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AMATSemiconductor equipment

Applied Materials

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$395.08
Analysts view
Bullish
Discount category
Below intrinsic value
Pick status
Top pick
Next earnings
Earnings Feb 12 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$314B
Shares of Jul 26, 2026
Yield at current rate
0.5%
Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 13, 2026
Dividend yield
0.5%
Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 13, 2026
P/E (trailing)
34.1
Price of Nov 13, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$11.59
12 months to Jul 26, 2026
52-week range
$203.40 – $739.67
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
1.66
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
7.1M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
The market prices Applied Materials for a peak in chip equipment spending and for China risk, and growth in memory, logic and packaging through fiscal 2027 can close the gap.
Gap
Can close. The end of the U.S. export rule suspension on January 10, 2027 and the Q1 fiscal 2027 report give the next dated checks.

Company guidance: Revenue of $11.1 billion +/- $500 million and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $4.35 +/- $0.20 for Q1 fiscal 2027 (, Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings release (8-K Ex. 99.1))

About

Applied Materials makes the equipment that chipmakers use to deposit, etch, change and measure the thin layers of material on silicon wafers. It has two segments. Semiconductor Systems sells equipment for foundry and logic, DRAM and flash memory chips, and for advanced packaging. Applied Global Services sells spare parts, upgrades and services for the installed base of equipment.

A smaller display business is in its Other category. Revenue was a record $34.45 billion in fiscal 2026, which ended on October 25, 2026. In Q4 fiscal 2026, Semiconductor Systems had revenue of $8.00 billion and Applied Global Services had revenue of $1.90 billion. Its fiscal year ends on the last Sunday of October.

Thesis

The market prices Applied Materials as a cyclical supplier whose record results depend on a peak in chip equipment spending. AI demand drove record revenue of $34.45 billion in fiscal 2026 and $10.41 billion in Q4, and the company guided Q1 fiscal 2027 revenue of $11.10 billion, plus or minus $500 million. But chipmakers can cut equipment orders quickly, as they did in past cycles. China gave 25% of Q4 revenue, and U.S. export rules can lower these sales further.

A U.S. rule that extends export limits to companies that listed parties own is suspended only until January 10, 2027. For the gap to close, three things must be true. Sales for DRAM, leading-edge logic and advanced packaging must grow more than sales to China fall. Gross margin must keep rising.

It rose year over year again in Q4 fiscal 2026, to 50.4% from 48.0%. Revenue must keep growing in fiscal 2027 after the record year of 2026. The end of the export rule suspension on January 10, 2027 and the Q1 fiscal 2027 report, which Applied has not dated yet, are the next tests. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next four to six quarters.

The main reason it may not close is a fall in chip equipment spending, which can lower revenue and margins at the same time.

Checkpoints

  1. Nov 12, 2026Passed
    Q4 fiscal 2026 results and fiscal 2027 outlookRevenue near the $10.25 billion guidance and a view of strong growth in fiscal 2027 pass; revenue below the range or a weaker 2027 view fail.Outcome: Revenue was a record $10.41 billion, and the company guided Q1 fiscal 2027 revenue of $11.10 billion and said that it is in a great position for multi-year revenue and profit growth.
  2. Nov 2026Passed
    U.S. export rule for affiliates of listed partiesAn extension of the suspension or no new loss of China sales passes; a return of the rule that cuts sales to more Chinese customers fails.Outcome: On November 9, 2026, the Bureau of Industry and Security extended the suspension of the rule, but only to January 10, 2027.
  3. Q4 2026 · est.Due this quarter
    Besi stake of about 20%The share purchase closes after the U.S. antitrust waiting period and the partnership in hybrid bonding grows; a block or a cancelled purchase fails.
  4. Jan 10, 2027Pending
    End of the extended suspension of the affiliates export ruleA further extension or a permanent end of the rule passes; a return of the rule on January 10, 2027 that cuts sales to more Chinese customers fails.
  5. Feb 12, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q1 fiscal 2027 resultsRevenue of $11.10 billion, plus or minus $500 million, and non-GAAP EPS of $4.35, plus or minus $0.20, pass; revenue or EPS below the range fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • November 12, 2026Applied Materials reported Q4 fiscal 2026 results. Revenue was a record $10.41 billion, up 53%. GAAP EPS was $3.40, and non-GAAP EPS was a record $4.16, up 92%. Non-GAAP gross margin was 50.6%. For fiscal 2026, revenue was a record $34.45 billion, up 21%, and non-GAAP EPS was a record $12.89, up 37%. China gave 25% of Q4 revenue, down from 29% a year earlier. In Q4 the company bought back $2.00 billion of its shares and paid $421 million in dividends. It said that it is on track to grow Semiconductor Systems more than 40% in calendar 2026. It guided Q1 fiscal 2027 revenue of $11.10 billion, plus or minus $500 million, and non-GAAP EPS of $4.35, plus or minus $0.20.
  • November 9, 2026The U.S. Bureau of Industry and Security extended the suspension of its rule that adds export limits for affiliates of listed parties, which are companies at least 50% owned by them. The suspension was to end on November 9, 2026, and now runs to January 10, 2027.
  • October 26, 2026Applied Materials agreed to buy more shares of BE Semiconductor Industries (Besi), a maker of chip assembly equipment, including hybrid bonding. With its existing stake from April 2025, it will own about 20% of Besi. The purchase must first clear the U.S. antitrust waiting period. Applied said that it does not intend to buy more than about 20% or to ask for a board seat.
Show 7 older events
  • October 22, 2026Applied Materials said that it will hold its Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings call on November 12, 2026, at 4:30 p.m. ET.
  • August 27, 2026Applied Materials added Akash Palkhiwala, the CFO and COO of Qualcomm, to its board of directors and its audit committee.
  • August 13, 2026Applied Materials reported Q3 fiscal 2026 results. Revenue was a record $9.12 billion, up 25%. GAAP EPS was $3.17, and non-GAAP EPS was a record $3.50, up 41%. Non-GAAP gross margin was 50.4%. China gave 28% of revenue, down from 35% a year earlier. The company raised its view of 2026 revenue for Semiconductor Systems and said that it expects another strong growth year in 2027. It guided Q4 fiscal 2026 revenue of $10.25 billion, plus or minus $500 million, and non-GAAP EPS of $4.02, plus or minus $0.20.
  • May 14, 2026Applied Materials reported Q2 fiscal 2026 results. Revenue was a record $7.91 billion, up 11%, and non-GAAP EPS was a record $2.86. The company said that it expects its semiconductor equipment business to grow more than 30% in calendar 2026. It raised the quarterly dividend by 15% to $0.53 per share.
  • February 12, 2026Applied Materials reported Q1 fiscal 2026 results. Revenue was $7.01 billion, down 2%, with record DRAM revenue. Non-GAAP EPS was $2.38, flat from a year earlier.
  • February 11, 2026Applied Materials agreed to pay $252.5 million to the U.S. Department of Commerce to settle claims that some shipments to China from November 2020 to July 2022 did not follow U.S. export rules. The Department of Justice and the SEC closed their related investigations without action. The settlement includes internal audits and a denial order that is suspended and will be waived after three years if the audits are complete.
  • November 13, 2025Applied Materials reported Q4 fiscal 2025 results. Revenue for fiscal 2025 was a record $28.37 billion, up 4%, and non-GAAP EPS was a record $9.42. The company said that it expects higher demand from the second half of calendar 2026.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
August 13, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about February 12, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 6951)

