PGConsumer packaged goods
Procter & Gamble
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $167.67
- Analysts view
- Leaning bullish
- Discount category
- Far above intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Jan 22 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $389B
- Shares of Sep 30, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 2.6%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 2.6%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 25.3
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $6.64
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $137.62 – $170.52
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.36
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 9.3M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- Investors doubt that P&G can grow its profit while its costs rise, and volume growth that lasts while the margin recovers and one-time costs end can close the gap over the next two to three quarters.
- Gap
- Can close. The restructuring ends in mid-2027, and each quarter shows whether unit volume grows again.
Company guidance: Core EPS of $6.89 to $7.11 for fiscal 2027; organic sales growth of one to three percent (, Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings release (8-K))
Price history
About
Procter & Gamble makes household and personal care products. Its brands include Tide, Pampers, Gillette, and Crest. Retailers around the world sell these products to consumers every day. The company earns money through steady, repeat purchases of everyday items.
Thesis
Investors doubt that P&G can grow its profit while its costs rise. In fiscal 2026, all of the 1% organic sales growth came from higher prices, and volume was flat. In the first quarter of fiscal 2027, organic sales grew 4% and volume grew about 2%, but core EPS grew only 1%. Higher costs for commodities, energy and transport cut the gross margin by 1.5 points, and P&G now expects about $1.4 billion after tax of these costs in fiscal 2027, up from about $1 billion.
The company is also cutting about 7,000 jobs and dropping weak brands, and these one-time costs hide part of its earnings power. For the gap to close, volume must keep growing without price cuts that reduce the margin. Productivity savings must offset the higher costs, so that the margin stops falling. The restructuring costs must end inside the plan, and core EPS must stay in the $6.89 to $7.11 range for fiscal 2027.
Thorne, which P&G bought on October 1, 2026, must add growth without a large cost. The next test is the fiscal second-quarter report, expected in January 2027, and the restructuring plan ends in mid-2027. If volume keeps growing and the margin recovers over the next two to three quarters, the gap can close. If costs keep rising faster than savings, the discount can last into 2027.
Checkpoints
- Oct 1, 2026PassedThorne purchase closesThe $3.8 billion purchase closes between October and December 2026 with no large change to the terms passes; a block by regulators or a long delay fails.Outcome: P&G completed the purchase on October 1, 2026, for $3.9 billion in cash.
- Oct 22, 2026PassedFiscal Q1 2027 earnings: volume, costs and guidanceFlat or positive organic volume, a core EPS decline no worse than the 5% or more that P&G guided, and an unchanged $6.89 to $7.11 fiscal 2027 range pass; a guidance cut or a volume decline fails.Outcome: Organic volume grew about 2%, core EPS rose 1% instead of the guided fall of 5% or more, and P&G kept the $6.89 to $7.11 range.
- Jan 22, 2027 · est.PendingFiscal Q2 2027 earnings: holiday-quarter volume and guidanceOrganic sales growth inside the 1% to 3% guidance with volume holding up passes; a guidance cut or a new fall in volume fails.
- Jul 2027 · est.PendingFiscal 2027 results: restructuring plan endsRestructuring charges that stop inside the $1.0 to $1.6 billion plan and a higher core operating margin pass; new charges or a longer plan fail.
Recent events
- October 26, 2026P&G sold $4.0 billion of US dollar notes due from 2031 to 2056, at rates from 5.125% to 5.900%. It closed the sale on October 30. On November 3, it closed a sale of €3.25 billion of euro notes due from 2030 to 2046, at rates from 3.750% to 4.625%.
- October 22, 2026P&G reported fiscal first-quarter 2027 results. Net sales rose 4% to $23.3 billion, and organic sales also rose 4%, with about 2% from volume and 1% from mix. Core EPS rose 1% to $2.00, against the guidance of a fall of 5% or more. Core gross margin fell 1.5 points, mostly because of higher commodity costs and product investments. P&G kept its fiscal 2027 guidance of 1% to 3% organic sales growth and core EPS of $6.89 to $7.11, and raised its all-in sales growth guidance to 2% to 4% because of Thorne. It now expects about $1.4 billion after tax of commodity, energy and transport cost headwinds, up from about $1 billion.
- October 13, 2026At the annual meeting, shareholders elected all 12 director nominees and voted against three shareholder proposals, per preliminary results. The board declared a quarterly dividend of $1.0885 per share, payable on or after November 16, 2026.
Show 7 older eventsHide older events
- October 1, 2026P&G completed its purchase of Thorne for $3.9 billion in cash. Thorne is part of the Personal Health Care business.
- September 24, 2026P&G confirmed that it will discuss its fiscal first-quarter 2027 results on October 22, 2026.
- August 4, 2026P&G agreed to buy Thorne, a maker of premium vitamins and supplements, for $3.8 billion in cash. Thorne will join the Health Care segment. P&G expects the purchase to close between October and December 2026, after regulatory approvals.
- July 29, 2026P&G reported fiscal 2026 results. Net sales were $87.0 billion, organic sales grew 1%, and core EPS was $6.89. All of the organic growth came from price, and volume was flat. For fiscal 2027, P&G guided organic sales growth of 1% to 3% and core EPS of $6.89 to $7.11, and it expects first-quarter core EPS to fall 5% or more.
- July 29, 2026P&G's board named CEO Shailesh Jejurikar as Chairman, effective August 1, 2026. He succeeds Jon Moeller, who retired from the board on July 31, 2026, and from the company on August 14, 2026.
