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BMRNRare disease biotech

BioMarin

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$58.33
Analysts view
Bullish
Discount category
Well below intrinsic value
Pick status
Top pick
Next earnings
Earnings Feb 2 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$11B
Shares of Oct 26, 2026
EPS (trailing)
-$0.10
12 months to Sep 30, 2026
52-week range
$49.26 – $70.98
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
0.21
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
2.2M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
The market fears that a weekly rival will take VOXZOGO patients and doubts the debt-funded Amicus deal, and VOXZOGO growth with lower leverage by mid-2027 can close the gap.
Gap
Can close. The FDA decisions on VOXZOGO and the leverage target come at dated points between February and mid-2027.

Company guidance: Non-GAAP diluted EPS of $2.80 to $3.10 and total revenues of $3,800 to $3,900 million for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K Ex. 99.1))

Price history

About

BioMarin develops and sells medicines for rare genetic diseases. Its largest single product is VOXZOGO, a daily injection that increases growth in children with achondroplasia, a form of dwarfism. Its Metabolic Conditions medicines treat enzyme and metabolic disorders: VIMIZIM, NAGLAZYME, PALYNZIQ, BRINEURA, ALDURAZYME and KUVAN.

On April 27, 2026, it bought Amicus Therapeutics and added GALAFOLD for Fabry disease and POMBILITI + OPFOLDA for Pompe disease. BioMarin makes money from product sales around the world, and some products sell at high prices to small numbers of patients. Its pipeline includes BMN 333, a long-acting CNP for achondroplasia, BMN 440 (ALE1), an oral medicine for hypophosphatasia, and BMN 450, a long-acting enzyme therapy for Fabry disease that patients inject under the skin.

Thesis

The market fears that VOXZOGO, BioMarin's main growth driver, will lose patients to Ascendis's Yuviwel, a weekly CNP injection, while VOXZOGO is a daily injection. It also doubts the value of the Amicus purchase, which BioMarin paid for mostly with $3.65 billion of new debt, and it notes pipeline setbacks: BMN 401 failed one of two main goals in its pivotal study, and BioMarin stopped VOXZOGO in Noonan syndrome. The settlement with Ascendis reduces this fear in part, because Ascendis pays royalties of 20% of U.S. Yuviwel sales until May 2030.

For the gap to close, four things must be true. VOXZOGO must reach its 2026 guidance of $975 million to $1,025 million, which depends on a large international order that moved into Q4 2026, and keep growing in 2027 with Yuviwel on the market. The FDA must give full approval in achondroplasia by the target date of February 28, 2027, and approve VOXZOGO for hypochondroplasia by the target date of May 30, 2027. GALAFOLD and POMBILITI + OPFOLDA must keep growing, with about $220 million of non-GAAP cost savings by 2028.

Gross leverage must fall below 2.5 times by mid-2027, and BioMarin must repay the $600 million of convertible notes due in May 2027. The next evidence comes with the Q4 2026 report and 2027 guidance in early 2027 and with the two FDA decisions. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next three to five quarters.

