By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $526.55
- Analysts view
- Leaning bullish
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Jan 29 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $242B
- Shares of Sep 30, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 1.2%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 1.2%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 35.0
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $15.06
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $387.78 – $548.20
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.68
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 2.1M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- Investors doubt that Linde can keep its margin with Lincare and helium costs in a weak industrial economy, and a margin recovery in the next two to four quarters can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The Q4 2026 report with the 2027 outlook, the savings from the 2026 cost program in 2027 and a decision on Lincare give dated checks of the margin.
Company guidance: Adjusted EPS of $17.82 to $17.92 for 2026; Q4 2026 adjusted EPS of $4.40 to $4.50 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))
Price history
About
Linde is the largest industrial gas company in the world, with sales of $34.0 billion in 2025. It produces oxygen, nitrogen and argon from air, and it also sells hydrogen, helium, carbon dioxide and specialty gases. Large customers, such as chemical plants, refineries, steel mills and chip factories, get gas by pipeline from plants that Linde builds on or next to their sites, under contracts of 10 to 20 years with minimum purchase amounts and price escalation. Smaller customers buy liquid gas by truck or gas in cylinders.
Linde Engineering designs and builds gas plants for Linde and for other companies. Linde also owns Lincare, a US home care business that supplies oxygen and respiratory equipment to patients. About 64% of 2025 sales came from outside the US. Linde makes money from long contracts and price increases, with an adjusted operating margin of 29.4% in Q3 2026.
Thesis
Linde trades at a discount because investors doubt that it can keep its margin and its earnings growth while industrial demand stays weak. The adjusted operating margin was 29.4% in Q3 2026, 30 basis points lower than a year earlier and about the same as the 29.5% of Q2. Lincare, its US home care business, is the main drag, because its prices do not keep pace with cost inflation. Linde moved Lincare into a separate segment and studies options that include a sale, but it says that a sale is not certain.
Helium costs also rose because of the conflict in the Middle East. In Q3 2026, Linde took a charge of $425 million for severance and for actions at Lincare. Management expects the savings to reach their full rate in the second half of 2027. Linde plans $5.5 billion to $6.0 billion of capital spending in 2026, so investors see more cash going into new plants before the profit comes.
The long contracts and the $7.9 billion sale of gas backlog, mostly for electronics customers, support future growth. For the gap to close, Linde must reach its Q4 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $4.40 to $4.50, show a higher margin in 2027 as the cost savings arrive, decide what to do with Lincare, and grow the sale of gas backlog again. The Q4 report and the 2027 outlook, expected in early 2027, give the next test. If the margin recovers and Linde stays within its long-term target of 8% to 12% EPS growth, the gap can close over the next two to four quarters.
The main risk is a longer slowdown in industrial production in Europe and Asia.
Checkpoints
- Oct 29, 2026FailedQ3 2026 results: margin and EPS guidanceAdjusted EPS of $4.45 to $4.55 or more and a higher adjusted operating margin than in Q2 2026 pass; a lower margin or a cut to the 2026 guidance fails.Outcome: Adjusted EPS of $4.59 beat the guidance and Linde raised its 2026 guidance, but the adjusted operating margin of 29.4% was slightly lower than the 29.5% of Q2 2026.
- Jan 29, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 results and 2027 outlook2027 EPS guidance within the long-term growth target of 8% to 12%, a higher margin from the cost savings and a sale of gas backlog above $8 billion pass; guidance below 8% growth fails.
- 2027 · est.PendingDecision on LincareA sale or a clear plan that removes the margin drag of Lincare passes; no decision and a further fall in its margin fail.
Recent events
- October 29, 2026Linde reported Q3 2026 results. Sales were $9.40 billion, up 9%, with underlying sales up 5% from 3% higher prices and 2% higher volumes. Adjusted EPS was $4.59, up 9%, and the adjusted operating margin was 29.4%, 30 basis points lower than a year earlier. Reported EPS was $3.66, down 11%, because of a charge of $425 million. Operating cash flow was $3.17 billion. Linde raised its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $17.82 to $17.92 and guided Q4 2026 adjusted EPS at $4.40 to $4.50. The sale of gas backlog fell to $7.9 billion, from $8.1 billion at the end of Q2.
- October 29, 2026The Q3 2026 charge of $425 million includes $200 million of global severance, $42 million of other cost reduction charges and $183 million of non-cash charges, mostly for Lincare. Press reports of the call said that management expects the cost savings to pay back the charge in 1.5 to 2 years, with the full savings rate in the second half of 2027. Lincare now reports to the CFO in a separate segment while Linde studies options, and management said that a sale is not certain.
- October 5, 2026Linde said that it will report Q3 2026 results by 6:00 a.m. EDT on October 29, 2026, with a conference call at 9:00 a.m. EDT.
Show 4 older eventsHide older events
- July 31, 2026Linde reported Q2 2026 results. Sales were $9.29 billion, up 9%, with underlying sales up 4% from 2% higher prices and 2% higher volumes. Adjusted EPS was $4.50, up 10%, and the adjusted operating margin was 29.5%. Linde raised the low end of its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $17.70 to $17.90 and raised its capital spending plan to $5.5 billion to $6.0 billion. A new US electronics contract raised the sale of gas backlog to a record $8.1 billion. The stock fell about 5% on the day.
