GDAerospace & defense
General Dynamics
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $367.22
- Analysts view
- Leaning bullish
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Jan 30 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $99B
- Shares of Oct 4, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 1.7%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 1.7%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 23.8
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $15.45
- 12 months to Dec 31, 2025
- 52-week range
- $306.77 – $400.00
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.31
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 1.2M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market doubts that General Dynamics' submarine work can earn better margins, and higher Marine margins with steady Gulfstream deliveries over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The 2027 outlook in late January 2027, the first under the new CEO, shows whether submarine margins and Gulfstream deliveries keep improving.
Company guidance: Revenue of $56.5 billion to $56.8 billion and diluted EPS of $17.20 to $17.30 for 2026 (, Form 10-Q for Q3 2026)
Price history
About
General Dynamics is a US aerospace and defense company with four segments. Aerospace makes Gulfstream business jets and services them. Marine Systems builds nuclear submarines (Columbia-class and Virginia-class) and other ships for the US Navy, mostly at Electric Boat. Combat Systems makes land combat vehicles, weapons and munitions for the US and its allies.
Technologies sells IT services and mission systems to the US government. The US government is the largest customer, and most defense work runs on long contracts. In the first half of 2026, Marine Systems gave about 33% of revenue and Aerospace about 25%. The company had $52.6 billion of revenue in 2025 and more than 120,000 employees.
Thesis
General Dynamics trades at a discount because the market doubts that its largest and fastest-growing business, submarines, can earn better margins, and because Gulfstream deliveries can move from quarter to quarter. Marine Systems had an operating margin of only 7.5% in the first nine months of 2026, against 14.7% for Aerospace, because the yards still pay for a larger workforce and late parts from single-source suppliers. The Navy's $76.6 billion award of July 29, 2026 for nine Virginia-class and five Columbia-class submarines secures volume, but the market waits to see if the new prices give higher margins. Gulfstream delivered 119 aircraft in the first nine months of 2026, toward its plan of about 160 for the year, but a planned production gap between the last G280 and the new G300 starts in 2027.
The CEO also changes on January 1, 2027. For the gap to close, Marine Systems margins must rise above the 2026 level as the new contracts start, Gulfstream must deliver about 160 aircraft in 2026 and guide to growth in 2027, and cash flow must stay near 105% of net income. The Q3 2026 report on October 30, 2026 passed the first test: backlog rose to $220.3 billion, the Marine Systems margin rose to 7.9% in the quarter, and the EPS outlook went up. The next test is the Q4 2026 report with the 2027 outlook, expected in late January 2027, the first under the new CEO.
If margins and deliveries hold, the gap can close over the next four to six quarters. The main risk is that supply chain and labor problems keep submarine margins low for years.
Checkpoints
- Oct 30, 2026PassedQ3 2026 results: backlog, Marine margin and Gulfstream deliveriesA large backlog increase from the submarine awards, a Marine Systems margin at or above 7.4% and a 2026 plan of about 160 Gulfstream deliveries pass; a lower delivery plan or lower EPS guidance fails.Outcome: Backlog rose to $220.3 billion, the Marine Systems margin was 7.9% in the quarter, and the company raised its 2026 EPS outlook to $17.20 to $17.30.
- Jan 30, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 results and 2027 outlook, first under the new CEOA 2027 outlook with higher Marine Systems margins and more Gulfstream deliveries passes; flat margins or fewer deliveries because of the G280 to G300 gap fail.
- Mar 2027 · est.PendingRenewal of the $4 billion credit facilityA renewal or replacement before March 2027 on similar terms passes; no renewal fails.
Recent events
- October 30, 2026General Dynamics reported Q3 2026 results. Revenue was $14.6 billion, up 12.9%, and diluted EPS was $4.49, up 15.7%. Orders of $98.8 billion, mainly for Virginia-class and Columbia-class submarines, gave a book-to-bill of 6.8 to 1, and backlog rose to $220.3 billion. The Marine Systems operating margin was 7.9%, and Gulfstream delivered 40 aircraft. The company raised its 2026 outlook to revenue of $56.5 billion to $56.8 billion and diluted EPS of $17.20 to $17.30.
- October 9, 2026General Dynamics said it will hold its Q3 2026 earnings call on October 30, 2026.
- October 7, 2026The board elected President Danny Deep as CEO from January 1, 2027. Phebe Novakovic, Chairman and CEO, will become Executive Chairman.
