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SBACCell tower REIT

SBA Communications

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$190.03
Analysts view
Leaning bullish
Discount category
Well below intrinsic value
Pick status
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Feb 2 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$20B
Shares of Oct 27, 2026
Yield at current rate
2.6%
Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
Dividend yield
2.6%
Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
P/E (trailing)
20.5
Price of Nov 12, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$9.26
12 months to Sep 30, 2026
52-week range
$156.60 – $224.46
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
0.97
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
1.0M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
The market prices SBA for US lease churn and high debt costs, and US leasing growth after the churn ends in 2026 can close the gap slowly over 2027 and 2028.
Gap
Slow. US growth can return only after the Sprint and EchoStar churn ends in 2026, and new carrier work builds over 2027 and 2028.

Company guidance: AFFO per share of $12.15 to $12.37 for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))

Price history

About

SBA Communications owns and leases wireless towers and other sites, such as rooftops and small cells. At September 30, 2026, it owned or operated 45,252 sites: 17,340 in the United States and its territories and 27,912 in other countries, mostly in Latin America and Africa. Mobile network operators rent space on the towers for their antennas under long leases with yearly rent increases. More tenants on a tower add revenue at little extra cost, so site leasing gives about 98% of operating profit.

SBA also builds towers and does site development work for carriers. It is a real estate investment trust, and it pays a quarterly dividend. For 2026, it expects site leasing revenue of $2,643 million to $2,658 million.

Thesis

The market prices SBA for slow US growth and high debt costs. US site leasing revenue fell 3.4% in Q3 2026 from a year earlier, because Sprint and EchoStar ended leases. SBA expects $133 million to $136 million of US churn in 2026. Net debt was 6.4 times annualized adjusted EBITDA at September 30, 2026, so higher interest rates raise its costs and lower the price investors pay for steady rent.

Investors also ask if satellite phone service, such as SpaceX's Starlink Mobile, will reduce the need for towers. For the gap to close, three things must be true. US leasing revenue must grow again in 2027, after the Sprint and EchoStar churn ends, from new leases and amendments as carriers use new spectrum such as the spectrum of FCC Auction 115 and the upper C-band auction. AFFO per share must reach the 2026 guidance of $12.15 to $12.37, which SBA raised in November 2026, and then grow.

SBA must refinance the debt due in 2026 and 2027 at rates near the 5.1% of its July 2026 bonds while it keeps its BBB rating. The SpaceX purchase of 800 MHz spectrum in October 2026, with a plan for a ground network, can also make SpaceX a new tenant. The Q3 2026 report on November 2, 2026, kept US churn inside the plan. In November 2026, SBA funded the repayment of the 2021-1C Tower Securities with a floating-rate term loan.

The next tests are the repayment of the $1.5 billion 2020 Senior Notes due February 15, 2027, and the 2027 outlook with the Q4 report in about February 2027. The gap can close slowly, over 2027 and 2028, as churn ends and new carrier work starts.

Checkpoints

  1. Nov 2, 2026Passed
    Q3 2026 results: US leasing and churnUS churn within the guided $132 million to $136 million and AFFO per share guidance kept or raised pass; more churn or a lower outlook fails.Outcome: US churn for 2026 stayed inside the range at $133 million to $136 million, and SBA raised the midpoint of its AFFO per share outlook by $0.08 to $12.15 to $12.37.
  2. Nov 9, 2026Passed
    Refinancing of the 2021-1C Tower SecuritiesRepayment or refinancing of the $1,165 million 2021-1C Tower Securities by the anticipated repayment date at a fixed rate near the 5.25% that SBA assumed passes; a much higher rate fails.Outcome: SBA funded the full $1,165 million repayment with a new unsecured term loan at term SOFR plus 0.750% to 1.375%, a floating rate and not a fixed one, but not a much higher rate than the 5.25% it assumed.
  3. Feb 2, 2027 · est.Pending
    FY 2026 results and 2027 outlookA 2027 outlook with US site leasing revenue that grows again and higher AFFO per share passes; a further fall in US leasing revenue fails.
  4. Feb 15, 2027Pending
    Repayment of the 2020 Senior NotesRepayment or refinancing of the $1.5 billion 2020 Senior Notes by February 15, 2027, at a rate near SBA's recent borrowing costs, with the BBB rating kept, passes; a much higher rate or a rating cut fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • November 6, 2026SBA signed a $2.0 billion senior unsecured term loan that matures on November 6, 2029. It borrowed $1.165 billion on November 6, 2026, and it can borrow the other $835.0 million until May 6, 2027. The loans pay interest at term SOFR plus 0.750% to 1.375%, based on SBA's credit ratings. SBA plans to use the first $1.165 billion to repay all of the 2021-1C Tower Securities.
  • November 2, 2026SBA reported Q3 2026 results. Site leasing revenue rose 1.4% to $665.4 million, with international revenue up 13.3% and US revenue down 3.4%. AFFO per share fell 3.3% to $3.19. SBA raised its 2026 AFFO per share outlook to $12.15 to $12.37 from $11.95 to $12.40, a rise of $0.08 at the midpoint. Its revenue bridge now shows $133 million to $136 million of US churn in 2026. It bought back 1.7 million shares for $300 million in the quarter and declared a dividend of $1.25 per share.
  • October 9, 2026Tower stocks rose after SpaceX agreed to buy Grain Management's 800 MHz spectrum and said that it will pair Starlink Mobile with a ground network. SBA shares rose about 6% that morning.
Show 5 older events
  • September 25, 2026SBA set up a commercial paper program of up to $2.5 billion of short-term unsecured notes, backed by its unsecured revolving credit facility.
  • September 10, 2026SBA sold all its towers in Chile and Ecuador and agreed to sell all its towers in Peru. The Peru sale needs regulatory approval and should close in Q4 2026. The Chile and Ecuador sale lowers 2026 site leasing revenue by about $10 million.
  • August 3, 2026SBA reported Q2 2026 results. Site leasing revenue rose 5.1% to $663.9 million, with international revenue up 30.5% and US revenue down 3.7% from Sprint, EchoStar and other lease non-renewals. AFFO per share fell 3.8% to $3.05. S&P raised SBA's rating to BBB. SBA declared a dividend of $1.25 per share.
  • July 23, 2026SBA closed its first investment-grade bond offering, $3.5 billion of unsecured notes due 2030, 2031 and 2033 at a blended rate of 5.113%. It repaid its $2.2 billion term loan and its $1.0 billion revolving credit borrowings, and it signed a new $2.5 billion unsecured revolving credit facility due July 2031.
  • April 29, 2026SBA reported Q1 2026 results and its updated outlook for 2026.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
November 2, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about February 2, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 1034054)

