NXSTTelevision broadcasting
Nexstar Media Group
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $209.74
- Analysts view
- Very bullish
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Feb 5 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $6.5B
- Shares of Nov 5, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 3.5%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 2.7%
- Last 12 months. Fewer payments or a raise
- P/E (trailing)
- 19.0
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $11.05
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $153.17 – $254.30
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.95
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 368K
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market prices Nexstar for the lawsuit against its TEGNA purchase and its higher debt, and a court result that lets it combine TEGNA with steady debt repayment over the next six to eight quarters can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The Ninth Circuit hearing on November 17, 2026 and the antitrust trial on July 6, 2027 decide whether Nexstar can combine TEGNA.
Price history
About
Nexstar Media Group owns and operates local television stations across the United States, most of them affiliated with the big networks, such as CBS, FOX, NBC and ABC. It also owns The CW network and the cable news network NewsNation, and it runs digital and streaming businesses. Nexstar earns money in two main ways. Cable, satellite and streaming TV providers pay distribution fees to carry its stations, and advertisers buy time on its stations and networks.
Political advertising adds much revenue in even years with elections. On March 19, 2026, Nexstar bought TEGNA, another large station owner, for $22.00 per TEGNA share in cash. A court order requires Nexstar to hold TEGNA separate while a lawsuit against the deal continues.
Thesis
The market prices Nexstar for the lawsuit against its TEGNA purchase and for the debt it took on to pay for it. After the deal closed on March 19, 2026, DIRECTV and several State Attorneys General sued under the antitrust laws. A federal court in California ordered on April 17, 2026 that Nexstar and TEGNA stay separate until the case ends, and the trial is set for July 6, 2027. While the order lasts, Nexstar cannot get the cost savings it expected from the deal.
Total debt was $11.4 billion at September 30, 2026, up from $6.3 billion at the end of 2025, and the total net leverage ratio was 4.04 times without the synergies. Investors also expect fewer subscribers to pay for traditional TV over time, which reduces distribution fees. For the gap to close, three things must be true. Nexstar must win in court, or the Ninth Circuit must narrow the order, so that it can combine TEGNA and get the savings.
It must use its free cash flow, which is usually strongest in election years, to pay down debt. Distribution revenue must hold up as fees rise and streaming TV subscribers grow. The Q3 2026 report on November 5, 2026 showed record political advertising and lower leverage. The Ninth Circuit hears oral argument on the order on November 17, 2026, and the trial is in July 2027.
If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next six to eight quarters. The main reason it may not close is a loss in court, which can force Nexstar to sell stations or keep TEGNA apart.
Checkpoints
- Nov 5, 2026PassedQ3 2026 earnings: political revenue and debt repaymentStrong political advertising and more debt repayment that lowers the total net leverage ratio below 4.22 times pass; a higher leverage ratio fails.Outcome: Political advertising revenue was a record $317 million for a third quarter, Nexstar repaid $350 million of debt, and the total net leverage ratio fell to 4.04 times.
- Q4 2026 · est.Due this quarterNinth Circuit hearing on the TEGNA injunctionA ruling that narrows the injunction or dismisses the State plaintiffs passes; a ruling that keeps the full injunction fails.
- Feb 5, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 earnings: free cash flow and leverageMore debt repayment from the election-year cash flow and a total net leverage ratio below 4.04 times pass; a higher leverage ratio fails.
- Jul 6, 2027PendingAntitrust trial on the TEGNA purchaseA ruling for Nexstar, or a settlement that keeps most of TEGNA, passes; an order to undo the deal or to sell many stations fails.
Recent events
- November 5, 2026Nexstar reported Q3 2026 results. Net revenue was a record $2.13 billion, up 78%, with $765 million from TEGNA, and political advertising revenue was a record $317 million for a third quarter. Net income was $250 million, adjusted EBITDA was $756 million and adjusted free cash flow was $443 million. Nexstar repaid $350 million of debt in the quarter and $525 million more after September 30, 2026. The total net leverage ratio fell to 4.04 times from 4.22 times at June 30, 2026. Nexstar said that the Ninth Circuit will hear oral argument on its appeal of the TEGNA order on November 17, 2026.
- October 30, 2026Nexstar's board declared a quarterly dividend of $1.86 per share. It is payable on November 27, 2026, to shareholders of record on November 13, 2026.
- August 6, 2026The FCC voted to remove the national ownership limit of 39% of US TV households and to review each transaction separately. Nexstar said that the decision is not yet effective and is likely to be challenged in court.
Show 7 older eventsHide older events
- August 6, 2026The court in California ruled that its order does not allow current or former Nexstar employees, directors or consultants to serve on the TEGNA board, and told Nexstar to comply at once. TheDesk reported on August 14, 2026 that four of the five TEGNA directors, including Nexstar CEO Perry Sook, left the TEGNA board.
- August 6, 2026Nexstar reported Q2 2026 results. Net revenue was a record $1.99 billion, up 62%, with $697 million of revenue from TEGNA. Net income was $113 million and adjusted EBITDA was $633 million. Adjusted free cash flow was $238 million. Nexstar repaid $409 million of debt and paid $57 million in dividends in the quarter.
