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BAAerospace & defense

Boeing

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$174.54
Analysts view
Very bullish
Discount category
Below intrinsic value
Pick status
Top pick
Next earnings
Earnings Jan 27 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$138B
Shares of Oct 20, 2026
P/E (trailing)
18.0
Price of Nov 12, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$9.69
12 months to Sep 30, 2026
52-week range
$165.01 – $254.35
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
1.33
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
8.2M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
The market doubts that Boeing can raise production and turn its record backlog into cash on time, and steady 737 rates, the 777-9 certification and positive cash flow can close the gap over several years.
Gap
Slow. The gap closes only as deliveries and cash flow grow over several years, and each step depends on FAA approvals.

Price history

About

Boeing designs and builds commercial airplanes, military aircraft, satellites, and weapons, and it gives services to airlines and governments. It reports three segments. Commercial Airplanes builds the 737, 767, 777, and 787 and gave $21.0 billion of its $46.8 billion of revenue in the first half of 2026. Defense, Space & Security builds aircraft such as the KC-46 tanker, the T-7A trainer, and the MQ-25 drone, mostly for the US government.

Global Services sells parts, maintenance, training, and data services, and it is the most profitable segment, with an operating margin of 18.3% in Q3 2026. Boeing gets most of the cash for an airplane when it delivers it, so the number of deliveries drives its cash flow. At September 30, 2026, its backlog was a record $745 billion, with more than 6,300 commercial airplanes. In December 2025, it bought Spirit AeroSystems, its main supplier of 737 fuselages.

Thesis

The market prices Boeing at a discount because it doubts that Boeing can raise production and turn its large backlog into steady cash flow on time. Boeing still lost money in the first nine months of 2026: core loss per share was $1.30, and free cash flow was an outflow of $0.4 billion. It also carried $45.9 billion of debt at September 30, 2026. Its value depends on more deliveries each year, but each step needs the FAA.

The 737 production rate went from 42 to 47 a month in 2026. The FAA certified the 737-7 in August 2026 and the 737-10 on October 20, 2026, after a software review delayed it. The first 777-9 delivery is planned for 2027, years late, and each delay pushes cash into later years. For the gap to close, four things must be true.

The 737 line must stay stable at 47 a month, and the FAA must approve higher rates and the new North Line. The FAA must certify the 777-9 in time for first delivery in 2027, and other regulators must validate the 737-10. Free cash flow must turn positive for 2026 and grow strongly in 2027, as management expects. Boeing must keep reducing its debt and keep its investment-grade ratings.

The next check is the Q4 2026 report and the 2027 outlook, expected in late January 2027. If these hold, the gap can close over several years as cash flow grows. Another quality problem or a long certification delay would push this out again.

Checkpoints

  1. Oct 20, 2026Passed
    737-10 certificationFAA certification of the 737-10 by the end of 2026, which keeps first delivery in 2027, passes; a new delay into 2027 fails.Outcome: The FAA certified the 737-10 on October 20, 2026.
  2. Oct 27, 2026Passed
    Q3 2026 results: cash flow and 737 ratePositive free cash flow in Q3 and a 737 line stable at 47 a month pass; a cash outflow, new charges, or a slower 737 rate fail.Outcome: Free cash flow was $0.5 billion with no new large program charge, and the 737 line kept moving toward a stable 47 a month.
  3. Jan 27, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlookPositive free cash flow for 2026 and a 2027 outlook with much higher free cash flow and more deliveries pass; negative cash flow for 2026 or a weaker outlook fails.
  4. 2027 · est.Pending
    First 777-9 deliveryFirst delivery of the 777-9 in 2027 as planned passes; another delay into 2028 fails.
  5. 2027 · est.Pending
    First 737-10 deliveryFirst delivery of the 737-10 to a customer in 2027 passes; a delay into 2028 fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • November 4, 2026Avolon finalized an order for 140 737-10 airplanes. Boeing said that this is the largest 737 MAX order by a leasing company and that it raises Avolon's backlog to more than 240 airplanes. Leasing companies placed firm orders for more than 230 737-10 airplanes in 2026.
  • October 27, 2026Boeing reported Q3 2026 results. Revenue was $24.2 billion, up 4%, from 161 commercial deliveries. The core loss per share was $0.34. Free cash flow was $0.5 billion, after payments of about $0.7 billion for the settlement with the Department of Justice, and debt stayed at $45.9 billion. Total backlog grew to a record $745 billion. Defense, Space & Security had an operating margin of 6.2%, which included a gain of $252 million on the sale of HRL Laboratories. Boeing still expects the first 777-9 delivery in 2027.
  • October 20, 2026The FAA certified the 737-10. Boeing confirmed the certification in its Q3 2026 report. Reuters reported that Canadian and European regulators must still approve the aircraft.
Show 8 older events
  • October 19, 2026Reuters reported, from people familiar with the matter, that the US Transportation Secretary will announce FAA certification of the 737-10 on October 20, 2026. The FAA Type Certification Board reviewed the aircraft on October 16. This is a press report. Boeing and the FAA had not confirmed the certification at the time of this update.
  • October 13, 2026Boeing reported 161 commercial deliveries in Q3 2026, including 124 737s, 22 787s, ten 767s, and five 777s. This brought the total for the first nine months to 475. Defense deliveries were 33, including seven KC-46 tankers.
  • October 2, 2026An FAA review board concluded that the 737 flight management software issue is not a safety concern. The FAA will not require a software fix before it certifies the 737-10. The 737-10 is still not certified.
  • September 29, 2026The US Navy selected Boeing to design, build and deliver the F/A-XX next-generation fighter aircraft. Boeing does not include the order in its backlog until the Navy completes its source selection review.
  • September 28, 2026FAA Administrator Bryan Bedford said that the FAA will hold the 737-10 certification while it reviews a software issue that Boeing disclosed on September 26. The issue can stop automated flight guidance after a missed approach. He gave no timeline.
  • August 24, 2026Boeing replaced its $3.0 billion 364-day credit line, now due August 2027, and extended its two five-year credit lines by one year, to 2029 and 2030. All three lines now require Boeing to keep at least $5.0 billion of liquidity.
  • August 3, 2026The FAA certified the 737-7, after Boeing redesigned the engine anti-ice system and updated the flight control software and crew alerts.
  • July 28, 2026Boeing reported Q2 2026 results. Revenue was $24.6 billion, up 8%, from 171 commercial deliveries. The core loss per share was $0.76. Free cash flow was $0.6 billion, and debt fell to $45.9 billion. The 737 program began moving to 47 airplanes a month, and 787 production was stable at eight a month. Boeing still expects 737-7 and 737-10 certification in 2026 and the first 777-9 delivery in 2027.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
October 27, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about January 27, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · ba-20260930
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
  • 8-KNew material agreement and New debt or financial obligationFiled · ba-20260824
  • 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · ba-20260819
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · ba-20260630
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · ba-20260331
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
  • 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · ba-20260417
  • 10-KAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2025Filed · ba-20251231

