By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $84.91
- Analysts view
- Mixed
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Jan 28 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $16B
- Shares of Sep 30, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 1.5%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 1.5%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 18.4
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $4.61
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $58.16 – $87.86
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 1.21
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 2.2M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- Masco's North American sales grew again in Q3 2026 with help from higher prices, but demand stays weak, so sales and volumes must keep growing in 2027 for the gap to close.
- Gap
- Can close. The 2027 outlook in early 2027 and the 2027 quarterly reports show whether sales and volumes keep growing.
Company guidance: Adjusted EPS of $4.65 to $4.75 for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))
Price history
About
Masco designs, makes and sells branded home improvement and building products. It reports two segments: Plumbing Products and Decorative Architectural Products. Plumbing Products includes Delta and hansgrohe faucets, bath and shower fixtures, Liberty hardware and HotSpring spas. Decorative Architectural Products includes Behr paint.
Masco makes money from the margin on these products. Its sales depend mostly on residential repair and remodel spending, and less on new home construction. Net sales were $1.97 billion in Q3 2026, and about 80% of them were in North America.
Thesis
The market discounts Masco because US repair and remodel spending is weak and investors doubt that its sales growth can last. In Q2 2026, North American sales fell 5% in local currency, and a one-time benefit from tariff refunds hid the weaker sales. The stock fell 11.1% on July 29, 2026, the day of that report. In Q3 2026, North American sales grew 5% in local currency, with help from higher prices, and adjusted EPS grew 23%.
But the CEO said on October 28, 2026 that demand will stay weak in the near term. Mortgage rates near 7.5% in September 2026 keep home sales low, and fewer home sales mean less remodeling and less paint demand. For the gap to close, sales must keep growing in 2027 without tariff refunds, and volumes must grow, not only prices. The adjusted operating margin must stay high, and Masco must keep its buybacks, which used $852 million in the first nine months of 2026, without a large rise in debt.
The next tests are the full-year 2026 report and the 2027 outlook, expected in early 2027, and the quarterly reports of 2027. If volumes recover, the gap can close over the next four to six quarters. If the housing market stays weak, the discount can last into 2028.
Checkpoints
- Oct 28, 2026PassedQ3 2026 results: North American salesNorth American sales that are flat or up in local currency and an adjusted operating margin near Q2 without new tariff refunds pass; another fall in North American sales or a cut to the 2026 outlook fails.Outcome: North American sales grew 5% in local currency, the adjusted operating margin rose to 17.9% from 16.3% a year earlier, and Masco raised its 2026 adjusted EPS outlook to $4.65 to $4.75.
- Jan 28, 2027 · est.PendingFull-year 2026 results and 2027 outlookA 2027 outlook with sales growth and adjusted EPS above 2026 without the tariff refunds passes; an outlook of falling sales fails.
Recent events
- October 28, 2026Masco reported Q3 2026 results. Net sales grew 3% to $1.97 billion, and grew 4% in local currency without the sold Bristan business. North American sales grew 5% in local currency. The adjusted operating margin was 17.9%, up from 16.3%, and adjusted EPS grew 23% to $1.19. Masco raised its 2026 adjusted EPS outlook to $4.65 to $4.75, from $4.40 to $4.60. The CEO said that demand will stay weak in the near term. In Q3 2026, Masco also sold Bristan, a UK maker of faucets and showers, for £49 million ($65 million), net of cash disposed.
- September 28, 2026Masco said that it will release Q3 2026 results on October 28, 2026, before its conference call at 8:00 a.m. ET.
- September 15, 2026Masco appointed Yaron Ben David as Chief Technology and AI Officer, effective September 15, 2026.
Show 5 older eventsHide older events
- August 12, 2026Masco declared a quarterly dividend of $0.32 per share, payable on August 28, 2026.
- July 29, 2026Masco reported Q2 2026 results. Net sales fell 3% to $1.99 billion, and North American sales fell 5% in local currency. Adjusted EPS grew 26% to $1.64, helped by a net benefit of about $95 million from tariff refunds. Masco raised its 2026 adjusted EPS outlook to $4.40 to $4.60, from $4.10 to $4.30, because of the refunds. The stock fell 11.1% that day.
- July 27, 2026Masco completed a $300 million accelerated share repurchase that it started in May 2026, under the $2.0 billion buyback authorization that the board approved on February 10, 2026. It received about 4.1 million shares in total.
