BMYPharmaceuticals
Bristol Myers Squibb
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $62.91
- Analysts view
- Leaning bullish
- Discount category
- Below intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Jan 29 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $129B
- Shares of Oct 21, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 4.0%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 4.0%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 13.9
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $4.51
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $45.27 – $68.64
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.20
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 11M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market fears that new drugs cannot replace Eliquis and Opdivo after their 2028 patent losses, and positive milvexian or Cobenfy readouts in early 2027 can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. Dated pipeline readouts and FDA decisions in the first half of 2027 can show whether new drugs replace the 2028 patent losses.
Company guidance: Non-GAAP EPS of $6.35 to $6.55 and revenues of approximately $49.75 billion to $50.25 billion for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))
Price history
About
Bristol Myers Squibb discovers, makes and sells prescription medicines for cancer, blood diseases, heart disease, immune diseases and brain diseases. It earns money from sales of patented drugs to wholesalers, hospitals and governments, and about 70% of its sales are in the US. It splits its drugs into two groups. The Growth Portfolio includes Opdivo, Opdivo Qvantig, Reblozyl, Camzyos, Breyanzi and Cobenfy, and it gave $7.7 billion of the $13.1 billion of revenue in Q3 2026.
The Legacy Portfolio includes Eliquis, a blood thinner it sells with Pfizer, and older cancer drugs such as Revlimid and Pomalyst, which now face generic copies. Eliquis and Opdivo lose their main US patent protection in 2028. Its non-GAAP research spending was $2.4 billion in Q3 2026, and it also buys or licenses new drugs to replace these sales.
Thesis
The market prices Bristol Myers Squibb with a discount because of a patent cliff. Eliquis gave $4.7 billion of revenue in Q3 2026, and its US exclusivity ends in April 2028. Opdivo, its largest cancer drug, also loses US patent protection in 2028. Since January 2026, Medicare pays a government-set price for Eliquis, and Pomalyst follows in January 2027.
Investors doubt that new drugs can replace this revenue in time, and the pipeline tests that can show it slipped. The milvexian test in atrial fibrillation and the Cobenfy tests in Alzheimer's disease psychosis moved to early 2027. For the gap to close, three things must be true. The Growth Portfolio must keep growing at a double-digit rate; it grew 15% in Q2 2026 and 12% in Q3 2026.
Milvexian or Cobenfy must give positive Phase 3 results in early 2027. The FDA must approve Reblozyl in myelofibrosis by its date of March 11, 2027 and mezigdomide in multiple myeloma by its date of May 13, 2027. The next evidence comes with the full-year 2026 report and the 2027 guidance in early 2027, and with the milvexian and Cobenfy readouts in the first quarter of 2027. If the readouts succeed, the gap can close over the next four to six quarters.
If they fail, the market will probably keep the discount until the size of the 2028 drop is clear.
Checkpoints
- Oct 29, 2026FailedQ3 2026 results: Growth Portfolio and guidanceA pass is Growth Portfolio growth near 15% and 2026 guidance kept or raised; a fail is slower Growth Portfolio growth or a guidance cut.Outcome: Growth Portfolio growth slowed to 12% and the EPS guidance fell to $6.35 to $6.55 because of licensing charges, although the revenue guidance rose.
- Jan 29, 2027 · est.PendingFull-year 2026 results and 2027 guidanceA pass is Growth Portfolio growth of 10% or more and 2027 guidance that shows revenue near the 2026 level; a fail is guidance for a large revenue drop before the 2028 patent losses.
- Q1 2027 · est.PendingMilvexian Phase 3 in atrial fibrillationA pass is a positive Phase 3 result that supports a filing; a fail is a missed endpoint or a bleeding problem.
- Q1 2027 · est.PendingCobenfy ADEPT trials in Alzheimer's disease psychosisA pass is a positive result that supports a new indication; a fail is a missed primary endpoint.
