MUFGBanking
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $21.94
- Analysts view
- Very bullish
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Feb 13 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $260B
- Shares of Mar 31, 2026
- 52-week range
- $14.88 – $24.26
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.54
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 2.8M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- Investors doubt that MUFG can keep its high returns when Japanese rate rises slow, and profit on target with steady buybacks through the new plan in 2027 can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The Q3 results, expected in February 2027, and the new medium-term plan, expected in 2027, give dated checks within about a year.
Company guidance: Profit target of ¥2,800.0 billion and dividend of ¥100 per share for the year to March 31, 2027 (, First half results for the year to March 2027 (6-K))
Price history
About
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) is one of the largest financial groups in the world and is based in Japan. Its main companies are MUFG Bank, Mitsubishi UFJ Trust and Banking, Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities, Mitsubishi UFJ NICOS for cards and consumer finance, and Mitsubishi UFJ Asset Management. It also owns Krungsri in Thailand and Bank Danamon in Indonesia, and it held about 23.9% of the voting rights in Morgan Stanley at March 31, 2026. In April 2026, MUFG Bank bought a 20% stake in Shriram Finance in India.
Total assets were ¥425.8 trillion at September 30, 2026. Its fiscal year ends on March 31. Each American depositary share (ADS) on the New York Stock Exchange is one common share, and the shares also trade in Tokyo.
Thesis
The market doubts that MUFG can keep its recent high returns. Profit attributable to owners of parent rose 30.3% to ¥2,427.2 billion in the year to March 31, 2026, and rose 26.1% to ¥1,630,897 million in the six months to September 30, 2026, mainly because higher yen interest rates raised lending margins in Japan. Investors ask how much of this gain stays when Japanese rate rises stop. Overseas credit costs can rise, and MUFG keeps extra allowances for geopolitical risk.
MUFG also paid ¥706.9 billion for a 20% stake in Shriram Finance in April 2026, which must earn its cost. For the gap to close, three things must be true. Profit must reach the raised target of ¥2,800.0 billion for the year to March 31, 2027, and first half profit was more than half of this target. ROE must stay near or above the target of about 12% on the Tokyo Stock Exchange basis, after 14.47% in the first half.
The CET1 ratio, 12.65% at September 30, 2026 on a preliminary basis, must support more buybacks and a dividend payout ratio of about 40%. The Q3 results, expected in February 2027, and the full-year results, expected in May 2027, are the next tests. The next medium-term business plan, which starts in the year to March 2028, gives a longer test. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next four to six quarters.
The main reason it may not close is lower Japanese rates, a weaker economy or a credit shock abroad.
Checkpoints
- Nov 13, 2026PassedFirst half results: profit against the targetFirst half profit at or above half of the ¥2,700.0 billion target, or a higher target, and a new buyback pass; a lower target or a sharp rise in credit costs fail.Outcome: First half profit was ¥1,630,897 million, more than half of the target, and MUFG raised the target to ¥2,800.0 billion and approved a buyback of up to ¥200 billion.
- Feb 13, 2027 · est.PendingQ3 results: profit against the raised targetNine-month profit of about three quarters of the ¥2,800.0 billion target or more and stable credit costs pass; a lower target or large new credit provisions fail.
- May 2027 · est.PendingNew medium-term business planAn ROE target above the current target of about 12% and a clear shareholder return policy pass; a lower ROE target or lower payouts fail.
Recent events
- November 13, 2026MUFG reported first half results for the year to March 31, 2027. Profit attributable to owners of parent rose 26.1% to ¥1,630,897 million, and ordinary profits rose 29.4% to ¥2,260,957 million. Net interest income rose to ¥1,851,230 million from ¥1,440,026 million. ROE was 14.47% on the Japan Exchange Group basis. MUFG raised its profit target for the year to ¥2,800.0 billion from ¥2,700.0 billion, mainly because of progress in its customer segments and higher equity earnings related to Morgan Stanley. It raised its dividend forecast for the year to ¥100 per share from ¥96, with an interim dividend of ¥48 and a year-end dividend of ¥52.
- November 13, 2026MUFG approved a buyback of up to 70 million shares or ¥200 billion, from November 16, 2026 to January 29, 2027, through market purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange.
- October 2, 2026MUFG said that it will announce its first half results for the year to March 31, 2027 on November 13, 2026.
Show 6 older eventsHide older events
- August 14, 2026MUFG reported its capital ratios at June 30, 2026. The CET1 ratio rose to 12.95% from 12.47% at March 31, 2026, and the total capital ratio was 17.44%.
- August 3, 2026MUFG reported Q1 results for the year to March 31, 2027. Profit attributable to owners of parent rose 48.2% to ¥809.4 billion, or 30.0% of the full-year target of ¥2,700.0 billion, which MUFG kept. ROE was 14.40% on the Tokyo Stock Exchange basis. The non-performing loan ratio fell to 0.80%.
