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Edison International

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$59.92
Analysts view
Bearish
Discount category
Well below intrinsic value
Pick status
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Jan 29 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$23B
Shares of Oct 22, 2026
Yield at current rate
5.9%
Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
Dividend yield
5.9%
Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
P/E (trailing)
6.4
Price of Nov 12, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$9.41
12 months to Sep 30, 2026
52-week range
$51.10 – $81.62
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
0.54
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
5.2M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
Investors cannot measure Edison's Eaton Fire liability after California failed to pass wildfire reform, so settled claims and a new law in 2027 must come for the gap to close.
Gap
Can close. The Eaton Fire claim deadline on November 30, 2026, the first jury trial in early or mid 2027 and the 2027 legislative session give dated tests within about two years.

Company guidance: Core EPS of $5.90 to $6.20 for 2026 and $6.25 to $6.65 for 2027 (, Q3 2026 earnings release and call presentation (8-K))

Price history

About

Edison International is the parent of Southern California Edison (SCE), an electric utility that serves about 15 million people through 5 million customer accounts in Southern, Central and Coastal California. SCE owns the wires: it transmits and distributes electricity, and it buys most of the power it delivers. The California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) sets about 85% of SCE's rates, and the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) sets the rates for transmission.

Regulators let SCE earn a set return on its rate base, which is the value of the grid it builds. The rate base was about $50.8 billion in 2025, and Edison forecasts about 7% growth a year to 2030 from a capital program of $38 billion to $41 billion for 2026 to 2030. Edison has raised its dividend for 22 years in a row.

Thesis

Edison trades at a discount because investors cannot measure its liability for the January 2025 Eaton Fire, and California did not pass the law that would limit that liability. On August 4, 2026, the county and state fire investigators concluded that arcing on an idle SCE transmission tower started the fire. SCE says that its equipment was likely associated with the ignition, and Edison says that it cannot yet estimate its total losses. On August 30, 2026, the final version of Senate Bill 492 left out the shield against insurer lawsuits and the cap on withdrawals from the state Wildfire Fund that the governor had proposed, and the bill did not pass.

The stock fell 23% on August 31, 2026. For the gap to close, three things must happen. First, the Eaton Fire claims must settle at a cost that the Wildfire Fund and customer-funded insurance can cover, as the voluntary compensation program and the first trials show. By September 30, 2026, SCE had settled claims for $1.8 billion, almost all covered by these sources.

Second, California must pass wildfire reform that limits utility liability and refills the Wildfire Fund before it ends in 2028. Third, SCE must keep its investment-grade ratings and grow core EPS 5% to 7% a year without new shares. The tests come in order: the claim deadline of the compensation program on November 30, 2026, the first Eaton Fire jury trial, set for January 2027 (SCE asked the court to move it to June 2027), and the 2027 legislative session with a new governor. If reform passes in 2027, the gap can close over the next four to eight quarters.

The main risk is a large Eaton Fire verdict or a new fire caused by SCE equipment before reform passes.

Checkpoints

  1. Oct 29, 2026Passed
    Q3 2026 results: Eaton Fire losses and guidanceCore EPS guidance of $5.90 to $6.20 kept and no large new Eaton Fire charge pass; a cut to guidance, a plan to sell new shares or a large new loss estimate fails.Outcome: Edison kept its 2026 to 2028 core EPS guidance and its plan with no new shares, and its $1.8 billion of Eaton Fire settlements left a net after-tax charge of only $9 million.
  2. Nov 30, 2026Pending
    Eaton Fire compensation program: claim deadlineMost eligible claimants settle through the program at costs inside the self-insurance and Wildfire Fund coverage passes; most claims staying in court fails.
  3. Jan 29, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 results: Eaton Fire losses and guidance2026 core EPS within $5.90 to $6.20, 2027 guidance kept and no plan to sell new shares pass; a cut to guidance, new shares or a large new loss estimate fails.
  4. Jan 2027 · est.Pending
    First Eaton Fire jury trial (SCE asked to move it to June 2027)A verdict or settlements near the program's values pass; a large verdict that raises the expected total cost far above the Wildfire Fund coverage fails.
  5. 2027 · est.Pending
    California wildfire reform in the 2027 legislative sessionA law that limits utility liability or refills the Wildfire Fund before it ends in 2028 passes; no law, or a downgrade of SCE below investment grade, fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • October 29, 2026Edison reported Q3 2026 results. GAAP EPS was $1.88, and core EPS was $1.92, against $2.34 a year earlier, when SCE recorded catch-up earnings from its 2025 rate case. Edison kept its 2026 core EPS guidance of $5.90 to $6.20, its 2027 guidance of $6.25 to $6.65 and its target of 5% to 7% core EPS growth a year to 2030, with no new shares. SCE had recorded $1.8 billion of Eaton Fire settlements by September 30, 2026, with expected recoveries of $917 million from customer-funded insurance, $859 million from the Wildfire Fund and $70 million through FERC rates. Edison still cannot estimate its total Eaton Fire losses. Bellwether jury trials are set for January, May and September 2027, and SCE asked the court to move the January trial to June 2027.
  • October 13, 2026The short seller Muddy Waters said that it is short Edison. It claims that SCE knew for about five years that its wildfire risk model did not handle high winds well, and that a court can find willful misconduct in the Eaton Fire. It estimates fire damages of at least $4 billion, and a liability of about $20 billion if a court finds willful misconduct. These are the short seller's claims, not findings. Edison has denied negligence or wrongdoing, and it says that it cooperates with the investigations into the cause of the fire. The stock fell more than 3% that day, Reuters reported.
  • September 17, 2026SCE said that its Wildfire Recovery Compensation Program for the Eaton Fire had nearly 4,800 claims. It had made more than 2,700 offers, worth nearly $950 million, and paid more than $500 million. The deadline to submit a claim is November 30, 2026.
Show 7 older events
  • August 31, 2026The stock fell 23%, its largest one-day drop in more than 25 years, after the California legislature removed the utility liability limits from Senate Bill 492. The bill did not pass before the session ended.
  • August 30, 2026SCE said that the amended Senate Bill 492 does not deliver durable wildfire reform. It said that it will work with the next governor and legislature on a full solution.
  • August 4, 2026The Los Angeles County Fire Department and CAL FIRE released their Eaton Fire investigation reports. They concluded that an electrical arcing event on an idle, de-energized SCE transmission tower started the fire. SCE said that it reviews the reports. The Los Angeles District Attorney's Office investigates whether criminal violations occurred.
  • July 30, 2026Edison reported Q2 2026 results. GAAP EPS was $1.39, and core EPS was $1.54, against $0.97 a year earlier. It kept its 2026 core EPS guidance of $5.90 to $6.20 and its target of 5% to 7% core EPS growth a year from 2025 to 2030, with no new equity in its financing plan.
  • July 3, 2026Aaron Moss, the CFO of SCE, became CFO of Edison International. He replaced Maria Rigatti, who retired on September 1, 2026.
  • April 30, 2026Edison International agreed to sell $500 million of 5.00% senior notes due 2028.
  • April 28, 2026Edison reported Q1 2026 results. GAAP EPS was $1.38, and core EPS was $1.42. It kept its 2026 core EPS guidance of $5.90 to $6.20.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
October 29, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about January 29, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 827052)

