WYNNCasinos & luxury resorts
Wynn Resorts
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $85.38
- Analysts view
- Very bullish
- Discount category
- Below intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Top pick
- Next earnings
- Earnings Feb 5 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $8.8B
- Shares of Oct 30, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 1.2%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 1.2%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 24.1
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $3.54
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $70.79 – $134.72
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.96
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 2.2M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- Weak Macau results, high debt and a delayed UAE resort hold the price down, so much of the gap will probably not close before the resort opens in September 2027.
- Gap
- Slow. Macau must recover and the UAE resort must open in September 2027, and Macau country risk will probably keep part of the discount.
Price history
About
Wynn Resorts owns and runs luxury casino resorts. In Macau, it operates two integrated resorts, Wynn Palace and Wynn Macau, through its roughly 72%-owned subsidiary Wynn Macau, Limited, which is listed in Hong Kong. Macau made about half of Wynn's property profit over the 12 months to June 30, 2026. In Las Vegas, it owns Wynn Las Vegas and Encore, two towers with about 4,700 hotel rooms and a large casino floor.
It also runs Encore Boston Harbor, a resort near Boston. Wynn earns money from casino gaming, hotel rooms, dining, and entertainment at these properties. It is now building Wynn Al Marjan Island, a resort in Ras Al Khaimah, United Arab Emirates, through a joint venture in which it owns 40%. The resort holds the UAE's first commercial gaming licence and is expected to open in September 2027.
Thesis
Wynn Resorts trades at a discount because Macau makes about half of its property profit, and the Macau market is weakening. Macau gaming revenue fell from a year earlier in each month from June to October 2026, and the October fall was 10.0%. So each visitor spends less. Wynn's strong Macau result in Q2 2026 came partly from luck at the tables.
In Q3 2026, Adjusted Property EBITDAR fell to $464.2 million from $570.1 million a year earlier: Wynn Palace and Wynn Macau both fell, Las Vegas fell to $158.8 million with low table luck, and a strike hit Encore Boston Harbor. The Wynn Al Marjan Island project in the UAE adds to the caution. It has been delayed about six months, its budget rose by about $600 million, and construction paused briefly in March 2026 during Iranian strikes on the UAE. Wynn also carries about $10.7 billion of debt, and higher interest rates make that debt more expensive to refinance.
For the gap to close, Macau gaming revenue must stop falling by Q4 2026, and Wynn must keep its recent Macau market share at normal table luck. Las Vegas profit must grow again in 2027. Al Marjan Island must open in September 2027 within its new budget, and Wynn must not need more than its planned $525 million to $650 million of further equity for Al Marjan and a second hotel there. The Q3 2026 report did not give this evidence.
The next evidence comes in Macau's monthly gaming revenue reports, Wynn's Q4 2026 report in early 2027, and the refinancing of about $1.95 billion of debt that comes due, or that holders can put back, in 2027. The real test of the UAE project comes only when it opens in September 2027, so much of the gap will likely not close before then. Given Wynn's debt, a further Al Marjan delay or a longer Macau slowdown could keep the discount in place well past that date.
Checkpoints
- Sep 22, 2026PassedRefinance Wynn Las Vegas notes due 2027Closing new long-term notes to redeem the $880 million 2027 notes passes; a failed offering fails.Outcome: WRF closed $900 million of 6.875% notes due 2035 to redeem the 5.25% notes due 2027, at a higher interest rate.
- Nov 1, 2026FailedMacau October 2026 gaming revenue reportOctober gaming revenue flat or higher than a year earlier, after Golden Week, passes; a fifth monthly fall fails.Outcome: October gaming revenue fell 10.0% from a year earlier to MOP 21.68 billion, the fifth monthly fall in a row.
- Nov 5, 2026FailedQ3 2026 results: Macau share at normal table luckStable Macau market share and EBITDAR with normal hold, and Las Vegas EBITDAR that stops falling, pass; a fall in Macau share or more Las Vegas decline fails.Outcome: Macau EBITDAR fell at both Wynn Palace and Wynn Macau, and Las Vegas EBITDAR fell to $158.8 million from $203.4 million.
- Jan 1, 2027 · est.PendingMacau December 2026 gaming revenue reportMacau gaming revenue for Q4 2026 that is flat or higher than a year earlier passes; a fall in Q4 2026 from a year earlier fails.
