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KIMShopping center REIT

Kimco Realty

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$25.62
Analysts view
Leaning bullish
Discount category
Below intrinsic value
Pick status
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Jan 29 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$17B
Shares of Jul 28, 2026
Yield at current rate
4.4%
Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
Dividend yield
4.1%
Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
52-week range
$19.76 – $26.65
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
0.93
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
5.7M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
The market prices Kimco like other shopping center REITs, for high interest rates and tenant risk, and steady occupancy with FFO growth in 2027 can close the gap if long-term rates stop rising.
Gap
Can close. The Q4 2026 report with the 2027 guidance in early 2027 shows whether occupancy and FFO growth hold, but interest rates also matter.

Company guidance: FFO of $1.84 to $1.86 per diluted share for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K Ex. 99.1))

Price history

About

Kimco Realty is a real estate investment trust that owns and operates open-air shopping centers in the United States. Most of its centers have a grocery store as an anchor tenant, and it also owns mixed-use properties with apartments and offices. Its centers are mostly in the suburbs of large coastal and Sun Belt cities. Tenants include grocery stores, discount stores, restaurants and service businesses that sell everyday goods and services.

Kimco also lends money to owners of shopping centers through its Structured Investment Program, and it often gets the right to buy those centers later. Pro-rata leased occupancy was a record 96.6% at September 30, 2026, and small shop occupancy was 92.9%, equal to its all-time high. At that date, Kimco owned interests in 561 shopping centers and mixed-use properties with 99 million square feet of space.

Thesis

The market prices Kimco like other shopping center REITs, for the effect of higher interest rates on property values and for the risk that a weaker consumer causes tenant failures. FFO per share rose 6.8% in Q3 2026, but investors doubt that this pace can last. They also worry that occupancy is near its peak, so growth must come from higher rents. Kimco's results are strong: in Q3 2026, same property NOI rose 4.9%, occupancy reached a record 96.6%, and rents on new leases were 31.5% higher than on the old leases.

Kimco also sold an apartment building and used the money to buy back $150 million of its shares. For the gap to close, three things must be true. Occupancy must stay near 96% and the $76 million of rent from signed leases that have not started yet must start on time. Same property NOI must grow within the raised 3.5% to 3.8% guidance, and FFO per share must grow in 2027.

Tenant failures must stay within the credit loss guidance of 50 to 60 basis points. The Q4 2026 report with the 2027 guidance, expected in early 2027, is the next test. If they pass, and if long-term interest rates stop rising, the gap can close over the next four to eight quarters. The main reason it may not close is high long-term interest rates, which keep the value of all REITs low.

Checkpoints

  1. Oct 29, 2026Passed
    Q3 2026 results: occupancy and FFO guidanceOccupancy near 96.4%, same property NOI growth of at least 3.0% and FFO guidance of $1.83 to $1.84 kept pass; lower occupancy or a guidance cut fails.Outcome: Occupancy rose to a record 96.6%, same property NOI grew 4.9%, and Kimco raised its 2026 FFO guidance to $1.84 to $1.86 per share.
  2. Jan 29, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 results and the 2027 guidance2027 guidance with FFO per share growth and credit loss within its usual range passes; flat FFO per share or higher credit loss fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • October 29, 2026Kimco reported Q3 2026 results. FFO per share rose 6.8% to $0.47, and net income was $0.41 per share. Same property NOI rose 4.9%. Pro-rata leased occupancy rose to a record 96.6%, and rents on new leases were 31.5% above the old leases. Kimco raised its 2026 FFO guidance to $1.84 to $1.86 per share and its same property NOI growth guidance to 3.5% to 3.8%.
  • October 29, 2026In Q3 2026, Kimco sold The Witmer, a 440-unit apartment building at Pentagon Centre, for $211.5 million, and it bought back 6.3 million common shares for $150 million at $23.81 per share. It also bought back about $74 million of preferred stock and repaid $266.0 million of notes. After the quarter, it repaid a $500 million note with a 2.80% coupon.
  • August 4, 2026Kimco reported Q2 2026 results. FFO per share rose 4.5% to $0.46, and net income was $0.22 per share. Same property NOI rose 3.5%. Pro-rata leased occupancy rose to 96.4%, and rents on new leases were 40.4% above the old leases. The board raised the quarterly dividend 12.0% to $0.28 per share. Kimco raised its 2026 FFO guidance to $1.83 to $1.84 per share. In the quarter, it sold The Milton, a 253-unit apartment building at its Pentagon Centre property in Virginia, for $142.3 million, its first sale of an apartment property.
Show 2 older events
  • August 4, 2026After the quarter, Kimco sold four Costco-anchored properties for about $127 million and bought two centers in Florida, anchored by Walmart and Publix, for $109 million. It also bought back 516,750 shares of its 7.25% Class N preferred stock for $33.3 million.
  • June 15, 2026Kimco issued $600 million of 3.50% exchangeable senior notes due 2031. With the offering, it bought back about 4.1 million common shares for $104.7 million at $25.38 per share.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
October 29, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about January 29, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 879101)