Risks

  • Chip equipment spending is cyclical. Record revenue in 2026 depends on AI spending by chipmakers and their customers. If AI spending or memory prices fall, chipmakers can cut orders quickly, and revenue and margins can fall together.
  • China gave 25% of revenue in Q4 fiscal 2026 and 27% in fiscal 2026. U.S. export rules already limit sales to many Chinese customers, and the government can add more limits. A rule that extends these limits to companies that listed parties own is suspended only until January 10, 2027.
  • The 2026 settlement with the U.S. Department of Commerce requires export compliance audits for three years. If Applied does not meet these terms, the suspended denial order can take effect and stop some exports.
  • A small number of large chipmakers in Taiwan, Korea, the United States and China buy most of the equipment. A delay of one large factory project can lower revenue for several quarters.
  • China controls the export of rare earth minerals that some Applied products use. More controls can delay parts and raise costs.

Balance sheet

Cash
$9.3B
Debt
$6.5B
Net cash
$2.8B
Interest cover
54×
times profit pays interest
Credit line
$2.0B
undrawn, to February 2030

Cash against debt

Cash$9.3B
Debt$6.5B

debt covered by cash

When the debt is due

12 months$1.3B
Later$5.2B

The last debt is due in 2050.

Applied Materials has more cash and investments than debt. At October 25, 2026, cash and cash equivalents were $7.24 billion and short-term investments were $2.10 billion.

Dividends

Yield at the current rate
0.5% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
Dividend yield
0.5% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $395.08)
Paid per share
$1.98 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$2.12 ($0.53 × 4 a year)
Payout ratio
20% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended October 26, 2025)
Latest ex-dividend date
August 20, 2026, $0.53 per share

Dividends per share by year

Applied Materials dividends per share by year
2016
$0.40
2017
$0.40
2018
$0.70
2019
$0.83
2020
$0.87
2021
$0.94
2022
$1.02
2023
$1.22
2024
$1.52
2025
$1.78

From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 15.4% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 16.1% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Applied Materials

What does Applied Materials do?

Applied Materials makes the equipment that chipmakers use to deposit, etch, change and measure the thin layers of material on silicon wafers. It has two segments. Its market cap is $314B at the current price of $395.08.

When does Applied Materials report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Applied Materials may report on February 12, 2027. It last reported results on November 12, 2026.

Is Applied Materials stock below its intrinsic value?

Applied Materials stock is below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Applied Materials?

The latest update is from November 12, 2026. Applied Materials reported Q4 fiscal 2026 results.

What are the main risks for Applied Materials?

Chip equipment spending is cyclical. China gave 25% of revenue in Q4 fiscal 2026 and 27% in fiscal 2026. The 2026 settlement with the U.S. Department of Commerce requires export compliance audits for three years.

How much debt and cash does Applied Materials have?

At October 25, 2026, Applied Materials had $6.5B of debt and $9.3B of cash.

Does Applied Materials pay a dividend?

Yes. The current annual dividend of Applied Materials is $2.12 per share. That is a dividend yield of 0.5% at the current price of $395.08. In the last 12 months, it paid $1.98 per share (0.5%). The latest ex-dividend date was August 20, 2026.

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