FLUTOnline gambling
Flutter Entertainment
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $85.49
- Analysts view
- Bullish
- Discount category
- Far below intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Top pick
- Next earnings
- Earnings Feb 4 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $15B
- Shares of Oct 30, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- -$5.28
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $72.56 – $229.86
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 1.17
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 2.9M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- Falling US profit, prediction markets, higher taxes and a new CEO hold Flutter down, so FanDuel must grow again and leverage must fall for the gap to close.
- Gap
- Can close. The Brazil decision due by late January 2027, the 2027 guidance with the new CEO's strategy in February 2027 and the path back to target leverage give dated tests within about two years.
Company guidance: Revenue of $17.61 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $2.495 billion for 2026 (midpoints) (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))
Price history
About
Flutter is the largest online sports betting and iGaming (online casino) company in the world. In the US, it owns FanDuel, which had 39% of US online sportsbook gross gaming revenue and 27% of iGaming gross gaming revenue in Q2 2026. FanDuel also runs FanDuel Predicts, a prediction market product. Outside the US, Flutter owns brands such as Paddy Power, Betfair and Sportsbet, and it owns Snai in Italy and 56% of NSX (Betnacional) in Brazil.
Flutter makes money from the margin on bets and from casino games, after taxes and promotions. It expects 2026 revenue of about $17.6 billion at the midpoint of its guidance of November 4, 2026. Since August 3, 2026, its shares trade only on the New York Stock Exchange.
Thesis
Flutter trades at a discount because its US profit fell sharply, regulators and new competitors keep raising costs, and the CEO changed. In Q2 2026, US revenue fell 6% and US adjusted EBITDA fell 70%, after FanDuel lost customers from Q4 2025 and spent on prediction markets and new states. Prediction markets offer sports contracts also in states without legal sports betting, and investors fear that they take business from sportsbooks. On August 5, 2026, Flutter cut its 2026 guidance by $395 million of revenue and $210 million of adjusted EBITDA at the midpoints, and it said that Peter Jackson will hand over to Dan Taylor as CEO on October 1, 2026.
Taxes also rose, such as the UK gaming tax, and on September 25, 2026, Brazil banned online betting by a provisional order, so Flutter stopped its business there. Leverage rose to 4.6 times EBITDA at September 30, 2026, against a target of 2.0 to 2.5 times, and Flutter paused its share buybacks. For the gap to close, FanDuel must grow its customer base and sportsbook revenue again during the 2026 NFL season, the $500 million cost plan must protect margins, Brazil's Congress must reject or change the ban within 120 days, and leverage must fall toward the target. The Q3 2026 report on November 4, 2026 failed the first test: US sportsbook handle rose 13% and US iGaming revenue rose 8%, but Flutter cut its 2026 guidance again, mostly because sports results went against it.
The decision in Brazil is due by about late January 2027, and the 2027 guidance comes in early 2027. If the US business grows again, the gap can close over the next four to eight quarters. The main risk is that prediction markets take a large share of US sports betting.
Checkpoints
- Nov 4, 2026FailedQ3 2026 results: FanDuel customers and guidanceGrowth in US sportsbook customers and handle, US iGaming growth and no further guidance cut beyond Brazil pass; another cut to US guidance fails.Outcome: US sportsbook players rose 9%, handle 13% and iGaming revenue 8%, but Flutter cut its 2026 US guidance by $60 million of revenue and $45 million of adjusted EBITDA for sports results.
- Jan 2027 · est.PendingBrazil: Congress decision on the betting banCongress rejects or changes the provisional ban so that Flutter can reopen in Brazil passes; a permanent ban fails.
- Feb 4, 2027 · est.PendingFull-year 2026 results, 2027 guidance and the new CEO's strategy2027 guidance with growth in US adjusted EBITDA and a path to leverage of 2.0 to 2.5 times passes; lower US profit or higher leverage fails.
Recent events
- November 4, 2026Flutter reported Q3 2026 results. Revenue rose 2% to $3.87 billion, and adjusted EBITDA fell 25% to $360 million. US revenue rose 6%, with sportsbook handle up 13% and iGaming revenue up 8%, but US adjusted EBITDA fell 94% to $3 million because of spending on prediction markets and the Alberta launch. The net loss was $1.15 billion, after an $873 million impairment in Brazil and a $105 million provision for a class action in Australia. Flutter cut its 2026 guidance to $17.61 billion of revenue and $2.495 billion of adjusted EBITDA at the midpoints, mainly for sports results and Brazil. Leverage rose to 4.6 times, and Flutter paused its share buybacks for the foreseeable future. It closed Betfair in Brazil and keeps only Betnacional there.
- November 3, 2026Flutter completed a refinancing of its term A loans and revolving credit facility. Their maturity moved to May 3, 2032 from 2028, the revolving facility rose to $1.86 billion, and the leverage covenant is now a net first lien leverage ratio of at most 5.70 times.
- October 20, 2026Flutter started a restructuring plan for its UK and Ireland business to reduce the effect of the higher UK gaming taxes. The plan can remove up to 1,400 jobs, including UK and Ireland staff in Portugal and Romania. Flutter expects pre-tax charges of about $80 million to $90 million, mostly in Q4 2026, and it said that its 2026 guidance of August 2026 already includes these costs.
