PEGElectric & gas utility
Public Service Enterprise Group
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $74.29
- Analysts view
- Leaning bullish
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Feb 2 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $37B
- Shares of Jul 20, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 3.6%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 3.6%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 18.5
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $4.02
- 12 months to Jun 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $66.15 – $87.63
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.49
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 3.5M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market prices PSEG for political pressure on New Jersey power bills, and steady guidance with a fair result from the state utility review in 2027 can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The 2027 guidance in the Q4 2026 report and the state review of the utility business model in 2027 show whether New Jersey keeps the current return on utility investment.
Company guidance: Non-GAAP Operating Earnings of $4.28 to $4.40 per share for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))
Price history
About
Public Service Enterprise Group (PSEG) is a utility holding company based in Newark, New Jersey. Its main business is Public Service Electric and Gas (PSE&G), which delivers electricity to 2.4 million customers and natural gas to 1.9 million customers in an area of about 2,600 square miles across New Jersey. PSE&G also owns transmission lines in the PJM grid.
State and federal regulators set its rates, so its earnings grow mostly with its rate base, which was about $36 billion at the end of 2025. PSEG Power owns 3,758 megawatts of nuclear capacity: the Salem and Hope Creek plants in New Jersey and a share of the Peach Bottom plants in Pennsylvania. PSEG Power sells this power at market prices, and a federal production tax credit supports its revenue when prices are low through 2032.
Thesis
The market prices PSEG as a utility with political risk in New Jersey. Electricity bills in the state rose sharply in June 2025 after high PJM capacity prices. In January 2026, the new governor ordered the Board of Public Utilities (BPU) to limit rate increases and to study changes to the utility business model. In July 2026, the BPU published a consultant study of ratemaking options, and a quantitative analysis of these options is the next step.
A June 2026 state law also makes membership in a regional transmission organization mandatory from January 1, 2027. This can remove the 50 basis point return adder of PSE&G and lower its net income by about $40 million a year. The nuclear business adds a second uncertainty, because its earnings move with power prices above the tax credit floor. For the gap to close, PSEG must earn 2026 operating EPS within its $4.28 to $4.40 guidance and keep its outlook of 6% to 8% growth a year through 2030.
The BPU review must not lead to a lower allowed return. A multi-year contract for nuclear output, which management is working on, would also make earnings more certain. The Q3 2026 report on November 2, 2026, kept the 2026 guidance and the growth outlook. The next tests are the start of mandatory RTO membership on January 1, 2027, the Q4 report with the 2027 guidance in about February 2027, and the result of the BPU review during 2027.
If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next two to four quarters. The main reason it may not close is a state policy change that cuts the return on utility investment.
Checkpoints
- Nov 2, 2026PassedQ3 2026 earnings: 2026 guidanceOperating EPS on track for the $4.28 to $4.40 guidance and the 6% to 8% growth outlook kept pass; a cut to either fails.Outcome: Operating EPS was $3.56 for the first nine months, up from $3.33, and PSEG kept both its 2026 guidance and its 6% to 8% growth outlook.
- Jan 2027 · est.PendingMandatory RTO membership: transmission return adderPSE&G keeps its 50 basis point adder, or the loss stays near $40 million a year, passes; a larger cut to the transmission return fails.
- Feb 2, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 results and 2027 guidance2026 operating EPS within the $4.28 to $4.40 guidance and 2027 guidance in line with 6% to 8% growth pass; a result below the range or lower 2027 guidance fails.
- 2027 · est.PendingBPU review of the utility business modelA result that keeps the current return on equity and rate recovery passes; a lower allowed return or new limits on rate recovery fail.
Recent events
- November 2, 2026PSEG reported Q3 2026 results. Net income was $376 million, or $0.76 per share, down from $1.24 a year earlier, mainly because of mark-to-market and trust investment losses. Non-GAAP operating earnings were $1.15 per share, up from $1.13. PSE&G earned $506 million, down from $515 million, because higher depreciation and interest costs that are not yet in rates outweighed its investment growth. PSEG kept its 2026 guidance of $4.28 to $4.40 per share and its 6% to 8% growth outlook through 2030. Its nuclear plants ran at 95.5% of capacity in the quarter.
- November 2, 2026In its Q3 2026 report, PSEG described new PJM actions. In October 2026, FERC rejected the main parts of a PJM plan to cut power to new large loads, such as data centers, at peak times. At the end of October 2026, PJM filed a revised plan for a one-time purchase of 15-year commitments from new power plants, and it plans the auction for March 1, 2027 if FERC approves the plan.
- October 13, 2026PSEG said that it will report Q3 2026 results on November 2, 2026. On the same call, management will discuss its guidance, capital investments and regulatory matters.
