DTEElectric & gas utility
DTE Energy
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $139.69
- Analysts view
- Bullish
- Discount category
- Well below intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Top pick
- Next earnings
- Earnings Feb 5 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $29B
- Shares of Mar 31, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 3.3%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 3.3%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 23.0
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $6.08
- 12 months to Mar 31, 2026
- 52-week range
- $119.68 – $155.75
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.36
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 1.6M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market prices DTE for a costly building plan paid partly with new shares, and a fair Michigan rate order in early 2027 with more data center contracts can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The Michigan electric rate order expected in February 2027 and a further data center agreement, which DTE targets by the end of 2026, give dated tests.
Company guidance: Operating EPS of $7.59 to $7.73 for 2026 and a 2027 pro forma baseline of $7.59 to $7.73 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))
Price history
About
DTE Energy is a utility holding company based in Detroit, Michigan. DTE Electric supplies electricity in southeast Michigan, and DTE Gas supplies natural gas across Michigan. The company also has DTE Vantage, which owns renewable natural gas and other energy projects, and an energy trading business. In November 2026, DTE agreed to sell DTE Vantage for about $2.97 billion, with closing expected in mid-2027.
The Michigan Public Service Commission (MPSC) sets its rates. DTE plans to retire all its coal plants by 2032 and to add solar, wind, battery storage and natural gas plants. It has signed contracts to serve a 1.4 gigawatt Oracle data center, which is under construction, and a 1 gigawatt Google data center, whose contracts the MPSC approved with conditions in October 2026.
Thesis
The market prices DTE for a costly building plan that needs new shares and fair rate orders. In November 2026, DTE raised its 2027 to 2031 capital plan to about $44 billion, to serve data centers and build new plants, and it now targets about $1 billion of new equity each year from 2027 to 2031. It also agreed to sell DTE Vantage, so its 2027 operating EPS baseline stays at $7.59 to $7.73, and it raised its operating EPS growth target to more than 9% a year through 2031, from 6% to 8%. In February 2026, the MPSC approved a $242 million annual increase for DTE Electric, well short of the $574 million that it asked for.
DTE asked for a further $474 million in April 2026. Customer bills and affordability are political issues in Michigan. For the gap to close, three things must be true. The MPSC must give a fair order on the 2026 electric rate case, which DTE expects in February 2027.
The MPSC approved the Google data center contracts on October 1, 2026, and DTE must now sign a further data center agreement by the end of 2026, as it targets, from the 2 gigawatts in advanced discussions. Operating EPS must reach the high end of the 2026 guidance of $7.59 to $7.73 and then grow more than 9% a year from the $7.66 baseline. The sale of DTE Vantage must close in the first half of 2027. The rate order in February 2027 is the main test.
If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next four to six quarters. The main reason it may not close is a weak rate order, which cuts the return on the large investment plan.
Checkpoints
- Nov 5, 2026PassedQ3 2026 earnings: guidance and data centersOperating EPS on track for the high end of the $7.59 to $7.73 guidance and progress on a new data center agreement pass; lower guidance or no progress on new data center agreements fails.Outcome: DTE said that it is positioned for the high end of its 2026 guidance, and it has 2 gigawatts of data center demand in advanced discussions.
- Dec 2026 · est.PendingA further data center agreementA signed agreement for a further data center by the end of 2026, as DTE targets, passes; no agreement by then fails.
- Feb 5, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 earnings: 2026 result and 2027 guidance2026 operating EPS at the high end of $7.59 to $7.73 and 2027 guidance in line with growth of more than 9% a year pass; a lower result or a weaker outlook fails.
- Feb 2027 · est.PendingMPSC order on the 2026 electric rate caseAn order that grants a large part of the $474 million request with a return on equity near 9.9% or higher passes; an order for much less, or a lower return on equity, fails.
Recent events
- November 5, 2026DTE reported Q3 2026 results. Operating earnings were $2.30 per share, against $2.25 a year earlier, and reported earnings were $2.25 per share. DTE confirmed its 2026 operating EPS guidance of $7.59 to $7.73 and said that it is positioned for the high end. It set a 2027 pro forma baseline of $7.59 to $7.73 after the DTE Vantage sale and raised its operating EPS growth target to more than 9% a year through 2031, from 6% to 8%. Its 2027 to 2031 capital plan is about $44 billion, nearly 30% more than the prior plan, and it targets about $1 billion of new equity each year. It has 2 gigawatts of data center demand in advanced discussions.
- November 5, 2026DTE said that on November 1, 2026 it agreed to sell DTE Vantage, its renewable energy and custom energy solutions business, for about $2.97 billion, subject to adjustments. The buyer is owned by investors advised by J.P. Morgan Asset Management's Global Infrastructure group and has no financing condition. The sale needs regulatory approvals, including from FERC, and DTE expects it to close in mid-2027. If the buyer ends the deal in some cases, it pays DTE a fee of about $149 million.
- October 1, 2026The MPSC approved, with conditions, DTE Electric's special contracts to serve Google's data center in Van Buren Township. The contracts run for 20 years, with minimum monthly billing of 80% of contract capacity and a termination payment of at least 15 years of minimum charges. Google pays for up to 1,600 megawatts of renewable energy and 480 megawatts of battery storage that DTE Electric develops. Service is expected to start in December 2027 and reach maximum load by December 2028.
