EFXCredit data & analytics
Equifax
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $188.41
- Analysts view
- Bullish
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Jan 20 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $22B
- Shares of Oct 9, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 1.2%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 1.2%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 30.5
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $6.18
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $137.01 – $228.67
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 1.27
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 1.7M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market prices Equifax for its dependence on a slow mortgage market and for its debt, and steady growth with higher free cash flow through 2027 can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The full-year 2026 report and the 2027 guidance in early 2027 show whether growth continues while mortgage volumes stay low.
Company guidance: Adjusted EPS of $8.45 to $8.55 and revenue of $6.646 to $6.676 billion for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))
Price history
About
Equifax is a global data, analytics and technology company based in Atlanta. It has about 15,000 employees and operates or has investments in 24 countries. It has three segments.
Workforce Solutions sells employment and income verification from its database of payroll records, called The Work Number, and employer services. U.S. Information Solutions (USIS) is the US consumer credit bureau.
International runs credit bureaus in countries such as Canada, Australia and the United Kingdom. Revenue was $1.69 billion in Q3 2026. Mortgage lenders are large customers of both Workforce Solutions and USIS, so mortgage volumes affect results.
Thesis
The market prices Equifax for its dependence on a slow mortgage market and for its debt. US mortgage revenue grew 15% in Q3 2026, but the mortgage market became much weaker in the second half of the quarter. Because of this, Equifax reduced its 2026 revenue guidance in October 2026, and the company's growth plan still assumes more mortgage activity over time. Debt was $5.2 billion at September 30, 2026, after share buybacks, and Equifax expects to buy Círculo de Crédito in Mexico for an enterprise value of $750 million in Q4 2026.
For the gap to close, three things must be true. Equifax must reach its reduced 2026 guidance of revenue of $6.646 to $6.676 billion and adjusted EPS of $8.45 to $8.55. Workforce Solutions must keep growing outside mortgage, with the government contracts signed in 2026 adding revenue from 2027. Free cash flow must rise, so that the company can pay for the Mexican purchase and keep its buybacks without much more debt.
The full-year 2026 report and the 2027 guidance, expected in early 2027, are the main test. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next four to six quarters. The main reason it may not close is a long period of high mortgage rates, which keeps mortgage volumes low.
Checkpoints
- Oct 20, 2026FailedQ3 2026 earnings: mortgage and Workforce SolutionsRevenue of $1.68 to $1.71 billion, adjusted EPS of $2.15 to $2.25 and stable Workforce Solutions margins pass; results below the guidance or lower 2026 guidance fail.Outcome: Revenue of $1,692.5 million and adjusted EPS of $2.26 met the guidance, but Equifax reduced its 2026 revenue guidance because of a weaker US mortgage market.
- Q4 2026 · est.Due this quarterCírculo de Crédito purchase closesA close in Q4 2026 passes; a delay into 2027 or the end of the agreement fails.
- Jan 20, 2027 · est.PendingFull-year 2026 results and 2027 guidance2026 adjusted EPS inside the $8.45 to $8.55 guidance and 2027 guidance for growth in revenue and free cash flow pass; flat 2027 guidance or higher debt without growth fails.
Recent events
- October 20, 2026Equifax reported Q3 2026 results. Revenue rose 10% to $1,692.5 million, and adjusted EPS rose 11% to $2.26. Workforce Solutions revenue rose 7%, USIS revenue rose 13% and International revenue rose 9%. US mortgage revenue rose 15%, but the mortgage market became much weaker in the second half of the quarter. Equifax reduced its 2026 revenue guidance to $6.646 to $6.676 billion and set adjusted EPS guidance at $8.45 to $8.55, $0.04 lower at the midpoint. It expects the Círculo de Crédito purchase to close in Q4 2026.
- July 29, 2026Equifax sold $500 million of 5.000% senior notes due 2029 and $500 million of 5.650% senior notes due 2033. It used the money to repay commercial paper.
- July 21, 2026Equifax reported Q2 2026 results. Revenue rose 11% to $1.70 billion and adjusted EPS rose 13% to $2.25. Workforce Solutions revenue rose 7% and USIS revenue rose 17%. Equifax signed an agreement to buy Círculo de Crédito, a Mexican credit bureau, for an enterprise value of $750 million, with closing expected in Q4 2026. It doubled its target for AI-driven cost savings from 2026 to 2028 to $150 million and returned $366 million to shareholders.
