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LVSCasinos & resorts

Las Vegas Sands

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$40.23
Analysts view
Bullish
Discount category
Below intrinsic value
Pick status
Top pick
Next earnings
Earnings Jan 21 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$25B
Shares of Oct 21, 2026
Yield at current rate
3.0%
Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
Dividend yield
3.0%
Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
P/E (trailing)
16.5
Price of Nov 12, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$2.44
12 months to Sep 30, 2026
52-week range
$35.03 – $70.45
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
0.77
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
5.9M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
Weaker Macao margins, a weak Q3 2026 at Marina Bay Sands and high debt hold Las Vegas Sands back, and a recovery in both regions over four to six quarters can close the gap.
Gap
Can close. The next two quarterly reports show whether the Q3 2026 fall at Marina Bay Sands was mostly low hold and whether Macao margins recover.

Price history

About

Las Vegas Sands builds and runs large integrated resorts in Asia. It owns Marina Bay Sands in Singapore and, through its majority stake in Sands China, The Venetian Macao, The Londoner Macao, The Parisian Macao, The Plaza and Four Seasons Macao, and Sands Macao. It sold its Las Vegas properties earlier and has no US resorts. Most revenue comes from casino gaming, and the resorts also earn money from hotel rooms, malls, food, shows and conventions.

In Q3 2026, the Macao resorts had $1.94 billion of net revenue and Marina Bay Sands had $1.29 billion. Las Vegas Sands operates in Macao under a 10-year concession that ends on December 31, 2032, and it is building a second hotel tower and casino at Marina Bay Sands, which it expects to open in January 2031. Miriam Adelson and related trusts control about 60% of the shares.

Thesis

The market prices Las Vegas Sands for lower profits in Macao and Singapore and for high capital needs. In Q3 2026, adjusted property EBITDA fell to $1.12 billion from $1.34 billion a year earlier. Macao rose to $529 million from $430 million in Q2 2026, but its margin fell to 27.3% from 31.5% a year earlier. Marina Bay Sands fell to $590 million from $743 million, and its win rate on non-rolling table play fell to 18.7% from 24.5%.

Investors fear that Macao margins stay lower because of competition and slower spending by visitors from mainland China. At the same time, Las Vegas Sands has about $15.3 billion of debt, it builds the large Marina Bay Sands expansion, and it uses much of its cash for share buybacks and a higher dividend. Policy in China and Macao adds a risk that investors find hard to measure. For the gap to close, Macao adjusted property EBITDA must stay above $500 million per quarter and its margin must recover.

Marina Bay Sands must return to near $700 million per quarter, and the expansion must stay on budget. The buybacks under the remaining $5.06 billion authorization must also not raise debt too much. The Q4 2026 report in about late January 2027 and the Q1 2027 report in about April 2027 show whether the Q3 fall at Marina Bay Sands was mostly bad luck. If both regions recover, the gap can close over the next four to six quarters.

A lasting fall in Macao margins or a policy change can keep it open.

Checkpoints

  1. Oct 21, 2026Failed
    Q3 2026 results: Macao recoveryMacao adjusted property EBITDA back above $500 million with Marina Bay Sands near $700 million passes; another quarter near or below $430 million in Macao fails.Outcome: Macao adjusted property EBITDA rose to $529 million, but Marina Bay Sands fell to $590 million, well below $700 million, so both conditions were not met.
  2. Jan 21, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 results: Marina Bay Sands and Macao marginsMarina Bay Sands adjusted property EBITDA near $700 million, Macao above $500 million and buybacks paid mostly from cash flow pass; Marina Bay Sands near or below $600 million again, or falling Macao profits with rising debt, fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • November 3, 2026Sands China, the Macao subsidiary of Las Vegas Sands, closed the sale of $1.0 billion of senior notes that it priced on October 27, 2026: $700 million of 6.400% notes due 2032 and $300 million of 6.700% notes due 2033. It plans to use the money and cash to redeem all of its $700 million of 2.300% notes due 2027, to repay its 2024 revolving credit facility and for general purposes, including capital spending. The new notes pay about four points more interest than the notes they replace.
  • October 21, 2026Las Vegas Sands reported Q3 2026 results. Net revenue was $3.22 billion, compared to $3.33 billion a year earlier, and diluted EPS was $0.48. Adjusted property EBITDA fell to $1.12 billion from $1.34 billion. Macao rose to $529 million from $430 million in Q2 2026 but fell from $601 million a year earlier. Marina Bay Sands fell to $590 million from $743 million. The company bought back $950 million of shares and raised its stake in Sands China to 75.56%. The Board raised the quarterly dividend for 2027 by 20% to $0.36 per share.
  • October 14, 2026Las Vegas Sands said that it will report Q3 2026 results on October 21, 2026, after the market closes.
Show 5 older events
  • September 1, 2026A subsidiary of Las Vegas Sands bought about 1.62 million Sands China shares, which raised its stake to 75.01%. Sands China's public float fell to 24.99%, below the usual 25% minimum in Hong Kong. Press reports say that Sands China now uses an alternative public float test, which it says it meets.
  • July 22, 2026Las Vegas Sands reported Q2 2026 results. Net revenue was $3.15 billion, compared to $3.18 billion a year earlier, and diluted EPS was $0.53. Adjusted property EBITDA fell to $1.12 billion from $1.33 billion: Macao fell to $430 million and Marina Bay Sands fell to $689 million. The CEO said that unusually low hold in rolling play hurt the Macao results. The company bought back $787 million of shares.
  • July 21, 2026The Board increased the remaining share buyback authorization to $6.0 billion and extended it to July 21, 2029.
  • May 13, 2026Las Vegas Sands issued $500 million of 5.300% senior notes due 2031 and $500 million of 5.650% senior notes due 2033. It used the money and cash on hand to redeem its $1.0 billion of 3.500% notes due August 2026.
  • April 22, 2026Las Vegas Sands reported Q1 2026 results. Net revenue rose 25.3% to $3.59 billion, diluted EPS rose 73.5% to $0.85, and adjusted property EBITDA rose 24.6% to $1.42 billion. It bought back $740 million of shares.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
October 21, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about January 21, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
  • 8-KNew material agreement and New debt or financial obligationFiled · lvs-20261103
  • 8-KOther company newsFiled · lvs-20261027
  • 8-KOther company newsFiled · lvs-20261026
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · lvs-20260930
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · lvs-20260630
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
  • 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · lvs-20260514
  • 8-KNew material agreement and New debt or financial obligationFiled · lvs-20260513
  • 8-KOther company newsFiled · lvs-20260504

