REGShopping center REIT
Regency Centers
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $76.18
- Analysts view
- Leaning bullish
- Discount category
- Below intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Feb 5 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $14B
- Shares of Apr 30, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 4.0%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 4.0%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- 52-week range
- $66.86 – $83.66
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.82
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 1.3M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market prices Regency Centers like other REITs that move with long-term interest rates, and steady NOI growth near record occupancy with stable rates can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The Q4 2026 report and the 2027 guidance in February 2027 show whether NOI growth holds, but the gap also depends on long-term interest rates.
Company guidance: Nareit FFO of $4.86 to $4.88 per diluted share and Core Operating Earnings of $4.65 to $4.67 per diluted share for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K Ex. 99.1))
Price history
About
Regency Centers is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns, operates and develops shopping centers in suburban areas of the United States. Most of its centers have a grocery store as the anchor tenant, such as Whole Foods, King Soopers, Stop & Shop or Market Basket, which brings regular visits from nearby households. Its other tenants are restaurants, service businesses and other shops. It owns some centers directly and others through joint ventures with institutional partners.
At September 30, 2026, its same property portfolio was 97.0% leased. Regency also builds new centers and redevelops old ones, with $682 million of projects in process at an expected yield of about 9%. It earns most of its income from rent under long leases with contractual increases. The company has its head office in Jacksonville, Florida.
Thesis
The market prices Regency like other REITs, whose values move with long-term interest rates, and it doubts that the current rent growth can last. Regency borrows to fund development and acquisitions, and higher rates raise the cost of new debt and lower the value of steady rental income. Its results are strong: in Q3 2026, same property NOI grew 5.1%, cash rent spreads on new and renewal leases were 11.9%, and the portfolio was 97.0% leased. The company raised its 2026 guidance for Core Operating Earnings again, to $4.65 to $4.67 per share, which is growth of 5.7% at the midpoint, and it raised its dividend by 6%.
For the gap to close, three things must be true. Same property NOI growth must stay near 4% or more, with occupancy near record levels. The development program must keep delivering yields near 9% on the $682 million in process. Long-term interest rates must stay stable or fall, so that the cost of new debt stays near the current average of 4.2%.
The 2027 guidance with the Q4 2026 report, expected in early February 2027, gives the next test. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next four to eight quarters. The main reason it may not close is higher long-term interest rates, which Regency cannot control.
Checkpoints
- Nov 5, 2026PassedQ3 2026 results: NOI growth and leasingSame property NOI growth near 4%, occupancy near 97% and the 2026 guidance kept or raised pass; lower guidance or a fall in occupancy fails.Outcome: Same property NOI grew 5.1%, the portfolio was 97.0% leased and Regency raised its 2026 Core Operating Earnings guidance to $4.65 to $4.67 per share.
- Feb 5, 2027 · est.Pending2027 guidance2027 guidance for Core Operating Earnings growth of about 4% or more passes; guidance for slower growth because of tenant losses or higher interest costs fails.
Recent events
- November 10, 2026Regency signed a new credit agreement. It has a $1.5 billion unsecured revolving credit line that matures on November 8, 2030, and a new $550 million unsecured delayed draw term loan that matures on February 10, 2031. Regency can draw the term loan in up to six parts until May 10, 2027.
- November 5, 2026Regency reported Q3 2026 results. Nareit FFO was $1.23 per diluted share and Core Operating Earnings was $1.18, up from $1.09. Same property NOI grew 5.1%, and the same property portfolio was 97.0% leased. It signed 1.7 million square feet of comparable leases at a cash rent spread of 11.9%. Regency raised its 2026 guidance to Nareit FFO of $4.86 to $4.88 per share, Core Operating Earnings of $4.65 to $4.67 per share and same property NOI growth of 4.25% or more. The board raised the quarterly dividend by 6% to $0.80 per share.
- September 30, 2026Regency said it will report Q3 2026 results after the market close on November 5, 2026, and hold its call on November 6, 2026.
Show 4 older eventsHide older events
- August 5, 2026The board declared the quarterly dividend on the common stock and on the Series A and Series B preferred stock.
- July 29, 2026Regency reported Q2 2026 results. Nareit FFO was $1.21 per diluted share and Core Operating Earnings was $1.16. Same property NOI grew 3.8% and the same property portfolio was 96.9% leased. It signed 2.1 million square feet of comparable leases at a cash rent spread of 10.4%. Regency raised its 2026 guidance to Nareit FFO of $4.84 to $4.88 per share and same property NOI growth of 3.7% to 4.1%.