Show 1 older eventHide older events
- April 24, 2026Equifax increased its revolving credit facility to $2.0 billion from $1.5 billion and extended the term of most of the commitments. It also increased its commercial paper program to $2.0 billion.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 20, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about January 20, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · efx-20260930
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · efx-20260630
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KChange to shareholder rights or bylawsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KNew material agreement and New debt or financial obligationFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · efx-20260331
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
Risks
- Mortgage lenders are large customers. High mortgage rates keep mortgage volumes low, which slows the growth of both Workforce Solutions and USIS.
- Workforce Solutions has the highest margins in the company. Its operating margin was 44.1% in Q3 2026, up from 43.8% a year earlier but below 44.9% in Q2 2026. Further pressure on its pricing or data would hurt profit.
- Debt was $5.2 billion at September 30, 2026, and the Círculo de Crédito purchase will add more. Higher debt leaves less room for buybacks if results are weak.
- International revenue is exposed to exchange rates and to the economies of Latin America, Canada, Europe and Asia Pacific.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $193M
- Debt
- $5.2B
- Net debt
- $5.0B
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $5.0B
When the debt is due
Equifax funds its operations with senior notes and commercial paper, which its $2.0 billion revolving credit facility backs. At September 30, 2026, total debt was $5.21 billion: $158 million of short-term debt and current maturities and $5.05 billion of long-term debt. Cash was $193 million. Short-term debt fell from $1.41 billion at June 30, 2026, because Equifax sold $1.0 billion of senior notes due 2029 and 2033 in July 2026 and used the money to repay commercial paper. In the first nine months of 2026, operating cash flow was $1,142 million and capital expenditures were $379 million. The purchase of Círculo de Crédito, expected to close in Q4 2026, will add about $750 million of enterprise value.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 1.2% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 1.2% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $188.41)
- Paid per share
- $2.18 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $2.24 ($0.56 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 36% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- August 31, 2026, $0.56 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $1.32 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $1.56 | |
| 2018 | $1.56 | |
| 2019 | $1.56 | |
| 2020 | $1.56 | |
| 2021 | $1.56 | |
| 2022 | $1.56 | |
| 2023 | $1.56 | |
| 2024 | $1.56 | |
| 2025 | $1.89 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 3.9% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 5.0% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Equifax
What does Equifax do?
Equifax is a global data, analytics and technology company based in Atlanta. It has about 15,000 employees and operates or has investments in 24 countries. Its market cap is $22B at the current price of $188.41.
When does Equifax report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Equifax may report on January 20, 2027. It last reported results on October 20, 2026.
Is Equifax stock below its intrinsic value?
Equifax stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Equifax?
The latest update is from October 20, 2026. Equifax reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for Equifax?
Mortgage lenders are large customers. Workforce Solutions has the highest margins in the company. Debt was $5.2 billion at September 30, 2026, and the Círculo de Crédito purchase will add more.
How much debt and cash does Equifax have?
At September 30, 2026, Equifax had $5.2B of debt and $193M of cash.
Does Equifax pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of Equifax is $2.24 per share. That is a dividend yield of 1.2% at the current price of $188.41. In the last 12 months, it paid $2.18 per share (1.2%). The latest ex-dividend date was August 31, 2026.
Similar companies
- YUMYum! BrandsShares: Weak consumer, Interest rates, High debt
- Intrinsic value
- Close to intrinsic value
- Gap
- Can close
- LOWLowe'sShares: Interest rates, Weak consumer, High debt
- Intrinsic value
- Close to intrinsic value
- Gap
- Slow
- PIIPolarisShares: Weak consumer, Interest rates, High debt
- Intrinsic value
- Close to intrinsic value
- Gap
- Slow
- GPIGroup 1 AutomotiveShares: Weak consumer, Interest rates, High debt
- Intrinsic value
- Well below intrinsic value
- Gap
- Can close
- PKPark Hotels & ResortsShares: High debt, Interest rates, Weak consumer
- Intrinsic value
- Below intrinsic value
- Gap
- Can close
Loading your notes…
Read it all? Star EFX or pass, then go on to the next one.