By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $29.45
- Analysts view
- Mixed
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Feb 3 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $168B
- Shares of Oct 28, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 5.8%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 5.8%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 42.1
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $0.70
- 12 months to Sep 27, 2026
- 52-week range
- $23.62 – $31.44
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.26
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 34M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market fears that patent losses and lower US drug prices will shrink Pfizer's revenue, and only steady growth of new medicines and good obesity data over several years can close the gap.
- Gap
- Slow. Pfizer must replace the revenue of medicines that lose patent protection with new medicines and its obesity program, and that takes several years of launches and Phase 3 data.
Company guidance: Adjusted diluted EPS of $2.95 to $3.05 and revenues of $62.0 to $64.0 billion for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))
Price history
About
Pfizer is one of the largest drug companies in the world, based in New York. It sells medicines and vaccines in many areas: cancer (Padcev, Lorbrena, Ibrance and Xtandi), heart disease (Eliquis and the Vyndaqel family), vaccines (Prevnar, Abrysvo and Comirnaty) and others. In November 2025, Pfizer bought Metsera, a company that develops obesity medicines, for $65.60 per share in cash plus a contingent value right of up to $20.65 per share. Pfizer expects 2026 revenue of $62.0 billion to $64.0 billion.
Thesis
The market prices Pfizer for a large loss of revenue as patents on major medicines expire in the next few years, and for lower drug prices in the United States. Revenue from COVID-19 products also continues to fall: in Q3 2026, Paxlovid revenue fell 63% and Comirnaty revenue fell 29% at constant exchange rates. In Q2 2026, Pfizer recorded $4.3 billion of impairments on intangible assets, which shows that some past purchases earn less than planned. To replace the lost revenue, Pfizer depends on its newer medicines and its pipeline.
Its launched and acquired products grew 32% in Q3 2026, and it plans 10 Phase 3 studies of its monthly obesity medicine berobenatide in 2026. For the gap to close, three things must be true. Pfizer must keep 2026 adjusted EPS within its guidance, which it raised on November 3, 2026 to $2.95 to $3.05. Its guidance for 2027, which it may give in December 2026 as it did for 2026, must show that cost savings and new medicines can offset the patent losses.
The obesity program must produce positive Phase 3 data on schedule. The 2027 guidance in December 2026 is the next test. If these checks pass, the gap can close over several years, as the new medicines grow. The main reason it may not close is a faster revenue decline after the patent losses than the new medicines can replace.
Checkpoints
- Nov 3, 2026PassedQ3 2026 earnings: guidance and new productsAdjusted EPS on track for the $2.80 to $3.00 guidance with continued growth of launched and acquired products passes; a guidance cut fails.Outcome: Launched and acquired products grew 32%, and Pfizer raised its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $2.95 to $3.05.
- Q4 2026 · est.PassedFDA decision on Talzenna with Xtandi in prostate cancerFDA approval for HRR gene-altered metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer passes; a rejection or a delay fails.Outcome: In October 2026, the FDA approved Talzenna with Xtandi for men with HRR gene-mutated metastatic prostate cancer that is naive or sensitive to hormone therapy.
- Dec 2026 · est.Pending2027 guidance2027 guidance that shows stable adjusted EPS despite the patent losses passes; guidance for a large drop in EPS fails.
- Feb 3, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 earnings: 2026 results against guidance2026 adjusted EPS within the $2.95 to $3.05 guidance and continued growth of launched and acquired products pass; a miss of the guidance fails.
Recent events
- November 3, 2026Pfizer's board named Cecile Guegan Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President, from November 1, 2026. She had been Interim CFO since August 16, 2026, and has worked in Pfizer finance roles since 2009.
- November 3, 2026Pfizer reported Q3 2026 results. Revenue was $16.6 billion, flat at constant exchange rates, and revenue without Comirnaty and Paxlovid grew 7%. Launched and acquired products grew 32%. Reported EPS was $0.56 and adjusted EPS was $0.87, the same as a year earlier, after a $650 million charge for the Innovent license. Pfizer raised its 2026 guidance to revenue of $62.0 billion to $64.0 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.95 to $3.05. It also named Cecile Guegan as CFO from November 1, 2026. The release lists October 2026 news: the FDA approved Talzenna with Xtandi for men with metastatic prostate cancer with HRR gene mutations and Tukysa as a first-line maintenance treatment in HER2-positive breast cancer, and the Phase 3 MagnetisMM-32 study of Elrexfio in multiple myeloma met its main goal.
- October 6, 2026Pfizer declared a fourth-quarter 2026 dividend of $0.43 per share, payable on December 7, 2026.
Show 4 older eventsHide older events
- September 22, 2026Pfizer said that it will report Q3 2026 results on November 3, 2026.