- July 31, 2026On the Q2 2026 call, management said that Lincare was the main reason for the lower margin, and that Linde studies strategic options for Lincare, including a partial or full sale. Management also said that helium costs will not normalize in 2026 and expects this in early 2027, depending on the Strait of Hormuz and the restart of supply from Qatar.
- May 13, 2026Linde issued €1.6 billion of notes in three parts: €600 million of floating rate notes due 2028, €500 million of 3.200% notes due 2030 and €500 million of 3.800% notes due 2036.
- May 1, 2026Linde reported Q1 2026 results. Sales were $8.8 billion, up 8%, with underlying sales up 3%. Adjusted EPS was $4.33, up 10%. The adjusted operating margin was 30.0%, down 10 basis points. Linde guided 2026 adjusted EPS at $17.60 to $17.90.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 29, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about January 29, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · lin-20260930
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · lin-20260630
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · lin-20260728
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · lin-20260331
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 10-KAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2025Filed · lin-20251231
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
Risks
- Volumes depend on industrial production. In Q3 2026, EMEA volumes grew only 1%, and press reports of the call said that management sees no near-term recovery in Europe. Linde's guidance assumes no economic improvement.
- Lincare, the US home care business, lowers the margin because its prices do not keep pace with cost inflation. In Q3 2026, Linde took $183 million of non-cash charges, mostly for Lincare. Management studies options that include a sale, but it gave no date for a decision and said that a sale is not certain.
- Linde plans $5.5 billion to $6.0 billion of capital spending in 2026, mostly for its $7.9 billion sale of gas backlog. Delays at customers, such as chip factories, can postpone the return on these plants.
- The conflict in the Middle East raised helium supply costs. Management expects normal conditions only in early 2027, if supply from Qatar restarts.
- About 64% of sales come from outside the US, so a stronger US dollar lowers reported sales and EPS.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $3.9B
- Debt
- $26.7B
- Net debt
- $22.8B
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.7×
- EBITDA $13.2B, last 12 months
- Interest cover
- 37×
- times profit pays interest
- Credit line
- $6.5B
- undrawn
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $22.8B
Leverage: net debt / EBITDA
low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×
When the debt is due
Credit ratings
- S&P A
- Moody's A2
Linde has strong credit ratings and long-dated debt. At September 30, 2026, short-term debt was $4.6 billion, mostly $4.3 billion of commercial paper, and $1.5 billion of long-term debt was due within one year. Linde issued €1.6 billion of euro notes in May 2026 and repaid notes of $725 million, $200 million and a euro note due in 2026 in the first nine months. EBITDA is the reported EBITDA for the 12 months to September 2026. It includes the Q3 2026 charge of $425 million. Interest cover uses net interest expense for the first nine months of 2026. Linde has two undrawn revolving credit agreements with no financial maintenance covenants: $5.0 billion to December 7, 2027 and $1.5 billion to December 2, 2026. The ratings are from the 10-K for 2025. Net debt was $22.8 billion at September 30, 2026, up from $21.9 billion at December 31, 2025. In the first nine months of 2026, Linde bought back $2.6 billion of shares and paid $2.2 billion of dividends. Operating cash flow was $3.2 billion in Q3 2026 alone.
As of
Show 4 sourcesHide sources
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 1.2% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 1.2% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $526.55)
- Paid per share
- $6.30 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $6.40 ($1.60 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 41% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- September 3, 2026, $1.60 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $3.00 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $3.152 | |
| 2018 | $3.30 | |
| 2019 | $3.50 | |
| 2020 | $3.852 | |
| 2021 | $4.24 | |
| 2022 | $4.68 | |
| 2023 | $5.10 | |
| 2024 | $5.56 | |
| 2025 | $6.00 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 9.3% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 7.7% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Linde
What does Linde do?
Linde is the largest industrial gas company in the world, with sales of $34.0 billion in 2025. It produces oxygen, nitrogen and argon from air, and it also sells hydrogen, helium, carbon dioxide and specialty gases. Its market cap is $242B at the current price of $526.55.
When does Linde report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Linde may report on January 29, 2027. It last reported results on October 29, 2026.
Is Linde stock below its intrinsic value?
Linde stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Linde?
The latest update is from October 29, 2026. Linde reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for Linde?
Volumes depend on industrial production. Lincare, the US home care business, lowers the margin because its prices do not keep pace with cost inflation. Linde plans $5.5 billion to $6.0 billion of capital spending in 2026, mostly for its $7.9 billion sale of gas backlog.
How much debt and cash does Linde have?
At September 30, 2026, Linde had $26.7B of debt and $3.9B of cash.
Does Linde pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of Linde is $6.40 per share. That is a dividend yield of 1.2% at the current price of $526.55. In the last 12 months, it paid $6.30 per share (1.2%). The latest ex-dividend date was September 3, 2026.
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