Show 3 older eventsHide older events
- July 29, 2026The Navy awarded Electric Boat $42.1 billion for nine Block VI Virginia-class submarines and $29.5 billion for five Columbia-class Build II submarines, part of a $76.6 billion package. HII's Newport News yard delivers six of the nine Virginia-class boats, and the work runs to July 2038.
- July 29, 2026General Dynamics reported Q2 2026 results. Revenue was $14.1 billion, up 8.1%, and diluted EPS was $4.24, up 13.4%. Book-to-bill was 1.4 to 1, and backlog was $136.5 billion. It raised its 2026 EPS guidance to $16.80 to $16.90, from $16.45 to $16.55, and kept its plan of about 160 Gulfstream deliveries.
- April 29, 2026General Dynamics reported Q1 2026 results. Revenue was $13.5 billion, up 10.3%, and diluted EPS was $4.10, up 12%. Book-to-bill was 2 to 1.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 30, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about January 30, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Oct 4, 2026Filed · gd-20261004
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jul 5, 2026Filed · gd-20260705
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · gd-20260511
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Apr 5, 2026Filed · gd-20260405
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
Risks
- Submarine work has low margins. Marine Systems had an operating margin of 7.5% in the first nine months of 2026. Single-source suppliers of large parts and the need for more skilled workers slow the work. Much of the work runs on long contracts, so cost overruns can lower profit for years.
- Gulfstream deliveries can move between quarters, and each jet has a large value. Gulfstream delivered 40 aircraft in Q3 2026 and 119 in the first nine months. A planned production gap between the last G280, expected in Q2 2027, and the G300, expected in late 2027 or early 2028, can lower deliveries. Demand for business jets also falls in a weak economy.
- Most revenue comes from the US government. Changes to the defense budget, delays in funding, or a government shutdown can slow contracts and payments. The CEO said in July 2026 that the industry needs more funds for production.
- The CEO changes on January 1, 2027, when Danny Deep replaces Phebe Novakovic. Novakovic stays as Executive Chairman, and Deep has run large parts of the company, so the risk of a change in strategy is low.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $4.4B
- Debt
- $7.1B
- Net debt
- $2.7B
- Interest cover
- 27×
- times profit pays interest
- Credit line
- $4.0B
- undrawn, to March 2027
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $2.7B
When the debt is due
General Dynamics had $7.07 billion of debt principal at October 4, 2026, down from $8.07 billion at December 31, 2025. It repaid $500 million of notes in June 2026 and $500 million in August 2026 from cash. Debt of $756 million is due within 12 months, mainly notes of $750 million due in April 2027. Cash was $4.39 billion, and net debt was $2.63 billion. It had no commercial paper outstanding at October 4, 2026. A $4 billion committed bank credit facility supports commercial paper and ends in March 2027, and the company may renew or replace it before then. Interest cover is operating earnings divided by net interest expense of $163 million for the first nine months of 2026. Management now expects net interest expense of about $215 million for 2026. Free cash flow was $4.83 billion in the first nine months of 2026, and the company paid a pension contribution of $500 million in the third quarter.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 1.7% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 1.7% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $367.22)
- Paid per share
- $6.27 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $6.36 ($1.59 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 38% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- October 9, 2026, $1.59 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $2.97 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $3.28 | |
| 2018 | $3.63 | |
| 2019 | $3.99 | |
| 2020 | $4.32 | |
| 2021 | $4.67 | |
| 2022 | $4.97 | |
| 2023 | $5.22 | |
| 2024 | $5.58 | |
| 2025 | $5.92 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 6.5% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 8.2% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about General Dynamics
What does General Dynamics do?
General Dynamics is a US aerospace and defense company with four segments. Aerospace makes Gulfstream business jets and services them. Its market cap is $99B at the current price of $367.22.
When does General Dynamics report earnings next?
This is an estimate: General Dynamics may report on January 30, 2027. It last reported results on October 30, 2026.
Is General Dynamics stock below its intrinsic value?
General Dynamics stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at General Dynamics?
The latest update is from October 30, 2026. General Dynamics reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for General Dynamics?
Submarine work has low margins. Gulfstream deliveries can move between quarters, and each jet has a large value. Most revenue comes from the US government.
How much debt and cash does General Dynamics have?
At October 4, 2026, General Dynamics had $7.1B of debt and $4.4B of cash.
Does General Dynamics pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of General Dynamics is $6.36 per share. That is a dividend yield of 1.7% at the current price of $367.22. In the last 12 months, it paid $6.27 per share (1.7%). The latest ex-dividend date was October 9, 2026.
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