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CPBPackaged foods

The Campbell's Company

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

Price
$22.31
Analysts view
Bearish
Discount category
Deep below intrinsic value
Pick status
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Dec 8 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$6.7B
Shares of Sep 16, 2026
Yield at current rate
4.5%
Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
Dividend yield
6.4%
Last 12 months. Special payment or a cut
P/E (trailing)
17.0
Price of Nov 12, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$1.31
12 months to Aug 2, 2026
52-week range
$18.60 – $32.04
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
0.05
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
7.4M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
The market prices Campbell's for a continued decline, so the gap closes slowly, and only if cost savings and growth at Rao's and Goldfish hold into fiscal 2028.
Gap
Slow. Management does not expect margins to recover before fiscal 2028, and legacy soup and snack demand may keep falling.

Company guidance: Adjusted EPS of $1.65 to $1.80 for fiscal 2027 (, Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings release (8-K))

Price history

About

The Campbell's Company, renamed from Campbell Soup Company in November 2024, sells packaged food across two segments. Meals & Beverages, about 61% of fiscal 2026 sales, includes Campbell's condensed and ready-to-serve soups, Prego pasta sauce, Pace, V8, Swanson broth, Pacific Foods, and Rao's premium Italian sauces, added through the 2024 purchase of Sovos Brands. Snacks, the rest of sales, includes Pepperidge Farm (Goldfish crackers, Milano cookies), Snyder's of Hanover pretzels, Cape Cod chips, Kettle Brand, Lance, and Late July, most of it added through the 2018 purchase of Snyder's-Lance. Almost all sales are in the United States.

Outside the United States, it sells mainly in Canada and Latin America. In May 2026, Campbell's bought a 49% stake in La Regina, the Italian company that makes all of Rao's tomato-based sauces, for $286 million: $146 million in cash at closing and $140 million due in May 2027. This ties its supply chain more closely to its fastest-growing premium brand. The company earns its moat from decades-old brand recognition and shelf space at large grocery chains, which makes it hard for a new entrant to displace it.

Thesis

Campbell's is priced for a real, ongoing decline, not just a rough patch. Both sales and earnings fell in fiscal 2026. Management's own fiscal 2027 guidance calls for another drop. To fund a turnaround, the board cut the dividend, and the company is closing two snack plants and reducing its salaried staff.

Fitch and Moody's both downgraded Campbell's debt within the past year, and Moody's keeps a negative outlook. For the gap to close, the new $500 million cost-savings plan must show up in results. Rao's and Goldfish, two of its brands, need to keep growing. The snacks business also needs to stabilize once the smaller plant footprint and lower headcount are fully in place.

Campbell's decades-old brands and shelf space with big retailers have helped it survive weak stretches before. Management itself does not expect margins to recover until fiscal 2028, so this is not a quick fix. Leverage stays high for now, near 4.9 times earnings on Moody's measure, leaving little room for a setback. If the turnaround holds through fiscal 2027 results and into fiscal 2028, the gap could close by then.

If leverage worsens or Rao's growth stalls, the discount could persist or widen.