Show 6 older eventsHide older events
- October 1, 2026Dan Taylor became Group CEO, and Peter Jackson stepped down after nearly nine years. The Chief Legal Officer, Don Liu, resigned effective September 30, 2026, and Edward Traynor became interim Chief Legal Officer.
- September 28, 2026Flutter stopped sports betting and iGaming in Brazil after a provisional executive order of September 25, 2026, banned online betting there. The order needs approval of Congress within 120 days to stay in effect. If Brazil stays closed for the rest of 2026, Flutter expects about $70 million less revenue and about $20 million less adjusted EBITDA. The stock fell about 8% that day.
- August 5, 2026Flutter reported Q2 2026 results. Revenue rose 3% to $4.33 billion, but adjusted EBITDA fell 45% to $508 million, and the net loss was $296 million. US revenue fell 6%, and US adjusted EBITDA fell 70% to $119 million. Flutter cut its 2026 guidance to about $17.91 billion of revenue and $2.655 billion of adjusted EBITDA at the midpoints and started a plan for $500 million of gross cost savings by 2029. The stock fell about 11% that day.
- August 3, 2026Flutter completed the cancellation of its secondary listing on the London Stock Exchange. Its shares now trade only on the New York Stock Exchange.
- May 11, 2026Flutter completed a $250 million share buyback tranche for the first half of 2026, with 2.4 million shares bought.
- May 6, 2026Flutter reported Q1 2026 results. Group revenue rose 17% with acquisitions, and US revenue rose 6% to $1.76 billion. Amy Howe left as CEO of FanDuel, and Christian Genetski, President of FanDuel, took over the business.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- November 4, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about February 4, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · flut-20260930
- 8-KNew material agreement and New debt or financial obligationFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KExit or restructuring costs and Investor disclosureFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · flut-20260630
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KChange of directors or officers and Investor disclosureFiled · Read it on sec.gov
Risks
- Prediction markets offer sports contracts also in US states that have not legalized sports betting. Flutter says that it sees limited loss of its own customers in regulated states so far, but prediction market companies now raise media costs with more marketing. It spends on its own prediction market product, which cut US adjusted EBITDA to $3 million in Q3 2026, and it expects similar or higher spending in 2027.
- Gambling taxes and rules can change quickly. The UK raised its gaming tax, which cut International adjusted EBITDA in Q2 2026, and Brazil banned online betting on September 25, 2026. Flutter also closed its business in India in August 2025.
- Leverage was 4.6 times adjusted EBITDA at September 30, 2026, against a target of 2.0 to 2.5 times. Flutter paused its share buybacks to reduce debt. Lower EBITDA slows the path back to the target.
- The leadership changed. A new Group CEO started on October 1, 2026, FanDuel's CEO left in May 2026, and the Chief Legal Officer left in September 2026.
- Sports results change revenue from quarter to quarter. Results that favored customers cut US revenue growth by 6 percentage points in Q2 2026.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $1.7B
- Debt
- $12.4B
- Net debt
- $10.7B
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 4.6×
- as the company states it
- Credit line
- $782M
- undrawn
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $10.7B
Leverage: net debt / EBITDA
low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×
When the debt is due
The last debt is due in 2032.
At September 30, 2026, Flutter had $1.71 billion of cash, not counting $2.12 billion of cash held for player deposits, and $12.39 billion of debt principal with accrued interest. The debt is mostly secured: term loans A, term loans B due 2030 and 2032, £500 million drawn on the revolving credit facility, and senior secured notes in US dollars, euros and pounds due 2029 and 2031. Swaps fix the rate on part of the term loan B. On November 3, 2026, Flutter moved the maturity of the term loans A and the revolving facility to May 2032 from 2028 and raised the revolving facility to $1.86 billion. Flutter reports net debt of $10.66 billion and a leverage ratio of 4.6 times net debt to adjusted EBITDA for the last twelve months, up from 3.7 times at December 31, 2025. It expects to return to its target of 2.0 to 2.5 times in the medium term, and it paused share buybacks for the foreseeable future. Operating profit was negative in the first nine months of 2026, so interest cover is not shown. Net interest expense was $477 million in the first nine months of 2026. The undrawn revolving credit commitment was $782 million at September 30, 2026, before the larger facility. Flutter was in compliance with its debt covenants.
Dividends
Flutter Entertainment does not pay a dividend.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026.
Questions about Flutter Entertainment
What does Flutter Entertainment do?
Flutter is the largest online sports betting and iGaming (online casino) company in the world. In the US, it owns FanDuel, which had 39% of US online sportsbook gross gaming revenue and 27% of iGaming gross gaming revenue in Q2 2026. Its market cap is $15B at the current price of $85.49.
When does Flutter Entertainment report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Flutter Entertainment may report on February 4, 2027. It last reported results on November 4, 2026.
Is Flutter Entertainment stock below its intrinsic value?
Flutter Entertainment stock is far below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Flutter Entertainment?
The latest update is from November 4, 2026. Flutter reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for Flutter Entertainment?
Prediction markets offer sports contracts also in US states that have not legalized sports betting. Gambling taxes and rules can change quickly. Leverage was 4.6 times adjusted EBITDA at September 30, 2026, against a target of 2.0 to 2.5 times.
How much debt and cash does Flutter Entertainment have?
At September 30, 2026, Flutter Entertainment had $12.4B of debt and $1.7B of cash.
Does Flutter Entertainment pay a dividend?
No. Flutter Entertainment does not pay a dividend.
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