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RTXAerospace & defense

RTX

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$201.29
Analysts view
Bullish
Discount category
Below intrinsic value
Pick status
Top pick
Next earnings
Earnings Jan 20 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$272B
Shares of Sep 30, 2026
Yield at current rate
1.5%
Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
Dividend yield
1.4%
Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
P/E (trailing)
32.7
Price of Nov 12, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$6.15
12 months to Sep 30, 2026
52-week range
$166.74 – $226.88
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
0.30
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
4.7M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
The market removed part of the war premium from RTX and still prices the GTF engine problem, and funded missile orders with fewer grounded GTF aircraft over two to four quarters can close the gap.
Gap
Can close. Quarterly reports from October 20, 2026 and the 2027 outlook in early 2027 show whether missile orders turn into funded backlog and GTF costs fall.

Company guidance: Adjusted EPS of $7.65 - $7.75 and adjusted sales of $97.0 - $97.5 billion for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))

Price history

About

RTX makes aircraft engines, aircraft systems and defense products. It reports three segments of about the same size. Collins Aerospace makes systems for aircraft, such as avionics, landing gear, cabins and power systems. Pratt & Whitney makes engines for commercial and military aircraft, such as the Geared Turbofan (GTF) for the Airbus A320neo and the F135 for the F-35 fighter.

Raytheon makes missiles, air defense systems and radars, such as Patriot, Standard Missile and AMRAAM. RTX makes money when it sells new equipment, and it makes more money over many years from spare parts, repairs and service of the engines and systems in use. Its 2025 sales were more than $88 billion, and it has more than 180,000 employees. At September 30, 2026, its backlog was $340 billion: $176 billion commercial and $164 billion defense.

Thesis

The market prices RTX lower because it removed part of the war premium from defense stocks and because Pratt & Whitney still carries the cost of the GTF engine problem. The stock rose after the strong Q2 2026 report on July 23, 2026, and then it fell about 10% in the month to September 22, 2026. On that day, a report that Iran offered to reopen the Strait of Hormuz made investors expect less demand for missiles, and RTX fell about 3%. Investors also remember the powder metal problem in the GTF engine.

Pratt & Whitney expects more A320neo aircraft on the ground than normal through 2026, and it expects a cash cost of about $0.7 billion for this in 2026. For the gap to close, three things must be true. First, the new multi-year missile contracts must become funded orders and keep defense backlog growing: AMRAAM (up to $20.7 billion), SM-6 (up to $24.4 billion) and SM-3 Block IB (up to $6.3 billion) were awarded from September 25 to October 8, 2026. Second, RTX must deliver its 2026 outlook, which it raised again on October 20, 2026: organic sales growth of 10% to 11% and free cash flow of $9.0 to $9.2 billion.

Third, the number of GTF-powered aircraft on the ground must start to fall, and Pratt & Whitney margins must keep rising. The Q3 2026 report on October 20, 2026 passed the first test: backlog grew to $340 billion, with $164 billion in defense. The 2027 outlook with the Q4 2026 report in early 2027 is the next test. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next two to four quarters.

The main risk is that a peace in the Middle East and slower US defense funding reduce the missile orders that the market expects.

Checkpoints

  1. Oct 20, 2026Passed
    Q3 2026 results: defense orders and GTFOrganic sales growth near the 8% to 9% outlook, free cash flow on track for $8.50 to $8.75 billion and a higher defense backlog pass; a lower outlook or a new GTF charge fails.Outcome: Organic sales grew 12%, defense backlog rose to $164 billion, and RTX raised its 2026 outlook, including free cash flow to $9.0 to $9.2 billion.
  2. Jan 20, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 results: 2027 outlook and GTF fleetA 2027 outlook with sales and free cash flow growth and fewer GTF-powered aircraft on the ground passes; a flat outlook or a GTF fleet plan that slips further into 2027 fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • October 20, 2026RTX reported Q3 2026 results. Sales were $25.0 billion, up 11%, and up 12% organically. Adjusted EPS was $2.26, up 33%, and this included $0.25 from the recovery of IEEPA tariff costs. Free cash flow was $2.1 billion. New awards were more than $81 billion, and backlog reached $340 billion: $176 billion commercial and $164 billion defense. Pratt & Whitney took a $363 million charge for a customer bankruptcy. RTX raised its 2026 outlook to adjusted sales of $97.0 to $97.5 billion, organic growth of 10% to 11%, adjusted EPS of $7.65 to $7.75 and free cash flow of $9.0 to $9.2 billion.
  • October 8, 2026Raytheon won a multi-year contract for SM-3 Block IB interceptors, valued at up to $6.3 billion.
  • October 1, 2026Raytheon won a five-year contract from the US Navy for Standard Missile-6 interceptors, with two option years, valued at up to $24.4 billion.
Show 6 older events
  • September 29, 2026RTX said it will report Q3 2026 results on October 20, 2026, before the market opens.
  • September 28, 2026RTX announced a five-year contract, with two option years, for AMRAAM air-to-air missiles, valued at up to $20.7 billion. The Pentagon signed it on September 25. It builds on a February 2026 framework agreement for annual production of at least 1,900 AMRAAM missiles.
  • September 22, 2026Defense stocks fell after a Reuters report that Iran offered to reopen the Strait of Hormuz if the US eases military pressure. RTX fell about 3% in morning trading. It had fallen about 10% in the month before.
  • September 15, 2026RTX named Jill Albertelli president of Pratt & Whitney from January 1, 2027. She replaces Shane Eddy, who retires. She led Pratt & Whitney Military Engines and the F135 engine program.
  • July 23, 2026RTX reported Q2 2026 results. Sales were $24.7 billion, up 14%, and up 16% organically. Adjusted EPS was $1.89, up 21%. Free cash flow was $2.9 billion. Backlog reached $289 billion, up 22% from a year earlier. RTX raised its 2026 outlook to adjusted sales of $95.0 to $96.0 billion, adjusted EPS of $7.10 to $7.25 and free cash flow of $8.50 to $8.75 billion. On June 19, 2026, it had agreed to sell Raytheon's Blue Canyon Technologies business for $620 million.
  • April 21, 2026RTX reported Q1 2026 results. Sales were $22.1 billion, up 9%. Adjusted EPS was $1.78, up 21%. Backlog was $271 billion. RTX raised its 2026 outlook for adjusted sales and adjusted EPS.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
October 20, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about January 20, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 101829)

