TRUCredit bureau and data analytics
TransUnion
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $81.96
- Analysts view
- Bullish
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Jan 27 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $16B
- Shares of Sep 30, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 0.7%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 0.8%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 19.9
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $4.11
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $60.96 – $89.12
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 1.56
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 2.8M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market prices TransUnion for changes in US mortgage credit scoring, the credit cycle and its debt, and steady organic growth with lower leverage over three to five quarters can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The Q4 2026 report and the 2027 guidance, expected in late January or February 2027, show whether mortgage revenue holds under the new FICO program.
Company guidance: Adjusted diluted EPS of $4.81 to $4.88 for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K Ex. 99.1))
Price history
About
TransUnion is one of the three large US consumer credit bureaus, based in Chicago. It collects credit and other data on consumers and sells credit reports, scores, fraud prevention, marketing and analytics products to lenders, insurers, telecom companies, governments and other businesses. It also sells credit monitoring and identity protection to consumers through its Consumer Interactive business. U.S.
Markets were about 76% of revenue in Q2 2026, and International, with credit bureaus in Canada, Latin America, the United Kingdom, Africa, India and Asia Pacific, was the rest. In March 2026, it bought control of Trans Union de México, the largest consumer credit bureau in Mexico. Revenue was $1.31 billion in Q2 2026.
Thesis
The market prices TransUnion for the risk of changes in the US mortgage credit market, for the credit cycle and for its debt. FICO started a new Mortgage Direct License Program, and TransUnion names it as an uncertainty for its mortgage business, where much of its recent growth came from higher prices. FICO mortgage royalties also lowered the adjusted EBITDA margin to 34.8% in Q2 2026 from 35.7%. Lending volumes depend on interest rates and the economy, and net debt was 2.5 times adjusted EBITDA at September 30, 2026, after the Mexico purchase.
Its CFO, Todd Cello, will leave at the end of 2026, and TransUnion has not named a successor. Results are strong: in Q3 2026, revenue rose 12%, organic constant currency revenue rose 8% and adjusted EPS rose to $1.25 from $1.10. TransUnion kept its 2026 guidance of 8% to 9% organic growth and raised its adjusted EPS guidance to $4.81 to $4.88. But it guides Q4 2026 organic growth of only 3% to 6%, as the benefit of higher FICO mortgage prices gets smaller.
For the gap to close, three things must be true. Organic growth must stay near high single digits as the mortgage rules change. Its new OneTru technology platform must lift margins as migrations finish. Free cash flow must lower leverage and pay for buybacks.
The Q4 2026 report and the 2027 guidance, expected in late January or February 2027, are the main test. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next three to five quarters. The main reason it may not close is a loss of mortgage revenue under the new FICO program.
Checkpoints
- Oct 27, 2026PassedQ3 2026 earnings: mortgage and organic growthOrganic constant currency growth within the 6% to 8% guidance and adjusted EPS of $1.18 or more pass; a cut to the 2026 guidance fails.Outcome: Organic constant currency revenue grew 8% and adjusted EPS was $1.25, and TransUnion raised its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance.
- Jan 27, 2027 · est.Pending2026 results and the 2027 guidanceA 2027 outlook with high single digit organic growth and a higher margin passes; guidance that shows mortgage losses from the FICO program fails.
Recent events
- November 5, 2026The TransUnion board named David Gilbert as Interim Chief Financial Officer from January 1, 2027. Gilbert has been Chief Financial Officer of the International segment since August 2017 and joined the company in 1991. CFO Todd Cello leaves the role on December 31, 2026, and then advises the company until March 1, 2027.
- October 27, 2026TransUnion reported Q3 2026 results. Revenue rose 12% to $1,312 million, and organic constant currency revenue rose 8%. U.S. Markets revenue rose 7%, with 11% growth in Financial Services, and International organic growth was 10%. Adjusted EBITDA rose 9% to $465 million, and adjusted diluted EPS was $1.25, up from $1.10. TransUnion raised its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $4.81 to $4.88 and kept revenue guidance of $5,131 million to $5,162 million.
- October 26, 2026The TransUnion board raised the share buyback authorization by $1 billion to $2 billion in total and raised the quarterly dividend to $0.135 per share from $0.125. TransUnion expects to buy back up to $500 million of shares in 2026, against $243 million by the end of Q3.
Show 5 older eventsHide older events
- October 1, 2026TransUnion said that it will report Q3 2026 results on October 27, 2026.
- September 19, 2026CFO Todd Cello told TransUnion that he will resign on December 31, 2026, and give transition services until March 1, 2027. TransUnion started a search for a new CFO.
