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JCIBuilding technology and HVAC

Johnson Controls International

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$144.61
Analysts view
Leaning bullish
Discount category
Close to intrinsic value
Pick status
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Feb 3 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$87B
Shares of Oct 31, 2026
Yield at current rate
1.1%
Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
Dividend yield
0.8%
Last 12 months. Fewer payments or a raise
P/E (trailing)
30.9
Price of Nov 12, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$4.68
12 months to Sep 30, 2026
52-week range
$108.41 – $160.41
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
1.29
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
3.8M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
Johnson Controls trades close to its intrinsic value because investors pay for its data center backlog, and earnings within the fiscal 2027 guidance can keep it there.
Gap
Can close. The Q1 fiscal 2027 report, expected in early February 2027, shows whether the record backlog turns into sales and earnings within the 2027 guidance.

Company guidance: Adjusted EPS of $6.15 to $6.30 and organic sales growth of 11% to 12% for fiscal 2027 (, Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings release (8-K))

Price history

About

Johnson Controls International makes, installs and services building products and systems: commercial heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) equipment, industrial refrigeration, building controls, security systems and fire detection and suppression. A large field workforce provides services over the life of the systems. Its customers include data centers, hospitals, pharmaceutical makers, factories and universities. It reports three segments by region: Americas, EMEA and APAC.

In July 2025, it sold its Residential and Light Commercial HVAC business. In fiscal 2026, which ended on September 30, 2026, sales were $25.67 billion: $17.70 billion from products and systems and $7.97 billion from services. Its registered office is in Cork, Ireland, and Joakim Weidemanis is its chief executive officer.

Thesis

Johnson Controls trades close to its intrinsic value because investors pay for fast growth in data center cooling and building systems, but the price already includes much of that growth. In fiscal 2026, sales from continuing operations rose to $25.67 billion, and adjusted EPS rose to $5.16 from $3.76. Orders in Q4 rose 44% organically, and backlog reached $23.0 billion.

In the Americas, backlog rose 54% to $17.8 billion with support from data center demand. For the stock to stay near its value, three things must be true. The company must turn its backlog into sales and reach its fiscal 2027 guidance of adjusted EPS of $6.15 to $6.30 and organic sales growth of 11% to 12%.

Data center demand must not slow, because a large part of the backlog depends on it. Margins must keep rising from the new business system and lower costs while restructuring and transformation costs fall. The Q1 fiscal 2027 report, expected in early February 2027, is the next test.

Checkpoints

  1. Oct 27, 2026Passed
    Q4 fiscal 2026 results and fiscal 2027 guidanceFiscal 2026 adjusted EPS of about $5.05 or more and 2027 guidance for growth pass; lower guidance fails.Outcome: Fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS was $5.16, and the company guided fiscal 2027 adjusted EPS of $6.15 to $6.30.
  2. Feb 3, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q1 fiscal 2027 resultsAdjusted EPS of $1.15 to $1.20 or more, organic growth of 12% to 14% and a kept 2027 guidance pass; a miss or lower guidance fails.
  3. May 2027 · est.Pending
    Q2 fiscal 2027 results: orders and backlogBacklog at or above $23.0 billion and positive organic orders pass; falling orders or backlog fail.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • October 27, 2026Johnson Controls reported Q4 fiscal 2026 results. Sales rose 10% to $7.1 billion, and organic sales rose 12%. GAAP EPS was $1.60 and adjusted EPS was $1.66. Orders rose 44% organically, and backlog of $23.0 billion rose 43% organically. For fiscal 2026, adjusted EPS was $5.16, against $3.76 in fiscal 2025. The company gave fiscal 2027 guidance of organic sales growth of 11% to 12% and adjusted EPS of $6.15 to $6.30, with $1.15 to $1.20 in Q1.
  • September 25, 2026Johnson Controls said that Julie Brandt, President, Global Commercial and Field Operations, will leave the company after a transition in an advisory role through December 31, 2026, because of changes in its operating model.
  • July 29, 2026Johnson Controls reported Q3 fiscal 2026 results. Sales rose 9% to $6.6 billion, and organic sales rose 10%. GAAP EPS was $1.23 and adjusted EPS was $1.42. Orders rose 27% organically, and backlog reached $21.0 billion. The company raised its fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to about $5.05 from about $4.85. In the quarter, it bought Alloy Enterprises, a maker of direct liquid cooling parts, and Nantum AI, for a total of about $291 million.
Show 2 older events
  • May 6, 2026Johnson Controls reported Q2 fiscal 2026 results. Sales rose 8% to $6.1 billion, and organic sales rose 6%. GAAP EPS was $0.99 and adjusted EPS was $1.19. Orders rose 30% organically, and backlog reached $20.0 billion. The company raised its fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to about $4.85. It completed a $5.0 billion accelerated share repurchase in the quarter, at an average price of $114.43 per share.
  • February 4, 2026Johnson Controls reported Q1 fiscal 2026 results. Sales rose 7% to $5.8 billion, and organic sales rose 6%. GAAP EPS was $0.90 and adjusted EPS was $0.89. Orders rose 39% organically. The company raised its fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to about $4.70 from about $4.55.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
October 27, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about February 3, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 833444)

