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AMCRConsumer packaging

Amcor

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$44.39
Analysts view
Bullish
Discount category
Well below intrinsic value
Pick status
Top pick
Next earnings
Earnings Feb 4 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$21B
Shares of Nov 3, 2026
Yield at current rate
5.9%
Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
Dividend yield
5.9%
Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
P/E (trailing)
19.1
Price of Nov 12, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$2.33
12 months to Sep 30, 2026
52-week range
$36.25 – $50.94
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
0.55
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
3.5M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
The market doubts that the Berry combination will give growth and lower debt, and synergies with leverage of about 3.6 times at the end of 2026 can close the gap.
Gap
Can close. The leverage result at December 31, 2026, and the next quarterly reports show whether synergies and cash flow reduce the debt.

Company guidance: Adjusted EPS of $1.70 to $1.80 and leverage of approximately 3.6x for the six months ending December 31, 2026 (, September 2026 quarter earnings release (8-K Ex. 99.1))

Price history

About

Amcor makes packaging for food, drinks, health care, beauty and home care products. It makes flexible packaging, rigid plastic containers, cartons, closures and dispensing systems. It reports two main segments: Global Flexible Packaging Solutions and Global Rigid Packaging Solutions. Amcor combined with Berry Global on April 30, 2025, which made net sales $23.5 billion in the year to June 30, 2026.

It has about 75,000 employees and about 400 sites in more than 40 countries. Amcor sells to large consumer goods and health care companies and passes most changes in resin and other raw material costs to its customers. Its shares trade on the NYSE and as CDIs on the ASX.

Thesis

The market doubts that the Berry combination will give Amcor growth and lower debt. Volumes grow slowly, raw material, energy and distribution costs rose fast, and leverage is high. In FY2026, volumes and price/mix together reduced net sales by about 2%, and in the quarter to September 30, 2026, volumes grew only about 1%. Free cash flow was $1.3 billion in FY2026, less than the guidance of $1.5 billion to $1.6 billion that Amcor gave on May 6, 2026.

Net debt rose from $12.9 billion at June 30, 2026 to $14.0 billion at September 30, 2026. So investors price Amcor as a slow-growing packager with too much debt. For the gap to close, four things must be true. Berry synergies must continue on plan; they were about $240 million in FY2026 and about $50 million in the quarter to September 30, 2026.

Volumes must grow and price increases must cover the higher input costs. Leverage must reach about 3.6 times at December 31, 2026, as guided on November 4, 2026, and fall further in 2027. Amcor must make progress on the sale or restructuring of non-core businesses with about $2.5 billion of sales, of which about $500 million is done or in process. On November 4, 2026, Amcor cut its EPS guidance for the transition period because it passes higher energy and distribution costs to customers with a delay; it said these costs will not affect 2027 results.

The report for the six-month transition period to December 31, 2026, expected in early February 2027, shows the leverage result and the first guidance for calendar 2027. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next four to six quarters.

Checkpoints

  1. Nov 4, 2026Failed
    Results for the quarter to September 30, 2026Positive volumes, synergies on plan and progress toward adjusted EPS of $1.80 to $1.90 for the transition period pass; falling volumes or a cut to the guidance fail.Outcome: Volumes grew about 1% and synergies were on plan, but Amcor cut its adjusted EPS guidance for the transition period to $1.70 to $1.80 from $1.80 to $1.90.
  2. Feb 4, 2027 · est.Pending
    Transition period results: leverage at December 31, 2026Leverage of 3.5 to 3.6 times or lower and guidance for calendar 2027 with EPS growth pass; higher leverage fails.
  3. Jun 30, 2027 · est.Pending
    Non-core portfolio salesAgreements to sell or restructure most of the non-core businesses with about $2.5 billion of sales pass; little progress fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • November 4, 2026Amcor reported results for the quarter to September 30, 2026. Net sales rose 7% to $6,129 million, mainly because higher raw material costs passed through to customers. Volumes grew about 1%, Berry synergies were about $50 million and adjusted EPS fell 2% to $0.95. Free cash flow was an outflow of $820 million and net debt rose to $14,011 million. Amcor cut its adjusted EPS guidance for the six months to December 31, 2026 to $1.70 to $1.80 from $1.80 to $1.90, and now expects leverage of about 3.6 times at December 31, 2026. It raised the quarterly dividend to 66.0 cents per share.
  • September 29, 2026Amcor said that Graeme Liebelt, its chair for nearly 13 years, will not stand for re-election and leaves the board at the November 11, 2026 annual meeting. Tom Long, a director since 2017 and a former CEO of MillerCoors, becomes chair after the meeting.
  • September 29, 2026Amcor set its 2026 annual meeting of shareholders for November 11, 2026. Shareholders will vote on a new 2026 Omnibus Management Share Plan, among other items.
Show 5 older events
  • August 12, 2026Amcor reported FY2026 results. Net sales rose 57% to $23.5 billion, mainly because of Berry. Net income was $1,106 million, adjusted EBITDA was $3,673 million and adjusted EPS rose 13% to $4.02. Free cash flow was $1,303 million and net debt was $12,897 million. For the six months to December 31, 2026, Amcor guided adjusted EPS of $1.80 to $1.90 and leverage of 3.5 to 3.6 times. It raised the quarterly dividend to 65.0 cents per share.
  • August 11, 2026Amcor's board accepted the resignation of PwC Switzerland as auditor at the request of the audit committee and appointed PwC US, effective August 14, 2026.
  • June 15, 2026Amcor appointed Ryan Yost, formerly of Avery Dennison, as President of Global Flexible Packaging Solutions, and Kate Pearlman, formerly of Lowe's, as Senior Vice President for Investor Relations and Treasury.
  • May 6, 2026Amcor reported Q3 FY2026 results. Net sales rose 77% to $5,914 million, synergies were $77 million and adjusted EPS rose 6% to $0.96. Amcor cut its FY2026 free cash flow guidance to $1.5 billion to $1.6 billion and gave adjusted EPS guidance of $3.98 to $4.03. It had six divestiture agreements under its portfolio program.
  • May 1, 2026Amcor's board changed the fiscal year end from June 30 to December 31. Amcor will report a six-month transition period from July 1 to December 31, 2026, and calendar years from 2027.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
November 4, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about February 4, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 1748790)