Checkpoints

  1. Dec 8, 2026 · est.Pending
    Fiscal Q1 2027 earnings: Snacks trend and guidanceResults on track for adjusted EPS of $1.65 to $1.80 with Snacks declines slowing pass; a guidance cut or another big Snacks profit drop fails.
  2. Mar 19, 2027Pending
    $500 million notes mature at a Baa3 ratingRepayment from the October 2026 junior notes and cash, with net debt lower than at August 2, 2026, passes; more high-cost debt or a draw on the revolver fails.
  3. Mar 2027 · est.Pending
    Fiscal Q2 2027 earnings: cost savings and Rao's growthVisible savings from the $500 million program and Rao's still growing pass; flat Rao's sales or higher leverage fails.
  4. May 4, 2027Pending
    $140 million La Regina paymentPayment in cash without new debt passes; payment in new shares, or new borrowing to pay it, fails.
  5. Sep 2027 · est.Pending
    Fiscal 2027 results and fiscal 2028 outlookMoody's-style leverage near 4 times and an outlook for margin recovery in fiscal 2028 pass; leverage still near 5 times or a new rating cut fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • October 5, 2026Campbell's issued $300 million of 8.500% junior subordinated notes due 2057. The rate is fixed until April 5, 2032, then resets every five years to the five-year Treasury rate plus 3.511%, but never below 8.500%. Campbell's can defer interest for up to 10 years at a time. Moody's rates the notes Ba1, and S&P and Fitch rate them BB, all below investment grade. Campbell's plans to use the money to repay the 5.20% notes due March 2027 and commercial paper.
  • September 23, 2026Moody's downgraded Campbell's long-term rating to Baa3 from Baa2, citing weak fiscal 2026 earnings, expected further declines in fiscal 2027, and adjusted leverage of about 4.9 times at fiscal year-end. It also cut the commercial paper rating to Prime-3 from Prime-2. Moody's expects leverage to stay above 4 times at the end of fiscal 2027. The outlook stays negative.
  • September 16, 2026Campbell's extended its $1.85 billion revolving credit facility to April 16, 2031.
Show 6 older events
  • September 3, 2026Campbell's reported fourth-quarter and full-year fiscal 2026 results. Q4 net sales fell 8% to $2.1 billion (down 1% organically). Full-year net sales fell 5% to $9.7 billion, and adjusted earnings per share fell 27% to $2.17.
  • September 3, 2026Management guided fiscal 2027 net sales down 2%-4% and adjusted earnings per share down 17%-24%, to $1.65-$1.80. The board cut the quarterly dividend 36%, to $0.25 per share ($1.00 annualized), to speed up debt paydown.
  • September 3, 2026Campbell's launched a new cost-savings program targeting $500 million by fiscal 2030. It also offered a voluntary early retirement program to salaried staff, with departures by December 2026. Press reports put the job cuts at about 550, or 13% of salaried staff; the company gave no number. The program includes the closure of two snack plants: Hyannis, Massachusetts, closed in April 2026, and Jeffersonville, Indiana, closes by January 31, 2027.
  • May 4, 2026Campbell's completed its $286 million purchase of a 49% stake in La Regina, the Italian producer that makes all of Rao's Homemade tomato-based sauces. It paid $146 million in cash at closing. The other $140 million is due on May 4, 2027, in cash or shares, at Campbell's choice.
  • December 10, 2025Fitch downgraded Campbell's long-term rating to BBB- from BBB, citing leverage expected to stay above 3.5 times for an extended period. The outlook is stable.
  • October 20, 2025Todd Cunfer, previously Chief Financial Officer of Freshpet, became Campbell's CFO, succeeding Carrie Anderson.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
September 3, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about December 8, 2026. The company has not confirmed the date.

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 16732)

Risks

  • Leverage remains elevated even after the dividend cut. Moody's put adjusted leverage at about 4.9 times at fiscal year-end 2026, against about 4.3 times on the company's own net measure. Moody's (to Baa3, negative outlook) and Fitch (to BBB-, stable outlook) both downgraded Campbell's within the past year. Less room to absorb a setback than a less-levered company.
  • The Snacks segment (Pepperidge Farm, Snyder's-Lance brands) is the weak spot: organic sales fell 4% and segment operating earnings fell 28% in fiscal 2026. Closing two chip plants and reducing salaried staff is a real bet that this turnaround works; it is not yet proven out.
  • Management's own fiscal 2027 guidance calls for a second straight year of decline: net sales down 2%-4% and adjusted earnings per share down 17%-24% to $1.65-$1.80. The turnaround is not expected to show up in results until fiscal 2028.
  • The 36% dividend cut signals real cash-flow strain, not just caution. It may push income-focused shareholders to sell, and there is less cushion if the company needs to cut the payout again.
  • GLP-1 weight-loss drugs, tariffs (an estimated 2.3-point cut to fiscal 2026 gross margin), and cost inflation of about 5%-6% for fiscal 2027, with logistics costs up near double digits, all pressure volumes and margins at the same time.
  • The turnaround depends on a still-new leadership team: CEO Mick Beekhuizen has led the company since February 2025, and CFO Todd Cunfer joined in October 2025. It also leans on the $286 million La Regina stake to keep Rao's, its fastest-growing brand, supplied and growing.
  • Private-label competition and a longer-term shift toward fresh and "better-for-you" foods could permanently shrink demand for legacy soup and snack brands, independent of any near-term turnaround.

