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REGShopping center REIT

Regency Centers

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$76.18
Analysts view
Leaning bullish
Discount category
Below intrinsic value
Pick status
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Feb 5 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$14B
Shares of Apr 30, 2026
Yield at current rate
4.0%
Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
Dividend yield
4.0%
Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
52-week range
$66.86 – $83.66
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
0.82
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
1.3M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
The market prices Regency Centers like other REITs that move with long-term interest rates, and steady NOI growth near record occupancy with stable rates can close the gap.
Gap
Can close. The Q4 2026 report and the 2027 guidance in February 2027 show whether NOI growth holds, but the gap also depends on long-term interest rates.

Company guidance: Nareit FFO of $4.86 to $4.88 per diluted share and Core Operating Earnings of $4.65 to $4.67 per diluted share for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K Ex. 99.1))

Price history

About

Regency Centers is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns, operates and develops shopping centers in suburban areas of the United States. Most of its centers have a grocery store as the anchor tenant, such as Whole Foods, King Soopers, Stop & Shop or Market Basket, which brings regular visits from nearby households. Its other tenants are restaurants, service businesses and other shops. It owns some centers directly and others through joint ventures with institutional partners.

At September 30, 2026, its same property portfolio was 97.0% leased. Regency also builds new centers and redevelops old ones, with $682 million of projects in process at an expected yield of about 9%. It earns most of its income from rent under long leases with contractual increases. The company has its head office in Jacksonville, Florida.

Thesis

The market prices Regency like other REITs, whose values move with long-term interest rates, and it doubts that the current rent growth can last. Regency borrows to fund development and acquisitions, and higher rates raise the cost of new debt and lower the value of steady rental income. Its results are strong: in Q3 2026, same property NOI grew 5.1%, cash rent spreads on new and renewal leases were 11.9%, and the portfolio was 97.0% leased. The company raised its 2026 guidance for Core Operating Earnings again, to $4.65 to $4.67 per share, which is growth of 5.7% at the midpoint, and it raised its dividend by 6%.

For the gap to close, three things must be true. Same property NOI growth must stay near 4% or more, with occupancy near record levels. The development program must keep delivering yields near 9% on the $682 million in process. Long-term interest rates must stay stable or fall, so that the cost of new debt stays near the current average of 4.2%.

The 2027 guidance with the Q4 2026 report, expected in early February 2027, gives the next test. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next four to eight quarters. The main reason it may not close is higher long-term interest rates, which Regency cannot control.

Checkpoints

  1. Nov 5, 2026Passed
    Q3 2026 results: NOI growth and leasingSame property NOI growth near 4%, occupancy near 97% and the 2026 guidance kept or raised pass; lower guidance or a fall in occupancy fails.Outcome: Same property NOI grew 5.1%, the portfolio was 97.0% leased and Regency raised its 2026 Core Operating Earnings guidance to $4.65 to $4.67 per share.
  2. Feb 5, 2027 · est.Pending
    2027 guidance2027 guidance for Core Operating Earnings growth of about 4% or more passes; guidance for slower growth because of tenant losses or higher interest costs fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • November 10, 2026Regency signed a new credit agreement. It has a $1.5 billion unsecured revolving credit line that matures on November 8, 2030, and a new $550 million unsecured delayed draw term loan that matures on February 10, 2031. Regency can draw the term loan in up to six parts until May 10, 2027.
  • November 5, 2026Regency reported Q3 2026 results. Nareit FFO was $1.23 per diluted share and Core Operating Earnings was $1.18, up from $1.09. Same property NOI grew 5.1%, and the same property portfolio was 97.0% leased. It signed 1.7 million square feet of comparable leases at a cash rent spread of 11.9%. Regency raised its 2026 guidance to Nareit FFO of $4.86 to $4.88 per share, Core Operating Earnings of $4.65 to $4.67 per share and same property NOI growth of 4.25% or more. The board raised the quarterly dividend by 6% to $0.80 per share.
  • September 30, 2026Regency said it will report Q3 2026 results after the market close on November 5, 2026, and hold its call on November 6, 2026.
Show 4 older events
  • August 5, 2026The board declared the quarterly dividend on the common stock and on the Series A and Series B preferred stock.
  • July 29, 2026Regency reported Q2 2026 results. Nareit FFO was $1.21 per diluted share and Core Operating Earnings was $1.16. Same property NOI grew 3.8% and the same property portfolio was 96.9% leased. It signed 2.1 million square feet of comparable leases at a cash rent spread of 10.4%. Regency raised its 2026 guidance to Nareit FFO of $4.84 to $4.88 per share and same property NOI growth of 3.7% to 4.1%.
  • July 14, 2026Regency bought Cornerstone at Westford in Massachusetts, a center anchored by Market Basket, through a joint venture for $74 million, or $15 million at its share. On July 8, 2026, it bought Franklin Crossing in New Jersey, anchored by Stop & Shop, for $27 million.
  • February 4, 2026The board authorized a program to buy back up to $500 million of common stock.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
November 5, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about February 5, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 910606)