Risks

  • Higher long-term interest rates lower the value of real estate and raise the cost of new debt. REIT share prices often fall when interest rates rise.
  • A weaker consumer or more retailer bankruptcies can raise vacancies and credit losses. Credit loss was 45 basis points of rental revenue in Q3 2026, and the 2026 guidance is 50 to 60 basis points.
  • Occupancy is near its all-time high, so it has little room to rise. Future growth depends more on higher rents and on new investments.
  • Online shopping can lower demand for some kinds of store space, although Kimco focuses on grocery stores and services that need a physical location.

Balance sheet

Cash
$545M
Debt
$8.5B
Net debt
$7.9B
Credit line
$2.0B
undrawn, to March 2030

Cash against debt

Cash$545M
Debt$8.5B

debt covered by cashnet debt $7.9B

Kimco funds itself mostly with unsecured notes. Debt is notes payable of $8,043 million and mortgages payable of $429 million at September 30, 2026.

Dividends

Yield at the current rate
4.4% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
Dividend yield
4.1% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $25.62)
Paid per share
$1.06 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$1.12 ($0.28 × 4 a year)
Latest ex-dividend date
September 4, 2026, $0.28 per share

Dividends per share by year

Kimco Realty dividends per share by year
2016
$1.035
2017
$1.09
2018
$1.12
2019
$1.12
2020
$0.54
2021
$0.68
2022
$0.84
2023
$1.02
2024
$0.97
2025
$1.01

From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 13.3% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 0.4% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Kimco Realty

What does Kimco Realty do?

Kimco Realty is a real estate investment trust that owns and operates open-air shopping centers in the United States. Most of its centers have a grocery store as an anchor tenant, and it also owns mixed-use properties with apartments and offices. Its market cap is $17B at the current price of $25.62.

When does Kimco Realty report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Kimco Realty may report on January 29, 2027. It last reported results on October 29, 2026.

Is Kimco Realty stock below its intrinsic value?

Kimco Realty stock is below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Kimco Realty?

The latest update is from October 29, 2026. Kimco reported Q3 2026 results.

What are the main risks for Kimco Realty?

Higher long-term interest rates lower the value of real estate and raise the cost of new debt. A weaker consumer or more retailer bankruptcies can raise vacancies and credit losses. Occupancy is near its all-time high, so it has little room to rise.

How much debt and cash does Kimco Realty have?

At September 30, 2026, Kimco Realty had $8.5B of debt and $545M of cash.

Does Kimco Realty pay a dividend?

Yes. The current annual dividend of Kimco Realty is $1.12 per share. That is a dividend yield of 4.4% at the current price of $25.62. In the last 12 months, it paid $1.06 per share (4.1%). The latest ex-dividend date was September 4, 2026.

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