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ONet lease REIT

Realty Income

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$59.57
Analysts view
Mixed
Discount category
Far below intrinsic value
Pick status
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Feb 2 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$57B
Shares of Oct 28, 2026
Yield at current rate
5.5%
Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
Dividend yield
5.5%
Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
P/E (trailing)
40.8
Price of Nov 12, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$1.46
12 months to Sep 30, 2026
52-week range
$53.15 – $67.94
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
0.65
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
7.4M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
The market prices Realty Income as a bond-like stock that suffers from high interest rates, and lower rates with steady growth in AFFO per share over the next four to eight quarters can close the gap.
Gap
Slow. The gap depends mostly on lower interest rates and on steady growth in AFFO per share over several years, with no single event that closes it.

Company guidance: AFFO per share of $4.45 - $4.46 for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))

Price history

About

Realty Income is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns commercial properties and rents them on long-term net leases. Under a net lease, the tenant pays most of the property costs, such as taxes, insurance and maintenance. At September 30, 2026, it owned or held interests in 15,536 properties, leased to 1,842 clients in 96 industries in the United States and Europe. Occupancy was 98.8%, and the weighted average remaining lease term was about 8.5 years.

Its largest clients include Dollar General, 7-Eleven, Walgreens and Family Dollar. Realty Income pays a dividend every month and has raised it for 116 consecutive quarters. It also invests through funds and joint ventures, such as a joint venture in hyperscale data centers in Northern Virginia.

Thesis

The market prices Realty Income as a bond-like stock that suffers when interest rates stay high. Realty Income grows by buying properties with borrowed money and new shares, so its growth depends on the spread between property yields and its cost of capital. Interest expense rose to $938 million in the first nine months of 2026 from $847 million a year earlier. AFFO per share grows slowly, by about 4% a year: Realty Income expects $4.45 to $4.46 for 2026.

Some large tenants are retailers under pressure, such as pharmacies and discount stores. For the gap to close, three things must be true. Interest rates must fall, or Realty Income must keep buying properties at yields well above its cost of capital, as with the 6.8% initial cash yield on Q3 2026 investments. Occupancy must stay near 99% and rent recapture on re-leased properties must stay above 100%.

New growth channels, such as the data center joint ventures and the investment management funds and joint ventures in the United States and Europe, must add to AFFO per share growth. The Q4 2026 report with the 2027 guidance, expected in February 2027, gives the next test and shows the growth rate for next year. If rates fall, the gap can close over the next four to eight quarters. The main reason it may not close is interest rates that stay high, which keep the value of income stocks low.

Checkpoints

  1. Nov 2, 2026Passed
    Q3 2026 results: AFFO per share and investment yieldsAFFO per share growth near 4% and occupancy near 99% pass; a cut in 2026 guidance or occupancy below 98% fails.Outcome: AFFO per share rose 3.7% to $1.12, occupancy stayed at 98.8%, and Realty Income raised its 2026 AFFO per share guidance to $4.45 to $4.46.
  2. Feb 2, 2027 · est.Pending
    2027 AFFO per share guidance2027 guidance for AFFO per share growth of about 4% or more passes; guidance for lower growth fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • November 2, 2026Realty Income reported Q3 2026 results. AFFO per share rose 3.7% to $1.12. Net income was $404 million, or $0.43 per share. It invested $2.6 billion, or $2.2 billion at its share, at an initial cash yield of 6.8%. Occupancy was 98.8%, and the rent recapture rate was 103.5%. It raised its 2026 AFFO per share guidance to $4.45 to $4.46 and kept its target of $10.0 billion of investments. In September 2026, KKR invested €528 million for 49% of a new joint venture with 54 net lease properties in four European countries, and Realty Income raised its dividend for the 116th consecutive quarter, to an annual rate of $3.258 per share.
  • August 20, 2026Realty Income amended two term loan agreements. The Wells Fargo term loan of $500 million is now due August 20, 2027.
  • August 14, 2026Realty Income issued $1.0 billion of 3.750% convertible senior notes due 2031. The initial purchasers had an option to buy up to $125 million more.
Show 3 older events
  • August 5, 2026Realty Income reported Q2 2026 results. AFFO per share rose 3.8% to $1.09. Net income was $344 million, or $0.37 per share. It invested $2.6 billion, or $2.1 billion at its share, at an initial cash yield of 7.3%. Occupancy was 98.8%, and the rent recapture rate was 102.7%. It raised its 2026 AFFO per share guidance to $4.44 to $4.45. On August 3, 2026, Fitch Ratings gave Realty Income an issuer rating of A with a stable outlook. In the 10-Q, Realty Income said that its new joint venture with Cloud Capital expects to invest up to $1.4 billion for a 45% stake in three Northern Virginia data centers worth more than $6.0 billion, with leases of 15 to 20 years. It closed on the first asset after June 30, 2026.
  • July 10, 2026Realty Income amended its unsecured revolving credit facilities and raised their size to $5.5 billion from $4.0 billion. They have two $2.75 billion tranches that mature in April 2029 and July 2030. It also raised its commercial paper programs to $5.5 billion.
  • July 7, 2026Realty Income closed an offer of €600 million of 3.625% notes due 2032.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
November 2, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about February 2, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 726728)