- April 14, 2026P&G raised its quarterly dividend by 3% to $1.0885 per share. This is its 70th annual dividend increase in a row.
- June 5, 2025P&G announced a two-year restructuring plan to cut about 7,000 non-manufacturing jobs, about 6% of its total workforce, and to exit some brands and categories.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 22, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about January 22, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · pg-20261103
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · pg-20261102
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · pg-20261030
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · pg-20260930
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · pg-20261022
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · pg-20261016
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · pg-20261013
- 10-KAnnual report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · pg-20260630
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · pg-20260729
Risks
- In fiscal 2026, all of the organic sales growth came from price, and volume was flat. Volume grew about 2% in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, but one quarter does not show a lasting change. Consumer demand is weak and promotions are heavy. If P&G must cut prices to sell more units, its margin falls.
- Fiscal 2027 guidance now includes about $0.79 per share of cost headwinds, up from about $0.56 in July 2026: about $1.4 billion after tax from commodities, energy and transport, $300 million from higher net interest, $150 million from lower non-operating income and $50 million from currency. If these costs increase more, core EPS can fall below the guidance range.
- P&G is in the middle of a two-year restructuring plan to cut about 7,000 jobs and exit weaker brands. The plan costs $1.0 to $1.6 billion before tax over fiscal 2026 and 2027, and more than half came in fiscal 2026. New charges or a longer plan would cut earnings again.
- Tariff changes are a risk outside the fiscal 2027 guidance. The $3.9 billion Thorne purchase can also fail to give the growth that P&G expects.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $15.4B
- Debt
- $38.9B
- Net debt
- $23.5B
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.0×
- EBITDA $23.0B, last 12 months
- Interest cover
- 22×
- times profit pays interest
- Credit line
- $8.0B
- undrawn
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $23.5B
Leverage: net debt / EBITDA
low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×
When the debt is due
Credit ratings
- Moody's Aa3 · positive
- S&P AA- · stable
Procter & Gamble funds itself with cash from operations and with unsecured debt that the parent company issues. The strong rating keeps borrowing easy, and dividends and buybacks use most of the cash it makes. At September 30, 2026, debt was $38.9 billion, up from $34.1 billion at June 30, 2026, mainly because P&G added commercial paper to pay for Thorne. Debt due within one year was $17.0 billion, with $6.6 billion of long-term debt that becomes due and commercial paper for the rest. Long-term debt was $21.9 billion. Cash was $15.4 billion, because P&G paid the $3.9 billion for Thorne on October 1, 2026, the day after the quarter ended. EBITDA is operating income plus depreciation and amortization for the 12 months to September 30, 2026. Interest cover is operating income over interest expense for the same period. The 10-K for fiscal 2026 lists $3.2 billion of undrawn bank facilities until October 2030 and $4.8 billion for 364 days until October 2026. They support the commercial paper program. The 10-Q does not say if P&G renewed the 364-day facility. Current liabilities were $12.5 billion more than current assets. This is normal for P&G, because it pays maturing short-term debt with new commercial paper. In the first quarter of fiscal 2027, operating cash flow was $5.8 billion. P&G paid $2.6 billion of dividends and spent $1.3 billion on buybacks. The fiscal 2027 plan is more than $10 billion of dividends and about $5 billion of buybacks. On October 26, 2026, P&G sold $4.0 billion of notes due from 2031 to 2056. The pricing term sheet lists Moody's Aa3 with a positive outlook and S&P AA- with a stable outlook.
As of
Show 4 sourcesHide sources
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 2.6% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 2.6% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $167.67)
- Paid per share
- $4.324 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $4.356 ($1.089 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 64% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended June 30, 2026)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- October 23, 2026, $1.089 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $2.673 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $2.74 | |
| 2018 | $2.841 | |
| 2019 | $2.955 | |
| 2020 | $3.119 | |
| 2021 | $3.401 | |
| 2022 | $3.609 | |
| 2023 | $3.736 | |
| 2024 | $3.962 | |
| 2025 | $4.178 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 6.0% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 4.7% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Procter & Gamble
What does Procter & Gamble do?
Procter & Gamble makes household and personal care products. Its brands include Tide, Pampers, Gillette, and Crest. Its market cap is $389B at the current price of $167.67.
When does Procter & Gamble report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Procter & Gamble may report on January 22, 2027. It last reported results on October 22, 2026.
Is Procter & Gamble stock below its intrinsic value?
Procter & Gamble stock is far above intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Procter & Gamble?
The latest update is from October 26, 2026. P&G sold $4.0 billion of US dollar notes due from 2031 to 2056, at rates from 5.125% to 5.900%.
What are the main risks for Procter & Gamble?
In fiscal 2026, all of the organic sales growth came from price, and volume was flat. Fiscal 2027 guidance now includes about $0.79 per share of cost headwinds, up from about $0.56 in July 2026: about $1.4 billion after tax from commodities, energy and transport, $300 million from higher net interest, $150 million from lower non-operating income and $50 million from currency. P&G is in the middle of a two-year restructuring plan to cut about 7,000 jobs and exit weaker brands.
How much debt and cash does Procter & Gamble have?
At September 30, 2026, Procter & Gamble had $38.9B of debt and $15.4B of cash.
Does Procter & Gamble pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of Procter & Gamble is $4.356 per share. That is a dividend yield of 2.6% at the current price of $167.67. In the last 12 months, it paid $4.324 per share (2.6%). The latest ex-dividend date was October 23, 2026.
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