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SYYFood distribution

Sysco

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$76.94
Analysts view
Leaning bullish
Discount category
Below intrinsic value
Pick status
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Feb 3 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$38B
Shares of Oct 16, 2026
Yield at current rate
2.9%
Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
Dividend yield
2.8%
Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
P/E (trailing)
20.5
Price of Nov 12, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$3.76
12 months to Sep 26, 2026
52-week range
$68.19 – $91.85
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
0.66
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
3.7M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
The market fears the debt and the antitrust risk of the Jetro Restaurant Depot deal, and a timely closing with falling leverage over four to eight quarters can close the gap.
Gap
Can close. The FTC decision and the deal closing, expected by about March 2027, and the leverage reports after it give dated checks.

Company guidance: Adjusted EPS growth of 9%-11% and sales growth at the lower end of 6%-7% for fiscal 2027 (, Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings release (8-K))

Price history

About

Sysco is the largest foodservice distributor in the world. It buys food and non-food products from thousands of suppliers and delivers them to about 670,000 customer locations from 333 distribution facilities. Restaurants give about 59% of sales; hospitals, schools, government, hotels and other customers give the rest. US Foodservice gives about 70% of sales, International about 19% and SYGMA, which serves restaurant chains, about 10%.

Sysco makes money from a small margin on a very large volume, and it earns more on local, independent restaurants and on its own Sysco Brand products than on national chains. Sales in the fiscal year to June 27, 2026 were $84.6 billion, and operating income was $3.1 billion. Sysco has agreed to buy Jetro Restaurant Depot, which runs 170 cash and carry warehouse stores for independent restaurants in 35 states.

Thesis

The market prices Sysco lower because of the size and the debt of the Jetro Restaurant Depot purchase. Sysco will pay $21.6 billion in cash and 91.5 million shares, a total value of about $29.1 billion. It will borrow about $21 billion, and it paused its share buybacks until it reduces debt. S&P and Fitch have a negative outlook on Sysco's BBB rating, and Moody's has its Baa2 rating under review.

The Federal Trade Commission asked for more information on the deal on May 27, 2026, which can delay it. Investors also doubt that a distributor with a small margin can run large warehouse stores well. For the gap to close, four things must be true. The FTC must clear the deal, and the deal must close by the third quarter of Sysco's fiscal year 2027, that is, by about March 2027.

Sysco must keep its fiscal 2027 outlook of 6% to 7% sales growth and 9% to 11% adjusted EPS growth, with about 2.5% local case growth in the US. After closing, it must reach the $250 million of yearly cost savings in three years and reduce net leverage by at least 1.0 times within 24 months. In the Q1 report on November 3, 2026, US local case volume grew 2.7%, and Sysco kept its EPS outlook and its closing target. But it now expects sales growth at the low end of its range, because food cost inflation is low.

The next tests are the FTC decision and the Q2 report, expected in early February 2027. If the deal closes on time and leverage falls on plan, the gap can close over the next four to eight quarters. The main risk is that the FTC blocks the deal or forces Sysco to sell stores.

Checkpoints

  1. Nov 3, 2026Passed
    Q1 fiscal 2027 results: local volume and deal timingUS local case growth near 2.5%, a kept fiscal 2027 outlook and no new delay of the deal pass; a lower outlook or a later closing date fails.Outcome: US local case volume grew 2.7%, Sysco kept its 6% to 7% sales and 9% to 11% adjusted EPS growth outlook, though with sales now at the low end, and it still expects to close the deal by the third fiscal quarter.
  2. Feb 3, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q2 fiscal 2027 results: local volume and deal closingUS local case growth near 2.5%, a kept adjusted EPS outlook and a deal on track to close by about March 2027 pass; a lower EPS outlook or a later closing date fails.
  3. Q1 2027 · est.Pending
    FTC decision and closing of Jetro Restaurant DepotClearance without large store sales and closing by about March 2027 pass; an FTC suit or large forced sales fail.
  4. 2028 · est.Pending
    Net leverage down by 1.0 times after closingNet leverage at least 1.0 times lower within 24 months after closing and stable investment-grade ratings pass; a rating cut fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • November 3, 2026Sysco reported Q1 results for fiscal year 2027, which ended September 26, 2026. Sales grew 2.8% to $21.7 billion, and US local case volume grew 2.7%. EPS grew 10.1% to $1.09, and adjusted EPS grew 3.5% to $1.19. Sysco kept its outlook of 9% to 11% adjusted EPS growth for fiscal year 2027, but it now expects sales growth at the low end of its 6% to 7% range, because food cost inflation is lower. It still expects to close the Jetro Restaurant Depot deal by the third quarter of fiscal year 2027.
  • November 3, 2026Sysco made Brandon Sewell, its interim CFO since March 6, 2026, its Chief Financial Officer from November 1, 2026.
  • October 13, 2026Sysco said that it will report Q1 results for fiscal year 2027 on November 3, 2026.
Show 7 older events
  • October 8, 2026Sysco ended its bridge loan commitment, which was then $19 billion, because it had completed the bond and share financing for the cash price of Jetro Restaurant Depot.
  • October 6, 2026Sysco closed the sale of $10.75 billion of senior notes, $3.9 billion of US dollar junior subordinated notes and 1.0 billion euros of junior subordinated notes to pay for Jetro Restaurant Depot. If the deal does not close, Sysco must redeem most of these notes. It also sold C$1.5 billion of senior notes on September 25, 2026.
  • September 16, 2026Sysco sold 12.3 million new shares at $81.00 per share, for net proceeds of about $967 million, to pay part of the cash price of Jetro Restaurant Depot.
  • August 20, 2026Sysco added two directors with experience in AI, supply chains and foodservice, and changed its Technology Committee into an AI Transformation and Technology Committee. It said that AI tools give part of the $100 million of cost savings planned for fiscal year 2027.
  • August 4, 2026Sysco reported results for fiscal year 2026, which ended June 27, 2026. Sales grew 3.9%, and adjusted EPS grew 3.4% to $4.61. In Q4, US local case volume grew 2.6%. For fiscal year 2027, which has 53 weeks, Sysco expects sales growth of 6% to 7% and adjusted EPS growth of 9% to 11%.
  • May 27, 2026The Federal Trade Commission sent Sysco and Jetro Restaurant Depot a second request for information on the deal. This extends the antitrust waiting period until 30 days after both companies comply.
  • April 28, 2026Sysco reported Q3 results for fiscal year 2026. Sales grew 4.7%, and US local case volume grew 3.3%. Adjusted EPS fell 2.1% to $0.94 because of higher incentive pay.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
November 3, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about February 3, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 96021)