- August 4, 2026Pfizer reported Q2 2026 results. Revenue was $15.0 billion, up 3% (1% at constant exchange rates). It had a reported loss of $0.04 per share because of $4.3 billion of impairments, and adjusted EPS was $0.77. Pfizer raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $60.5 billion to $62.5 billion and kept its adjusted EPS guidance of $2.80 to $3.00. It also announced $2.5 billion of additional cost savings, expected from 2027 through 2029.
- July 10, 2026Pfizer completed its licensing agreement with Innovent Biologics for 12 early-stage cancer medicines. Innovent received $650 million upfront and can receive up to $9.85 billion more in milestone payments. Pfizer records the upfront payment as a charge in Q3 2026, which lowers 2026 adjusted EPS by about $0.10.
- June 18, 2026Pfizer said that CFO Dave Denton will leave on August 15, 2026. Cecile Guegan became Interim CFO on August 16 while Pfizer searches for a new CFO. In June 2026, Pfizer also presented Phase 2b results for berobenatide, a monthly obesity medicine, and its Phase 3 lung cancer study of sigvotatug vedotin did not meet its main goal.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- November 3, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about February 3, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · pfe-20261030
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 27, 2026Filed · pfe-20260927
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 28, 2026Filed · pfe-20260628
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · pfe-20260618
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · pfe-20260618
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 29, 2026Filed · pfe-20260329
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · pfe-20260423
Risks
- Several large medicines lose patent protection in the next few years. Generic and biosimilar competition already lowers 2026 revenue by about $1.1 billion, and the loss grows as larger products lose protection.
- The US government wants lower drug prices, including prices linked to other countries. New price rules or negotiated prices can lower the revenue of Pfizer's main medicines.
- The pipeline must replace the lost revenue. The obesity market has strong competitors, and a failed trial, such as the Phase 3 sigvotatug vedotin study in June 2026, removes expected revenue.
- Pfizer recorded $4.3 billion of impairments in Q2 2026. More impairments are possible if acquired medicines sell less than planned. Debt was about $62.7 billion at September 27, 2026, and Pfizer plans no share buybacks in 2026.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $14.3B
- Debt
- $62.7B
- Net debt
- $48.4B
- Credit line
- $7.0B
- undrawn, to October 2031
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $48.4B
When the debt is due
Pfizer is reducing the debt that it took on for large purchases. At September 27, 2026, total debt was $62.67 billion: long-term debt of $60.00 billion and short-term borrowings, including $2.60 billion of current long-term debt, of $2.67 billion. Cash and short-term investments were $14.27 billion: $1.82 billion of cash and $12.45 billion of short-term investments. Pfizer has a $7.0 billion committed revolving credit facility that now matures in October 2031 and supports its commercial paper. Net interest expense was $1.66 billion in the first nine months of 2026. Pfizer paid $7.3 billion of dividends in the first nine months of 2026 ($1.29 per share) and bought back no shares. Its 2026 guidance assumes no share repurchases, and it plans to reduce debt over the longer term.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 5.8% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 5.8% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $29.45)
- Paid per share
- $1.72 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $1.72 ($0.43 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 126% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- November 6, 2026, $0.43 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $1.1385 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $1.2144 | |
| 2018 | $1.2903 | |
| 2019 | $1.3662 | |
| 2020 | $1.4421 | |
| 2021 | $1.56 | |
| 2022 | $1.60 | |
| 2023 | $1.64 | |
| 2024 | $1.68 | |
| 2025 | $1.72 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 3.6% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 4.9% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Pfizer
What does Pfizer do?
Pfizer is one of the largest drug companies in the world, based in New York. It sells medicines and vaccines in many areas: cancer (Padcev, Lorbrena, Ibrance and Xtandi), heart disease (Eliquis and the Vyndaqel family), vaccines (Prevnar, Abrysvo and Comirnaty) and others. Its market cap is $168B at the current price of $29.45.
When does Pfizer report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Pfizer may report on February 3, 2027. It last reported results on November 3, 2026.
Is Pfizer stock below its intrinsic value?
Pfizer stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Pfizer?
The latest update is from November 3, 2026. Pfizer's board named Cecile Guegan Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President, from November 1, 2026.
What are the main risks for Pfizer?
Several large medicines lose patent protection in the next few years. The US government wants lower drug prices, including prices linked to other countries. The pipeline must replace the lost revenue.
How much debt and cash does Pfizer have?
At September 27, 2026, Pfizer had $62.7B of debt and $14.3B of cash.
Does Pfizer pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of Pfizer is $1.72 per share. That is a dividend yield of 5.8% at the current price of $29.45. The latest ex-dividend date was November 6, 2026.
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