- July 28, 2026TransUnion reported Q2 2026 results. Revenue rose 15% to $1,310 million, and organic constant currency revenue rose 10%. U.S. Markets revenue rose 11%, with 18% growth in Financial Services, and International organic growth was 6%. Adjusted EBITDA rose 12% to $456 million and adjusted EPS was $1.23. TransUnion raised its 2026 guidance to revenue of $5,127 million to $5,162 million and adjusted EPS of $4.75 to $4.83.
- April 1, 2026TransUnion bought the mobile division of RealNetworks for about $25.8 million to add to its communications solutions.
- March 2, 2026TransUnion bought about 68% of Trans Union de México for about $659.7 million in cash, mostly with its revolving credit facility. It later raised its stake to about 95%.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 27, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about January 27, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 8-KChange of directors or officers and Investor disclosureFiled · ck0001552033-20261105
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · tru-20260930
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KChange of directors or officers and Investor disclosureFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · tru-20260630
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · ck0001552033-20260512
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · tru-20260331
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · ck0001552033-20260310
Risks
- FICO's new Mortgage Direct License Program and other changes in US mortgage credit scoring can lower TransUnion's mortgage revenue or margins.
- Demand for credit reports depends on lending volumes. Higher interest rates or a weaker economy can lower mortgage, card and auto lending activity.
- TransUnion holds sensitive personal data. A data breach or a regulatory action on consumer data can bring large costs and harm its reputation.
- Total debt was $5.46 billion at September 30, 2026, mostly at variable rates. Interest rate swaps fix part of it, but a large swap ends on December 31, 2026. Higher interest rates raise its interest costs.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $883M
- Debt
- $5.5B
- Net debt
- $4.6B
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.5×
- EBITDA $1.8B, last 12 months
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $4.6B
Leverage: net debt / EBITDA
low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×
When the debt is due
The last debt is due in 2031.
At September 30, 2026, TransUnion had cash and cash equivalents of $883 million and total debt of $5.46 billion. The debt was mostly senior secured term loans at variable rates: $1.87 billion of Term Loan B-8 and $1.84 billion of Term Loan B-9, both due June 2031, and $1.21 billion of Term Loan A-4 due June 2029. TransUnion paid back the Term Loan B-5 before it was due in November 2026. It had also drawn $520 million on its $1.0 billion revolving credit facility, which ends in June 2029, mostly to pay for Trans Union de México. $108.6 million of debt was due within 12 months. Net debt was $4.57 billion, and the leverage ratio was 2.5 times adjusted EBITDA of $1.81 billion for the last 12 months. Interest rate swaps fix the rate on part of the term loans; swaps with a notional amount of $1.52 billion end on December 31, 2026. Cash from operating activities was $889 million in the first nine months of 2026. On October 26, 2026, the board raised the share buyback authorization to $2 billion in total.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 0.7% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 0.8% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $81.96)
- Paid per share
- $0.625 in the last 12 months (5 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $0.54 ($0.135 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 20% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- November 10, 2026, $0.135 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $0.00 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $0.00 | |
| 2018 | $0.225 | |
| 2019 | $0.30 | |
| 2020 | $0.30 | |
| 2021 | $0.36 | |
| 2022 | $0.40 | |
| 2023 | $0.42 | |
| 2024 | $0.42 | |
| 2025 | $0.46 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 8.9% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about TransUnion
What does TransUnion do?
TransUnion is one of the three large US consumer credit bureaus, based in Chicago. It collects credit and other data on consumers and sells credit reports, scores, fraud prevention, marketing and analytics products to lenders, insurers, telecom companies, governments and other businesses. Its market cap is $16B at the current price of $81.96.
When does TransUnion report earnings next?
This is an estimate: TransUnion may report on January 27, 2027. It last reported results on October 27, 2026.
Is TransUnion stock below its intrinsic value?
TransUnion stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at TransUnion?
The latest update is from November 5, 2026. The TransUnion board named David Gilbert as Interim Chief Financial Officer from January 1, 2027.
What are the main risks for TransUnion?
FICO's new Mortgage Direct License Program and other changes in US mortgage credit scoring can lower TransUnion's mortgage revenue or margins. Demand for credit reports depends on lending volumes. TransUnion holds sensitive personal data.
How much debt and cash does TransUnion have?
At September 30, 2026, TransUnion had $5.5B of debt and $883M of cash.
Does TransUnion pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of TransUnion is $0.54 per share. That is a dividend yield of 0.7% at the current price of $81.96. In the last 12 months, it paid $0.625 per share (0.8%). The latest ex-dividend date was November 10, 2026.
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