ANETNetworking equipment
Arista Networks
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $196.68
- Analysts view
- Very bullish
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Top pick
- Next earnings
- Earnings Feb 3 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $248B
- Shares of Oct 29, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 52.7
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $3.73
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $114.52 – $217.41
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 1.61
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 6.3M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market doubts that Arista's growth can last with two very large customers, and fast growth from more customers with a stable gross margin into 2027 can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The Q4 2026 report with the 2027 outlook in early 2027 and the next quarters show whether growth and gross margin hold.
Company guidance: Revenue of $3.9 to $4.0 billion and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $1.26 to $1.30 for Q4 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K Ex. 99.1))
About
Arista Networks sells Ethernet switches and routers, and the software that runs and monitors them, for AI and cloud data centers, campus networks and wide area networks. All its switches run one operating system, EOS, and its CloudVision software manages the network. Its largest customers are large cloud and AI companies.
Revenue was $9.006 billion in 2025. In Q3 2026, revenue was $3.658 billion: products gave $3.190 billion and services gave $467.6 million.
Thesis
The market doubts that Arista's fast growth can last, because a few very large customers buy most of its products. Two end customers gave 26% and 16% of revenue in 2025. Their spending on AI networks can change quickly, and they can also buy from other suppliers or use switches that they design themselves. Supply of memory and silicon is tight and costs are higher, so GAAP gross margin was 63.6% in Q3 2026, down from 64.6% a year earlier.
For the gap to close, three things must be true. Revenue must keep growing fast into 2027; it grew 58.5% in Q3 2026, and Arista guides Q4 2026 revenue of $3.9 billion to $4.0 billion. Gross margin must stay near the level of 2026. Growth must come from more customers, in AI back-end networks, enterprise campus and routing, so that the two largest customers matter less.
The Q4 2026 report, expected in early February 2027, is the next test and gives the 2027 outlook. The 2026 annual report then shows how much revenue the two largest customers gave in 2026. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next four to six quarters. The main reason it may not close is a slowdown in AI spending by its largest customers.
Checkpoints
- Nov 3, 2026PassedQ3 2026 results: growth and gross marginRevenue at or above the guided $3.3 billion with a stable gross margin pass; revenue below guidance or a further fall in gross margin fail.Outcome: Revenue was $3.66 billion, above the guided $3.3 billion, and GAAP gross margin rose to 63.6% from 62.9% in Q2 2026.
- Feb 3, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 results and 2027 outlookA 2027 outlook for fast growth from more customers passes; slower growth or a larger share from the two largest customers fails.
Recent events
- November 3, 2026Arista reported Q3 2026 results. Revenue was $3.658 billion, up 58.5% and above the guided $3.3 billion. GAAP EPS was $1.22 and non-GAAP EPS was $1.20, above the guided $1.06 to $1.08. The GAAP gross margin was 63.6%, up from 62.9% in Q2 2026 but down from 64.6% a year earlier. For Q4 2026, Arista guided revenue of $3.9 billion to $4.0 billion, a non-GAAP operating margin of 48% to 49% and non-GAAP EPS of $1.26 to $1.30.
- October 7, 2026Arista announced liquid-cooled Ethernet rack-scale systems for AI networks, made with partners that include AMD, Broadcom, Meta and Microsoft. The Etherlink SU-144 design connects up to 144 accelerators in one rack.
- October 6, 2026Arista said that it will report Q3 2026 results after the market closes on November 3, 2026, with a call at 1:30 p.m. PT.
Show 4 older eventsHide older events
- August 4, 2026Arista reported Q2 2026 results. Revenue was $3.036 billion, its first quarter above $3 billion, up 37.7%. GAAP EPS was $0.95 and non-GAAP EPS was $1.02. The GAAP gross margin was 62.9%, down from 65.2% a year earlier. For Q3 2026, Arista guided revenue of about $3.3 billion, a non-GAAP operating margin of 48% to 49% and non-GAAP EPS of $1.06 to $1.08.
- May 5, 2026Arista reported Q1 2026 results. Revenue was $2.709 billion, up 35.1%, and non-GAAP EPS was $0.87. Cash flow from operations was $1.69 billion.