Risks

  • Much of the order growth comes from data centers. If data center building slows or large customers delay projects, orders and the backlog can fall.
  • The fiscal 2027 guidance needs organic growth of 11% to 12% and further margin gains. Delays in projects or higher costs can cause a miss.
  • A subsidiary, Tyco Fire Products, faces many lawsuits about firefighting foam (AFFF). The company recorded $149 million of insurance recoveries in fiscal 2026, but new claims or rulings can cost more.
  • Restructuring and transformation costs were $311 million and $292 million in fiscal 2026. If the new operating model saves less than planned, margins can stop rising.
  • EMEA sales fell 2% in Q4 fiscal 2026 because of the conflicts in the Middle East. Tariffs and trade rules can also raise costs.

Balance sheet

Cash
$618M
Debt
$9.3B
Net debt
$8.7B
Net debt / EBITDA
1.8×
EBITDA $4.7B, last 12 months
Interest cover
13×
times profit pays interest
Credit line
$2.5B
undrawn, to December 2028

Cash against debt

Cash$618M
Debt$9.3B

debt covered by cashnet debt $8.7B

Leverage: net debt / EBITDA

low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×

When the debt is due

12 months$1.7B
Later$7.5B

Credit ratings

  • S&P BBB+ · stable
  • Moody's Baa1 · stable

Johnson Controls funds itself with senior notes, commercial paper and term loans. At September 30, 2026, total debt was $9.28 billion: $678 million of short-term debt, $1.07 billion of long-term debt due within one year and $7.53 billion of other long-term debt.

Dividends

Yield at the current rate
1.1% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
Dividend yield
0.8% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $144.61)
Paid per share
$1.20 in the last 12 months (3 payments)
Current annual rate
$1.60 ($0.40 × 4 a year)
Payout ratio
26% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended September 30, 2026)
Latest ex-dividend date
September 21, 2026, $0.40 per share

Fewer payments or a raise. The last 12 months paid at least 25% less than the current annual rate. A payment may fall just outside the 12 months, or the company may have raised its dividend.

Dividends per share by year

Johnson Controls International dividends per share by year
2016
$1.1348
2017
$1.01
2018
$1.04
2019
$1.04
2020
$1.04
2021
$1.15
2022
$1.40
2023
$1.47
2024
$1.48
2025
$0.74

From 2020 to 2025, the dividend fell by about 6.6% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend fell by about 1.2% a year.

One-off payments far above the usual dividend are left out of these numbers.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Johnson Controls International

What does Johnson Controls International do?

Johnson Controls International makes, installs and services building products and systems: commercial heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) equipment, industrial refrigeration, building controls, security systems and fire detection and suppression. Its market cap is $87B at the current price of $144.61.

When does Johnson Controls International report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Johnson Controls International may report on February 3, 2027. It last reported results on October 27, 2026.

Is Johnson Controls International stock below its intrinsic value?

Johnson Controls International stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Johnson Controls International?

The latest update is from October 27, 2026. Johnson Controls reported Q4 fiscal 2026 results.

What are the main risks for Johnson Controls International?

Much of the order growth comes from data centers. The fiscal 2027 guidance needs organic growth of 11% to 12% and further margin gains. A subsidiary, Tyco Fire Products, faces many lawsuits about firefighting foam (AFFF).

How much debt and cash does Johnson Controls International have?

At September 30, 2026, Johnson Controls International had $9.3B of debt and $618M of cash.

Does Johnson Controls International pay a dividend?

Yes. The current annual dividend of Johnson Controls International is $1.60 per share. That is a dividend yield of 1.1% at the current price of $144.61. In the last 12 months, it paid $1.20 per share (0.8%). The last 12 months paid at least 25% less than the current annual rate. A payment may fall just outside the 12 months, or the company may have raised its dividend. The latest ex-dividend date was September 21, 2026.

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