RCI.BTelecommunications
Rogers Communications
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- CA$47.05
- Analysts view
- Leaning bullish
- Discount category
- Well below intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Jan 23 · · estimated
- Market cap
- CA$25B
- Shares of Dec 31, 2025
- Yield at current rate
- 4.3%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 4.3%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- 52-week range
- CA$41.76 – CA$56.27
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.46
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 2.3M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market prices Rogers for high debt, a wireless price war and the cost of buying all of MLSE, and higher free cash flow with a Rogers Sports stake sale that cuts debt can close the gap.
- Gap
- Slow. The gap closes only as free cash flow and a sale of a minority interest in Rogers Sports cut debt, which takes several quarters and depends on Canadian wireless competition.
Company guidance: Total service revenue up 3% to 5% and free cash flow of CA$4,100 to CA$4,300 million for 2026 (, Q1 2026 earnings release (6-K Ex. 99.3), reaffirmed Oct 23, 2026)
Price history
About
Rogers Communications is one of the largest communications companies in Canada. It reports three segments: Wireless, Cable and Media. Wireless sells mobile phone and data plans under the Rogers, Fido and chatr brands and had 11.05 million postpaid mobile phone subscribers at September 30, 2026. Cable sells Internet, TV and home phone services, mostly in Ontario and in western Canada after the purchase of Shaw Communications in April 2023.
Media owns Sportsnet, other TV and radio stations, the Toronto Blue Jays and Rogers Centre, and Maple Leaf Sports & Entertainment (MLSE), which owns the Toronto Maple Leafs, the Toronto Raptors and Scotiabank Arena. Rogers became the 100% owner of MLSE on October 1, 2026. Revenue was C$16.5 billion in the first nine months of 2026. The Rogers family controls the company through the Class A voting shares, and the Class B shares (RCI.B) have no vote.
Thesis
The market prices Rogers for high debt, strong price competition in Canadian wireless and the cost of its sports purchases. Mobile phone ARPU fell to C$55.22 in Q3 2026 from C$56.70 a year earlier, and wireless service revenue fell 1%. In April 2026, Rogers cut its capital spending plan because of competition and recent regulatory decisions. It paid C$4.35 billion in cash on October 1, 2026, for the last 25% of MLSE, funded with credit facilities, which adds to debt that was already 3.7 times adjusted EBITDA at September 30, 2026, on the company's measure.
For the gap to close, three things must be true. Rogers must meet its 2026 guidance of 1% to 3% adjusted EBITDA growth and free cash flow of C$4.1 billion to C$4.3 billion, as lower capital spending lifts cash flow. It reaffirmed this guidance in October 2026, with free cash flow of C$3.13 billion in the first nine months. It must sell a minority interest in the new Rogers Sports unit at a value that cuts debt, as it plans by the first half of 2027.
Wireless prices must become stable, so that service revenue grows again. The full-year report and the 2027 guidance in late January 2027, and news of the Rogers Sports sale, give the next tests. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next four to eight quarters. The main reason it may not close is a longer price war among Canadian carriers, which keeps wireless revenue flat.
Checkpoints
- Oct 23, 2026FailedQ3 2026 results: free cash flow and wirelessFree cash flow growth on lower capital spending, the 2026 guidance kept and stable mobile phone ARPU pass; a cut to guidance or a further large fall in ARPU fails.Outcome: Free cash flow rose 65% and Rogers kept its 2026 guidance, but mobile phone ARPU fell 2.6%, a larger fall than in Q2 2026, and wireless service revenue fell 1%.
- Jan 23, 2027 · est.PendingFull-year 2026 results and 2027 guidanceFree cash flow of C$4.1 billion to C$4.3 billion for 2026 and a 2027 plan that lowers leverage pass; a miss or a plan with higher leverage fails.
- Q2 2027 · est.PendingSale of a minority interest in Rogers SportsA signed sale by the end of June 2027 at a value that cuts the debt leverage ratio passes; no sale by then or a sale at a low value fails.
Recent events
- October 23, 2026Rogers reported Q3 2026 results. Total service revenue and adjusted EBITDA both rose 1%, to C$4.78 billion and C$2.54 billion. Free cash flow was a record C$1.37 billion, up 65%, as capital spending fell 46% to C$524 million. Wireless service revenue fell 1% because mobile phone ARPU fell to C$55.22 from C$56.70, partly because of a CRTC decision that bans certain fees. Postpaid mobile phone net additions were 6,000 and churn was 1.03%. The debt leverage ratio fell to 3.7 times. Rogers reaffirmed its 2026 guidance and said that it plans to sell a minority interest in Rogers Sports by the first half of 2027.
- October 1, 2026Rogers completed the purchase of the remaining 25% of MLSE from Kilmer Sports for C$4.35 billion and now owns 100% of MLSE. It is creating a new unit, Rogers Sports, with MLSE, the Toronto Blue Jays and its sports media businesses.
- September 9, 2026Rogers priced an offering of US$1 billion of subordinated notes due 2057, at 7.150% and 7.400%, and a C$600 million private placement of 6.000% subordinated notes due 2057. The offerings were expected to close on September 23, 2026. Rogers will use the money to redeem or buy back its 5.00% subordinated notes due 2081 and 5.25% subordinated notes due 2082.
Show 3 older eventsHide older events
- July 22, 2026Rogers reported Q2 2026 results. Total service revenue rose 8%, mostly because of MLSE, and adjusted EBITDA rose 3% to C$2.44 billion. Free cash flow was C$982 million, up 6%, as capital spending fell 16% to C$695 million. Postpaid mobile phone net additions were 22,000 and churn was 0.94%. A non-cash loss of C$1.03 billion on the MLSE put liability caused a net loss of C$665 million. Rogers kept its 2026 guidance.
