By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $35.38
- Analysts view
- Bullish
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Feb 6 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $27B
- Shares of Apr 30, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 3.2%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 3.2%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 22.3
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $1.59
- 12 months to Dec 31, 2025
- 52-week range
- $31.56 – $40.11
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.57
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 7.8M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market doubts that PPL can turn data center demand into investment with a fair return, and signed supply deals with a Kentucky generation filing by early 2027 can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. Signed data center supply agreements and the Kentucky generation filing by the end of 2026 show whether PPL can grow at the top of its range.
Company guidance: Ongoing EPS of $1.92 to $1.96 for 2026 and $2.06 to $2.14 for 2027; EPS growth of 7% to 9% a year through 2030 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))
Price history
About
PPL is a regulated utility holding company based in Allentown, Pennsylvania. Its utilities are PPL Electric Utilities in Pennsylvania, Louisville Gas and Electric (LG&E) and Kentucky Utilities (KU) in Kentucky, and Rhode Island Energy, which it bought in May 2022. PPL Electric delivers electricity but does not generate it, while LG&E and KU also generate power.
Rhode Island Energy delivers electricity and natural gas. Regulators set the rates, so earnings grow mostly with investment in the rate base. PPL also owns 51% of Invitium Energy, a joint venture with Blackstone Infrastructure that plans to build power plants for data centers in Pennsylvania.
Thesis
The market prices PPL as a steady utility whose faster growth depends on data centers and on regulators. On November 6, 2026, PPL raised its EPS growth target to 7% to 9% a year through at least 2030, from the $1.94 midpoint of its 2026 forecast, with growth in the top half of the range, and it set a $25 billion capital plan for 2027 to 2030. Data center demand in its areas is large: PPL Electric has 11.4 gigawatts under signed service agreements, and the Kentucky pipeline is 14.7 gigawatts. But recent rate decisions gave less than PPL asked for.
In August 2026, Rhode Island regulators set a 9.275% return on equity and did not approve a second rate year, and the Kentucky rehearing order added only about $7 million of annual revenue. The investment plan also needs much new debt and about $3.0 billion of new equity. For the gap to close, PPL must earn 2026 ongoing EPS of at least $1.94, the midpoint of its narrowed $1.92 to $1.96 range, and then $2.06 to $2.14 in 2027. LG&E and KU must file for new generation by the end of 2026, as PPL expects, and receive approval.
Invitium Energy must turn its non-binding terms with QTS for about 2 gigawatts into a signed agreement. The Q4 2026 report, expected in February 2027, is the next test. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next two to four quarters. The main reason it may not close is weaker rate decisions, which would lower the return on new investment.
Checkpoints
- Nov 6, 2026PassedQ3 2026 earnings: 2026 forecastOngoing EPS on track for the $1.90 to $1.98 forecast passes; a cut to the forecast or the growth target fails.Outcome: Ongoing EPS was $0.54, PPL narrowed its 2026 forecast to $1.92 to $1.96 with at least the $1.94 midpoint, and it raised its growth target to 7% to 9% a year.
- Dec 2026 · est.PendingInvitium Energy supply agreementAt least one signed long-term energy supply agreement by the end of 2026 passes; no agreement fails.
- Dec 2026 · est.PendingLG&E and KU request for new generationA filing for new generation beyond the approved 2.3 gigawatts by the end of 2026 passes; a delay into 2027 fails.
- Feb 6, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 earnings: 2026 result and 2027 forecast2026 ongoing EPS of at least $1.94 and an unchanged 2027 forecast of $2.06 to $2.14 pass; a 2026 result below $1.94 or a lower 2027 forecast fails.
Recent events
- November 6, 2026PPL reported Q3 2026 results. Reported EPS was $0.49, and ongoing EPS was $0.54, up from $0.48. PPL narrowed its 2026 ongoing EPS forecast to $1.92 to $1.96 and expects at least the $1.94 midpoint. It raised its EPS growth target to 7% to 9% a year through at least 2030, in the top half of the range, set a 2027 forecast of $2.06 to $2.14, and set a $25 billion capital plan for 2027 to 2030 with rate base growth of about 10% a year. The plan needs about $3.0 billion of new equity. Invitium Energy agreed non-binding key terms with QTS to supply about 2 gigawatts to a data center in Salem Township, Pennsylvania, for 20 years.
- October 16, 2026Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro asked to take part in a Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission proceeding on rates and protections for large energy users, such as data centers. PPL Electric said that it welcomes the focus on customer protection and that its large-load tariff and a proposed transmission rider already protect other customers.
- October 5, 2026LG&E and KU asked for proposals for firm, dispatchable thermal generation, of at least 50 MW, to serve load growth. Proposals are due on November 6, 2026. Selected resources would add to the generation plans that the Kentucky Public Service Commission already approved.
Show 4 older eventsHide older events
- August 27, 2026Rhode Island regulators approved annual revenue increases of $44.1 million for electric and $93.7 million for gas service at Rhode Island Energy, with a 9.275% return on equity and 52% equity. The new rates started on September 1, 2026. Customers also receive about $170 million of bill credits from October 2026 through September 2027 under a commitment from the 2022 purchase. PPL kept its 2026 forecast.