- July 14, 2026Regency bought Cornerstone at Westford in Massachusetts, a center anchored by Market Basket, through a joint venture for $74 million, or $15 million at its share. On July 8, 2026, it bought Franklin Crossing in New Jersey, anchored by Stop & Shop, for $27 million.
- February 4, 2026The board authorized a program to buy back up to $500 million of common stock.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- November 5, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about February 5, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 8-KNew material agreement and New debt or financial obligationFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · reg-20260930
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · reg-20260911
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · reg-20260811
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · reg-20260805
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · reg-20260630
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · reg-20260601
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · reg-20260528
Risks
- Higher long-term interest rates raise the cost of new debt and lower the value that investors give to rental income. About $771 million of consolidated debt is due in 2027 and must be refinanced at current rates.
- Tenant bankruptcies or store closures, mainly among shop tenants and non-grocery anchors, can lower occupancy and rent. Shop space was 94.6% leased at September 30, 2026, compared with 98.5% for anchor space.
- Development projects take several years. Higher construction costs or slow leasing can lower the expected yield of about 9% on the $682 million of projects in process.
- Grocery anchors are the main source of traffic. A shift of grocery sales to online delivery, or the loss of a large grocer, can lower visits to the centers.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $138M
- Debt
- $4.9B
- Net debt
- $4.7B
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 4.9×
- as the company states it
- Interest cover
- 5.2×
- times profit pays interest
- Credit line
- $1.4B
- undrawn, to November 2030
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $4.7B
Leverage: net debt / EBITDA
low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×
Credit ratings
- S&P A- · stable
- Moody's A3 · stable
Regency funds itself mostly with fixed-rate unsecured notes. At September 30, 2026, consolidated debt was $4.89 billion: $4.12 billion of unsecured public notes, $652 million of mortgage loans and $115 million drawn on the $1.5 billion revolving credit line, which runs to March 2028 with two six-month extension options. The $100 million of private placement notes of June 30, 2026 were no longer outstanding. Of the debt, 97.6% had a fixed rate, the average rate was 4.2% and the average time to maturity of the fixed-rate debt was 6.8 years. About $771 million of consolidated debt is due in 2027. Cash, including restricted cash, was $138 million. Pro-rata net debt and preferred stock were 4.9 times trailing 12-month operating EBITDAre, as the company reports it, which includes its share of joint venture debt and $225 million of preferred stock. Interest coverage was 5.2 times. About $1.39 billion of the revolving credit line was undrawn. On November 10, 2026, a new credit agreement extended the $1.5 billion revolving credit line to November 8, 2030 and added a $550 million delayed draw term loan that matures on February 10, 2031. S&P rates Regency A- and Moody's rates it A3, both with a stable outlook.
As of
Show 4 sourcesHide sources
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 4.0% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 4.0% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $76.18)
- Paid per share
- $3.02 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $3.02 ($0.755 × 4 a year)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- September 11, 2026, $0.755 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $2.00 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $2.10 | |
| 2018 | $2.22 | |
| 2019 | $2.34 | |
| 2020 | $2.38 | |
| 2021 | $2.41 | |
| 2022 | $2.525 | |
| 2023 | $2.62 | |
| 2024 | $2.715 | |
| 2025 | $2.87 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 3.8% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 4.0% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Regency Centers
What does Regency Centers do?
Regency Centers is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns, operates and develops shopping centers in suburban areas of the United States. Its market cap is $14B at the current price of $76.18.
When does Regency Centers report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Regency Centers may report on February 5, 2027. It last reported results on November 5, 2026.
Is Regency Centers stock below its intrinsic value?
Regency Centers stock is below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Regency Centers?
The latest update is from November 10, 2026. Regency signed a new credit agreement.
What are the main risks for Regency Centers?
Higher long-term interest rates raise the cost of new debt and lower the value that investors give to rental income. Tenant bankruptcies or store closures, mainly among shop tenants and non-grocery anchors, can lower occupancy and rent. Development projects take several years.
How much debt and cash does Regency Centers have?
At September 30, 2026, Regency Centers had $4.9B of debt and $138M of cash.
Does Regency Centers pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of Regency Centers is $3.02 per share. That is a dividend yield of 4.0% at the current price of $76.18. The latest ex-dividend date was September 11, 2026.
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