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MELIE-commerce & fintech

MercadoLibre

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$1,512.02
Analysts view
Bullish
Discount category
Below intrinsic value
Pick status
Top pick
Next earnings
Earnings Feb 4 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$77B
Shares of Nov 4, 2026
P/E (trailing)
40.6
Price of Nov 12, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$37.28
12 months to Sep 30, 2026
52-week range
$1,465.06 – $2,342.00
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
1.42
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
596K
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
The market prices MercadoLibre for lower margins while it invests in shipping and credit, and fast growth with a margin that starts to recover in 2027 can close the gap.
Gap
Can close. The operating margin fell again in Q3 2026, and the next quarterly reports, from February 2027, show whether it stops falling while growth stays high.

About

MercadoLibre runs the largest e-commerce and fintech business in Latin America. Mercado Libre is its online marketplace, with its own delivery network, Mercado Envios, and an advertising business. Mercado Pago gives payments, digital accounts, credit cards, loans, investments and insurance.

Its largest markets are Brazil, Mexico and Argentina. In Q3 2026, net revenues and financial income were $10.75 billion, gross merchandise volume was $22.8 billion and total payment volume was $109 billion. The company is incorporated in Delaware, its shares trade on Nasdaq and it reports in US dollars.

Thesis

The market prices MercadoLibre for lower margins while it invests to grow. In Q3 2026, net revenues and financial income grew 45%, or 41% on an FX-neutral basis, but income from operations fell 6%, and the operating margin fell to 6.3%, from 6.7% in Q2 2026 and 12.2% in Q2 2025. The company lowered the free shipping threshold in Brazil, issues many new credit cards that lose money at first, adds fulfillment capacity ahead of peak season and spends on marketing, 1P sales, cross-border trade and the MELI+ program. The credit portfolio grew 62% to almost $18 billion.

Brazil, its largest market, also had a sharp fall in stocks and in the real on October 26, 2026, after the presidential runoff, according to press reports, and a weaker real lowers profit in US dollars. For the gap to close, three things must be true. Revenue must keep growing quickly, while the operating margin stops falling and starts to recover in 2027. The credit card cohorts must mature and the credit card NIMAL must keep rising from -2.5% in Q2 2026; the company said that it improved in Q3 2026.

Engagement must keep rising, so that the investments in shipping and credit pay back. The Q4 2026 report, expected in February 2027, gives the next test. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next four to six quarters. The main reason it may not close is that the company keeps margins low for longer, or that a weak economy in Brazil, Mexico or Argentina raises credit losses.

Checkpoints

  1. Nov 4, 2026Failed
    Q3 2026 results: growth and marginRevenue growth above 35% on an FX-neutral basis with an operating margin at or above the 6.7% of Q2 2026 passes; a lower margin with slower growth fails.Outcome: Revenue grew 41% on an FX-neutral basis, but the operating margin fell to 6.3%, below the 6.7% of Q2 2026.
  2. Feb 4, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 results: margin recoveryAn operating margin above the 6.7% of Q2 2026 and a better credit card NIMAL pass; a further fall in margin fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • November 4, 2026MercadoLibre reported Q3 2026 results. Net revenues and financial income rose 45% to $10.75 billion, or 41% on an FX-neutral basis. Income from operations fell 6% to $676 million, a 6.3% margin, because of more free shipping, new fulfillment capacity and more marketing in Brazil. Net income rose 6% to $448 million. The credit portfolio grew 62% to almost $18 billion. The company also said that Netflix will join its connected TV advertising offer from early 2027.
  • September 14, 2026MercadoLibre closed the sale of $1.0 billion of 5.850% notes due 2036.
  • August 5, 2026MercadoLibre reported Q2 2026 results. Net revenues and financial income rose 50% to $10.2 billion, the fastest growth in four years. Income from operations fell 17% to $683 million, a 6.7% margin, and net income fell 11% to $466 million. GMV rose 36% and TPV rose 56% on an FX-neutral basis. The credit portfolio grew 75% to more than $16 billion.
Show 2 older events
  • May 7, 2026MercadoLibre reported Q1 2026 results. Net revenues and financial income rose 49% to $8.8 billion. Income from operations fell 20% to $611 million, and net income was $417 million.
  • February 24, 2026MercadoLibre reported 2025 results. Net revenues and financial income rose 39% to $28.9 billion, income from operations rose 22% to $3.2 billion and net income was $2.0 billion, or $39.40 per diluted share. In Q4 2025, revenue rose 45% and the operating margin was 10.1%.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
November 4, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about February 4, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 1099590)

Risks

  • Margins. The operating margin fell to 6.7% in Q2 2026 from 12.2% a year earlier, and to 6.3% in Q3 2026, because of shipping, credit card and other growth investments. If these investments do not pay back, profit can stay low for a long time.
  • Credit risk. The credit portfolio grew 62% in a year to almost $18 billion in Q3 2026, and new credit card cohorts lose money at first. The 15 to 90 day non-performing loan ratio was 7.0% in Q3 2026. A weaker economy in Brazil, Mexico or Argentina can raise provisions quickly.
  • Currency and country risk. Most revenue is in Brazilian reais, Mexican pesos and Argentine pesos. After the October 25, 2026 presidential runoff, the real fell sharply, according to press reports. Weaker currencies lower revenue and profit in US dollars.
  • Competition. Large global e-commerce and payments companies compete in all of its markets. More competition can force the company to spend more on shipping, prices and marketing.

Balance sheet

Cash
$8.1B
Debt
$16.2B
Net debt
$8.0B

Cash against debt

Cash$8.1B
Debt$16.2B

debt covered by cashnet debt $8.0B

When the debt is due

12 months$7.5B
Later$8.6B

MercadoLibre funds its credit book with deposits held by Mercado Pago, securitizations, bank loans and corporate notes. Debt here includes loans payable, other financial liabilities and $2.96 billion of operating lease liabilities, and cash includes short-term and long-term investments, as the company defines net debt.

Dividends

MercadoLibre does not pay a dividend.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026.

Questions about MercadoLibre

What does MercadoLibre do?

MercadoLibre runs the largest e-commerce and fintech business in Latin America. Mercado Libre is its online marketplace, with its own delivery network, Mercado Envios, and an advertising business. Its market cap is $77B at the current price of $1,512.02.

When does MercadoLibre report earnings next?

This is an estimate: MercadoLibre may report on February 4, 2027. It last reported results on November 4, 2026.

Is MercadoLibre stock below its intrinsic value?

MercadoLibre stock is below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at MercadoLibre?

The latest update is from November 4, 2026. MercadoLibre reported Q3 2026 results.

What are the main risks for MercadoLibre?

Margins. Credit risk. Currency and country risk.

How much debt and cash does MercadoLibre have?

At September 30, 2026, MercadoLibre had $16.2B of debt and $8.1B of cash.

Does MercadoLibre pay a dividend?

No. MercadoLibre does not pay a dividend.

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