- May 13, 2027PendingFDA decision on mezigdomide in multiple myelomaA pass is FDA approval by the PDUFA date; a fail is a rejection or a delay.
Recent events
- October 29, 2026Bristol Myers Squibb reported Q3 2026 results. Revenue was $13.1 billion, up 7%. Growth Portfolio revenue grew 12% to $7.7 billion, and Eliquis revenue grew 25% to $4.7 billion. Opdivo revenue fell 6%. Non-GAAP EPS was $1.35, down from $1.63, after $1.6 billion of charges for acquired research projects, mostly from deals with Hengrui and BioNTech. The company raised its 2026 revenue guidance to about $49.75 to $50.25 billion. It changed its non-GAAP EPS guidance to $6.35 to $6.55, which includes $0.60 of licensing charges, from $6.75 to $7.00, which included $0.02.
- October 26, 2026Bristol Myers Squibb and its partner SystImmune said that two Phase 3 trials of iza-bren in China met their goals at interim analyses. In PANKU-Breast01, iza-bren cut the risk of disease progression or death by 59% against chemotherapy in a type of metastatic breast cancer. In PANKU-Lung01, it improved progression-free survival against chemotherapy in EGFR-mutated lung cancer.
- October 12, 2026Bristol Myers Squibb said that two Phase 3 trials met their primary endpoints. In ACTION-1, the radiopharmaceutical RYZ101 extended progression-free survival in patients with GEP-NETs at an interim analysis. In ALOFT-IPF, admilparant 60 mg slowed the loss of lung function in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, but the 120 mg dose did not reach statistical significance. Earlier in October, the company reported a death after acute liver injury in the admilparant program, which a committee judged unlikely to be related to the drug. The stock fell about 3% that day.
Show 6 older eventsHide older events
- October 8, 2026Bristol Myers Squibb said that the Phase 3 EXCALIBER-RRMM trial met its main goal. Zenbexus (iberdomide) with daratumumab and dexamethasone gave a median progression-free survival of 42 months, against 20 months with standard care, in relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma. This is the confirmatory trial for the accelerated approval of August 2026. The full data will be presented at the ASH meeting in December 2026.
- September 30, 2026The FDA approved Camzyos for adults and pediatric patients who weigh at least 30 kilograms with symptomatic obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.
- August 11, 2026The FDA gave accelerated approval to Zenbexus (iberdomide) with daratumumab and dexamethasone for multiple myeloma after at least one prior line of therapy. It is the company's first approved CELMoD drug. Full approval depends on the confirmatory trial.
- July 30, 2026Bristol Myers Squibb reported Q2 2026 results. Revenue was $13.0 billion, up 6%. Growth Portfolio revenue grew 15% to $7.6 billion, and Eliquis revenue grew 22% to $4.5 billion. Non-GAAP EPS was $2.04. It raised its 2026 revenue guidance to about $49.0 to $50.0 billion and its non-GAAP EPS guidance to $6.75 to $7.00. On the call, management said that the milvexian atrial fibrillation readout moved to Q1 2027 and the Cobenfy ADEPT readouts moved to early 2027, because events and enrollment came more slowly.
- May 12, 2026Bristol Myers Squibb signed licensing agreements with Hengrui Pharma for 13 early-stage programs in cancer, blood diseases and immunology. It pays Hengrui up to $950 million, with $600 million upfront, and more if milestones are met. Also in May 2026, it agreed with Anthropic to use Claude across research, development, manufacturing and commercial work.
- April 30, 2026Bristol Myers Squibb reported Q1 2026 results. Revenue was $11.5 billion, up 3%, and Growth Portfolio revenue grew 12% to $6.2 billion. Non-GAAP EPS was $1.58.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 29, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about January 29, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · bmy-20260930
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · bmy-20260630
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · bmy-20260331
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 10-KAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2025Filed · bmy-20251231
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · Read it on sec.gov
Risks
- Eliquis and Opdivo lose their main US patent protection in 2028. Eliquis alone gave about 36% of revenue in Q3 2026. Generic copies already cut Revlimid revenue by 47% and Pomalyst revenue by 80% in Q3 2026. Opdivo revenue fell 6% in Q3 2026.