Risks

  • Debt is high after the Berry combination. Net debt was $14.0 billion at September 30, 2026, up from $12.9 billion at June 30, 2026, after a free cash outflow of $820 million in the quarter. Net interest expense was $610 million in FY2026 and $153 million in the quarter to September 30, 2026. If cash flow stays weak, leverage falls more slowly and a rating downgrade could raise costs.
  • Raw material costs rose fast in 2026, and the CEO called the input cost inflation unprecedented. Energy and distribution costs then rose late in the quarter to September 30, 2026. Amcor passes most of these cost changes to customers, but with a delay, so on November 4, 2026 it cut its EPS guidance for the six months to December 31, 2026.
  • Volumes depend on consumer demand for packaged goods. In FY2026, volumes and price/mix together reduced net sales by about 2%, and in the quarter to September 30, 2026 volumes grew only about 1%. Weak consumer spending would slow growth.
  • Amcor reviews non-core businesses with about $2.5 billion of sales for sale or restructuring. Only about $500 million is done or in process. The review can take time, cost money and distract management.

Balance sheet

Cash
$832M
Debt
$14.8B
Net debt
$14.0B
Net debt / EBITDA
3.8×
EBITDA $3.6B, last 12 months
Interest cover
3.1×
times profit pays interest

Cash against debt

Cash$832M
Debt$14.8B

debt covered by cashnet debt $14.0B

Leverage: net debt / EBITDA

low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×

When the debt is due

12 months$253M
Later$14.6B

Amcor funds itself with senior notes, commercial paper and bank loans. At September 30, 2026, debt was $14.84 billion: $174 million of short-term debt, $79 million of current long-term debt and $14.59 billion of long-term debt.

Dividends

Yield at the current rate
5.9% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
Dividend yield
5.9% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $44.39)
Paid per share
$2.60 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$2.60 ($0.65 × 4 a year)
Payout ratio
109% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended June 30, 2026)
Latest ex-dividend date
September 4, 2026, $0.65 per share

Dividends per share by year

Amcor dividends per share by year
2016
$2.065
2017
$2.418
2018
$2.205
2019
$2.82
2020
$2.315
2021
$2.37
2022
$2.415
2023
$2.47
2024
$2.515
2025
$2.57

From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 2.1% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 10.1% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Amcor

What does Amcor do?

Amcor makes packaging for food, drinks, health care, beauty and home care products. It makes flexible packaging, rigid plastic containers, cartons, closures and dispensing systems. Its market cap is $21B at the current price of $44.39.

When does Amcor report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Amcor may report on February 4, 2027. It last reported results on November 4, 2026.

Is Amcor stock below its intrinsic value?

Amcor stock is well below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Amcor?

The latest update is from November 4, 2026. Amcor reported results for the quarter to September 30, 2026.

What are the main risks for Amcor?

Debt is high after the Berry combination. Raw material costs rose fast in 2026, and the CEO called the input cost inflation unprecedented. Volumes depend on consumer demand for packaged goods.

How much debt and cash does Amcor have?

At September 30, 2026, Amcor had $14.8B of debt and $832M of cash.

Does Amcor pay a dividend?

Yes. The current annual dividend of Amcor is $2.60 per share. That is a dividend yield of 5.9% at the current price of $44.39. The latest ex-dividend date was September 4, 2026.

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