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 1300514)

Risks

  • Macao gave $1.94 billion of the $3.22 billion of net revenue in Q3 2026. Slower spending by visitors from mainland China, more competition or changes to Macao's gaming laws can cut profits.
  • Debt is about $15.3 billion, and the Marina Bay Sands expansion needs large spending through 2030. If cash flow falls while buybacks continue, leverage rises.
  • The Macao concession ends on December 31, 2032, and the Singapore development agreement requires completion of the expansion by July 8, 2029. The company expects to finish in June 2030, so it needs the Singapore government to approve an extension.
  • Win rates change results from quarter to quarter. Low hold in rolling play cut Macao profits in Q2 2026, and a low win rate on non-rolling table play cut Marina Bay Sands profits in Q3 2026.
  • Miriam Adelson and related trusts control about 60% of the shares, so other shareholders have little influence on decisions.

Balance sheet

Cash
$2.9B
Debt
$15.4B
Net debt
$12.6B
Interest cover
3.8×
times profit pays interest
Credit line
$4.3B
undrawn

Cash against debt

Cash$2.9B
Debt$15.4B

debt covered by cashnet debt $12.6B

At September 30, 2026, the carrying amount of debt was $15.44 billion, net of discounts and issuance costs. Of this, $1.57 billion was due within 12 months and $13.88 billion was long term.

Dividends

Yield at the current rate
3.0% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
Dividend yield
3.0% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $40.23)
Paid per share
$1.20 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$1.20 ($0.30 × 4 a year)
Payout ratio
43% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
Latest ex-dividend date
November 2, 2026, $0.30 per share

Dividends per share by year

Las Vegas Sands dividends per share by year
2016
$2.88
2017
$2.92
2018
$3.00
2019
$3.08
2020
$0.79
2021
$0.00
2022
$0.00
2023
$0.40
2024
$0.80
2025
$1.00

From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 4.8% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend fell by about 9.1% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Las Vegas Sands

What does Las Vegas Sands do?

Las Vegas Sands builds and runs large integrated resorts in Asia. It owns Marina Bay Sands in Singapore and, through its majority stake in Sands China, The Venetian Macao, The Londoner Macao, The Parisian Macao, The Plaza and Four Seasons Macao, and Sands Macao. Its market cap is $25B at the current price of $40.23.

When does Las Vegas Sands report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Las Vegas Sands may report on January 21, 2027. It last reported results on October 21, 2026.

Is Las Vegas Sands stock below its intrinsic value?

Las Vegas Sands stock is below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Las Vegas Sands?

The latest update is from November 3, 2026. Sands China, the Macao subsidiary of Las Vegas Sands, closed the sale of $1.0 billion of senior notes that it priced on October 27, 2026: $700 million of 6.400% notes due 2032 and $300 million of 6.700% notes due 2033.

What are the main risks for Las Vegas Sands?

Macao gave $1.94 billion of the $3.22 billion of net revenue in Q3 2026. Debt is about $15.3 billion, and the Marina Bay Sands expansion needs large spending through 2030. The Macao concession ends on December 31, 2032, and the Singapore development agreement requires completion of the expansion by July 8, 2029.

How much debt and cash does Las Vegas Sands have?

At September 30, 2026, Las Vegas Sands had $15.4B of debt and $2.9B of cash.

Does Las Vegas Sands pay a dividend?

Yes. The current annual dividend of Las Vegas Sands is $1.20 per share. That is a dividend yield of 3.0% at the current price of $40.23. The latest ex-dividend date was November 2, 2026.

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