WECElectric & gas utility
WEC Energy Group
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $117.47
- Analysts view
- Mixed
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Jan 29 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $39B
- Shares of Sep 30, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 3.2%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 3.2%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 24.4
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $4.81
- 12 months to Dec 31, 2025
- 52-week range
- $99.80 – $120.15
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.42
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 2.7M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market prices WEC for a record capital plan that depends on a few data center customers, and fair rate orders in late 2026 with data center load on plan can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The Wisconsin and Illinois rate orders expected in Q4 2026 and the data center load in 2027 give dated tests.
Company guidance: EPS of $5.60 to $5.64 for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K Ex. 99.1))
Price history
About
WEC Energy Group is a regulated utility holding company based in Milwaukee. It serves 4.8 million electric and natural gas customers in Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan and Minnesota. Its main utilities are We Energies, Wisconsin Public Service, Peoples Gas, North Shore Gas, Michigan Gas Utilities, Minnesota Energy Resources and Upper Michigan Energy Resources.
It owns 60% of American Transmission Company, and its WEC Infrastructure unit owns wind and solar farms in other states. It had about $52.8 billion of assets in September 2026. Scott Lauber is Chairman, President and CEO.
Thesis
The market prices WEC for the cost of the largest capital plan in its history and for the regulatory risk that comes with it. In late October 2026, WEC raised its plan to $47.5 billion for 2027 to 2031, including its share of American Transmission Company. It expects to fund it partly with $5.1 billion to $5.5 billion of new common equity and $18.7 billion to $19.3 billion of incremental debt, and it set up a program to sell up to $4.0 billion of common stock over time. Much of the plan serves very large data center customers, such as Microsoft in Mount Pleasant and the Vantage campus in Port Washington for OpenAI and Oracle, so the growth depends on a small number of customers.
On November 5, 2026, the Wisconsin commission approved the Wisconsin rate cases with a 9.50% return on equity and a 53.0% equity ratio, and the Illinois gas order is still pending. For the gap to close, three things must be true. The Illinois commission must approve a fair Peoples Gas rate order in Q4 2026 for new rates on January 1, 2027. The data center customers must keep building and use the forecast load, with the protections of the Very Large Customer tariff that the Wisconsin commission approved on May 21, 2026.
WEC must meet its 2026 guidance of $5.60 to $5.64 per share, which it raised in October 2026 partly because of warm weather, and its long-term EPS growth target, which it raised in late 2026 to 7% to 9% or more. The Illinois rate order in Q4 2026 and the Q4 2026 report in early 2027 give the next tests. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next two to four quarters. The main reason it may not close is a delay or cut in data center demand, which would leave less growth from the plan.
Checkpoints
- Oct 29, 2026PassedQ3 2026 earnings2026 guidance of $5.51 to $5.61 per share reaffirmed or raised passes; a guidance cut fails.Outcome: WEC raised and narrowed its 2026 guidance to $5.60 to $5.64 per share, helped by warm weather and investment for the Very Large Customers.
- Dec 2026 · est.PendingWisconsin and Illinois rate ordersOrders near the requested returns on equity and equity ratios for rates from January 1, 2027 pass; large cuts to the requests fail.
- Jan 29, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 earnings: 2026 result and 2027 guidance2026 EPS within $5.60 to $5.64 and 2027 guidance in line with the 7% to 8% long-term growth target pass; a result below the range or lower growth fails.
Recent events
- November 5, 2026The Public Service Commission of Wisconsin approved the rate cases of the Wisconsin utilities for 2027 with a 9.50% return on equity and a 53.0% equity ratio. WEC expects the final written order before the end of 2026. The Illinois order for Peoples Gas is still expected in Q4 2026.
- November 4, 2026WEC signed an equity distribution agreement to sell up to $4.0 billion of its common stock over time.
- November 2, 2026WEC issued $1.0 billion of 6.750% Series 2026A and $1.0 billion of 6.950% Series 2026B junior subordinated notes due 2057.
Show 6 older eventsHide older events
- October 30, 2026In its Q3 2026 quarterly report and a November investor update, WEC showed a new capital plan of $47.5 billion for 2027 to 2031: $42.2 billion at its utilities and $5.3 billion for its share of American Transmission Company. It plans $5.1 billion to $5.5 billion of new common equity and $18.7 billion to $19.3 billion of incremental debt, including $4.0 billion to $5.0 billion of junior subordinated notes. It raised its long-term EPS growth target to 7% to 9% or more.
- October 29, 2026WEC reported Q3 2026 results. Net income was $389.3 million, or $1.18 per share, up from $0.83. For the first nine months, EPS was $4.54, up from $3.85. Retail electricity deliveries, without the iron ore mine and the Very Large Customers, rose 3.3%, or 0.4% on a weather-normal basis. Because of warm weather and capital investment for the Very Large Customers, WEC raised and narrowed its 2026 guidance to $5.60 to $5.64 per share, from $5.51 to $5.61.
