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TEXSpecialty machinery

Terex

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$57.61
Analysts view
Bullish
Discount category
Well below intrinsic value
Pick status
Top pick
Next earnings
Earnings Jan 28 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$6.5B
Shares of Oct 27, 2026
Yield at current rate
1.2%
Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 13, 2026
Dividend yield
1.2%
Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 13, 2026
P/E (trailing)
26.2
Price of Nov 13, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$2.20
12 months to Sep 30, 2026
52-week range
$41.70 – $74.69
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
1.48
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
1.4M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
Investors fear weak Aerials and refuse truck margins and the risk of the REV integration and the Aerials separation, and results on plan with a fair Aerials deal over three to six quarters can close the gap.
Gap
Can close. The outcome of the Aerials separation, the 2027 guidance in early 2027 and the REV synergies give dated evidence within about a year.

Company guidance: Adjusted diluted EPS of $4.80 - $5.00 and net sales of $8.0B - $8.2B for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))

Price history

About

Terex makes specialized equipment for emergency services, waste and recycling, utilities and construction. On February 2, 2026, it completed the purchase of REV Group, which makes fire trucks, ambulances and other specialty vehicles. Terex now reports four segments: Environmental Solutions (refuse collection trucks and utility equipment), Materials Processing (mobile crushers and screens), Specialty Vehicles (the former REV Group) and Aerials (Genie aerial work platforms).

Terex sells most of its equipment through dealers and to rental companies, utilities and cities, and it also earns money from parts and service. It sold its tower and rough terrain cranes businesses on October 31, 2025. For 2026, it expects sales of $8.0 billion to $8.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $930 million to $960 million.

Thesis

The market prices Terex as a cyclical machine maker in the middle of a large change. The REV Group purchase added debt and an integration. Terex also plans to separate its Aerials business. In October 2026, it said that it was in active talks with multiple strategic parties, but it has not said the result or the date.

Aerials has the lowest margin of the four segments. Tariffs cut its adjusted EBITDA margin to 5.7% in Q2 2026, and it recovered to 8.7% in Q3 2026, below the 10.5% of a year earlier. Refuse truck shipments also fell, and the Environmental Solutions margin fell to 15.3% in Q3 2026 from 19.2%. In October 2026, Terex lowered its 2026 adjusted EBITDA outlook to $930 million to $960 million from $960 million to $1.0 billion.

For the gap to close, four things must be true. Terex must reach its 2026 outlook of $4.80 to $5.00 of adjusted EPS and $360 million to $400 million of free cash flow. The REV synergies must reach the planned $75 million annual run rate within two years, with about $28 million in 2026. The Aerials process must end in a sale or separation at a fair price, and Terex must use the money to cut debt or buy back shares.

Environmental Solutions must recover its refuse truck volume and its Utilities production. The FY 2026 report with the 2027 guidance in early 2027 is the next test. An Aerials deal can come at any time. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next three to six quarters.

Checkpoints

  1. Oct 28, 2026Failed
    Q3 2026 results: Aerials margin and second-half step upA higher Aerials margin than in Q2, an adjusted EBITDA margin above 12% and the 2026 outlook kept pass; a cut to the outlook fails.Outcome: The Aerials margin rose to 8.7% and the adjusted EBITDA margin was 13.0%, but Terex lowered its 2026 adjusted EBITDA outlook to $930 million to $960 million.
  2. Dec 2026 · est.Pending
    New leader for Environmental SolutionsTerex names a successor to Patrick Carroll on or before December 31, 2026, and this passes; no successor by then fails.
  3. Jan 28, 2027 · est.Pending
    FY 2026 results and 2027 guidanceAdjusted EPS of $4.80 to $5.00 for 2026, free cash flow of $360 million to $400 million and REV synergies on plan pass; a miss of the outlook fails.
  4. Q1 2027 · est.Pending
    Outcome of the Aerials separationA sale or separation of Aerials at a fair price, with the money used to cut debt or buy back shares, passes; no deal or a low price fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • November 6, 2026Patrick Carroll, President of the Environmental Solutions segment, told Terex that he plans to retire on May 14, 2027. Terex expects to name a successor on or before December 31, 2026. He will lead the segment until he retires.
  • October 28, 2026Terex reported Q3 2026 results. Sales rose 58.4% to $2.2 billion with REV Group, and 11.6% on a pro forma basis. Net income was $114 million, or $1.00 per diluted share. Adjusted EBITDA was $286 million, a 13.0% margin, and adjusted EPS was $1.50. Backlog was $7.0 billion. Aerials sales rose 32%, and its adjusted EBITDA margin rose to 8.7% from 5.7% in Q2 2026. Environmental Solutions sales fell 8% on lower refuse truck shipments. Terex narrowed its 2026 outlook to sales of $8.0 billion to $8.2 billion and adjusted EPS of $4.80 to $5.00, lowered adjusted EBITDA to $930 million to $960 million and raised free cash flow to $360 million to $400 million. The board approved a new $500 million share buyback. Terex said that it was in active talks with multiple strategic parties about the Aerials separation.
  • October 23, 2026Terex completed the sale of its Capacity and LayMor businesses to Right Lane Industries for about $33 million in total. Both businesses were in the Specialty Vehicles segment.
Show 4 older events
  • July 31, 2026Terex filed pro forma financial statements for the combined company with REV Group for H1 2026 and for 2025.
  • July 30, 2026Terex reported Q2 2026 results. Sales rose 50.5% to $2.2 billion with REV Group, and 8.5% on a pro forma basis. Adjusted EBITDA was $269 million, a 12.0% margin, and adjusted EPS was $1.37. Bookings rose 25.2% on a pro forma basis, and Aerials bookings rose 71%. Terex raised its 2026 outlook to sales of $7.9 billion to $8.2 billion and adjusted EPS of $4.70 to $5.10. It said that the strategic review of Aerials has interest from multiple parties.
  • June 25, 2026Shareholders approved the 2026 Omnibus Incentive Plan at the annual meeting.
  • May 1, 2026Terex reported Q1 2026 results, with the first 58 days of REV Group. Sales rose 41% to $1.7 billion, and 11% on a pro forma basis. Merger-related charges led to a loss from continuing operations of $93 million, and adjusted EPS was $0.98. Backlog grew to $7.1 billion.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
October 30, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about January 28, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 97216)