- Feb 5, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 results: Macau and Las Vegas profitMacau EBITDAR flat or higher than a year earlier and Las Vegas EBITDAR that stops falling at normal hold pass; another fall in either fails.
- Mar 7, 2027PendingRefinance 2027 debt and the convertible bond putRefinancing the $750 million Wynn Macau notes, the $600 million retail term loan and any convertible bonds put back on March 7, 2027 without new equity passes; a missed or very costly refinancing fails.
- Sep 2027 · est.PendingWynn Al Marjan Island opens in the UAEOpening in September 2027 within the new budget, with Wynn equity within $525 million to $650 million more, passes; a further delay or cost rise fails.
Recent events
- November 5, 2026Wynn reported Q3 2026 results. Revenue fell to $1.69 billion from $1.83 billion. Net income was $17.3 million, or $0.17 per diluted share, and adjusted EPS was $0.33. Adjusted Property EBITDAR fell to $464.2 million from $570.1 million. Wynn Palace fell to $165.8 million from $200.3 million, and Wynn Macau fell to $89.5 million from $108.0 million. Las Vegas fell to $158.8 million from $203.4 million, with table hold of 18.9%, below the expected range of 22% to 26%. Encore Boston Harbor fell to $50.1 million from $58.4 million, with a strike since early September.
- November 5, 2026Wynn said that Wynn Al Marjan Island is on track to open in September 2027. Wynn put $62.2 million into the joint venture in Q3 2026, for a total of $1.12 billion. Wynn bought back $58.1 million of stock in Q3, which left $268.0 million of authorization, and the board declared a $0.25 per share dividend.
- November 1, 2026Macau gaming revenue for October 2026 was MOP 21.68 billion, 10.0% lower than a year earlier. It was the fifth monthly fall in a row. Gaming revenue for the first ten months of 2026 was MOP 208.8 billion, 1.6% higher than a year earlier.
Show 18 older eventsHide older events
- October 23, 2026A subsidiary of Wynn Macau, Limited committed up to MOP 1.365 billion to a Macau government investment fund, as part of its non-gaming investment obligations.
- October 10, 2026Macau's Chief Executive said that the government keeps its 2026 gaming revenue forecast of MOP 236 billion and will look at October revenue before it decides on a change. The Macau gaming regulator (DICJ) later reported October revenue of MOP 21.68 billion, 10.0% lower than a year earlier.
- October 6, 2026Wynn said it will report Q3 2026 results on November 5, 2026, after the market closes.
- October 1, 2026Macau gaming revenue for September 2026 was 1.2% lower than a year earlier, at MOP 18.06 billion. It was the fourth monthly fall in a row and the lowest monthly total of 2026.
- September 22, 2026Wynn Resorts Finance, a Wynn subsidiary, issued $900 million of 6.875% senior notes due 2035, priced on September 10. It will use the money and cash on hand to redeem the $880 million of Wynn Las Vegas 5.250% notes due 2027. The new notes carry a higher interest rate.
- September 22, 2026Caesars Entertainment shareholders approved its sale to Tilman Fertitta, who owned about 12% of Wynn in Wynn's 2026 proxy. The US Federal Trade Commission asked for more information on the deal on September 14, so the deal has not closed.
- September 17, 2026Wynn's CEO and CFO each gave up 10% of their cash salary through July 31, 2027, in exchange for stock options with an exercise price of $82.96.
- September 16, 2026The US Federal Reserve raised its interest rate target by 0.25 percentage points, to 3.75% to 4.00%.
- September 1, 2026Macau gaming revenue for August 2026 was 1.2% lower than a year earlier. It was the third monthly fall in a row, after a fall of 8.4% in July.
- August 4, 2026Wynn reported Q2 2026 results. Revenue was $1.86 billion. Net income was $140.1 million, up from $66.2 million a year earlier. Diluted earnings per share were $1.32, up from $0.64. Adjusted Property EBITDAR was $568.3 million, up 2.9%.
- August 4, 2026In Q2 2026, Wynn Palace kept 29.7% of mass-market table bets, against 22.3% a year earlier, which lifted its profit 28%. Las Vegas profit fell 8.3% to $215.2 million, and Encore Boston Harbor profit fell 12.2%.