Show 4 older eventsHide older events
- August 4, 2026PSEG reported Q2 2026 results. Net income was $334 million, or $0.67 per share, down from $1.17 a year earlier, mainly because of losses on trust investments and other items. Non-GAAP operating earnings were $0.86 per share, up from $0.77. PSEG kept its 2026 guidance of $4.28 to $4.40 per share and its 6% to 8% growth outlook through 2030. It said it can fund its $24 billion to $28 billion five-year capital plan without new shares or asset sales.
- August 4, 2026In its Q2 2026 report, PSEG described new state actions. In July 2026, the BPU published a consultant study of options to change how electric distribution utilities earn money. In the same month, the governor signed the Data Center Fair Share Act, which makes the BPU set a separate rate class for large data centers so that they pay the full cost of the grid upgrades that they need.
- July 2, 2026PSE&G reached a summer peak load of 10,446 megawatts, its highest in 14 years. Storms in early July cut power to about 380,000 customers, and PSE&G restored nearly all of them within 24 hours.
- June 3, 2026PSEG sold $500 million of long-term debt. In May 2026, a BPU order also made PSEG Power refund about $207 million to the New Jersey utilities for zero emission certificates of 2024 that the production tax credit had offset.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- November 2, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about February 2, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · peg-20260930
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · peg-20260630
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · peg-20260331
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
Risks
- New Jersey is under strong political pressure to lower power bills. The BPU review of the utility business model, which started with an executive order in January 2026, can lead to a lower allowed return or slower recovery of investment.
- A June 2026 law makes membership in a regional transmission organization mandatory from January 1, 2027. If PSE&G loses its 50 basis point return adder, its net income falls by about $40 million a year.
- The earnings of PSEG Power move with power prices, nuclear output and the rules for the production tax credit. An outage at a nuclear plant or a change in the tax credit rules can lower earnings.
- In March 2026, FERC ordered PJM to recalculate how it assigns some transmission costs and to resettle bills back to 2015. The proceedings continue, and the result can change the costs of PSE&G customers.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $837M
- Debt
- $25.6B
- Net debt
- $24.8B
- Interest cover
- 2.6×
- times profit pays interest
- Credit line
- $3.1B
- undrawn, to March 2031
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $24.8B
When the debt is due
PSEG funds PSE&G with first mortgage bonds and funds the parent and PSEG Power with senior notes and commercial paper. At September 30, 2026, total debt was $25.63 billion: long-term debt of $24.56 billion, which includes $425 million due within one year, and commercial paper and loans of $1.08 billion. In the first nine months of 2026, PSE&G issued $2.0 billion of secured medium-term notes and retired $875 million, PSEG issued $500 million of senior notes and PSEG Power issued $400 million of senior notes. Cash was $837 million at September 30, 2026. Credit facilities of $3.83 billion had $3.08 billion available, and the main $3.75 billion of them run to March 2031. Interest cover is operating income divided by interest expense for the first nine months of 2026. If PSEG Power lost its investment grade rating, it would have to post about $682 million of additional collateral, as of September 30, 2026. PSEG paid a dividend of $0.67 per share each quarter in 2026, up from $0.63.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 3.6% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 3.6% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $74.29)
- Paid per share
- $2.64 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $2.68 ($0.67 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 60% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- September 9, 2026, $0.67 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $1.64 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $1.72 | |
| 2018 | $1.80 | |
| 2019 | $1.88 | |
| 2020 | $1.96 | |
| 2021 | $2.04 | |
| 2022 | $2.16 | |
| 2023 | $2.28 | |
| 2024 | $2.40 | |
| 2025 | $2.52 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 5.2% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 4.9% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Public Service Enterprise Group
What does Public Service Enterprise Group do?
Public Service Enterprise Group (PSEG) is a utility holding company based in Newark, New Jersey. Its market cap is $37B at the current price of $74.29.
When does Public Service Enterprise Group report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Public Service Enterprise Group may report on February 2, 2027. It last reported results on November 2, 2026.
Is Public Service Enterprise Group stock below its intrinsic value?
Public Service Enterprise Group stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Public Service Enterprise Group?
The latest update is from November 2, 2026. PSEG reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for Public Service Enterprise Group?
New Jersey is under strong political pressure to lower power bills. A June 2026 law makes membership in a regional transmission organization mandatory from January 1, 2027. The earnings of PSEG Power move with power prices, nuclear output and the rules for the production tax credit.
How much debt and cash does Public Service Enterprise Group have?
At September 30, 2026, Public Service Enterprise Group had $25.6B of debt and $837M of cash.
Does Public Service Enterprise Group pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of Public Service Enterprise Group is $2.68 per share. That is a dividend yield of 3.6% at the current price of $74.29. In the last 12 months, it paid $2.64 per share (3.6%). The latest ex-dividend date was September 9, 2026.
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