- July 31, 2026Nexstar declared a quarterly dividend of $1.86 per share, paid on August 28, 2026.
- July 9, 2026The D.C. Circuit rejected all of the challenges to the FCC Media Bureau's order that approved Nexstar's purchase of TEGNA. The antitrust lawsuit in California is separate, and its trial is set for July 6, 2027.
- April 17, 2026The U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of California issued a preliminary injunction in the lawsuit by DIRECTV and several State Attorneys General. Nexstar and TEGNA must stay separate while the case continues. Nexstar appealed to the Ninth Circuit to narrow the order.
- April 2, 2026Nexstar issued $1,725 million of senior unsecured notes due 2034 to refinance $1,714 million of notes due in July 2027.
- March 19, 2026Nexstar completed its purchase of TEGNA after it received approvals from the FCC and the Department of Justice. TEGNA shareholders received $22.00 per share in cash.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- November 5, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about February 5, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · nxst-20260930
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · nxst-20261029
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · nxst-20260630
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · nxst-20260730
- 8-KShareholder vote results and Investor disclosureFiled · nxst-20260616
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · nxst-20260331
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · nxst-20260430
Risks
- The antitrust lawsuit against the TEGNA purchase can end with an order to sell stations or to undo parts of the deal. Until the trial in July 2027, the court order keeps TEGNA separate and blocks the expected cost savings.
- Total debt was $11.7 billion at June 30, 2026, and the total net leverage ratio was 4.22 times. Interest expense rose to $190 million in Q2 2026 from $97 million a year earlier. Lower cash flow or higher rates make the debt harder to pay down.
- Fewer homes pay for cable and satellite TV each year. Distribution fees can fall if subscriber losses are larger than fee increases and streaming TV growth.
- Advertising revenue is cyclical and depends on elections. Political advertising is much lower in odd years such as 2027, so revenue and free cash flow fall after the 2026 elections.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $446M
- Debt
- $11.4B
- Net debt
- $11.0B
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 4.0×
- as the company states it
- Interest cover
- 2.3×
- times profit pays interest
- Credit line
- $441M
- undrawn
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $11.0B
Leverage: net debt / EBITDA
low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×
When the debt is due
Nexstar funds its business with secured credit facilities, secured notes and unsecured notes. Total debt, including Mission Broadcasting, was $11.41 billion at September 30, 2026, up from $6.33 billion at December 31, 2025, because of the TEGNA purchase. Principal was $11.53 billion: $4.91 billion of secured credit facilities, $3.83 billion of secured notes, which include TEGNA notes that are now secured, and $2.79 billion of unsecured notes. The current portion was $556 million. Cash was $446 million, and $441 million of revolving commitments were unused. The first lien net leverage ratio was 3.03 times against a covenant limit of 4.75 times, and the total net leverage ratio was 4.04 times. Since Q2 2026, these ratios leave out the TEGNA synergies because of the court order. Nexstar repaid $786 million of debt in the first nine months of 2026 and $525 million more of its secured credit facilities after September 30, 2026. Interest cover is income from operations divided by net interest expense for the nine months to September 30, 2026.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 3.5% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 2.7% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $209.74)
- Paid per share
- $5.58 in the last 12 months (3 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $7.44 ($1.86 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 248% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- August 14, 2026, $1.86 per share
Fewer payments or a raise. The last 12 months paid at least 25% less than the current annual rate. A payment may fall just outside the 12 months, or the company may have raised its dividend.
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $0.96 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $1.20 | |
| 2018 | $1.50 | |
| 2019 | $1.80 | |
| 2020 | $2.24 | |
| 2021 | $2.80 | |
| 2022 | $3.60 | |
| 2023 | $5.40 | |
| 2024 | $6.76 | |
| 2025 | $7.44 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 27.1% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 25.6% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Nexstar Media Group
What does Nexstar Media Group do?
Nexstar Media Group owns and operates local television stations across the United States, most of them affiliated with the big networks, such as CBS, FOX, NBC and ABC. It also owns The CW network and the cable news network NewsNation, and it runs digital and streaming businesses. Its market cap is $6.5B at the current price of $209.74.
When does Nexstar Media Group report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Nexstar Media Group may report on February 5, 2027. It last reported results on November 5, 2026.
Is Nexstar Media Group stock below its intrinsic value?
Nexstar Media Group stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Nexstar Media Group?
The latest update is from November 5, 2026. Nexstar reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for Nexstar Media Group?
The antitrust lawsuit against the TEGNA purchase can end with an order to sell stations or to undo parts of the deal. Total debt was $11.7 billion at June 30, 2026, and the total net leverage ratio was 4.22 times. Fewer homes pay for cable and satellite TV each year.
How much debt and cash does Nexstar Media Group have?
At September 30, 2026, Nexstar Media Group had $11.4B of debt and $446M of cash.
Does Nexstar Media Group pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of Nexstar Media Group is $7.44 per share. That is a dividend yield of 3.5% at the current price of $209.74. In the last 12 months, it paid $5.58 per share (2.7%). The last 12 months paid at least 25% less than the current annual rate. A payment may fall just outside the 12 months, or the company may have raised its dividend. The latest ex-dividend date was August 14, 2026.
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