Show 6 older eventsHide older events
- September 28, 2026DTE gave investors a business update. It said that construction of the 1.4 gigawatt Oracle data center has started and that it submitted the 1 gigawatt Google data center contract to the MPSC. It targets one more data center agreement by the end of 2026 and plans equity issues of $500 million to $600 million each year from 2026 to 2028.
- July 28, 2026DTE reported Q2 2026 results. Reported earnings were $1.35 per share and operating earnings were $1.32 per share, compared with $1.36 a year earlier. DTE confirmed its 2026 operating EPS guidance of $7.59 to $7.73.
- June 18, 2026DTE sold $1.0 billion of 6.200% junior subordinated debentures due 2058.
- May 27, 2026DTE agreed with LG Energy Solution Vertech to build battery storage systems in Michigan for eight projects, with 1.5 gigawatts of capacity and an investment of $1.6 billion.
- April 28, 2026DTE Electric filed a rate case with the MPSC that asks for a $474 million increase in base rates and a return on equity of 10.25%. DTE expects a final order in February 2027. If the first data center comes online by the end of 2027, DTE plans not to file another electric rate case until at least 2028.
- February 19, 2026The MPSC approved an annual revenue increase of $242 million for DTE Electric from March 5, 2026, with a return on equity of 9.9%. DTE had asked for $574 million.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- November 6, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about February 5, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · dte-20261106
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · dte-20260930
- 8-KNew material agreementFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · dte-20260928
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · dte-20260908
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · dte-20260901
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · dte-20260630
Risks
- The MPSC sets DTE's rates and returns. In February 2026, it approved less than half of the electric increase that DTE asked for. Another weak order can reduce earnings growth.
- The growth plan needs about $1 billion of new equity each year from 2027 to 2031, plus more junior subordinated debt. A lower share price makes each issue more dilutive.
- Much of the extra growth depends on data centers. The MPSC approved the Google contracts in October 2026, but service starts only in December 2027. A delay of the first data center past 2027 can change DTE's plan to pause rate cases.
- DTE Vantage earnings depend on renewable natural gas tax credits and on the prices of environmental attributes. Changes in tax law or prices can lower these earnings until DTE completes the sale of DTE Vantage, which it expects in mid-2027.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $33M
- Debt
- $28.5B
- Net debt
- $28.5B
- Credit line
- $2.5B
- undrawn, to October 2030
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $28.5B
When the debt is due
Credit ratings
- S&P BBB
- Moody's Baa2
- Fitch BBB
DTE funds its utility investments with mortgage bonds, senior notes, junior subordinated debentures and equity. At September 30, 2026, debt was about $28.5 billion: $2.85 billion of long-term debt due within one year, $21.94 billion of other mortgage bonds, notes and other debt, $2.46 billion of junior subordinated debentures, $525 million of securitization bonds and $737 million of short-term borrowings. Cash was $33 million. The revolving credit facilities, which expire in October 2030, had $2.49 billion of net availability at September 30, 2026. DTE expects about $3 billion from the sale of DTE Vantage in the first half of 2027, and the proceeds let it delay to 2027 the equity that it sold under forward contracts in 2026. It targets about $1 billion of new equity each year from 2027 to 2031. DTE targets funds from operations of about 15% of debt, and the rating agencies count half of the junior subordinated debt as equity in that measure. DTE Energy's unsecured debt is rated BBB by S&P, Baa2 by Moody's and BBB by Fitch. DTE Electric's secured debt is rated A by S&P, Aa3 by Moody's and A+ by Fitch.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 3.3% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 3.3% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $139.69)
- Paid per share
- $4.66 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $4.66 ($1.165 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 63% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- September 21, 2026, $1.165 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $2.60 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $2.8579 | |
| 2018 | $3.0587 | |
| 2019 | $3.2749 | |
| 2020 | $3.5098 | |
| 2021 | $3.5568 | |
| 2022 | $3.608 | |
| 2023 | $3.879 | |
| 2024 | $4.15 | |
| 2025 | $4.435 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 4.8% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 6.3% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about DTE Energy
What does DTE Energy do?
DTE Energy is a utility holding company based in Detroit, Michigan. DTE Electric supplies electricity in southeast Michigan, and DTE Gas supplies natural gas across Michigan. Its market cap is $29B at the current price of $139.69.
When does DTE Energy report earnings next?
This is an estimate: DTE Energy may report on February 5, 2027. It last reported results on November 5, 2026.
Is DTE Energy stock below its intrinsic value?
DTE Energy stock is well below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at DTE Energy?
The latest update is from November 5, 2026. DTE reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for DTE Energy?
The MPSC sets DTE's rates and returns. The growth plan needs about $1 billion of new equity each year from 2027 to 2031, plus more junior subordinated debt. Much of the extra growth depends on data centers.
How much debt and cash does DTE Energy have?
At September 30, 2026, DTE Energy had $28.5B of debt and $33M of cash.
Does DTE Energy pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of DTE Energy is $4.66 per share. That is a dividend yield of 3.3% at the current price of $139.69. The latest ex-dividend date was September 21, 2026.
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