Risks

  • Demand for aerial work platforms and crushers moves with construction and rental company spending. A slowdown in non-residential construction or higher interest rates can cut orders quickly.
  • Tariffs raise costs, mostly in Aerials, whose adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 5.7% in Q2 2026 from 9.1% a year earlier. It recovered to 8.7% in Q3 2026, below 10.5% a year earlier. New tariffs or slower price increases can lower margins again.
  • The Aerials separation process can end with a low price, a long delay or no deal. Until it ends, investors cannot value the company with certainty.
  • The REV Group integration must deliver about $75 million of annual synergies within two years. Specialty Vehicles depends on fire truck and ambulance production, and Environmental Solutions had lower refuse truck shipments and production problems in Utilities in Q2 and Q3 2026, and its adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 15.3% in Q3 2026 from 19.2%.
  • Debt was $2.58 billion and cash was $407 million at September 30, 2026. A downturn can raise leverage and slow buybacks.

Balance sheet

Cash
$407M
Debt
$2.6B
Net debt
$2.2B
Interest cover
3.7×
times profit pays interest

Cash against debt

Cash$407M
Debt$2.6B

debt covered by cashnet debt $2.2B

When the debt is due

12 months$24M
Later$2.6B

The last debt is due in 2032.

Terex funds itself with senior notes and a term loan. The 10-Q for Q3 2026, filed on October 29, 2026, lists $598 million of 5% senior notes due May 15, 2029, $737 million of 6.25% senior notes due October 15, 2032, and $1,212 million of term debt due October 8, 2031, all net of issuance costs.

Dividends

Yield at the current rate
1.2% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
Dividend yield
1.2% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $57.61)
Paid per share
$0.68 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$0.68 ($0.17 × 4 a year)
Payout ratio
20% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
Latest ex-dividend date
November 9, 2026, $0.17 per share

Dividends per share by year

Terex dividends per share by year
2016
$0.28
2017
$0.32
2018
$0.40
2019
$0.44
2020
$0.12
2021
$0.48
2022
$0.52
2023
$0.64
2024
$0.68
2025
$0.68

From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 41.5% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 11.0% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Terex

What does Terex do?

Terex makes specialized equipment for emergency services, waste and recycling, utilities and construction. On February 2, 2026, it completed the purchase of REV Group, which makes fire trucks, ambulances and other specialty vehicles. Its market cap is $6.5B at the current price of $57.61.

When does Terex report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Terex may report on January 28, 2027. It last reported results on October 28, 2026.

Is Terex stock below its intrinsic value?

Terex stock is well below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Terex?

The latest update is from November 6, 2026. Patrick Carroll, President of the Environmental Solutions segment, told Terex that he plans to retire on May 14, 2027.

What are the main risks for Terex?

Demand for aerial work platforms and crushers moves with construction and rental company spending. Tariffs raise costs, mostly in Aerials, whose adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 5.7% in Q2 2026 from 9.1% a year earlier. The Aerials separation process can end with a low price, a long delay or no deal.

How much debt and cash does Terex have?

At September 30, 2026, Terex had $2.6B of debt and $407M of cash.

Does Terex pay a dividend?

Yes. The current annual dividend of Terex is $0.68 per share. That is a dividend yield of 1.2% at the current price of $57.61. The latest ex-dividend date was November 9, 2026.

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