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VTRHealthcare REIT

Ventas

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$90.42
Analysts view
Bullish
Discount category
Close to intrinsic value
Pick status
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Jan 27 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$48B
Shares of Oct 27, 2026
Yield at current rate
2.3%
Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
Dividend yield
2.3%
Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
P/E (trailing)
173.9
Price of Nov 12, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$0.52
12 months to Sep 30, 2026
52-week range
$73.82 – $101.60
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
0.79
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
3.6M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
The market prices Ventas for the risk that senior housing growth slows and that new shares dilute it, and continued fast SHOP growth with accretive investments can close the gap.
Gap
Can close. The Q4 2026 report and the 2027 guidance, expected in early 2027, show whether senior housing growth continues.

Company guidance: Normalized FFO of $3.87 to $3.90 per share for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K Ex. 99.1))

Price history

About

Ventas is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns about 1,500 properties in North America and the United Kingdom. About 1,000 of them are senior housing communities. In its senior housing operating portfolio (SHOP), Ventas owns the communities and receives their operating income, while other companies manage them.

It also owns outpatient medical buildings, research centers and other healthcare facilities, which it leases to tenants. Its headquarters are in Chicago. Debra Cafaro is Chairman and CEO.

Thesis

The market prices Ventas for the risk that its fast growth in senior housing will slow and that new shares will dilute it. Ventas pays for most of its purchases with new equity. By September 30, 2026, it had settled 47.3 million shares in 2026 for $3.9 billion of gross proceeds, and it had $0.8 billion more of unsettled equity forward sales. It closed $5.2 billion of investments in 2026 by October 27, 2026.

Senior housing results depend on occupancy and rents, which can fall if new supply returns or labor costs rise. In Q3 2026, SHOP same-store cash NOI grew 16%, average occupancy rose 290 basis points and revenue per occupied room rose 5%. Net debt to further adjusted EBITDA improved to 4.4 times from 5.3 times a year earlier. For the gap to close, three things must be true.

SHOP same-store cash NOI must keep double-digit growth into 2027. The $5.2 billion of 2026 investments must earn the returns that management expects and add to normalized FFO per share. Leverage must stay near 4.4 times or lower. The Q3 2026 report passed the first test.

The 2027 guidance in early 2027 shows the growth outlook. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next two to four quarters. The main reason it may not close is a slowdown in senior housing occupancy gains.

Checkpoints

  1. Oct 27, 2026Passed
    Q3 2026 earnings: SHOP growthSHOP same-store cash NOI growth above 10% and 2026 normalized FFO guidance kept or raised pass; a guidance cut or a large slowdown in occupancy gains fails.Outcome: SHOP same-store cash NOI grew 16%, and Ventas raised its 2026 normalized FFO guidance to $3.87 to $3.90 per share.
  2. Jan 27, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 earnings and 2027 guidanceSHOP same-store cash NOI growth above 10% and 2027 guidance for normalized FFO per share growth with leverage near 4.4 times or lower pass; flat FFO per share or higher leverage fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • November 10, 2026Ventas Realty, a subsidiary of Ventas, sold $500 million of 5.500% senior notes due 2033, which Ventas guarantees. Ventas plans to use the money for general purposes, which can include repayment of other debt.
  • October 27, 2026Ventas reported Q3 2026 results. Normalized FFO per share rose 10% to $0.99. SHOP same-store cash NOI rose 16%, with average occupancy up 290 basis points. Ventas raised its 2026 normalized FFO guidance to $3.87 to $3.90 per share. It closed $5.2 billion of investments in 2026, above its earlier $4.5 billion target. Net debt to further adjusted EBITDA fell to 4.4 times.
  • September 15, 2026Ventas appointed a new Chief Accounting Officer and Controller, who joins from Cushman & Wakefield on or around October 5, 2026. CFO Robert Probst then stops doing the Chief Accounting Officer role on an interim basis.
Show 2 older events
  • July 29, 2026Ventas reported Q2 2026 results. Normalized FFO per share rose 9% to $0.97. SHOP same-store cash NOI rose 16%, with average occupancy up 300 basis points. Ventas raised its 2026 normalized FFO guidance to $3.85 to $3.90 per share and its 2026 investment target to $4.5 billion.
  • June 15, 2026The General Counsel of Ventas said she will leave on June 26, 2026 to join Blackstone. Kevin Bohl, Deputy General Counsel, took the role on an interim basis.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
October 27, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about January 27, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 740260)

Risks

  • SHOP income depends on occupancy, rents and the costs of the managers that run the communities. New supply, higher labor costs or weak operators can reduce NOI growth quickly.
  • Ventas funds most of its growth with new shares. Shares outstanding rose to 528.8 million at September 30, 2026 from 474.9 million at December 31, 2025. If the $5.2 billion of 2026 investments earn less than expected, the new shares lower FFO per share.
  • Total debt was $12.44 billion at September 30, 2026. Higher interest rates increase the cost to refinance it and can lower property values.
  • Ventas changed its General Counsel and Chief Accounting Officer in 2026. Changes in key roles can slow work for a time.

Balance sheet

Cash
$202M
Debt
$12.4B
Net debt
$12.2B
Net debt / EBITDA
4.4×
as the company states it

Cash against debt

Cash$202M
Debt$12.4B

debt covered by cashnet debt $12.2B

Leverage: net debt / EBITDA

low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×

Ventas funds its business with unsecured notes, mortgage debt, a commercial paper program and new equity. At September 30, 2026, total debt was $12.44 billion and cash was $202 million.

Dividends

Yield at the current rate
2.3% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
Dividend yield
2.3% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $90.42)
Paid per share
$2.04 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$2.08 ($0.52 × 4 a year)
Payout ratio
356% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
Latest ex-dividend date
September 30, 2026, $0.52 per share

Dividends per share by year

Ventas dividends per share by year
2016
$2.965
2017
$3.115
2018
$3.163
2019
$3.172
2020
$2.143
2021
$1.80
2022
$1.80
2023
$1.80
2024
$1.80
2025
$1.92

From 2020 to 2025, the dividend fell by about 2.2% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend fell by about 5.2% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Ventas

What does Ventas do?

Ventas is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns about 1,500 properties in North America and the United Kingdom. About 1,000 of them are senior housing communities. Its market cap is $48B at the current price of $90.42.

When does Ventas report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Ventas may report on January 27, 2027. It last reported results on October 27, 2026.

Is Ventas stock below its intrinsic value?

Ventas stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Ventas?

The latest update is from November 10, 2026. Ventas Realty, a subsidiary of Ventas, sold $500 million of 5.500% senior notes due 2033, which Ventas guarantees.

What are the main risks for Ventas?

SHOP income depends on occupancy, rents and the costs of the managers that run the communities. Ventas funds most of its growth with new shares. Total debt was $12.44 billion at September 30, 2026.

How much debt and cash does Ventas have?

At September 30, 2026, Ventas had $12.4B of debt and $202M of cash.

Does Ventas pay a dividend?

Yes. The current annual dividend of Ventas is $2.08 per share. That is a dividend yield of 2.3% at the current price of $90.42. In the last 12 months, it paid $2.04 per share (2.3%). The latest ex-dividend date was September 30, 2026.

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