BMRNRare disease biotech
BioMarin
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $58.33
- Analysts view
- Bullish
- Discount category
- Well below intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Top pick
- Next earnings
- Earnings Feb 2 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $11B
- Shares of Oct 26, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- -$0.10
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $49.26 – $70.98
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.21
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 2.2M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market fears that a weekly rival will take VOXZOGO patients and doubts the debt-funded Amicus deal, and VOXZOGO growth with lower leverage by mid-2027 can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The FDA decisions on VOXZOGO and the leverage target come at dated points between February and mid-2027.
Company guidance: Non-GAAP diluted EPS of $2.80 to $3.10 and total revenues of $3,800 to $3,900 million for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K Ex. 99.1))
Price history
About
BioMarin develops and sells medicines for rare genetic diseases. Its largest single product is VOXZOGO, a daily injection that increases growth in children with achondroplasia, a form of dwarfism. Its Metabolic Conditions medicines treat enzyme and metabolic disorders: VIMIZIM, NAGLAZYME, PALYNZIQ, BRINEURA, ALDURAZYME and KUVAN.
On April 27, 2026, it bought Amicus Therapeutics and added GALAFOLD for Fabry disease and POMBILITI + OPFOLDA for Pompe disease. BioMarin makes money from product sales around the world, and some products sell at high prices to small numbers of patients. Its pipeline includes BMN 333, a long-acting CNP for achondroplasia, BMN 440 (ALE1), an oral medicine for hypophosphatasia, and BMN 450, a long-acting enzyme therapy for Fabry disease that patients inject under the skin.
Thesis
The market fears that VOXZOGO, BioMarin's main growth driver, will lose patients to Ascendis's Yuviwel, a weekly CNP injection, while VOXZOGO is a daily injection. It also doubts the value of the Amicus purchase, which BioMarin paid for mostly with $3.65 billion of new debt, and it notes pipeline setbacks: BMN 401 failed one of two main goals in its pivotal study, and BioMarin stopped VOXZOGO in Noonan syndrome. The settlement with Ascendis reduces this fear in part, because Ascendis pays royalties of 20% of U.S. Yuviwel sales until May 2030.
For the gap to close, four things must be true. VOXZOGO must reach its 2026 guidance of $975 million to $1,025 million, which depends on a large international order that moved into Q4 2026, and keep growing in 2027 with Yuviwel on the market. The FDA must give full approval in achondroplasia by the target date of February 28, 2027, and approve VOXZOGO for hypochondroplasia by the target date of May 30, 2027. GALAFOLD and POMBILITI + OPFOLDA must keep growing, with about $220 million of non-GAAP cost savings by 2028.
Gross leverage must fall below 2.5 times by mid-2027, and BioMarin must repay the $600 million of convertible notes due in May 2027. The next evidence comes with the Q4 2026 report and 2027 guidance in early 2027 and with the two FDA decisions. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next three to five quarters.
Checkpoints
- Nov 2, 2026FailedQ3 2026 earnings and hypochondroplasia updateVOXZOGO revenue on track for at least $1 billion in 2026 and an FDA review of the hypochondroplasia application on schedule pass; lower VOXZOGO guidance or a delay fails.Outcome: BioMarin lowered its 2026 VOXZOGO guidance to $975 million to $1,025 million because a large international order moved, although the FDA set a target date of May 30, 2027 for the hypochondroplasia decision.
- Feb 2, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 results and 2027 guidanceVOXZOGO revenue of at least $975 million for 2026 and 2027 guidance with VOXZOGO growth pass; 2026 VOXZOGO revenue below the guidance range or 2027 guidance for lower VOXZOGO revenue fails.
- Feb 28, 2027PendingFDA decision on full approval of VOXZOGO in achondroplasiaFull approval by the target date passes; a rejection or a delay fails.
- May 30, 2027PendingFDA decision on VOXZOGO in hypochondroplasiaApproval by the target date passes; a rejection or a delay fails.
- Jun 30, 2027 · est.PendingGross leverage below 2.5 timesGross leverage below 2.5 times by mid-2027 and repayment of the May 2027 convertible notes pass; higher leverage fails.
Recent events
- November 2, 2026BioMarin reported Q3 2026 results. Revenue grew 32% to $1,025 million, its first quarter above $1 billion, with $152 million from GALAFOLD and $49 million from POMBILITI + OPFOLDA. VOXZOGO revenue grew 12% to $245 million. GAAP diluted EPS was a loss of $0.63 and non-GAAP diluted EPS was $0.23, after the Alesta research charges. BioMarin lowered its 2026 guidance to total revenue of $3,800 million to $3,900 million, VOXZOGO revenue of $975 million to $1,025 million and non-GAAP EPS of $2.80 to $3.10, because the timing of orders from one international customer is uncertain and because of the Alesta and BMN 450 charges. It licensed BMN 450, a Fabry disease medicine. The FDA set May 30, 2027 as the target date for its decision on VOXZOGO in hypochondroplasia.
- October 6, 2026BioMarin said that the Alesta purchase adds about $283 million of acquired research and development charges in Q3 2026, which lowers Q3 GAAP and non-GAAP EPS by about $1.50. For the full year 2026, the charges are about $320 million. BioMarin will update its 2026 guidance with the Q3 report.
