By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $46.53
- Analysts view
- Leaning bullish
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Jan 27 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $27B
- Shares of Mar 31, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 4.0%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 4.0%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 25.3
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $1.84
- 12 months to Mar 31, 2026
- 52-week range
- $42.67 – $52.34
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.38
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 4.4M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market prices FirstEnergy for high debt and the cost of the Ohio scandal, and a fair Ohio rate plan with new data center investment can close the gap over two to four quarters.
- Gap
- Can close. The West Virginia order on the Maidsville plant in Q4 2026 and the Ohio rate plan decision expected by mid-2027 give dated tests.
Company guidance: Core Earnings of $2.62 to $2.82 per share for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K Ex. 99.1))
Price history
About
FirstEnergy owns regulated electric utilities that serve customers in Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, West Virginia and Maryland. It reports three segments. Distribution serves about 4.3 million customers in Ohio and Pennsylvania. Integrated serves about 2 million customers in New Jersey, West Virginia and Maryland, and it includes the power plants of Mon Power in West Virginia.
Stand-Alone Transmission covers its transmission companies, held through FirstEnergy Transmission (FET), in which a Brookfield fund owns 49.9%. State commissions set its distribution rates, and FERC sets its transmission rates. Its Energize365 plan invests $36 billion from 2026 to 2030, about 30% more than the earlier plan.
Thesis
The market prices FirstEnergy for its high debt and for the legal and regulatory cost of the Ohio bribery scandal of 2020. FirstEnergy still operates under a Deferred Prosecution Agreement from July 2021, and Ohio regulators ordered it in January 2026 to pay customers about $275 million in restitution and refunds. Total debt was about $30.1 billion at September 30, 2026, and the $36 billion building plan needs much more debt. FirstEnergy also plans to fund up to 35% of new investments, such as the Maidsville Energy Center, with equity or equity-like securities, which can dilute shareholders.
For the gap to close, three things must be true. FirstEnergy must reach its 2026 Core Earnings guidance of $2.62 to $2.82 per share, which it now expects at or slightly above the midpoint, and keep growth near the top of 6% to 8% a year through 2030. Ohio regulators must approve a fair three-year rate plan that starts in July 2027. New data center demand, now 7.9 GW contracted, must turn into transmission and generation investment.
The first steps are a West Virginia order on the Maidsville Energy Center, expected in Q4 2026, and a transmission plan at least 25% larger, expected in early 2027. The Ohio rate plan decision, expected by mid-2027, is the main test. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next two to four quarters. The main reason it may not close is a new legal or regulatory cost from the Ohio scandal.
Checkpoints
- Oct 27, 2026PassedQ3 2026 results: guidance and data center demandFirstEnergy keeps its 2026 Core Earnings guidance of $2.62 to $2.82 per share and reports more contracted data center demand passes; a lower guidance or new scandal costs fail.Outcome: FirstEnergy kept its 2026 guidance and now expects results at or slightly above the midpoint, and contracted data center demand rose to 7.9 GW from 6.4 GW in Q2 2026.
- Q4 2026 · est.Due this quarterWest Virginia order on the Maidsville Energy CenterAn order in Q4 2026 that approves the 1.2 GW gas plant passes; a rejection or a delay into the second half of 2027 fails.
- Jan 27, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 results and the 2027 to 2031 plan2026 Core EPS at or above the $2.72 midpoint and a 2027 to 2031 plan with at least 25% more transmission investment pass; Core EPS below the midpoint or a smaller plan fails.
- Q2 2027 · est.PendingOhio three-year rate plan decisionAn order that grants a large part of the requested increases with a return on equity near 10% passes; a low return or a large cut in the request fails.
Recent events
- October 27, 2026FirstEnergy reported Q3 2026 results. GAAP EPS was $0.96, and Core EPS was $0.98, up from $0.83 a year earlier. Core EPS for the first nine months rose 9% to $2.20. FirstEnergy kept its 2026 Core EPS guidance of $2.62 to $2.82 and now expects results at or slightly above the midpoint. Contracted data center demand rose to 7.9 GW, nearly double the level at the end of 2025. FirstEnergy expects to make its $19 billion transmission plan at least 25% larger when it rolls the plan forward to 2027 to 2031. It reserved turbines from Siemens for the Maidsville Energy Center, with delivery in 2030, and it expects the West Virginia order on the plant in Q4 2026.
- September 4, 2026FirstEnergy's Maryland utility filed a base rate case. The Maryland commission must decide by April 2, 2027, for new rates from April 3, 2027.
- August 6, 2026FirstEnergy's New Jersey utility filed a base rate case. FirstEnergy expects new rates in Q2 2027, but the effect on customer bills is delayed until 2028.
Show 6 older eventsHide older events
- July 31, 2026The West Virginia Public Service Commission approved, as filed, a cumulative revenue increase of $76 million for FirstEnergy's West Virginia utilities. The rate increases start on August 1, 2026 and June 1, 2027, and no new base rate increase can start before April 2028.