Risks

  • Higher long-term interest rates raise the cost of new debt and lower the value that investors give to rental income. About $771 million of consolidated debt is due in 2027 and must be refinanced at current rates.
  • Tenant bankruptcies or store closures, mainly among shop tenants and non-grocery anchors, can lower occupancy and rent. Shop space was 94.6% leased at September 30, 2026, compared with 98.5% for anchor space.
  • Development projects take several years. Higher construction costs or slow leasing can lower the expected yield of about 9% on the $682 million of projects in process.
  • Grocery anchors are the main source of traffic. A shift of grocery sales to online delivery, or the loss of a large grocer, can lower visits to the centers.

Balance sheet

Cash
$138M
Debt
$4.9B
Net debt
$4.7B
Net debt / EBITDA
4.9×
as the company states it
Interest cover
5.2×
times profit pays interest
Credit line
$1.4B
undrawn, to November 2030

Cash against debt

Cash$138M
Debt$4.9B

debt covered by cashnet debt $4.7B

Leverage: net debt / EBITDA

low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×

Credit ratings

  • S&P A- · stable
  • Moody's A3 · stable

Regency funds itself mostly with fixed-rate unsecured notes. At September 30, 2026, consolidated debt was $4.89 billion: $4.12 billion of unsecured public notes, $652 million of mortgage loans and $115 million drawn on the $1.5 billion revolving credit line, which runs to March 2028 with two six-month extension options.

Dividends

Yield at the current rate
4.0% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
Dividend yield
4.0% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $76.18)
Paid per share
$3.02 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$3.02 ($0.755 × 4 a year)
Latest ex-dividend date
September 11, 2026, $0.755 per share

Dividends per share by year

Regency Centers dividends per share by year
2016
$2.00
2017
$2.10
2018
$2.22
2019
$2.34
2020
$2.38
2021
$2.41
2022
$2.525
2023
$2.62
2024
$2.715
2025
$2.87

From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 3.8% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 4.0% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Regency Centers

What does Regency Centers do?

Regency Centers is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns, operates and develops shopping centers in suburban areas of the United States. Its market cap is $14B at the current price of $76.18.

When does Regency Centers report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Regency Centers may report on February 5, 2027. It last reported results on November 5, 2026.

Is Regency Centers stock below its intrinsic value?

Regency Centers stock is below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Regency Centers?

The latest update is from November 10, 2026. Regency signed a new credit agreement.

What are the main risks for Regency Centers?

Higher long-term interest rates raise the cost of new debt and lower the value that investors give to rental income. Tenant bankruptcies or store closures, mainly among shop tenants and non-grocery anchors, can lower occupancy and rent. Development projects take several years.

How much debt and cash does Regency Centers have?

At September 30, 2026, Regency Centers had $4.9B of debt and $138M of cash.

Does Regency Centers pay a dividend?

Yes. The current annual dividend of Regency Centers is $3.02 per share. That is a dividend yield of 4.0% at the current price of $76.18. The latest ex-dividend date was September 11, 2026.

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