- The pipeline must replace the lost revenue, and its key tests come late. The milvexian atrial fibrillation readout moved to Q1 2027, and the Cobenfy ADEPT readouts moved to early 2027. A failure in either test leaves a larger gap after 2028.
- US drug pricing law lowers prices. Under the Inflation Reduction Act, Medicare pays a set price for Eliquis from January 1, 2026 and for Pomalyst from January 1, 2027. More drugs can be chosen in later years.
- Safety and trial results can hurt new drugs. The admilparant program had liver injury cases, with one death in October 2026, and its high dose missed statistical significance.
- The company had a net debt of $29.9 billion at September 30, 2026, mostly from the Celgene, Karuna and RayzeBio purchases. Large new purchases to fill the patent gap can raise debt again.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $13.0B
- Debt
- $42.9B
- Net debt
- $29.9B
- Credit line
- $5.0B
- undrawn, to January 2031
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $29.9B
When the debt is due
Credit ratings
- Moody's A2 · stable
- S&P A · stable
Debt is the carrying value of short-term debt obligations and long-term debt at September 30, 2026. It includes $725 million of purchase price adjustments on debt acquired from Celgene. The fair value of long-term debt was $36.0 billion. Cash includes $3.4 billion of marketable debt securities. Net debt was $29.9 billion, down from $34.0 billion at December 31, 2025, because operating cash flow of $8.7 billion in the first nine months of 2026 was more than dividends of $3.9 billion. In the same period, $1.7 billion of notes matured and the company repaid them. In Q3 2026, the company paid $600 million upfront to Hengrui and $500 million to BioNTech for licensing deals. Interest expense was $1,220 million in the first nine months of 2026, against $1,459 million a year earlier. The $5.0 billion revolving credit line runs to January 2031, and it also supports a commercial paper program of up to $5.0 billion. The ratings are from the 10-K for 2025, filed in February 2026.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 4.0% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 4.0% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $62.91)
- Paid per share
- $2.52 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $2.52 ($0.63 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 72% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- October 2, 2026, $0.63 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $1.14 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $1.56 | |
| 2018 | $1.60 | |
| 2019 | $1.64 | |
| 2020 | $2.29 | |
| 2021 | $1.47 | |
| 2022 | $2.16 | |
| 2023 | $2.28 | |
| 2024 | $2.40 | |
| 2025 | $2.48 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 1.6% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 5.2% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Bristol Myers Squibb
What does Bristol Myers Squibb do?
Bristol Myers Squibb discovers, makes and sells prescription medicines for cancer, blood diseases, heart disease, immune diseases and brain diseases. It earns money from sales of patented drugs to wholesalers, hospitals and governments, and about 70% of its sales are in the US. Its market cap is $129B at the current price of $62.91.
When does Bristol Myers Squibb report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Bristol Myers Squibb may report on January 29, 2027. It last reported results on October 29, 2026.
Is Bristol Myers Squibb stock below its intrinsic value?
Bristol Myers Squibb stock is below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Bristol Myers Squibb?
The latest update is from October 29, 2026. Bristol Myers Squibb reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for Bristol Myers Squibb?
Eliquis and Opdivo lose their main US patent protection in 2028. The pipeline must replace the lost revenue, and its key tests come late. US drug pricing law lowers prices.
How much debt and cash does Bristol Myers Squibb have?
At September 30, 2026, Bristol Myers Squibb had $42.9B of debt and $13.0B of cash.
Does Bristol Myers Squibb pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of Bristol Myers Squibb is $2.52 per share. That is a dividend yield of 4.0% at the current price of $62.91. The latest ex-dividend date was October 2, 2026.
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