- August 14, 2026The Kentucky Public Service Commission approved part of the LG&E and KU rehearing requests. The order adds about $4 million of annual revenue for LG&E and about $3 million for KU above the February 2026 rate orders.
- August 7, 2026PPL reported Q2 2026 results. Reported EPS was $0.30, and ongoing EPS was $0.33, up from $0.32. PPL kept its 2026 ongoing EPS forecast of $1.90 to $1.98 and its 6% to 8% growth target. It estimated $10 billion to $12 billion of possible generation investment through 2032 from data center demand in Pennsylvania and Kentucky.
- June 4, 2026The Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission approved a settlement, with some changes, that raises the annual base distribution revenue of PPL Electric by about $275 million from July 1, 2026.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- November 6, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about February 6, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · ppl-20260930
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · ppl-20260827
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · ppl-20260814
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · ppl-20260630
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KChange of directors or officers and Investor disclosureFiled · ppl-20260630
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · ppl-20260604
- 8-KNew material agreement and New debt or financial obligationFiled · ppl-20260513
- 8-KNew debt or financial obligation and Other company newsFiled · ppl-20260512
Risks
- Regulators decide the return on investment. The 9.275% return on equity in Rhode Island and the partial Kentucky rehearing order show that decisions can be lower than PPL requests.
- Much of the extra growth depends on data centers. If developers delay their projects, or Invitium Energy signs no supply agreements, the investment upside does not come.
- Debt rose to $21.2 billion at September 30, 2026, and interest expense rose 15% in the first nine months of 2026. The plan also needs about $3.0 billion of new equity. Higher interest rates make the investment plan more costly.
- LG&E and KU still use coal plants. Stricter environmental rules can raise costs or force earlier retirements.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $393M
- Debt
- $21.2B
- Net debt
- $20.9B
- Interest cover
- 2.7×
- times profit pays interest
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $20.9B
When the debt is due
PPL funds its utilities with first mortgage bonds and funds the parent with senior notes, commercial paper and new shares. At September 30, 2026, total debt was $21.25 billion: long-term debt of $20.21 billion, long-term debt due within one year of $358 million and short-term debt of $679 million. Cash was $393 million. The group had about $2.9 billion of unused capacity on its credit facilities at September 30, 2026, most of which expires in December 2030. Interest expense rose to $690 million in the first nine months of 2026 from $599 million a year earlier. Interest cover is operating income divided by interest expense for the nine months to September 30, 2026. PPL targets funds from operations of 16% to 18% of debt, and its plan for 2027 to 2030 needs about $3.0 billion of new equity in addition to the more than $1.5 billion of forward share sales from 2025 and 2026.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 3.2% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 3.2% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $35.38)
- Paid per share
- $1.128 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $1.14 ($0.285 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 69% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- September 10, 2026, $0.285 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $1.52 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $1.58 | |
| 2018 | $1.64 | |
| 2019 | $1.652 | |
| 2020 | $1.66 | |
| 2021 | $1.66 | |
| 2022 | $0.875 | |
| 2023 | $0.96 | |
| 2024 | $1.032 | |
| 2025 | $1.092 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend fell by about 8.0% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend fell by about 3.0% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about PPL
What does PPL do?
PPL is a regulated utility holding company based in Allentown, Pennsylvania. Its utilities are PPL Electric Utilities in Pennsylvania, Louisville Gas and Electric (LG&E) and Kentucky Utilities (KU) in Kentucky, and Rhode Island Energy, which it bought in May 2022. Its market cap is $27B at the current price of $35.38.
When does PPL report earnings next?
This is an estimate: PPL may report on February 6, 2027. It last reported results on November 6, 2026.
Is PPL stock below its intrinsic value?
PPL stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at PPL?
The latest update is from November 6, 2026. PPL reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for PPL?
Regulators decide the return on investment. Much of the extra growth depends on data centers. Debt rose to $21.2 billion at September 30, 2026, and interest expense rose 15% in the first nine months of 2026.
How much debt and cash does PPL have?
At September 30, 2026, PPL had $21.2B of debt and $393M of cash.
Does PPL pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of PPL is $1.14 per share. That is a dividend yield of 3.2% at the current price of $35.38. In the last 12 months, it paid $1.128 per share (3.2%). The latest ex-dividend date was September 10, 2026.
Similar companies
- AEEAmerenShares: Power and energy, Regulation and courts, Interest rates
- Intrinsic value
- Close to intrinsic value
- Gap
- Can close
- DDominion EnergyShares: Power and energy, Regulation and courts, Interest rates
- Intrinsic value
- Close to intrinsic value
- Gap
- Will probably not close
- DUKDuke EnergyShares: Power and energy, Regulation and courts, Interest rates
- Intrinsic value
- Close to intrinsic value
- Gap
- Can close
- ESEversource EnergyShares: Regulation and courts, Interest rates, Power and energy
- Intrinsic value
- Close to intrinsic value
- Gap
- Can close
- EXCExelonShares: Regulation and courts, Interest rates, Power and energy
- Intrinsic value
- Close to intrinsic value
- Gap
- Can close
Loading your notes…
Read it all? Star PPL or pass, then go on to the next one.