EXCElectric & gas utilities
Exelon
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $45.61
- Analysts view
- Mixed
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Jan 30 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $47B
- Shares of Mar 31, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 3.7%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 2.8%
- Last 12 months. Fewer payments or a raise
- 52-week range
- $39.73 – $50.65
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.24
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 7.9M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market prices Exelon for political pressure on utility bills and the new shares it must sell, and fair rate decisions with earnings growth near the top of its range can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The Q4 2026 report with the 2027 guidance in early 2027 and the new rate cases in Maryland and Pennsylvania give dated tests.
Company guidance: Adjusted (non-GAAP) operating EPS of $2.85 to $2.91 for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))
Price history
About
Exelon owns six regulated utilities that deliver electricity and natural gas to almost 11 million customers. ComEd serves northern Illinois, including Chicago. PECO serves southeastern Pennsylvania. BGE serves central Maryland.
PHI owns Pepco, Delmarva Power (DPL) and Atlantic City Electric (ACE), which serve Washington, D.C. and parts of Maryland, Delaware and New Jersey. Exelon separated its power generation business, Constellation, in 2022. State commissions set its distribution rates, and FERC sets its transmission rates. Exelon plans capital expenditures of $41.7 billion over the four years from 2026, and it expects rate base growth of 7.9% a year.
Thesis
The market prices Exelon for the political pressure on utility bills in its states and for the new shares it must sell to fund its building plan. In April 2026, PECO withdrew its electric and gas rate cases in Pennsylvania after talks with the governor about affordability. In May 2026, Maryland passed a law that stops rate cases with forecasted test years until April 1, 2027. In Q3 2026, Exelon took a $130 million after-tax charge at PHI because regulators did not allow some capitalized costs.
Exelon plans $3.4 billion of new equity through 2029 to fund capital expenditures of $41.7 billion. For the gap to close, three things must be true. Exelon must reach its 2026 guidance of $2.85 to $2.91 per share, which it narrowed in October 2026, and keep earnings growth near the top of its 5% to 7% range through 2029. Regulators must give fair decisions in the new BGE rate case filed in July 2026 and in the later cases at PECO and Pepco.
Exelon must sell the planned new shares without large price cuts and keep its credit ratings. The Q4 2026 report with the 2027 guidance and the updated capital plan, expected in late January or February 2027, is the main test. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next two to four quarters. The main reason it may not close is that state politicians limit rate increases further because of high energy bills.
Checkpoints
- Oct 30, 2026PassedQ3 2026 results: guidance and financingExelon keeps its 2026 guidance of $2.81 to $2.91 per share and its growth target near the top of 5% to 7% passes; a lower guidance or a cut in the capital plan fails.Outcome: Exelon raised the low end of its 2026 guidance to $2.85 per share, kept its growth target near the top of 5% to 7% and did not cut its capital plan.
- Jan 30, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 results: 2027 guidance and updated capital plan2027 guidance in line with growth near 7% from 2026 and no large increase in planned new shares pass; lower growth or more new shares fail.
Recent events
- October 30, 2026Exelon reported Q3 2026 results. GAAP net income fell to $0.70 per share from $0.86, and adjusted operating earnings rose to $0.87 per share from $0.86. GAAP income included a $130 million after-tax charge at PHI for the disallowance of some capitalized costs. Exelon narrowed its 2026 guidance to $2.85 to $2.91 per share, from $2.81 to $2.91, and kept its growth target near the top of 5% to 7% a year from 2025 to 2029. It completed its planned 2026 debt financings, and Maryland regulators issued final orders in the Pepco rate case and the Lessons Learned proceeding.
- August 28, 2026The Maryland Public Service Commission approved a Pepco electric rate increase of $50.9 million a year, less than half of the about $120 million that Pepco asked for. It set a return on equity of 9.40%, against the 10.5% that Pepco asked for. It did not allow about $164.9 million of costs for the White Flint substation. The new rates started on August 28, 2026. The commission also opened a second phase to decide if it must remove more costs under the Maryland Utility Relief Act.
- August 25, 2026Exelon announced leadership changes. Jeanne Jones, the CFO, became Executive Vice President of Finance and Strategy on October 5, 2026, and Robert Kleczynski, the Corporate Controller, became CFO on the same day. Mike Innocenzo, the Chief Operating Officer, will leave the company in 2027.
Show 5 older eventsHide older events
- July 30, 2026Exelon reported Q2 2026 results. GAAP net income was $0.39 per share, and adjusted operating earnings rose to $0.43 per share from $0.39. Exelon kept its 2026 guidance of $2.81 to $2.91 per share and its earnings growth target near the top of 5% to 7% a year from 2025 to 2029. It had completed about 86% of its planned 2026 debt financings.
- July 2, 2026BGE filed an electric distribution rate case with the Maryland Public Service Commission to recover investments, operating costs, cost of capital and storm costs.