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 12927)

Risks

  • Boeing needs FAA approval for higher 737 rates, the new 737 North Line, and the 777-9. The 737-10 also needs approval from other regulators, such as those of Canada and Europe. Another quality problem or a long certification delay can stop the increase in deliveries and cash flow, as it did after the door plug event in January 2024.
  • Boeing still lost money in the first nine months of 2026, and its debt was $45.9 billion at September 30, 2026. Operating earnings covered only about half of interest expense in that period. If cash flow is weak, the ratings, which are one step above junk, can fall.
  • Fixed-price defense programs, such as the VC-25B Air Force One, KC-46, MQ-25, and T-7A, have caused repeated losses. The VC-25B lost $280 million in Q2 2026. More losses on these programs can reduce profit.
  • Suppliers have shortages and financial problems. A shortage slowed the 787 factory in April 2026. Tariffs and US-China trade tension can raise costs and reduce orders and deliveries to China, which is a large market for airplanes.
  • Labor actions can stop production. A strike in 2024 stopped most commercial airplane production for about seven weeks.

Balance sheet

Cash
$20.7B
Debt
$45.9B
Net debt
$25.2B
Interest cover
0.5×
times profit pays interest
Credit line
$10.0B
undrawn

Cash against debt

Cash$20.7B
Debt$45.9B

debt covered by cashnet debt $25.2B

When the debt is due

12 months$4.6B
Later$41.4B

Credit ratings

  • S&P BBB- · stable
  • Moody's Baa3 · stable
  • Fitch BBB- · positive

Boeing funds itself mostly with unsecured bonds that it issued after 2020, when its losses grew. Total debt was $45.9 billion at September 30, 2026, the same as at June 30 and down from $54.1 billion at December 31, 2025, after debt repayments of $8.4 billion in the first nine months of 2026.

Dividends

Boeing does not pay a dividend.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026.

Questions about Boeing

What does Boeing do?

Boeing designs and builds commercial airplanes, military aircraft, satellites, and weapons, and it gives services to airlines and governments. It reports three segments. Its market cap is $138B at the current price of $174.54.

When does Boeing report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Boeing may report on January 27, 2027. It last reported results on October 27, 2026.

Is Boeing stock below its intrinsic value?

Boeing stock is below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Boeing?

The latest update is from November 4, 2026. Avolon finalized an order for 140 737-10 airplanes.

What are the main risks for Boeing?

Boeing needs FAA approval for higher 737 rates, the new 737 North Line, and the 777-9. Boeing still lost money in the first nine months of 2026, and its debt was $45.9 billion at September 30, 2026. Fixed-price defense programs, such as the VC-25B Air Force One, KC-46, MQ-25, and T-7A, have caused repeated losses.

How much debt and cash does Boeing have?

At September 30, 2026, Boeing had $45.9B of debt and $20.7B of cash.

Does Boeing pay a dividend?

No. Boeing does not pay a dividend.

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