Risks

  • US churn is high. Sprint and EchoStar leases end, and SBA expects $133 million to $136 million of US churn in 2026. US site leasing revenue fell 3.4% in Q3 2026. If carriers spend less on their networks, US growth stays weak after 2026.
  • Debt is high at 6.4 times annualized adjusted EBITDA. About $3.56 billion of debt was current at September 30, 2026, including the $1,165 million 2021-1C Tower Securities with an anticipated repayment date of November 9, 2026 and the $1.5 billion 2020 Senior Notes due February 15, 2027. Higher interest rates raise the cost of new debt and lower the value of tower rent.
  • Satellite phone services, such as SpaceX's Starlink Mobile, can reduce the need for towers in rural areas. SpaceX can also become a tower tenant if it builds a ground network.
  • About a third of site leasing revenue comes from outside the US, mostly in Latin America and Africa. Weak currencies lower this revenue in dollars, and the wireline churn of Oi in Brazil adds to international churn.
  • A merger of wireless carriers, or the exit of a carrier, can end many leases at once, as the Sprint and EchoStar churn shows.

Balance sheet

Cash
$455M
Debt
$13.0B
Net debt
$12.5B
Net debt / EBITDA
6.4×
EBITDA $2.0B, last 12 months
Interest cover
2.8×
times profit pays interest
Credit line
$2.5B
undrawn, to July 2031

Cash against debt

Cash$455M
Debt$13.0B

debt covered by cashnet debt $12.5B

Leverage: net debt / EBITDA

low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×

When the debt is due

12 months$3.6B
Later$9.4B

Credit ratings

  • S&P BBB

SBA funds itself mostly with secured tower securities of its subsidiaries and unsecured senior notes of the parent. At September 30, 2026, total debt was $12.98 billion: $6.48 billion of secured tower securities and $6.5 billion of unsecured senior notes.

Dividends

Yield at the current rate
2.6% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
Dividend yield
2.6% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $190.03)
Paid per share
$5.00 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$5.00 ($1.25 × 4 a year)
Payout ratio
45% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
Latest ex-dividend date
November 12, 2026, $1.25 per share

Dividends per share by year

SBA Communications dividends per share by year
2016
$0.00
2017
$0.00
2018
$0.00
2019
$0.74
2020
$1.86
2021
$2.32
2022
$2.84
2023
$3.40
2024
$3.92
2025
$4.44

From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 19.0% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about SBA Communications

What does SBA Communications do?

SBA Communications owns and leases wireless towers and other sites, such as rooftops and small cells. At September 30, 2026, it owned or operated 45,252 sites: 17,340 in the United States and its territories and 27,912 in other countries, mostly in Latin America and Africa. Its market cap is $20B at the current price of $190.03.

When does SBA Communications report earnings next?

This is an estimate: SBA Communications may report on February 2, 2027. It last reported results on November 2, 2026.

Is SBA Communications stock below its intrinsic value?

SBA Communications stock is well below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at SBA Communications?

The latest update is from November 6, 2026. SBA signed a $2.0 billion senior unsecured term loan that matures on November 6, 2029.

What are the main risks for SBA Communications?

US churn is high. Debt is high at 6.4 times annualized adjusted EBITDA. Satellite phone services, such as SpaceX's Starlink Mobile, can reduce the need for towers in rural areas.

How much debt and cash does SBA Communications have?

At September 30, 2026, SBA Communications had $13.0B of debt and $455M of cash.

Does SBA Communications pay a dividend?

Yes. The current annual dividend of SBA Communications is $5.00 per share. That is a dividend yield of 2.6% at the current price of $190.03. The latest ex-dividend date was November 12, 2026.

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