- May 12, 2026The Governor of Maryland signed the Maryland Utility Relief Act. It stops rate cases with forecasted test years until April 1, 2027, and it requires BGE, Pepco and DPL to join a regional transmission organization from July 1, 2026.
- April 16, 2026PECO withdrew its electric and natural gas distribution rate cases in Pennsylvania. It cited the financial pressure on customers and talks with Governor Josh Shapiro. PECO said that it will continue investments for safety and reliability and make longer-term investments at another time.
- February 12, 2026Exelon reported 2025 adjusted operating earnings of $2.77 per share. It gave 2026 guidance of $2.81 to $2.91 per share and a four-year capital plan of $41.3 billion, later raised to $41.7 billion. Its financing plan includes $3.4 billion of new equity through 2029.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 30, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about January 30, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · exc-20260930
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KChange of directors or officers and Investor disclosureFiled · exc-20260825
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · exc-20260630
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · exc-20260331
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · exc-20260428
- 8-KInvestor disclosure and Other company newsFiled · exc-20260413
- 8-KNew material agreement and New debt or financial obligationFiled · exc-20260220
Risks
- Politicians in Pennsylvania, Maryland and other states focus on high energy bills. PECO withdrew its rate cases in April 2026, and Maryland limited forecasted rate cases until April 2027. In August 2026, Maryland regulators gave Pepco less than half of the rate increase it asked for, and in Q3 2026 PHI took a $130 million after-tax charge for costs that regulators did not allow. Lower or later rate increases would slow earnings growth.
- Exelon plans to spend $41.7 billion over four years and to issue $3.4 billion of new shares through 2029. Higher interest rates or a lower share price would make this funding more costly and lower earnings per share growth.
- On March 5, 2026, a court sent Pepco's District of Columbia rate order back to the commission for evidentiary hearings. The current rates stay in effect for now, but the final result is not certain.
- Several finance and operations leaders change roles from October 2026 to early 2027, including a new CFO. A change in leaders can slow decisions during a period of large regulatory filings.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $1.5B
- Debt
- $53.2B
- Net debt
- $51.7B
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $51.7B
When the debt is due
Credit ratings
- Moody's Baa2 · stable
- S&P BBB+ · stable
Exelon funds its utilities with long-term debt at the holding company and at each utility, commercial paper and new shares. At September 30, 2026, long-term debt was $50.79 billion, long-term debt due within one year was $1.08 billion, short-term borrowings were $934 million and long-term debt to financing trusts was $390 million, so total debt was about $53.2 billion. Cash and cash equivalents were $1.47 billion. In the first nine months of 2026, Exelon issued $4.4 billion of long-term debt, repaid $1.6 billion and issued $483 million of common stock. It completed its planned 2026 debt financings. Exelon plans to fund about 40% of its added capital spending with equity, about $850 million a year. At October 30, 2026, Moody's rated Exelon Baa2 and S&P rated it BBB+, both with a stable outlook.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 3.7% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 2.8% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $45.61)
- Paid per share
- $1.26 in the last 12 months (3 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $1.68 ($0.42 × 4 a year)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- September 4, 2026, $0.42 per share
Fewer payments or a raise. The last 12 months paid at least 25% less than the current annual rate. A payment may fall just outside the 12 months, or the company may have raised its dividend.
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $0.9016 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $0.9358 | |
| 2018 | $0.9843 | |
| 2019 | $1.0357 | |
| 2020 | $1.0927 | |
| 2021 | $1.0927 | |
| 2022 | $1.352 | |
| 2023 | $1.44 | |
| 2024 | $1.52 | |
| 2025 | $1.60 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 7.9% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 6.1% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Exelon
What does Exelon do?
Exelon owns six regulated utilities that deliver electricity and natural gas to almost 11 million customers. ComEd serves northern Illinois, including Chicago. Its market cap is $47B at the current price of $45.61.
When does Exelon report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Exelon may report on January 30, 2027. It last reported results on October 30, 2026.
Is Exelon stock below its intrinsic value?
Exelon stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Exelon?
The latest update is from October 30, 2026. Exelon reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for Exelon?
Politicians in Pennsylvania, Maryland and other states focus on high energy bills. Exelon plans to spend $41.7 billion over four years and to issue $3.4 billion of new shares through 2029. On March 5, 2026, a court sent Pepco's District of Columbia rate order back to the commission for evidentiary hearings.
How much debt and cash does Exelon have?
At September 30, 2026, Exelon had $53.2B of debt and $1.5B of cash.
Does Exelon pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of Exelon is $1.68 per share. That is a dividend yield of 3.7% at the current price of $45.61. In the last 12 months, it paid $1.26 per share (2.8%). The last 12 months paid at least 25% less than the current annual rate. A payment may fall just outside the 12 months, or the company may have raised its dividend. The latest ex-dividend date was September 4, 2026.
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