TIMBMobile and fiber telecom (Brazil)
TIM S.A.
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $19.53
- Analysts view
- Leaning bullish
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Feb 9 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $9.3B
- Shares of Dec 31, 2025
- 52-week range
- $15.94 – $28.22
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.42
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 684K
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market prices TIM Brasil for the risks of Brazil and a new controlling shareholder, and steady service growth with high payouts can close the gap slowly over one to two years.
- Gap
- Slow. Most of the gap is Brazil country risk, which the company cannot control, so it closes only slowly with steady growth and payouts.
Company guidance: Shareholder payouts of R$5.3 to 5.5 billion in 2026, with results in line with its 2026 targets (, 3Q26 earnings release)
Price history
About
TIM S.A. (TIM Brasil) is one of the three large mobile network operators in Brazil, based in Rio de Janeiro. It had 61.6 million mobile customers at September 30, 2026, of which 34.0 million were postpaid. It also sells fiber broadband to homes under the TIM Ultrafibra brand, with 931,000 customers, and services to businesses, such as IoT and IT services through V8.Tech. It owns the fiber network company I-Systems.
Its shares trade on B3 in São Paulo, and its ADRs trade on the NYSE; each ADR represents five common shares. Telecom Italia controls TIM Brasil, and since September 2026 Poste Italiane has controlled Telecom Italia. Net revenue was R$7.07 billion in Q3 2026.
Thesis
The market prices TIM Brasil for the risks of Brazil and for the slow growth of a mature mobile market. Brazilian interest rates are high, the real can lose value against the US dollar, and taxes and rules can change. The three operators compete hard for prepaid customers, and prepaid revenue fell 4.2% in Q3 2026. A new controlling shareholder can also change the strategy or the dividend policy: Poste Italiane took control of Telecom Italia, TIM Brasil's parent, in September 2026, and in November 2026 a press report said that TIM Brasil could be sold.
Results are steady: in Q3 2026, service revenue rose 5.3% and normalized EBITDA rose 6.7% with a 52.4% margin. Normalized net income fell 7.8% to R$1.11 billion, because of higher income tax, lower interest income and higher lease costs. TIM Brasil plans to pay R$5.3 billion to R$5.5 billion to shareholders in 2026, but in the first nine months it announced R$1.31 billion of interest on capital and bought back R$252 million of shares, for R$1.56 billion in total. For the gap to close, three things must be true.
Service revenue must keep growing faster than inflation, with postpaid and fiber growth. The EBITDA margin must keep rising as TIM controls costs. Poste Italiane must keep TIM Brasil's strategy, and TIM must reach its 2026 payout plan. The payouts of Q4 2026 and the 2027 plan and guidance, usually in February, are the main tests.
If these checks pass, the gap can close slowly over the next one to two years. The main reason it may not close is the country risk of Brazil, which the company cannot control.
Checkpoints
- Nov 9, 2026PassedQ3 2026 earnings: service revenue and marginService revenue growth of 5% or more and a higher EBITDA margin pass; slower growth or a lower margin fails.Outcome: Service revenue rose 5.3%, and the normalized EBITDA margin rose to 52.4% from 51.7% a year earlier.
- Feb 9, 2027 · est.Pending2026 results, the 2027 plan and the shareholder payoutA 2026 payout in the R$5.3 billion to R$5.5 billion range and a plan that keeps the strategy and raises shareholder payouts under the new controlling shareholder pass; lower payouts or a change of strategy fail.
Recent events
- November 9, 2026TIM Brasil reported Q3 2026 results. Net revenue rose 5.3% to R$7.07 billion, and service revenue rose 5.3%. Normalized EBITDA rose 6.7% to R$3.70 billion, a 52.4% margin. Normalized net income fell 7.8% to R$1.11 billion, because of higher income tax, a weaker financial result and higher depreciation. Postpaid customers rose 5.2%, and TIM Ultrafibra customers rose 13.2%. Total net debt with leases fell to 0.78 times normalized EBITDA. TIM said that the results keep it in line with its 2026 targets.
- November 4, 2026B3 asked TIM Brasil about a Valor Econômico report of a possible sale of TIM Brasil after Poste Italiane took control of Telecom Italia. TIM Brasil answered that it does not know of any material fact about a sale.
- October 30, 2026The board of TIM Brasil approved a proposal to merge its subsidiary I-Systems into TIM S.A. A shareholders' meeting on November 30, 2026 will vote on it.
Show 6 older eventsHide older events
- October 2, 2026TIM Brasil said that Poste Italiane held about 85.8% of Telecom Italia after the second acceptance period of its offer. Telecom Italia is the controlling shareholder of TIM Brasil.
- September 18, 2026TIM Brasil said that Poste Italiane had become the controlling shareholder of Telecom Italia through a public tender and exchange offer, and so the indirect controlling shareholder of TIM Brasil.