- September 24, 2026BioMarin and Ascendis Pharma signed the final settlement and license agreement. Ascendis pays BioMarin royalties of 20% of U.S. net sales of Yuviwel, from the first sale, and 18% of net sales in the European Union, Brazil and South Korea, until May 2030. The parties dismiss all pending patent cases.
Show 6 older eventsHide older events
- September 15, 2026BioMarin stopped the development of VOXZOGO for children with Noonan syndrome. It said the decision was based on study feasibility and the treatment landscape, and not on safety or efficacy.
- August 31, 2026BioMarin completed its purchase of Alesta Therapeutics for $275 million upfront, plus milestone payments. It gained ALE1, an oral medicine in a Phase 1/2a study, which can become the first oral therapy for hypophosphatasia.
- August 30, 2026BioMarin agreed binding terms with Ascendis Pharma to settle all patent disputes about Yuviwel, including the case before the U.S. International Trade Commission.
- August 6, 2026BioMarin reported Q2 2026 results. Revenue grew 20% to $990 million, and VOXZOGO revenue grew 14% to $253 million. Non-GAAP EPS was $1.20. BioMarin raised its 2026 guidance to total revenue of $3,875 million to $3,925 million and VOXZOGO revenue of $1,000 million to $1,050 million. It submitted VOXZOGO for hypochondroplasia to the FDA and stopped the development of BMN 401.
- May 4, 2026BioMarin reported Q1 2026 results with revenue of $766 million. It raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $3.825 billion to $3.925 billion to include the Amicus products.
- April 27, 2026BioMarin completed the purchase of Amicus Therapeutics for total consideration of $5.3 billion. It paid with cash, $850 million of 5.5% notes due 2034 and $2.8 billion of secured term loans.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- November 2, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about February 2, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · bmrn-20260930
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KNew material agreementFiled · bmrn-20260924
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · bmrn-20260915
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · bmrn-20260910
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KNew material agreement and Investor disclosureFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KNew material agreement and Investor disclosureFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · bmrn-20260630
Risks
- VOXZOGO faces competition from Ascendis's Yuviwel, a weekly CNP injection. VOXZOGO is a daily injection and gave $717 million of revenue in the first nine months of 2026. The royalties from Yuviwel run only until May 2030. More than 75% of VOXZOGO revenue comes from outside the U.S., and large orders from a few international customers make quarterly revenue uneven.
- Debt rose after the Amicus purchase and was $4.17 billion at carrying value on September 30, 2026. Interest expense was $56 million in Q3 2026. The $600 million of convertible notes are due in May 2027.
- BioMarin must integrate Amicus and grow GALAFOLD and POMBILITI + OPFOLDA. It targets peak sales of about $1.4 billion and $1.2 billion and about $220 million of non-GAAP cost savings by 2028. Slower growth would reduce the return on the deal.
- The pipeline had setbacks. BMN 401 failed one of two main goals in its pivotal study, BioMarin stopped VOXZOGO in Noonan syndrome, and it no longer markets ROCTAVIAN. Regulators may also delay or reject the hypochondroplasia application.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $736M
- Debt
- $4.2B
- Net debt
- $3.4B
- Interest cover
- 1.2×
- times profit pays interest
- Credit line
- $600M
- undrawn, to April 2031
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $3.4B
When the debt is due
BioMarin took on debt in 2026 to buy Amicus. At September 30, 2026, debt was $4,174 million at carrying value: $659 million due within 12 months, mainly the $600 million of 1.25% convertible notes due May 2027, and $3,515 million of long-term debt. The long-term debt is $850 million of 5.5% senior notes due 2034, an $800 million term loan A due April 2031 and a $2.0 billion term loan B due April 2033 at principal, less $15 million of repayments in 2026 and the issuance costs. Cash and cash equivalents were $736 million at September 30, 2026, down from $874 million at June 30, 2026, after BioMarin paid $275 million upfront for Alesta on August 31, 2026. It had no short-term or long-term investments. Its 2026 borrowings of $3,650 million equal the notes and term loans, so the $600 million revolving credit facility, which runs to April 2031, was not used. Interest cover is operating income divided by interest expense for the first nine months of 2026; it is low because of $288 million of acquired research and development charges in Q3 2026. BioMarin targets gross leverage below 2.5 times by mid-2027.
Dividends
BioMarin does not pay a dividend.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026.
Questions about BioMarin
What does BioMarin do?
BioMarin develops and sells medicines for rare genetic diseases. Its largest single product is VOXZOGO, a daily injection that increases growth in children with achondroplasia, a form of dwarfism. Its market cap is $11B at the current price of $58.33.
When does BioMarin report earnings next?
This is an estimate: BioMarin may report on February 2, 2027. It last reported results on November 2, 2026.
Is BioMarin stock below its intrinsic value?
BioMarin stock is well below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at BioMarin?
The latest update is from November 2, 2026. BioMarin reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for BioMarin?
VOXZOGO faces competition from Ascendis's Yuviwel, a weekly CNP injection. Debt rose after the Amicus purchase and was $4.17 billion at carrying value on September 30, 2026. BioMarin must integrate Amicus and grow GALAFOLD and POMBILITI + OPFOLDA.
How much debt and cash does BioMarin have?
At September 30, 2026, BioMarin had $4.2B of debt and $736M of cash.
Does BioMarin pay a dividend?
No. BioMarin does not pay a dividend.
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