- May 15, 2026MUFG reported results for the year to March 31, 2026. Profit attributable to owners of parent rose 30.3% to ¥2,427.2 billion, above its target. The dividend rose to ¥86 per share from ¥64, and MUFG expects ¥96 for the next year. It set a profit target of ¥2,700.0 billion for the year to March 31, 2027, raised its ROE target for that year to about 12% from about 9%, and approved a buyback of up to ¥100 billion from May 18 to June 30, 2026.
- April 8, 2026MUFG Bank completed its investment in Shriram Finance, an Indian lender. It bought 471,121,055 new shares at 840.93 rupees each and now holds 20.0% on a fully diluted basis. MUFG gives the total cost as ¥706.9 billion. Shriram Finance is an equity method affiliate.
- April 1, 2026Junichi Hanzawa became President and Group CEO. Hironori Kamezawa, the former Group CEO, became Chairman. MUFG announced the change on December 16, 2025.
- November 14, 2025MUFG approved a buyback of up to 130 million shares or ¥250 billion, from November 17, 2025 to February 27, 2026.
Latest news and filings
- Next earnings
- Expected about February 13, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 20-FAnnual report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · mufg-20260331
- 6-KInterim report for the period ended Sep 30, 2025Filed · mufg-20250930
- 20-FAnnual report for the period ended Mar 31, 2025Filed · mufg-20250331
- 6-KInterim report for the period ended Sep 30, 2024Filed · mufg-20240930
Risks
- Profit growth in 2025 and 2026 came mainly from higher yen interest rates. If the Bank of Japan stops raising rates or cuts them, or if deposit costs rise faster than loan rates, profit and ROE can fall. Higher rates also lower the value of bonds, and MUFG had net losses of ¥196,099 million on debt securities in the six months to September 30, 2026.
- MUFG lends around the world and holds banks in Thailand and Indonesia. Credit losses can rise in a downturn. At September 30, 2026, it held ¥29.9 billion of extra allowances for geopolitical risks, including the Middle East, and it says that significant additional provisions may be needed.
- Large stakes in Morgan Stanley and Shriram Finance add to profit, but their results and values can change. MUFG paid ¥706.9 billion for the Shriram Finance stake in April 2026.
- MUFG reports in yen, and the ADS trades in U.S. dollars. A weaker yen lowers the dollar value of the ADS and of the dividends.
Balance sheet
MUFG is a bank group, so capital and credit quality matter more than net debt. Total assets were ¥425.8 trillion and total net assets were ¥24.3 trillion at September 30, 2026. Deposits were ¥233.4 trillion, and loans and bills discounted were ¥134.0 trillion. The CET1 capital ratio was 12.65% on a preliminary basis, up from 12.47% at March 31, 2026. The Tier 1 ratio was 15.23% and the total capital ratio was 17.12%, on risk-weighted assets of ¥123.7 trillion. The non-performing loan ratio was 0.81%, down from 0.96% at March 31, 2026. MUFG held ¥29.9 billion of extra credit loss allowances for geopolitical risks. It funds itself mainly with deposits. It also sells bonds in U.S. dollars and other currencies, and bonds payable were ¥17.3 trillion. It targets a dividend payout ratio of about 40% and buys back shares from time to time: up to ¥100 billion from May to June 2026 and up to ¥200 billion from November 2026 to January 2027. For a bank, net debt is not a useful measure, so this profile does not show debt figures.
Dividends
The dividend data after March 31, 2025 is missing.
- Latest ex-dividend date
- March 31, 2025, $0.269 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $0.00 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $0.00 | |
| 2018 | $0.00 | |
| 2019 | $0.00 | |
| 2020 | $0.116 | |
| 2021 | $0.00 | |
| 2022 | $0.00 | |
| 2023 | $0.00 | |
| 2024 | $0.293 | |
| 2025 | $0.269 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 18.3% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group
What does Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group do?
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) is one of the largest financial groups in the world and is based in Japan. Its market cap is $260B at the current price of $21.94.
When does Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group may report on February 13, 2027. It last reported results on November 13, 2026.
Is Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group stock below its intrinsic value?
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group?
The latest update is from November 13, 2026. MUFG reported first half results for the year to March 31, 2027.
What are the main risks for Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group?
Profit growth in 2025 and 2026 came mainly from higher yen interest rates. MUFG lends around the world and holds banks in Thailand and Indonesia. Large stakes in Morgan Stanley and Shriram Finance add to profit, but their results and values can change.
How much debt and cash does Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group have?
MUFG is a bank group, so capital and credit quality matter more than net debt. This is as of September 30, 2026.
Does Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group pay a dividend?
The dividend data for Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group after March 31, 2025 is missing.
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