- August 4, 2026The board declared a $0.25 per share quarterly dividend. Wynn also repurchased $75.0 million of stock during the quarter, leaving $326.1 million of buyback authorization remaining.
- August 4, 2026Wynn said Wynn Al Marjan Island will now open in September 2027, about six months later than the prior target, after the project's budget rose by roughly $600 million. Wynn owns 40% of the project. It has put in $1.06 billion and expects to put in $525 million to $650 million more, which also covers a second hotel at Al Marjan due in 2029.
- July 21, 2026Macau approved a change to the Wynn Palace land concession for a new hotel, theatre, and event center. Wynn pays a land premium of about MOP 652 million (about $81 million). Wynn expects the new all-suite hotel tower, the Enclave at Wynn Palace, to cost $900 million to $950 million.
- June 29, 2026Moody's kept Wynn's B1 rating, but changed the outlook to stable from positive in a note reported on this date, because Wynn has not reduced its debt as much as expected.
- May 28, 2026Tilman Fertitta, Wynn's largest individual shareholder with about 12% in Wynn's 2026 proxy, agreed to buy Caesars Entertainment for $17.6 billion, including debt. Filings show that his companies have sold call options on Wynn shares since October 2025.
- April 1, 2026Craig Fullalove became Wynn's Chief Financial Officer, succeeding Julie Cameron-Doe, who retired after more than four years in the role.
- March 11, 2026Wynn said construction at Wynn Al Marjan Island resumed after a short pause. The pause came during Iranian strikes on the UAE, which started on February 28, 2026.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- November 5, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about February 5, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · wynn-20260930
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · wynn-20261023
- 8-KNew material agreementFiled · wynn-20260922
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · wynn-20260910
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · wynn-20260910
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · wynn-20260831
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · wynn-20260630
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KNew material agreement and Investor disclosureFiled · wynn-20260721
Risks
- Macau made about half of Wynn's property profit over the 12 months to June 30, 2026. Macau gaming revenue fell from a year earlier in each month from June to October 2026. A slowdown in Chinese spending, a change in Macau gaming rules, or tension between China and the West would hit Wynn harder than a more geographically spread-out casino operator.
- Wynn Al Marjan Island has already been delayed about six months and its budget rose by about $600 million. It does not open until September 2027. Wynn owns 40% and still has to put in $525 million to $650 million, which also covers a second hotel there. With the Ras Al Khaimah government, Wynn guarantees completion of the construction loan, and the resort must be complete by June 30, 2028. Construction paused briefly during Iranian strikes on the UAE in March 2026, and the UAE reported more Iranian missiles in August 2026. A further delay or cost increase would push out the new growth.
- Wynn had about $10.7 billion of debt at September 30, 2026, with ratings of B1 at Moody's and BB- at Fitch. After the September 2026 refinancing, about $1.35 billion still comes due in 2027, and holders can make Wynn Macau buy back $600 million of convertible bonds on March 7, 2027. New debt now costs more: Wynn refinanced $880 million of 5.25% notes with 6.875% notes. Each 1 percentage point rise in floating rates adds about $21 million a year of interest. Higher rates also lower the price investors pay for casino shares with high debt.
- Weaker consumers can cut spending at all of Wynn's resorts. In Q2 2026, Wynn Las Vegas hotel occupancy fell 2.1 points, slot win fell 5.3%, and Las Vegas profit fell 8.3%. In Q3 2026, Las Vegas profit fell to $158.8 million from $203.4 million, and a strike at Encore Boston Harbor lowered its profit. US consumer sentiment fell to a four-month low in September 2026. In Macau, spending per visitor is falling.
- Wynn's Q2 2026 profit was helped by unusually high luck at the Wynn Palace tables and by a $43.3 million gain on derivatives. When table results return to normal, reported profit can fall even if the business does not change.