- September 17, 2026The board approved R$515 million of interest on capital, payable by January 22, 2027, and cancelled 13.2 million treasury shares bought under its buyback program.
- August 19, 2026The board approved share buyback Program 9, for up to 55,187,638 shares and up to R$1 billion, until February 19, 2028. TIM closed Program 8, under which it bought 46,884,500 shares for about R$1 billion.
- July 28, 2026TIM Brasil reported Q2 2026 results. Net revenue rose 5.5% to R$6.97 billion and service revenue rose 5.7%. Normalized EBITDA rose 7.0% to R$3.59 billion, a 51.5% margin. Normalized net income rose 6.2% to R$1.04 billion. Postpaid customers rose 6.8% and TIM Ultrafibra customers rose 12.5%. In July 2026, the board approved capital contributions of up to R$600 million to I-Systems and up to R$70 million to V8.Tech, mainly to prepay their debt.
- June 17, 2026The board approved R$400 million of interest on capital.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- November 9, 2026
- Next earnings
- Expected about February 9, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 20-FAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2025Filed · Read it on sec.gov
- 20-FAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2024Filed · Read it on sec.gov
Risks
- All of TIM Brasil's business is in Brazil. High interest rates, a weaker real, inflation or changes in taxes and telecom rules can lower its value in US dollars.
- Poste Italiane became the indirect controlling shareholder in September 2026. It can change the board, the strategy or the dividend policy, or sell TIM Brasil. In November 2026, TIM Brasil said that it does not know of any material fact about a sale.
- Claro and Vivo compete hard with TIM Brasil, mostly for prepaid customers. Prepaid revenue fell 4.2% in Q3 2026, and price competition can slow revenue growth.
- TIM Brasil plans R$5.3 billion to R$5.5 billion of shareholder payouts in 2026, but it had announced or paid R$1.56 billion by September 30, 2026. A payout below the plan lowers returns to shareholders.
- TIM Brasil has tax disputes, such as those on the FUST and FUNTTEL telecom funds. It has not paid the full TFF inspection fee since 2020, and the amount recorded through September 30, 2026 was R$5.1 billion. Losses in these disputes can lead to large payments.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- R$5.2B
- Debt
- R$2.0B
- Net cash
- R$3.2B
Cash against debt
debt covered by cash
When the debt is due
The last debt is due in 2031.
TIM Brasil has net cash before leases. At September 30, 2026, total financial debt was R$1.98 billion, of which R$961 million was short-term, and cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities were R$5.18 billion. With net derivatives of R$248 million, net debt was minus R$3.45 billion, a net cash position. Financial debt fell from R$2.65 billion at June 30, 2026, mainly because TIM paid off all the debt of I-Systems and V8.Tech early. The 5G license liability was R$1.04 billion and lease liabilities were R$13.54 billion, so total net debt including leases was R$11.13 billion, or 0.78 times normalized EBITDA. Financial debt is in Brazilian reais: debentures due June 2028, BNB loans due February 2028 and BNDES loans due November 2031. The full payment of the TFF inspection fee has been suspended since 2020, and the amount recorded through September 30, 2026 was R$5.1 billion, including R$1.5 billion of interest. Capex was R$978 million in Q3 2026 and R$3.27 billion in the first nine months of 2026.
As of
Dividends
The dividend data after June 29, 2026 is missing.
- Latest ex-dividend date
- June 29, 2026, $0.162 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $0.278 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $0.219 | |
| 2018 | $0.325 | |
| 2019 | $0.576 | |
| 2020 | $0.534 | |
| 2021 | $0.398 | |
| 2022 | $0.554 | |
| 2023 | $0.915 | |
| 2024 | $1.059 | |
| 2025 | $0.971 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 12.7% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 14.8% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about TIM S.A.
What does TIM S.A. do?
TIM S.A. (TIM Brasil) is one of the three large mobile network operators in Brazil, based in Rio de Janeiro. Its market cap is $9.3B at the current price of $19.53.
When does TIM S.A. report earnings next?
This is an estimate: TIM S.A. may report on February 9, 2027. It last reported results on November 9, 2026.
Is TIM S.A. stock below its intrinsic value?
TIM S.A. stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at TIM S.A.?
The latest update is from November 9, 2026. TIM Brasil reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for TIM S.A.?
All of TIM Brasil's business is in Brazil. Poste Italiane became the indirect controlling shareholder in September 2026. Claro and Vivo compete hard with TIM Brasil, mostly for prepaid customers.
How much debt and cash does TIM S.A. have?
At September 30, 2026, TIM S.A. had R$2.0B of debt and R$5.2B of cash.
Does TIM S.A. pay a dividend?
The dividend data for TIM S.A. after June 29, 2026 is missing.
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