Risks

  • The FTC has asked for more information on the Jetro Restaurant Depot deal. The FTC or a state can try to block it or ask Sysco to sell assets. If the deal does not close because of the regulators or the termination date, Sysco must pay a termination fee of $1.164 billion and redeem most of the new notes.
  • The deal adds about $21 billion of debt. S&P and Fitch have a negative outlook on Sysco's BBB rating, and Moody's has the Baa2 rating under review. Sysco paused share buybacks. If profit grows slower than planned, debt falls slower and a rating cut can raise interest costs.
  • Sysco has never run cash and carry warehouse stores. The planned $250 million of yearly savings and the plan to open more than 125 new stores over at least 20 years depend on a good integration of a business with its own culture and systems.
  • Restaurants give about 59% of sales. If consumers eat out less, local restaurant volume, which gives Sysco its best margins, can fall. US local case volume fell 1.4% in fiscal year 2025 before it grew again in fiscal year 2026.
  • Low food cost inflation lowers sales growth. Product cost inflation was only 0.3% in Q1 of fiscal year 2027, and Sysco now expects sales growth at the low end of its 6% to 7% range.

Balance sheet

Cash
$3.2B
Debt
$13.8B
Net debt
$10.6B
Net debt / EBITDA
2.7×
EBITDA $4.0B, last 12 months
Interest cover
4.3×
times profit pays interest

Cash against debt

Cash$3.2B
Debt$13.8B

debt covered by cashnet debt $10.6B

Leverage: net debt / EBITDA

low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×

When the debt is due

12 months$960M
Later$12.9B

Credit ratings

  • Moody's Baa2
  • S&P BBB · negative
  • Fitch BBB · negative

Sysco funds itself with unsecured senior notes guaranteed by its US Broadline subsidiaries, commercial paper and a $3.0 billion revolving credit facility. At September 26, 2026, cash was $3.17 billion and debt was $13.82 billion, including $960 million due within 12 months.

Dividends

Yield at the current rate
2.9% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
Dividend yield
2.8% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $76.94)
Paid per share
$2.18 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$2.20 ($0.55 × 4 a year)
Payout ratio
59% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended June 27, 2026)
Latest ex-dividend date
October 2, 2026, $0.55 per share

Dividends per share by year

Sysco dividends per share by year
2016
$1.24
2017
$1.32
2018
$1.44
2019
$1.56
2020
$1.80
2021
$1.84
2022
$1.92
2023
$1.98
2024
$2.02
2025
$2.10

From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 3.1% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 8.8% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Sysco

What does Sysco do?

Sysco is the largest foodservice distributor in the world. It buys food and non-food products from thousands of suppliers and delivers them to about 670,000 customer locations from 333 distribution facilities. Its market cap is $38B at the current price of $76.94.

When does Sysco report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Sysco may report on February 3, 2027. It last reported results on November 3, 2026.

Is Sysco stock below its intrinsic value?

Sysco stock is below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Sysco?

The latest update is from November 3, 2026. Sysco reported Q1 results for fiscal year 2027, which ended September 26, 2026.

What are the main risks for Sysco?

The FTC has asked for more information on the Jetro Restaurant Depot deal. The deal adds about $21 billion of debt. Sysco has never run cash and carry warehouse stores.

How much debt and cash does Sysco have?

At September 26, 2026, Sysco had $13.8B of debt and $3.2B of cash.

Does Sysco pay a dividend?

Yes. The current annual dividend of Sysco is $2.20 per share. That is a dividend yield of 2.9% at the current price of $76.94. In the last 12 months, it paid $2.18 per share (2.8%). The latest ex-dividend date was October 2, 2026.

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