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Cisco Systems

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$100.76
Analysts view
Leaning bullish
Discount category
Close to intrinsic value
Pick status
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Feb 12 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$397B
Shares of Aug 27, 2026
Yield at current rate
1.7%
Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 13, 2026
Dividend yield
1.7%
Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 13, 2026
P/E (trailing)
30.3
Price of Nov 13, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$3.33
12 months to Jul 25, 2026
52-week range
$72.80 – $130.37
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
1.00
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
18M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
The market doubts that Cisco's AI and campus networking upturn will last and fears lower margins, and steady orders with stable gross margin through fiscal 2027 can close the gap.
Gap
Can close. The Q2 fiscal 2027 report and the next quarterly reports show whether revenue growth and gross margin hold.

Company guidance: Revenue of $74.8 billion to $75.8 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $5.47 to $5.53 for fiscal 2027 (raised) (, Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings release (8-K Ex. 99.1))

Price history

About

Cisco Systems makes networking equipment and software: switches, routers, wireless products and optics, plus security, collaboration and observability products. It also sells technical support and professional services. Its customers are businesses of all sizes, governments, service providers and hyperscalers. Its fiscal year ends in late July.

Revenue was $63.3 billion in fiscal 2026, which ended on July 25, 2026. In Q1 fiscal 2027, which ended on October 24, 2026, revenue was a record $18.5 billion, product revenue grew 32%, and Networking product revenue grew 43%. Hyperscalers that buy AI infrastructure gave about 6% of revenue in fiscal 2026, up from less than 2% in fiscal 2025.

Thesis

The market doubts that the current demand for Cisco networking will last, and it fears lower margins. Revenue grew 24% to a record $18.5 billion in Q1 fiscal 2027, and Networking product revenue grew 43%. Cisco now expects $9 billion of AI infrastructure revenue from hyperscalers in fiscal 2027, more than double the total for fiscal 2026. But much of this demand comes from a few hyperscalers that buy in large and irregular amounts and can design their own equipment.

The non-GAAP gross margin fell to 65.6% in Q1 fiscal 2027 from 68.1% a year earlier, and inventory rose to $6.4 billion at October 24, 2026 from $5.7 billion at July 25, 2026. The market treats the strong demand as the peak of a cycle. For the gap to close, three things must be true. Cisco must reach its raised fiscal 2027 guidance of $74.8 billion to $75.8 billion in revenue and $5.47 to $5.53 in non-GAAP EPS.

The non-GAAP gross margin must stay in the guided range of 65% to 66%. AI infrastructure revenue from hyperscalers must reach the expected $9 billion in fiscal 2027, while the campus refresh and security keep growing. The Q2 fiscal 2027 report, which Cisco has not dated yet, gives the next test. If revenue and margins hold, the gap can close over the next four to six quarters.

If hyperscaler orders fall or memory costs rise more, the gap can last longer.

Checkpoints

  1. Nov 12, 2026Passed
    Q1 fiscal 2027 results: margins and AI ordersRevenue of $18.0 billion to $18.2 billion or more, a non-GAAP gross margin of at least 65% and a confirmed fiscal 2027 guidance pass; a gross margin below 65% or lower guidance fail.Outcome: Revenue was a record $18.5 billion, the non-GAAP gross margin was 65.6%, and Cisco raised its fiscal 2027 guidance.
  2. Feb 12, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q2 fiscal 2027 results: revenue and gross marginRevenue of $18.0 billion to $18.2 billion or more, a non-GAAP gross margin of at least 65% and a confirmed fiscal 2027 guidance pass; a gross margin below 65% or lower guidance fail.
  3. Aug 2027 · est.Pending
    Fiscal 2027 AI infrastructure revenueAI infrastructure revenue from hyperscalers of about $9 billion or more in fiscal 2027 passes; a large shortfall fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • November 12, 2026Cisco reported Q1 fiscal 2027 results. Revenue grew 24% to a record $18.5 billion, and product revenue grew 32%. GAAP EPS was $1.14, and non-GAAP EPS grew 40% to a record $1.40. The non-GAAP gross margin was 65.6%, down from 68.1%. Cisco raised its fiscal 2027 guidance to $74.8 billion to $75.8 billion in revenue and $5.47 to $5.53 in non-GAAP EPS, and it now expects $9 billion of AI infrastructure revenue from hyperscalers in fiscal 2027. It guided Q2 fiscal 2027 revenue of $18.0 billion to $18.2 billion. It returned $3.7 billion to shareholders in the quarter and declared a quarterly dividend of $0.42 per share.
  • November 3, 2026Cisco said that it will report Q1 fiscal 2027 results after the market closes on November 12, 2026, with a call at 1:30 p.m. PT.
  • August 12, 2026Cisco reported Q4 fiscal 2026 results. Revenue grew 18% to $17.3 billion, and non-GAAP EPS grew 23% to $1.22. Product orders grew 35%, and AI infrastructure orders from hyperscalers were $4 billion in the quarter and $9.3 billion in fiscal 2026. The non-GAAP gross margin fell to 66.3% from 68.4%. Cisco guided fiscal 2027 revenue of $72.2 billion to $73.4 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $5.05 to $5.11, and it expects $7.5 billion of AI infrastructure revenue from hyperscalers. In the quarter it bought Galileo Technologies and Astrix Security.
Show 2 older events
  • May 13, 2026Cisco reported Q3 fiscal 2026 results. Revenue grew 12% to a record $15.8 billion, and non-GAAP EPS grew 10% to $1.06. It raised its expected fiscal 2026 AI infrastructure orders from hyperscalers to $9 billion from $5 billion. It also announced a restructuring plan with pre-tax charges of up to $1 billion, mostly cash, to move spending to silicon, optics, security and AI.
  • February 11, 2026Cisco reported Q2 fiscal 2026 results. Revenue grew 10% to $15.3 billion, and non-GAAP EPS grew 11% to $1.04. Product orders grew 18%, and AI infrastructure orders from hyperscalers were $2.1 billion. It raised its quarterly dividend by 2% to $0.42 per share.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
August 12, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about February 12, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 858877)