Balance sheet

Cash
$394M
Debt
$7.1B
Net debt
$6.7B
Net debt / EBITDA
5.3×
EBITDA $1.3B, last 12 months
Interest cover
2.6×
times profit pays interest
Credit line
$1.9B
undrawn, to April 2031

Cash against debt

Cash$394M
Debt$7.1B

debt covered by cashnet debt $6.7B

Leverage: net debt / EBITDA

low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×

When the debt is due

12 months$977M
Later$6.2B

Credit ratings

  • Moody's Baa3 · negative
  • S&P BBB-
  • Fitch BBB- · stable

Campbell's uses mostly fixed-rate senior unsecured notes of the parent company. It issued them to buy Snyder's-Lance in 2018 and Sovos Brands in 2024, and it is now one notch above junk at Moody's, with little room for buybacks, deals or another drop in profit.

Dividends

Yield at the current rate
4.5% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
Dividend yield
6.4% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $22.31)
Paid per share
$1.42 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$1.00 ($0.25 × 4 a year)
Payout ratio
119% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended August 2, 2026)
Latest ex-dividend date
October 1, 2026, $0.25 per share

Special payment or a cut. The last 12 months paid at least 25% more than the current annual rate. The company may have paid a special dividend, or it may have cut its dividend.

Dividends per share by year

The Campbell's Company dividends per share by year
2016
$1.286
2017
$1.40
2018
$1.40
2019
$1.40
2020
$1.40
2021
$1.48
2022
$1.48
2023
$1.48
2024
$1.48
2025
$1.56

From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 2.2% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 2.3% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about The Campbell's Company

What does The Campbell's Company do?

The Campbell's Company, renamed from Campbell Soup Company in November 2024, sells packaged food across two segments. Its market cap is $6.7B at the current price of $22.31.

When does The Campbell's Company report earnings next?

This is an estimate: The Campbell's Company may report on December 8, 2026. It last reported results on September 3, 2026.

Is The Campbell's Company stock below its intrinsic value?

The Campbell's Company stock is deep below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at The Campbell's Company?

The latest update is from October 5, 2026. Campbell's issued $300 million of 8.500% junior subordinated notes due 2057.

What are the main risks for The Campbell's Company?

Leverage remains elevated even after the dividend cut. The Snacks segment (Pepperidge Farm, Snyder's-Lance brands) is the weak spot: organic sales fell 4% and segment operating earnings fell 28% in fiscal 2026. Management's own fiscal 2027 guidance calls for a second straight year of decline: net sales down 2%-4% and adjusted earnings per share down 17%-24% to $1.65-$1.80.

How much debt and cash does The Campbell's Company have?

At August 2, 2026, The Campbell's Company had $7.1B of debt and $394M of cash.

Does The Campbell's Company pay a dividend?

Yes. The current annual dividend of The Campbell's Company is $1.00 per share. That is a dividend yield of 4.5% at the current price of $22.31. In the last 12 months, it paid $1.42 per share (6.4%). The last 12 months paid at least 25% more than the current annual rate. The company may have paid a special dividend, or it may have cut its dividend. The latest ex-dividend date was October 1, 2026.

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