- February 12, 2026Arista reported Q4 2025 results. Revenue for 2025 was $9.006 billion, up 28.6%, and non-GAAP EPS was $2.98. The GAAP gross margin was 62.9% in Q4 2025, down from 64.6% in Q3 2025.
- November 4, 2025Arista reported Q3 2025 results. Revenue was $2.308 billion, up 27.5%, and non-GAAP EPS was $0.75. Arista named Kenneth Duda President and Chief Technology Officer.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- November 3, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about February 3, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · anet-20260930
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · anet-20260630
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · anet-20260529
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · anet-20260331
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 10-KAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2025Filed · anet-20251231
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KChange of directors or officers and Change to shareholder rights or bylawsFiled · anet-20250905
Risks
- Two end customers gave 26% and 16% of revenue in 2025. If one of them spends less on networks, uses another supplier or builds its own switches, revenue can fall quickly.
- GAAP gross margin was 62.9% in the first nine months of 2026, down from 64.5% a year earlier. Supply of memory and silicon is tight, and costs are higher. If costs keep rising, the margin can fall further.
- Arista had $11.4 billion of purchase commitments that it cannot cancel at September 30, 2026, to meet AI demand, and inventories rose to $3.21 billion from $2.25 billion at December 31, 2025. If demand falls, it can have excess inventory and write-downs.
- Tariffs and other trade measures can raise the cost of products that contract manufacturers build outside the United States.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $14.4B
- Debt
- $0.0M
- Net cash
- $14.4B
Cash against debt
debt covered by cash
Arista Networks has no debt. At September 30, 2026, cash and cash equivalents were $2.29 billion and marketable securities were $12.07 billion, a total of $14.36 billion. Customers paid in advance for much of this cash: deferred revenue was $5.10 billion in current liabilities and $1.74 billion in non-current liabilities. Cash flow from operations was $3.98 billion in the first nine months of 2026. Inventories were $3.21 billion at September 30, 2026, up from $2.25 billion at December 31, 2025. Arista had $11.4 billion of purchase commitments for components and products that it cannot cancel at September 30, 2026, of which $9.3 billion it expects to receive within 12 months. It bought back no shares in the first nine months of 2026, and $817.9 million of buyback authorization was left.
Dividends
Arista Networks does not pay a dividend.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026.
Questions about Arista Networks
What does Arista Networks do?
Arista Networks sells Ethernet switches and routers, and the software that runs and monitors them, for AI and cloud data centers, campus networks and wide area networks. All its switches run one operating system, EOS, and its CloudVision software manages the network. Its market cap is $248B at the current price of $196.68.
When does Arista Networks report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Arista Networks may report on February 3, 2027. It last reported results on November 3, 2026.
Is Arista Networks stock below its intrinsic value?
Arista Networks stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Arista Networks?
The latest update is from November 3, 2026. Arista reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for Arista Networks?
Two end customers gave 26% and 16% of revenue in 2025. GAAP gross margin was 62.9% in the first nine months of 2026, down from 64.5% a year earlier. Arista had $11.4 billion of purchase commitments that it cannot cancel at September 30, 2026, to meet AI demand, and inventories rose to $3.21 billion from $2.25 billion at December 31, 2025.
How much debt and cash does Arista Networks have?
At September 30, 2026, Arista Networks had $0.0M of debt and $14.4B of cash.
Does Arista Networks pay a dividend?
No. Arista Networks does not pay a dividend.
Similar companies
- CSCOCisco SystemsShares: AI supplier, Tariffs and trade
- Intrinsic value
- Close to intrinsic value
- Gap
- Can close
- CARRCarrier GlobalShares: AI supplier, Tariffs and trade
- Intrinsic value
- Well below intrinsic value
- Gap
- Can close
- AMATApplied MaterialsShares: AI supplier, Tariffs and trade
- Intrinsic value
- Below intrinsic value
- Gap
- Can close
- KLACKLAShares: AI supplier, Tariffs and trade
- Intrinsic value
- Below intrinsic value
- Gap
- Can close
- LRCXLam ResearchShares: AI supplier, Tariffs and trade
- Intrinsic value
- Below intrinsic value
- Gap
- Can close
Loading your notes…
Read it all? Star ANET or pass, then go on to the next one.