Risks

  • Memory costs and the mix of products lower margins. The non-GAAP product gross margin fell to 63.7% in Q1 fiscal 2027 from 67.2% a year earlier. In August 2026, Cisco said that it expects higher costs of memory to continue to hurt it.
  • AI infrastructure sales go to a few hyperscalers that buy in large and irregular amounts. These customers can design their own equipment, so orders can fall fast.
  • Inventory rose to $6.4 billion at October 24, 2026, from $5.7 billion at July 25, 2026 and $3.2 billion a year before that. Purchase commitments for Cisco Silicon One and memory also rose in fiscal 2026. If demand falls, Cisco can have write-downs and losses on these commitments.
  • Commercial paper was $6.7 billion at July 25, 2026, up from $3.5 billion a year earlier, and debt is above cash. Tariffs and trade policy also affect costs, and Cisco includes the estimated tariff impact in its guidance.

Balance sheet

Cash
$15.8B
Debt
$29.8B
Net debt
$14.0B
Interest cover
15×
times profit pays interest
Credit line
$5.0B
undrawn, to February 2029

Cash against debt

Cash$15.8B
Debt$29.8B

debt covered by cashnet debt $14.0B

When the debt is due

12 months$10.4B
Later$19.4B

The last debt is due in 2064.

Cisco funds itself with senior fixed-rate notes and commercial paper. At October 24, 2026, cash and cash equivalents were $7.8 billion and investments were $8.1 billion, a total of $15.8 billion.

Dividends

Yield at the current rate
1.7% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
Dividend yield
1.7% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $100.76)
Paid per share
$1.67 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$1.68 ($0.42 × 4 a year)
Payout ratio
50% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended July 25, 2026)
Latest ex-dividend date
October 2, 2026, $0.42 per share

Dividends per share by year

Cisco Systems dividends per share by year
2016
$0.99
2017
$1.13
2018
$1.28
2019
$1.38
2020
$1.43
2021
$1.47
2022
$1.51
2023
$1.55
2024
$1.59
2025
$1.63

From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 2.7% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 7.1% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Cisco Systems

What does Cisco Systems do?

Cisco Systems makes networking equipment and software: switches, routers, wireless products and optics, plus security, collaboration and observability products. It also sells technical support and professional services. Its market cap is $397B at the current price of $100.76.

When does Cisco Systems report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Cisco Systems may report on February 12, 2027. It last reported results on November 12, 2026.

Is Cisco Systems stock below its intrinsic value?

Cisco Systems stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Cisco Systems?

The latest update is from November 12, 2026. Cisco reported Q1 fiscal 2027 results.

What are the main risks for Cisco Systems?

Memory costs and the mix of products lower margins. AI infrastructure sales go to a few hyperscalers that buy in large and irregular amounts. Inventory rose to $6.4 billion at October 24, 2026, from $5.7 billion at July 25, 2026 and $3.2 billion a year before that.

How much debt and cash does Cisco Systems have?

At October 24, 2026, Cisco Systems had $29.8B of debt and $15.8B of cash.

Does Cisco Systems pay a dividend?

Yes. The current annual dividend of Cisco Systems is $1.68 per share. That is a dividend yield of 1.7% at the current price of $100.76. In the last 12 months, it paid $1.67 per share (1.7%). The latest ex-dividend date was October 2, 2026.

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