GPNPayment processing
Global Payments
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $100.23
- Analysts view
- Leaning bullish
- Discount category
- Below intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Feb 5 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $27B
- Shares of Oct 30, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 1.0%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 1.0%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- -$4.66
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $61.16 – $102.91
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.84
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 2.9M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market doubts Global Payments can grow in a crowded market after the debt-funded Worldpay deal, and steady growth with higher margins over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. Quarterly normalized growth, margin gains from the Worldpay integration and the capital return through 2027 give dated checks.
Company guidance: Adjusted EPS of $13.60 to $13.80 for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))
Price history
About
Global Payments processes card payments for merchants of all sizes in more than 175 countries. On January 9, 2026, it bought Worldpay from FIS and GTCR and sold its Issuer Solutions business, which served card issuers, to FIS. It is now a pure merchant business with three segments. SMB serves small and mid-size businesses with payments and point-of-sale software, including its Genius platform.
Enterprise serves large merchants, mostly through Worldpay. Platforms sells payments through software companies that embed them in their products. Global Payments earns fees on each transaction it processes and fees for software and hardware. In Q3 2026, GAAP revenue was $3.31 billion.
Thesis
The market doubts that the new Global Payments can grow faster than a slow, crowded market. Merchant payment processing faces strong competitors in small business point-of-sale software and in online payments, and investors fear that price competition keeps growth low. Normalized adjusted net revenue grew only a little more than 4% in Q3 2026, and in August 2026 the company cut its 2026 outlook to growth of about 4% to 5% and adjusted EPS of $13.60 to $13.80, because the conflict in the Middle East hurt its travel business. It kept that outlook in November 2026.
The Worldpay purchase also adds integration risk and debt: long-term debt was $22.5 billion at September 30, 2026. GAAP results are much lower than adjusted results, because of deal costs and the amortization of acquired intangibles. For the gap to close, four things must be true. Normalized revenue growth must stay at about 4% to 5% or improve in 2027.
Normalized adjusted operating margin must expand by about 150 basis points in 2026, as guided, which shows that the Worldpay integration saves costs. Genius must keep winning merchants in SMB. The company must return more than $2 billion of capital in 2026 and about $7.5 billion from 2025 to 2027, while it keeps its leverage within its covenants. The full-year report and 2027 outlook in about February 2027 give the next evidence.
If growth and margins hold, the gap can close over the next four to six quarters. If growth stays near the low end, the market can keep the stock at a low multiple for longer.
Checkpoints
- Nov 5, 2026PassedQ3 2026 results: normalized growth and marginNormalized adjusted net revenue growth of about 4% or more and the 2026 outlook kept pass; another cut to the revenue or EPS outlook fails.Outcome: Normalized adjusted net revenue grew more than 4%, and Global Payments kept its 2026 outlook and its capital return plan.
- Feb 5, 2027 · est.PendingFull-year 2026 results and 2027 outlookAbout 150 basis points of normalized margin expansion in 2026, more than $2 billion returned to shareholders and a 2027 outlook with faster growth pass; a weak 2027 outlook or higher leverage fails.
- Q4 2027 · est.PendingWorldpay integration and the 2025 to 2027 capital return planAbout $7.5 billion returned to shareholders from 2025 to 2027 with leverage within covenants passes; a smaller return or a delayed integration fails.
Recent events
- November 5, 2026Global Payments reported Q3 2026 results. GAAP revenue was $3.31 billion, and adjusted net revenue was $3.18 billion, up more than 4% on a normalized basis. The normalized adjusted operating margin rose 220 basis points to 42.5%. GAAP diluted EPS was $1.06, and adjusted EPS rose 10% to $3.58. Global Payments kept its 2026 outlook and its plan to return more than $2 billion to shareholders in 2026. It raised its target for yearly Worldpay cost synergies to $650 million.
- September 23, 2026Global Payments published research that says consumers expect AI to make 15% of their purchases within five years.
- August 24, 2026Global Payments announced Genius World, its first event to show its full line of Genius point-of-sale products for retail, restaurant and enterprise merchants.
Show 5 older eventsHide older events
- August 5, 2026Global Payments reported Q2 2026 results, its first full quarter as a pure merchant business. GAAP revenue was $3.32 billion, and adjusted net revenue was $3.16 billion, up about 4% on a normalized basis. Adjusted operating margin was 42.0%. GAAP diluted EPS was $0.05, and adjusted EPS was $3.46, up 12%.
- August 5, 2026Global Payments cut its 2026 outlook because the conflict in the Middle East hurt its travel business. It now expects normalized, constant currency adjusted net revenue growth of about 4% to 5% and adjusted EPS of $13.60 to $13.80, down from about 5% and $13.80 to $14.00. It kept its plan to return more than $2 billion to shareholders in 2026.