- April 21, 2026Masco announced that Jai Shah, Group President of Plumbing and Wellness, will leave the company on July 3, 2026.
- April 21, 2026Masco signed a two-year delayed draw term loan of up to $500 million, due April 21, 2028. It had borrowed $300 million of it at June 30, 2026.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 28, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about January 28, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · mas-20260930
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · mas-20260630
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KChange to shareholder rights or bylaws and Shareholder vote resultsFiled · mas-20260508
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · mas-20260331
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KNew material agreement and End of a material agreementFiled · mas-20260320
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · Read it on sec.gov
Risks
- Masco's sales depend on US repair and remodel spending and on DIY paint demand. Mortgage rates near 7.5% in September 2026 keep home sales low. North American sales grew 5% in local currency in Q3 2026, with help from higher prices, but the CEO expects weak demand in the near term. If demand stays weak, volumes and margins fall.
- Masco imports many plumbing products, and tariffs, mainly on goods from China, raise its costs. Operating profit for the first nine months of 2026 includes a one-time net benefit from tariff refunds of about $90 million, which will not repeat.
- Masco sells through a small number of large home centers and wholesalers. The loss of shelf space or a change in a large customer's orders would lower sales.
- Masco spends on growth investments and buybacks while sales fall. Total liabilities were larger than total assets at September 30, 2026. If cash flow falls, Masco may need to cut buybacks or borrow more.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $610M
- Debt
- $3.2B
- Net debt
- $2.6B
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.7×
- EBITDA $1.5B, last 12 months
- Interest cover
- 14×
- times profit pays interest
- Credit line
- $1.0B
- undrawn, to March 2031
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $2.6B
Leverage: net debt / EBITDA
low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×
When the debt is due
Masco funds itself with unsecured notes and a term loan of the parent company. At September 30, 2026, long-term debt was $3.245 billion and notes payable were $2 million. Debt includes $300 million borrowed on a delayed draw term loan of up to $500 million, signed on April 21, 2026 and due April 21, 2028, at a weighted average rate of 4.517% at September 30, 2026. EBITDA is operating profit plus depreciation and amortization for the 12 months to September 30, 2026, and it includes the one-time net benefit from tariff refunds of about $90 million in the first nine months of 2026. Interest cover is operating profit divided by interest expense for the first nine months of 2026. The $1.0 billion revolving credit facility, signed on March 20, 2026, ends on March 20, 2031, and nothing was drawn on it at September 30, 2026. Its covenants limit net leverage to 4.0 times and require interest cover of at least 2.5 times, and Masco was in compliance at September 30, 2026. Total liabilities of $5.53 billion were larger than total assets of $5.34 billion. In the first nine months of 2026, Masco bought back $852 million of shares and paid $191 million of dividends, more than its operating cash flow of $788 million. It also received $60 million, net of cash disposed, from the sale of Bristan. Masco expects to use about $1.0 billion for share buybacks in 2026.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 1.5% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 1.5% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $84.91)
- Paid per share
- $1.28 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $1.28 ($0.32 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 32% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- November 6, 2026, $0.32 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $0.385 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $0.405 | |
| 2018 | $0.435 | |
| 2019 | $0.495 | |
| 2020 | $0.545 | |
| 2021 | $0.845 | |
| 2022 | $1.12 | |
| 2023 | $1.14 | |
| 2024 | $1.16 | |
| 2025 | $1.24 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 17.9% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 13.7% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Masco
What does Masco do?
Masco designs, makes and sells branded home improvement and building products. It reports two segments: Plumbing Products and Decorative Architectural Products. Its market cap is $16B at the current price of $84.91.
When does Masco report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Masco may report on January 28, 2027. It last reported results on October 28, 2026.
Is Masco stock below its intrinsic value?
Masco stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Masco?
The latest update is from October 28, 2026. Masco reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for Masco?
Masco's sales depend on US repair and remodel spending and on DIY paint demand. Masco imports many plumbing products, and tariffs, mainly on goods from China, raise its costs. Masco sells through a small number of large home centers and wholesalers.
How much debt and cash does Masco have?
At September 30, 2026, Masco had $3.2B of debt and $610M of cash.
Does Masco pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of Masco is $1.28 per share. That is a dividend yield of 1.5% at the current price of $84.91. The latest ex-dividend date was November 6, 2026.
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