Risks

  • Part of the recent demand for missiles comes from the conflict with Iran. A peace or a reopened Strait of Hormuz can reduce the urgency of new orders. The new multi-year contracts give a maximum value, and the US Congress must fund each year of production.
  • The GTF powder metal problem is not finished. Pratt & Whitney expects more A320neo aircraft on the ground than normal through 2026, and a 2026 cash cost of about $0.7 billion. Inspections, shop visit times and customer talks can make the cost higher. The SEC also investigates the company's 2023 disclosures about this problem, and shareholders have sued.
  • The US Defense Contract Management Agency claims that Pratt & Whitney charged its research costs to government contracts in a wrong way. The first claim is about $1.7 billion plus $1.6 billion of interest at June 30, 2026, and the second is $1.1 billion plus interest. Pratt & Whitney says that both claims are without merit and has appealed them.
  • Fixed-price defense contracts and new engine deliveries can lower margins. In Q2 2026, Pratt & Whitney commercial engine sales fell 8% because of the mix of engines, while it delivered more large engines. Supply chain problems can delay deliveries.
  • Tariffs raise the cost of imported parts. RTX paid about $0.5 billion of IEEPA tariffs that the Supreme Court found unauthorized in February 2026, and it has asked for refunds, but the US government appealed the refund order on June 2, 2026.

Balance sheet

Cash
$9.2B
Debt
$37.4B
Net debt
$28.2B
Interest cover
7.3×
times profit pays interest
Credit line
$5.0B
undrawn, to August 2028

Cash against debt

Cash$9.2B
Debt$37.4B

debt covered by cashnet debt $28.2B

When the debt is due

12 months$5.9B
Later$31.5B

Credit ratings

  • S&P BBB+ · positive
  • Moody's Baa1 · positive

RTX funds itself with unsecured notes of the parent company and with cash from its three segments. At September 30, 2026, total debt was $37.4 billion: long-term debt of $31.5 billion, a current part of $5.7 billion and short-term borrowings of $0.2 billion.

Dividends

Yield at the current rate
1.5% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
Dividend yield
1.4% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $201.29)
Paid per share
$2.82 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$2.92 ($0.73 × 4 a year)
Payout ratio
54% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
Latest ex-dividend date
August 14, 2026, $0.73 per share

Dividends per share by year

RTX dividends per share by year
2016
$1.6488
2017
$1.7118
2018
$1.7841
2019
$1.8502
2020
$1.8876
2021
$2.005
2022
$2.16
2023
$2.32
2024
$2.48
2025
$2.67

From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 7.2% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 5.2% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about RTX

What does RTX do?

RTX makes aircraft engines, aircraft systems and defense products. It reports three segments of about the same size. Its market cap is $272B at the current price of $201.29.

When does RTX report earnings next?

This is an estimate: RTX may report on January 20, 2027. It last reported results on October 20, 2026.

Is RTX stock below its intrinsic value?

RTX stock is below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at RTX?

The latest update is from October 20, 2026. RTX reported Q3 2026 results.

What are the main risks for RTX?

Part of the recent demand for missiles comes from the conflict with Iran. The GTF powder metal problem is not finished. The US Defense Contract Management Agency claims that Pratt & Whitney charged its research costs to government contracts in a wrong way.

How much debt and cash does RTX have?

At September 30, 2026, RTX had $37.4B of debt and $9.2B of cash.

Does RTX pay a dividend?

Yes. The current annual dividend of RTX is $2.92 per share. That is a dividend yield of 1.5% at the current price of $201.29. In the last 12 months, it paid $2.82 per share (1.4%). The latest ex-dividend date was August 14, 2026.

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