- July 6, 2026Rogers agreed to buy the remaining 25% of MLSE from Kilmer Sports for C$4.35 billion in cash.
- April 22, 2026Rogers reported Q1 2026 results and updated its 2026 guidance because of strong competition and recent regulatory decisions. The new ranges are capital spending of C$2.5 billion to C$2.7 billion and free cash flow of C$4.1 billion to C$4.3 billion, with service revenue growth of 3% to 5% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 1% to 3%.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 23, 2026
- Next earnings
- Expected about January 23, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 40-FAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2025Filed · rci-20251231
- 40-FAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2024Filed · rci-20241231
Risks
- Debt is high. Long-term debt and short-term borrowings were about C$43.9 billion before costs at September 30, 2026, and the C$4.35 billion MLSE purchase added more in October 2026. S&P rates the senior debt BBB- with a negative outlook. A downgrade below investment grade raises borrowing costs.
- Price competition among Canadian carriers lowers wireless prices. Mobile phone ARPU fell 2.6% in Q3 2026, and wireless service revenue fell 1%. A longer price war keeps wireless earnings flat.
- Rogers plans to sell a minority interest in Rogers Sports to cut debt. The sale needs league approvals and may not happen at the expected value or time. Sports teams also have high and rising player costs.
- Regulatory decisions in Canada can lower returns on network investment. Rogers cut capital spending in 2026 partly because of these decisions. A CRTC decision that bans certain fees lowered wireless service revenue in Q3 2026.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- CA$3.2B
- Debt
- CA$43.9B
- Net debt
- CA$40.7B
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 4.1×
- EBITDA CA$10.0B, last 12 months
- Credit line
- CA$5.1B
- undrawn
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt CA$40.7B
Leverage: net debt / EBITDA
low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×
When the debt is due
Credit ratings
- S&P BBB- · negative
- Moody's Baa3 · stable
Rogers funds itself with senior notes, subordinated notes, bank credit facilities, a receivables securitization program and commercial paper. At September 30, 2026, long-term debt was C$42.6 billion before costs, including C$4.36 billion due within one year, and short-term borrowings were C$1.32 billion. Cash was C$3.15 billion. Cash includes C$2.0 billion of net proceeds from the subordinated notes issued in September 2026, which Rogers plans to use to redeem its C$2.0 billion subordinated notes due 2081 in December 2026. The company's debt leverage ratio was 3.7 times trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA of C$10.03 billion, down from 3.8 at June 30, 2026, and 4.0 at December 31, 2025. This ratio counts only 50% of most subordinated notes, includes leases and uses the hedged rate for U.S. dollar debt, so it is lower than plain net debt to EBITDA. Available liquidity was C$8.3 billion, including C$5.1 billion under bank and other credit facilities. The weighted average cost of borrowings was 5.02%, and the weighted average term was 8.3 years. On October 1, 2026, Rogers drew C$4.35 billion of new credit facilities to pay for the rest of MLSE, so debt is now higher.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 4.3% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 4.3% (last 12 months, at today’s price of CA$47.05)
- Paid per share
- CA$2.00 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- CA$2.00 (CA$0.50 × 4 a year)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- September 8, 2026, CA$0.50 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | CA$1.92 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | CA$1.92 | |
| 2018 | CA$1.92 | |
| 2019 | CA$2.00 | |
| 2020 | CA$2.00 | |
| 2021 | CA$2.00 | |
| 2022 | CA$2.00 | |
| 2023 | CA$2.00 | |
| 2024 | CA$2.00 | |
| 2025 | CA$2.00 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 0.0% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 0.4% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Rogers Communications
What does Rogers Communications do?
Rogers Communications is one of the largest communications companies in Canada. It reports three segments: Wireless, Cable and Media. Its market cap is CA$25B at the current price of CA$47.05.
When does Rogers Communications report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Rogers Communications may report on January 23, 2027. It last reported results on October 23, 2026.
Is Rogers Communications stock below its intrinsic value?
Rogers Communications stock is well below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Rogers Communications?
The latest update is from October 23, 2026. Rogers reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for Rogers Communications?
Debt is high. Price competition among Canadian carriers lowers wireless prices. Rogers plans to sell a minority interest in Rogers Sports to cut debt.
How much debt and cash does Rogers Communications have?
At September 30, 2026, Rogers Communications had CA$43.9B of debt and CA$3.2B of cash.
Does Rogers Communications pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of Rogers Communications is CA$2.00 per share. That is a dividend yield of 4.3% at the current price of CA$47.05. The latest ex-dividend date was September 8, 2026.
Similar companies
- PCGPG&EShares: Regulation and courts, High debt
- Intrinsic value
- Far below intrinsic value
- Gap
- Will probably not close
- HONAHoneywell AerospaceShares: High debt, Regulation and courts
- Intrinsic value
- Far below intrinsic value
- Gap
- Can close
- BABoeingShares: High debt, Regulation and courts
- Intrinsic value
- Below intrinsic value
- Gap
- Slow
- FICOFICOShares: Regulation and courts, High debt
- Intrinsic value
- Close to intrinsic value
- Gap
- Slow
- GSKGSKShares: Regulation and courts, High debt
- Intrinsic value
- Below intrinsic value
- Gap
- Slow
Loading your notes…
Read it all? Star RCI.B or pass, then go on to the next one.