Risks

  • Higher interest rates increase the cost of new debt and reduce the spread between property yields and the cost of capital. Interest expense rose 11% in the first nine months of 2026. If rates stay high, growth in AFFO per share can slow.
  • Some large clients are retailers under pressure. Dollar General, Walgreens and Family Dollar together paid about 8.7% of annualized base rent at September 30, 2026. Store closures or bankruptcies can reduce rent and cause impairments, which were $256 million in the first nine months of 2026.
  • Realty Income now invests in new areas, such as data centers, casinos, investment management funds and European properties. These areas carry different risks, and they can give lower returns than expected.
  • Realty Income issues new shares to fund growth. If its share price stays low, new shares cost more and reduce the growth in AFFO per share.

Balance sheet

Cash
$369M
Debt
$31.7B
Net debt
$31.4B
Net debt / EBITDA
5.4×
as the company states it

Cash against debt

Cash$369M
Debt$31.7B

debt covered by cashnet debt $31.4B

Leverage: net debt / EBITDA

low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×

Credit ratings

  • Fitch A · stable

Realty Income funds its properties with unsecured notes, term loans, commercial paper, its credit facilities and new shares. At September 30, 2026, total debt was $31.74 billion and cash was $369 million, so net debt was $31.37 billion.

Dividends

Yield at the current rate
5.5% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
Dividend yield
5.5% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $59.57)
Paid per share
$3.25 in the last 12 months (12 payments)
Current annual rate
$3.264 ($0.272 × 12 a year)
Payout ratio
298% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
Latest ex-dividend date
October 30, 2026, $0.272 per share

Dividends per share by year

Realty Income dividends per share by year
2016
$2.3314
2017
$2.4612
2018
$2.5601
2019
$2.6357
2020
$2.7171
2021
$2.775
2022
$2.972
2023
$3.062
2024
$2.872
2025
$3.49

From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 5.1% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 4.7% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Realty Income

What does Realty Income do?

Realty Income is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns commercial properties and rents them on long-term net leases. Under a net lease, the tenant pays most of the property costs, such as taxes, insurance and maintenance. Its market cap is $57B at the current price of $59.57.

When does Realty Income report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Realty Income may report on February 2, 2027. It last reported results on November 2, 2026.

Is Realty Income stock below its intrinsic value?

Realty Income stock is far below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Realty Income?

The latest update is from November 2, 2026. Realty Income reported Q3 2026 results.

What are the main risks for Realty Income?

Higher interest rates increase the cost of new debt and reduce the spread between property yields and the cost of capital. Some large clients are retailers under pressure. Realty Income now invests in new areas, such as data centers, casinos, investment management funds and European properties.

How much debt and cash does Realty Income have?

At September 30, 2026, Realty Income had $31.7B of debt and $369M of cash.

Does Realty Income pay a dividend?

Yes. The current annual dividend of Realty Income is $3.264 per share. That is a dividend yield of 5.5% at the current price of $59.57. In the last 12 months, it paid $3.25 per share (5.5%). The latest ex-dividend date was October 30, 2026.

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