Checkpoints

  1. Nov 2, 2026Failed
    Q3 2026 earnings and hypochondroplasia updateVOXZOGO revenue on track for at least $1 billion in 2026 and an FDA review of the hypochondroplasia application on schedule pass; lower VOXZOGO guidance or a delay fails.Outcome: BioMarin lowered its 2026 VOXZOGO guidance to $975 million to $1,025 million because a large international order moved, although the FDA set a target date of May 30, 2027 for the hypochondroplasia decision.
  2. Feb 2, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidanceVOXZOGO revenue of at least $975 million for 2026 and 2027 guidance with VOXZOGO growth pass; 2026 VOXZOGO revenue below the guidance range or 2027 guidance for lower VOXZOGO revenue fails.
  3. Feb 28, 2027Pending
    FDA decision on full approval of VOXZOGO in achondroplasiaFull approval by the target date passes; a rejection or a delay fails.
  4. May 30, 2027Pending
    FDA decision on VOXZOGO in hypochondroplasiaApproval by the target date passes; a rejection or a delay fails.
  5. Jun 30, 2027 · est.Pending
    Gross leverage below 2.5 timesGross leverage below 2.5 times by mid-2027 and repayment of the May 2027 convertible notes pass; higher leverage fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • November 2, 2026BioMarin reported Q3 2026 results. Revenue grew 32% to $1,025 million, its first quarter above $1 billion, with $152 million from GALAFOLD and $49 million from POMBILITI + OPFOLDA. VOXZOGO revenue grew 12% to $245 million. GAAP diluted EPS was a loss of $0.63 and non-GAAP diluted EPS was $0.23, after the Alesta research charges. BioMarin lowered its 2026 guidance to total revenue of $3,800 million to $3,900 million, VOXZOGO revenue of $975 million to $1,025 million and non-GAAP EPS of $2.80 to $3.10, because the timing of orders from one international customer is uncertain and because of the Alesta and BMN 450 charges. It licensed BMN 450, a Fabry disease medicine. The FDA set May 30, 2027 as the target date for its decision on VOXZOGO in hypochondroplasia.
  • October 6, 2026BioMarin said that the Alesta purchase adds about $283 million of acquired research and development charges in Q3 2026, which lowers Q3 GAAP and non-GAAP EPS by about $1.50. For the full year 2026, the charges are about $320 million. BioMarin will update its 2026 guidance with the Q3 report.
  • September 24, 2026BioMarin and Ascendis Pharma signed the final settlement and license agreement. Ascendis pays BioMarin royalties of 20% of U.S. net sales of Yuviwel, from the first sale, and 18% of net sales in the European Union, Brazil and South Korea, until May 2030. The parties dismiss all pending patent cases.
Show 6 older events
  • September 15, 2026BioMarin stopped the development of VOXZOGO for children with Noonan syndrome. It said the decision was based on study feasibility and the treatment landscape, and not on safety or efficacy.
  • August 31, 2026BioMarin completed its purchase of Alesta Therapeutics for $275 million upfront, plus milestone payments. It gained ALE1, an oral medicine in a Phase 1/2a study, which can become the first oral therapy for hypophosphatasia.
  • August 30, 2026BioMarin agreed binding terms with Ascendis Pharma to settle all patent disputes about Yuviwel, including the case before the U.S. International Trade Commission.
  • August 6, 2026BioMarin reported Q2 2026 results. Revenue grew 20% to $990 million, and VOXZOGO revenue grew 14% to $253 million. Non-GAAP EPS was $1.20. BioMarin raised its 2026 guidance to total revenue of $3,875 million to $3,925 million and VOXZOGO revenue of $1,000 million to $1,050 million. It submitted VOXZOGO for hypochondroplasia to the FDA and stopped the development of BMN 401.
  • May 4, 2026BioMarin reported Q1 2026 results with revenue of $766 million. It raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $3.825 billion to $3.925 billion to include the Amicus products.
  • April 27, 2026BioMarin completed the purchase of Amicus Therapeutics for total consideration of $5.3 billion. It paid with cash, $850 million of 5.5% notes due 2034 and $2.8 billion of secured term loans.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
November 2, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about February 2, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 1048477)

Risks

  • VOXZOGO faces competition from Ascendis's Yuviwel, a weekly CNP injection. VOXZOGO is a daily injection and gave $717 million of revenue in the first nine months of 2026. The royalties from Yuviwel run only until May 2030. More than 75% of VOXZOGO revenue comes from outside the U.S., and large orders from a few international customers make quarterly revenue uneven.
  • Debt rose after the Amicus purchase and was $4.17 billion at carrying value on September 30, 2026. Interest expense was $56 million in Q3 2026. The $600 million of convertible notes are due in May 2027.
  • BioMarin must integrate Amicus and grow GALAFOLD and POMBILITI + OPFOLDA. It targets peak sales of about $1.4 billion and $1.2 billion and about $220 million of non-GAAP cost savings by 2028. Slower growth would reduce the return on the deal.
  • The pipeline had setbacks. BMN 401 failed one of two main goals in its pivotal study, BioMarin stopped VOXZOGO in Noonan syndrome, and it no longer markets ROCTAVIAN. Regulators may also delay or reject the hypochondroplasia application.

Balance sheet

Cash
$736M
Debt
$4.2B
Net debt
$3.4B
Interest cover
1.2×
times profit pays interest
Credit line
$600M
undrawn, to April 2031

Cash against debt

Cash$736M
Debt$4.2B

debt covered by cashnet debt $3.4B

When the debt is due

12 months$659M
Later$3.5B

BioMarin took on debt in 2026 to buy Amicus. At September 30, 2026, debt was $4,174 million at carrying value: $659 million due within 12 months, mainly the $600 million of 1.25% convertible notes due May 2027, and $3,515 million of long-term debt.

Dividends

BioMarin does not pay a dividend.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026.

Questions about BioMarin

What does BioMarin do?

BioMarin develops and sells medicines for rare genetic diseases. Its largest single product is VOXZOGO, a daily injection that increases growth in children with achondroplasia, a form of dwarfism. Its market cap is $11B at the current price of $58.33.

When does BioMarin report earnings next?

This is an estimate: BioMarin may report on February 2, 2027. It last reported results on November 2, 2026.

Is BioMarin stock below its intrinsic value?

BioMarin stock is well below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at BioMarin?

The latest update is from November 2, 2026. BioMarin reported Q3 2026 results.

What are the main risks for BioMarin?

VOXZOGO faces competition from Ascendis's Yuviwel, a weekly CNP injection. Debt rose after the Amicus purchase and was $4.17 billion at carrying value on September 30, 2026. BioMarin must integrate Amicus and grow GALAFOLD and POMBILITI + OPFOLDA.

How much debt and cash does BioMarin have?

At September 30, 2026, BioMarin had $4.2B of debt and $736M of cash.

Does BioMarin pay a dividend?

No. BioMarin does not pay a dividend.

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