- September 4, 2026WEC published an investor update. It shows a 2026 to 2030 capital plan of $37.5 billion, a long-term EPS growth target of 7% to 8% and 3.9 GW of new electric demand expected from 2026 to 2030. It expects Wisconsin and Illinois rate orders in Q4 2026 for new rates on January 1, 2027.
- August 14, 2026Wisconsin Electric agreed with NextEra Energy Point Beach to buy 86% of the output of the Point Beach nuclear plant for 20 more years, to 2050 for Unit 1 and 2053 for Unit 2. The agreement needs approval from the Public Service Commission of Wisconsin.
- July 29, 2026WEC reported Q2 2026 results. Net income was $299.2 million, or $0.91 per share, up from $0.76. For the first half, EPS was $3.36. WEC reaffirmed its 2026 guidance of $5.51 to $5.61 per share.
- May 21, 2026The Public Service Commission of Wisconsin approved the Very Large Customer tariff for customers with 100 MW or more of new load. On the same day, the Illinois Commerce Commission approved a settlement that resolves 12 open rider dockets of Peoples Gas and North Shore Gas.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 29, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about January 29, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 8-KInvestor disclosure and Other company newsFiled · wec-20261105
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · wec-20260930
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · wec-20260904
- 8-KNew material agreementFiled · wec-20260814
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · wec-20260805
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · wec-20260630
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · wec-20260803
Risks
- A large part of the load growth comes from a few data center campuses. If a customer delays or cancels its project, WEC has less growth from its plan, although the Very Large Customer tariff requires payment for the remaining book value on early termination.
- The Wisconsin commission approved a 9.50% return on equity on November 5, 2026, but the written order is still to come, and the Illinois gas rate case is pending, with an order expected in Q4 2026. Lower allowed returns or equity ratios than requested reduce earnings growth.
- WEC plans to issue $5.1 billion to $5.5 billion of common equity from 2027 to 2031, and it set up a program to sell up to $4.0 billion of stock in November 2026. Higher interest rates or a lower share price increase the cost of this funding.
- Illinois requires Peoples Gas to retire more than 1,000 miles of old pipe by January 1, 2035. Costs that regulators do not allow in rates reduce earnings.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $59M
- Debt
- $22.8B
- Net debt
- $22.7B
- Interest cover
- 2.8×
- times profit pays interest
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $22.7B
When the debt is due
WEC funds its utilities with long-term debt, short-term borrowings and new equity. At September 30, 2026, long-term debt was $20.85 billion, including $1.13 billion due within one year, and short-term borrowings were $1.90 billion. Cash was $59 million. Interest cover is operating income of $1.98 billion divided by interest expense of $699 million for the first nine months of 2026. In the first nine months of 2026, WEC issued $2.40 billion of long-term debt, repaid $1.56 billion and issued $383 million of common stock, net. WEC targets S&P FFO to debt above 15% and Moody's CFO before working capital to debt above 16%. Its issuer ratings are A- from S&P and Baa1 from Moody's. The financing plan for 2027 to 2031 includes $4.0 billion to $5.0 billion of junior subordinated notes. On November 2, 2026, after the balance sheet date, WEC issued $2.0 billion of junior subordinated notes due 2057.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 3.2% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 3.2% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $117.47)
- Paid per share
- $3.752 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $3.812 ($0.953 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 74% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- August 14, 2026, $0.953 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $1.98 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $2.08 | |
| 2018 | $2.212 | |
| 2019 | $2.36 | |
| 2020 | $2.532 | |
| 2021 | $2.712 | |
| 2022 | $2.912 | |
| 2023 | $3.12 | |
| 2024 | $3.34 | |
| 2025 | $3.572 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 7.1% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 7.4% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about WEC Energy Group
What does WEC Energy Group do?
WEC Energy Group is a regulated utility holding company based in Milwaukee. It serves 4.8 million electric and natural gas customers in Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan and Minnesota. Its market cap is $39B at the current price of $117.47.
When does WEC Energy Group report earnings next?
This is an estimate: WEC Energy Group may report on January 29, 2027. It last reported results on October 29, 2026.
Is WEC Energy Group stock below its intrinsic value?
WEC Energy Group stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at WEC Energy Group?
The latest update is from November 5, 2026. The Public Service Commission of Wisconsin approved the rate cases of the Wisconsin utilities for 2027 with a 9.50% return on equity and a 53.0% equity ratio.
What are the main risks for WEC Energy Group?
A large part of the load growth comes from a few data center campuses. The Wisconsin commission approved a 9.50% return on equity on November 5, 2026, but the written order is still to come, and the Illinois gas rate case is pending, with an order expected in Q4 2026. WEC plans to issue $5.1 billion to $5.5 billion of common equity from 2027 to 2031, and it set up a program to sell up to $4.0 billion of stock in November 2026.
How much debt and cash does WEC Energy Group have?
At September 30, 2026, WEC Energy Group had $22.8B of debt and $59M of cash.
Does WEC Energy Group pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of WEC Energy Group is $3.812 per share. That is a dividend yield of 3.2% at the current price of $117.47. In the last 12 months, it paid $3.752 per share (3.2%). The latest ex-dividend date was August 14, 2026.
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