- July 28, 2026FirstEnergy reported Q2 2026 results. GAAP and Core Earnings were $0.50 per share, in line with its plan. It kept its 2026 Core Earnings guidance of $2.62 to $2.82 per share and its growth target near the top of 6% to 8% a year from 2026 to 2030. Contracted data center demand rose to 6.4 GW, and total data center demand, contracted and pipeline, rose 30% from Q1.
- June 1, 2026In its spring investor update, FirstEnergy said that it is advancing contracts for equipment, construction and gas supply for the 1.2 GW Maidsville Energy Center, a gas plant in West Virginia. It said that data center developers show strong interest in more generation in West Virginia.
- May 22, 2026The Ohio utilities filed a three-year rate plan for July 2027 to June 2030. It asks for base distribution revenue increases of about $254 million in the first year, $59 million in the second year and $80 million in the third year, with a return on equity of 10.2% and about 53% equity.
- May 20, 2026FirstEnergy, FirstEnergy Transmission and the Brookfield fund that owns 49.9% of it amended their agreement so that FET can take part in two new transmission joint ventures, Valley Link and Grid Growth. The ownership split did not change.
- January 7, 2026The Public Utilities Commission of Ohio ordered the Ohio utilities to pay customers about $275 million in restitution and refunds. FirstEnergy had recorded the cost in Q4 2025, and it had paid about $266 million by June 30, 2026.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 27, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about January 27, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · fe-20260930
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · fe-20260630
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · fe-20260601
- 8-KNew material agreement and Shareholder vote resultsFiled · fe-20260520
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · fe-20260331
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 10-KAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2025Filed · fe-20251231
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
Risks
- The Ohio bribery scandal still brings legal costs and lawsuits, including a securities class action. FirstEnergy says that it cannot yet estimate the loss from some of these cases.
- FirstEnergy must fund a $36 billion building plan with large amounts of new debt. Total debt rose to about $30.1 billion at September 30, 2026, from $26.6 billion at December 31, 2025. FirstEnergy plans to fund up to 35% of new investments with equity or equity-like securities, which can dilute shareholders. A credit rating cut would raise its borrowing costs.
- The Ohio three-year rate plan and other state cases decide most of its earnings growth. Low allowed returns or rejected costs would slow growth.
- Much of the new demand depends on data centers. If projects are delayed or cancelled, the added transmission and generation investment can be smaller than expected.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $48M
- Debt
- $30.1B
- Net debt
- $30.0B
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $30.0B
When the debt is due
FirstEnergy funds itself with long-term debt at the holding company, at FirstEnergy Transmission and at each utility, and with short-term borrowings under its credit facilities. At September 30, 2026, long-term debt and other long-term obligations were $25.93 billion, currently payable long-term debt was $2.16 billion and short-term borrowings were $1.97 billion, so total debt was about $30.1 billion, up from $26.6 billion at December 31, 2025. Cash was $48 million. In the first nine months of 2026, FirstEnergy issued $2.58 billion of long-term debt, repaid $720 million and added $1.65 billion of short-term borrowings, while capital investments were $4.19 billion. Operating cash flow fell to $2.06 billion from $2.56 billion, partly because of the Ohio restitution and refunds. It has eight senior unsecured revolving credit facilities, last amended on October 27, 2025. On October 27, 2026, FirstEnergy said that it had completed its 2026 subsidiary debt financing plan of $2.6 billion.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 4.0% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 4.0% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $46.53)
- Paid per share
- $1.84 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $1.86 ($0.465 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 100% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- November 6, 2026, $0.465 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $1.44 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $1.44 | |
| 2018 | $1.44 | |
| 2019 | $1.52 | |
| 2020 | $1.56 | |
| 2021 | $1.56 | |
| 2022 | $1.56 | |
| 2023 | $1.58 | |
| 2024 | $1.685 | |
| 2025 | $1.76 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 2.4% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 2.0% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about FirstEnergy
What does FirstEnergy do?
FirstEnergy owns regulated electric utilities that serve customers in Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, West Virginia and Maryland. It reports three segments. Its market cap is $27B at the current price of $46.53.
When does FirstEnergy report earnings next?
This is an estimate: FirstEnergy may report on January 27, 2027. It last reported results on October 27, 2026.
Is FirstEnergy stock below its intrinsic value?
FirstEnergy stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at FirstEnergy?
The latest update is from October 27, 2026. FirstEnergy reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for FirstEnergy?
The Ohio bribery scandal still brings legal costs and lawsuits, including a securities class action. FirstEnergy must fund a $36 billion building plan with large amounts of new debt. The Ohio three-year rate plan and other state cases decide most of its earnings growth.
How much debt and cash does FirstEnergy have?
At September 30, 2026, FirstEnergy had $30.1B of debt and $48M of cash.
Does FirstEnergy pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of FirstEnergy is $1.86 per share. That is a dividend yield of 4.0% at the current price of $46.53. In the last 12 months, it paid $1.84 per share (4.0%). The latest ex-dividend date was November 6, 2026.
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