap is $22B at the current price of $72.02.
When does Synchrony Financial report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Synchrony Financial may report on January 20, 2027. It last reported results on October 20, 2026.
Is Synchrony Financial stock below its intrinsic value?
Synchrony Financial stock is below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Synchrony Financial?
The latest update is from October 20, 2026. Synchrony reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for Synchrony Financial?
Most of Synchrony's loans are unsecured card balances to consumers. Five programs gave 54% of interest and fees on loans in 2025. Synchrony is a regulated bank holding company.
How much debt and cash does Synchrony Financial have?
Synchrony funds itself mostly with deposits. This is as of September 30, 2026.
Does Synchrony Financial pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of Synchrony Financial is $1.36 per share. That is a dividend yield of 1.9% at the current price of $72.02. In the last 12 months, it paid $1.28 per share (1.8%). The latest ex-dividend date was November 5, 2026.
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