- June 8, 2026Global Payments completed a $500 million accelerated share repurchase, started on May 6, 2026. It bought back 7.2 million shares at an average price of $69.30.
- May 6, 2026Global Payments reported Q1 2026 results. GAAP revenue was $2.97 billion, and GAAP diluted loss per share was $6.59. Adjusted net revenue grew about 5.5% on a normalized basis, and adjusted EPS was $2.96, up 10%. It kept its 2026 outlook.
- April 21, 2026Global Payments signed a $1.0 billion senior unsecured term loan due April 21, 2028, at one-month SOFR plus 1.05%.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- November 5, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about February 5, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · gpn-20260930
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KChange to shareholder rights or bylawsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · gpn-20260630
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · gpn-20260331
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KNew material agreement and New debt or financial obligationFiled · Read it on sec.gov
Risks
- Merchant payment processing is competitive. Point-of-sale software companies and online payment companies compete for the same merchants, and this can push prices down. Normalized revenue grew only a little more than 4% in Q3 2026, and slower growth can keep the market's doubt in place.
- The Worldpay integration is large and complex. Global Payments must combine systems, teams and products while it keeps clients. Delays or client losses can cut the expected margin gains.
- Debt is high after the Worldpay purchase. Long-term debt, including its current portion, was $22.5 billion at September 30, 2026. The company also returns more than $2 billion to shareholders in 2026, so higher interest rates or lower cash flow can slow debt reduction.
- Payment volumes follow consumer spending. The conflict in the Middle East already hurt the travel business in 2026, and a weaker consumer would lower volumes in SMB and Enterprise.
- Card networks and regulators can change interchange and network rules. Global Payments must also keep its card network registrations and its bank sponsors to process payments.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $1.3B
- Debt
- $22.5B
- Net debt
- $21.2B
- Credit line
- $5.0B
- undrawn, to May 2030
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $21.2B
When the debt is due
Global Payments funds itself with unsecured senior notes, convertible notes, bank loans and commercial paper. Debt is the carrying amount of long-term debt, including its current portion, at September 30, 2026: $22.54 billion, of which $1.46 billion is due within 12 months. It includes $1.5 billion of 1.000% convertible notes due August 2029, convertible notes due March 2031, $1.5 billion on the revolving credit facility, a $1.0 billion term loan due April 2028 and $699.8 million of commercial paper. It does not include $1.17 billion of settlement lines of credit, which fund merchant settlement for a few days. Cash is the $1,289.4 million that the company considers available for general purposes. Total cash and cash equivalents were $5,570.3 million, but most of it is settlement cash, merchant reserves and funds held for customers. The $7.25 billion revolving credit facility matures in May 2030, and its available commitments were $5.0 billion at September 30, 2026, but commercial paper must stay below the undrawn amount. The covenants include a maximum leverage ratio of 4.50 times. GAAP interest cover is low in 2026, because operating income includes Worldpay deal costs and amortization. A contingent value right, carried at $362.3 million, is due to former Worldpay owners in 2027. Global Payments returned more than $1.4 billion to shareholders in the first nine months of 2026, plans to return more than $2 billion in the full year and pays a quarterly dividend of $0.25 per share.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 1.0% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 1.0% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $100.23)
- Paid per share
- $1.00 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $1.00 ($0.25 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 17% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- September 11, 2026, $0.25 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $0.04 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $0.043 | |
| 2018 | $0.04 | |
| 2019 | $0.225 | |
| 2020 | $0.78 | |
| 2021 | $0.89 | |
| 2022 | $1.00 | |
| 2023 | $1.00 | |
| 2024 | $1.00 | |
| 2025 | $1.00 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 5.1% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 38.0% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Global Payments
What does Global Payments do?
Global Payments processes card payments for merchants of all sizes in more than 175 countries. On January 9, 2026, it bought Worldpay from FIS and GTCR and sold its Issuer Solutions business, which served card issuers, to FIS. Its market cap is $27B at the current price of $100.23.
When does Global Payments report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Global Payments may report on February 5, 2027. It last reported results on November 5, 2026.
Is Global Payments stock below its intrinsic value?
Global Payments stock is below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Global Payments?
The latest update is from November 5, 2026. Global Payments reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for Global Payments?
Merchant payment processing is competitive. The Worldpay integration is large and complex. Debt is high after the Worldpay purchase.
How much debt and cash does Global Payments have?
At September 30, 2026, Global Payments had $22.5B of debt and $1.3B of cash.
Does Global Payments pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of Global Payments is $1.00 per share. That is a dividend yield of 1.0% at the current price of $100.23. The latest ex-dividend date was September 11, 2026.
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