Risks

  • The Eaton Fire of January 2025 killed 19 people and destroyed about 6,000 homes. At October 22, 2026, SCE knew of about 2,000 lawsuits with about 38,000 individual plaintiffs. Fire investigators concluded in August 2026 that arcing on an idle SCE transmission tower started the fire. Edison says that more material losses are probable, but it cannot estimate them. The first jury trial is set for January 2027, and SCE asked the court to move it to June 2027. The Los Angeles District Attorney's Office investigates whether criminal violations occurred. Fines and penalties, if any, cannot be recovered from insurance, the Wildfire Fund or rates.
  • California law sets how much wildfire cost a utility must pay. The legislature did not pass reform in 2026, the state Wildfire Fund ends in 2028, and no law refills it. If the CPUC finds that SCE did not act prudently, SCE must repay the fund up to about $4.3 billion for the Eaton Fire.
  • A new wildfire caused by SCE equipment can bring large new claims. California fires grow larger and more frequent, and the risk is highest in the fall wind season.
  • Edison's ratings are at the lowest investment-grade level, as the CEO said on September 21, 2026. Edison says that the absence of credit-supportive wildfire laws can lead to a downgrade. A downgrade raises the cost of debt and can require SCE to post collateral if a rating falls below investment grade.
  • Higher interest rates raise the cost of the large debt load and lower the value of a regulated return. Customer bills are high, so regulators can push back on new capital spending or on the return on equity.

Balance sheet

Cash
$171M
Debt
$41.6B
Net debt
$41.4B
Interest cover
2.0×
times profit pays interest
Credit line
$4.6B
undrawn, to May 2030

Cash against debt

Cash$171M
Debt$41.6B

debt covered by cashnet debt $41.4B

When the debt is due

12 months$2.6B
Later$39.0B

At September 30, 2026, Edison had $171 million of cash and $41.6 billion of debt: $0.8 billion of short-term debt, $1.8 billion of long-term debt due within one year and $39.0 billion of other long-term debt. The long-term debt includes $4.9 billion of securitization bonds that customers repay through a fixed charge.

Dividends

Yield at the current rate
5.9% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
Dividend yield
5.9% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $59.92)
Paid per share
$3.512 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$3.512 ($0.878 × 4 a year)
Payout ratio
29% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
Latest ex-dividend date
October 7, 2026, $0.878 per share

Dividends per share by year

Edison International dividends per share by year
2016
$1.983
2017
$2.234
2018
$2.428
2019
$2.477
2020
$2.577
2021
$2.689
2022
$2.838
2023
$2.994
2024
$2.34
2025
$3.312

From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 5.1% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 6.7% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Edison International

What does Edison International do?

Edison International is the parent of Southern California Edison (SCE), an electric utility that serves about 15 million people through 5 million customer accounts in Southern, Central and Coastal California. Its market cap is $23B at the current price of $59.92.

When does Edison International report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Edison International may report on January 29, 2027. It last reported results on October 29, 2026.

Is Edison International stock below its intrinsic value?

Edison International stock is well below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Edison International?

The latest update is from October 29, 2026. Edison reported Q3 2026 results.

What are the main risks for Edison International?

The Eaton Fire of January 2025 killed 19 people and destroyed about 6,000 homes. California law sets how much wildfire cost a utility must pay. A new wildfire caused by SCE equipment can bring large new claims.

How much debt and cash does Edison International have?

At September 30, 2026, Edison International had $41.6B of debt and $171M of cash.

Does Edison International pay a dividend?

Yes. The current annual dividend of Edison International is $3.512 per share. That is a dividend yield of 5.9% at the current price of $59.92. The latest ex-dividend date was October 7, 2026.

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