- Fontainebleau Las Vegas, a large luxury resort with more than 3,600 rooms, opened on the north Las Vegas Strip in December 2023 and competes directly with Wynn Las Vegas and Encore. Tilman Fertitta, who owned about 12% of Wynn in Wynn's 2026 proxy, is also buying Caesars, which owns several Strip casinos.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $1.8B
- Debt
- $10.7B
- Net debt
- $8.9B
- Interest cover
- 1.7×
- times profit pays interest
- Credit line
- $2.4B
- undrawn
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $8.9B
Credit ratings
- Moody's B1 · stable
- Fitch BB-
Wynn Resorts, Limited had a stockholders' deficit of $217 million at September 30, 2026 ($985 million with its minority holders), and its debt leaves limited room. This comes from years of losses during the Macau closures, and from buybacks and dividends. At September 30, 2026, debt was $10.73 billion, in separate borrowing groups. $5.77 billion sits at its 72%-owned Wynn Macau, Limited (WML) and its subsidiaries. $4.37 billion sits at Wynn Resorts Finance (WRF) in the US, and $599.1 million at a consolidated retail joint venture. Cash is $1.64 billion of cash and cash equivalents plus $150.2 million of WML short-term investments at September 30, 2026. $1.15 billion of the cash sat in the WML group. WML pays cash to the parent only through dividends that it shares with its minority holders. Interest cover is operating income of $758.4 million over interest expense of $456.3 million for the first nine months of 2026. At September 30, 2026, about 81% of the debt had a fixed rate, and each 1 percentage point rise in floating rates adds about $21 million a year of interest. In September 2026, WRF issued $900 million of 6.875% notes due 2035 and redeemed the 5.25% Wynn Las Vegas notes due 2027. Still due in 2027 are $750 million of WML 5.5% notes and the $600 million retail term loan. Holders can also put back $600 million of WML convertible bonds on March 7, 2027. The undrawn revolver capacity was $1.03 billion at WRF and $1.35 billion at WML. Moody's rates WRF B1, with a stable outlook since June 2026, and Fitch rates Wynn BB-. Wynn and the Ras Al Khaimah government also guarantee completion of the Al Marjan joint venture's $2.4 billion secured construction loan until the resort is complete. Further Al Marjan equity of $525 million to $650 million and refinancing at higher rates compete with buybacks and dividends.
As of
Show 6 sourcesHide sources
- sec.gov /Archives/edgar/data/1174922/000117492226000079/wynn-20260930.htm
- sec.gov /Archives/edgar/data/1174922/000117492226000078/ex991wrlq32026pressrelease.htm
- sec.gov /Archives/edgar/data/1174922/000117492226000055/wynn-20260630.htm
- sec.gov /Archives/edgar/data/1174922/000117492226000066/ex991-wrf900mseniornotespr.htm
- sec.gov /Archives/edgar/data/1174922/000117492226000013/wynn-20251231.htm
- ggrasia.com /wynn-resorts-to-issue-us900mln-in-senior-notes-fitch-flags-slow-credit-improvement
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 1.2% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 1.2% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $85.38)
- Paid per share
- $1.00 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $1.00 ($0.25 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 32% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- August 14, 2026, $0.25 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $2.00 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $2.00 | |
| 2018 | $2.75 | |
| 2019 | $3.75 | |
| 2020 | $1.00 | |
| 2021 | $0.00 | |
| 2022 | $0.00 | |
| 2023 | $0.75 | |
| 2024 | $1.00 | |
| 2025 | $1.00 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 0.0% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend fell by about 4.0% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Wynn Resorts
What does Wynn Resorts do?
Wynn Resorts owns and runs luxury casino resorts. In Macau, it operates two integrated resorts, Wynn Palace and Wynn Macau, through its roughly 72%-owned subsidiary Wynn Macau, Limited, which is listed in Hong Kong. Its market cap is $8.8B at the current price of $85.38.
When does Wynn Resorts report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Wynn Resorts may report on February 5, 2027. It last reported results on November 5, 2026.
Is Wynn Resorts stock below its intrinsic value?
Wynn Resorts stock is below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Wynn Resorts?
The latest update is from November 5, 2026. Wynn reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for Wynn Resorts?
Macau made about half of Wynn's property profit over the 12 months to June 30, 2026. Wynn Al Marjan Island has already been delayed about six months and its budget rose by about $600 million. Wynn had about $10.7 billion of debt at September 30, 2026, with ratings of B1 at Moody's and BB- at Fitch.
How much debt and cash does Wynn Resorts have?
At September 30, 2026, Wynn Resorts had $10.7B of debt and $1.8B of cash.
Does Wynn Resorts pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of Wynn Resorts is $1.00 per share. That is a dividend yield of 1.2% at the current price of $85.38. The latest ex-dividend date was August 14, 2026.
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